NOTE: THIS DATA FILE WILL CHANGE! To improve accessibility of data for all users, we will convert this file from a text format to an html table by the end of June 2024. Title: Brave-Butters-Kelley Trend Component of GDP Series ID: BBKMTRD Source: Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center Release: Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period Date Range: 1960-01-01 to 2024-03-01 Last Updated: 2024-04-29 7:31 AM CDT Notes: The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth. The trend component of GDP is expressed in annualized real GDP growth equivalent units. For more details, see also: Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/chicago-fed-letter/2019/422), Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422 Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity (https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/economic-perspectives/2019/1), Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1 DATE VALUE 1960-01-01 3.0547455242610573 1960-02-01 3.0547381454551710 1960-03-01 3.0547145386070715 1960-04-01 3.0546847393859613 1960-05-01 3.0546587834610380 1960-06-01 3.0546341707643410 1960-07-01 3.0546084012279087 1960-08-01 3.0545789747837780 1960-09-01 3.0545545655104687 1960-10-01 3.0545438474864977 1960-11-01 3.0545554947903840 1960-12-01 3.0545762682918210 1961-01-01 3.0545929288605036 1961-02-01 3.0545922373661250 1961-03-01 3.0545743908115150 1961-04-01 3.0545395861995024 1961-05-01 3.0544880205329163 1961-06-01 3.0544233418995880 1961-07-01 3.0543491983873476 1961-08-01 3.0542692380840264 1961-09-01 3.0541813725907345 1961-10-01 3.0540835135085818 1961-11-01 3.0539735724386780 1961-12-01 3.0538510810553583 1962-01-01 3.0537155710329578 1962-02-01 3.0535665740458113 1962-03-01 3.0534078302399545 1962-04-01 3.0532430797614210 1962-05-01 3.0530760627562463 1962-06-01 3.0529047517816100 1962-07-01 3.0527271193946928 1962-08-01 3.0525411381526740 1962-09-01 3.0523536609789900 1962-10-01 3.0521715407970755 1962-11-01 3.0520016305303670 1962-12-01 3.0518431160367490 1963-01-01 3.0516951831741060 1963-02-01 3.0515570178003237 1963-03-01 3.0514251382271730 1963-04-01 3.0512960627664256 1963-05-01 3.0511663097298523 1963-06-01 3.0510255410614713 1963-07-01 3.0508634187052985 1963-08-01 3.0506696046053520 1963-09-01 3.0504553675837034 1963-10-01 3.0502319764624244 1963-11-01 3.0500107000635870 1963-12-01 3.0497843910696787 1964-01-01 3.0495459021631857 1964-02-01 3.0492880860265950 1964-03-01 3.0490160533794700 1964-04-01 3.0487349149413750 1964-05-01 3.0484497814318736 1964-06-01 3.0481625185484150 1964-07-01 3.0478749919884476 1964-08-01 3.0475890674494210 1964-09-01 3.0473116300146126 1964-10-01 3.0470495647672995 1964-11-01 3.0468097567907590 1964-12-01 3.0465803086101526 1965-01-01 3.0463493227506420 1965-02-01 3.0461049017373885 1965-03-01 3.0458501614225266 1965-04-01 3.0455882176581905 1965-05-01 3.0453221862965150 1965-06-01 3.0450443612753704 1965-07-01 3.0447470365326255 1965-08-01 3.0444225060061507 1965-09-01 3.0440668553635670 1965-10-01 3.0436761702724957 1965-11-01 3.0432465364005576 1965-12-01 3.0427840739743840 1966-01-01 3.0422949032206046 1966-02-01 3.0417851443658503 1966-03-01 3.0412702685643460 1966-04-01 3.0407657469703158 1966-05-01 3.0402870507379840 1966-06-01 3.0398293027290480 1966-07-01 3.0393876258052055 1966-08-01 3.0389571428281530 1966-09-01 3.0385300067358334 1966-10-01 3.0380983704661872 1966-11-01 3.0376543869571577 1966-12-01 3.0371972155450020 1967-01-01 3.0367260155659790 1967-02-01 3.0362399463563454 1967-03-01 3.0357475292649430 1967-04-01 3.0352572856406126 1967-05-01 3.0347777368321940 1967-06-01 3.0343082897523788 1967-07-01 3.0338483513138570 1967-08-01 3.0333973284293190 1967-09-01 3.0329572797373790 1967-10-01 3.0325302638766503 1967-11-01 3.0321183394857463 1967-12-01 3.0317069766466225 1968-01-01 3.0312816454412340 1968-02-01 3.0308278159515370 1968-03-01 3.0303452837132540 1968-04-01 3.0298338442621080 1968-05-01 3.0292932931338217 1968-06-01 3.0287380528013785 1968-07-01 3.0281825457377622 1968-08-01 3.0276411944159570 1968-09-01 3.0271172917214186 1968-10-01 3.0266141305396020 1968-11-01 3.0261350037559644 1968-12-01 3.0256686361614770 1969-01-01 3.0252037525471110 1969-02-01 3.0247290777038400 1969-03-01 3.0242525104449460 1969-04-01 3.0237819495837144 1969-05-01 3.0233252939334276 1969-06-01 3.0228835007349564 1969-07-01 3.0224575272291703 1969-08-01 3.0220483306569386 1969-09-01 3.0216602040860905 1969-10-01 3.0212974405844553 1969-11-01 3.0209643332198612 1969-12-01 3.0206535517470896 1970-01-01 3.0203577659209210 1970-02-01 3.0200696454961355 1970-03-01 3.0197825098004300 1970-04-01 3.0194896781614990 1970-05-01 3.0191844699070387 1970-06-01 3.0188685593963670 1970-07-01 3.0185436209888032 1970-08-01 3.0182113290436647 1970-09-01 3.0178807558791650 1970-10-01 3.0175609738135156 1970-11-01 3.0172610551649310 1970-12-01 3.0169602522633205 1971-01-01 3.0166378174385953 1971-02-01 3.0162730030206655 1971-03-01 3.0158802468137385 1971-04-01 3.0154739866220210 1971-05-01 3.0150686602497188 1971-06-01 3.0146694202094597 1971-07-01 3.0142814190138694 1971-08-01 3.0139098091755754 1971-09-01 3.0135618171255690 1971-10-01 3.0132446692948440 1971-11-01 3.0129655921143916 1971-12-01 3.0127113131765917 1972-01-01 3.0124685600738240 1972-02-01 3.0122240603984670 1972-03-01 3.0119663769782803 1972-04-01 3.0116840726410232 1972-05-01 3.0113657102144553 1972-06-01 3.0110268696235240 1972-07-01 3.0106831307931780 1972-08-01 3.0103500736483650 1972-09-01 3.0100283842542950 1972-10-01 3.0097187486761787 1972-11-01 3.0094218529792243 1972-12-01 3.0091236841517250 1973-01-01 3.0088102291819707 1973-02-01 3.0084674750582550 1973-03-01 3.0081045810236420 1973-04-01 3.0077307063211967 1973-05-01 3.0073550101939848 1973-06-01 3.0069922106377174 1973-07-01 3.0066570256481064 1973-08-01 3.0063641732208640 1973-09-01 3.0061051192912154 1973-10-01 3.0058713297943870 1973-11-01 3.0056542706656044 1973-12-01 3.0054605185843720 1974-01-01 3.0052966502301937 1974-02-01 3.0051692422825727 1974-03-01 3.0050743833561940 1974-04-01 3.0050081620657423 1974-05-01 3.0049666670259025 1974-06-01 3.0049524734363735 1974-07-01 3.0049681564968540 1974-08-01 3.0050162914070433 1974-09-01 3.0050790114179002 1974-10-01 3.0051384497803855 1974-11-01 3.0051767397454580 1974-12-01 3.0051901360626263 1975-01-01 3.0051748934813990 1975-02-01 3.0051272667512845 1975-03-01 3.0050479222502530 1975-04-01 3.0049375263562754 1975-05-01 3.0047967454473214 1975-06-01 3.0046304063552030 1975-07-01 3.0044433359117306 1975-08-01 3.0042403609487156 1975-09-01 3.0040239709745378 1975-10-01 3.0037966554975766 1975-11-01 3.0035609040262123 1975-12-01 3.0033128980981467 1976-01-01 3.0030488192510827 1976-02-01 3.0027648490227223 1976-03-01 3.0024722620372195 1976-04-01 3.0021823329187290 1976-05-01 3.0019063362914050 1976-06-01 3.0016477408759297 1976-07-01 3.0014100153929872 1976-08-01 3.0011966285632603 1976-09-01 3.0010057008885180 1976-10-01 3.0008353528705290 1976-11-01 3.0006837050110630 1976-12-01 3.0005487386643290 1977-01-01 3.0004284351845367 1977-02-01 3.0003207759258960 1977-03-01 3.0002158295307840 1977-04-01 3.0001036646415775 1977-05-01 2.9999743499006540 1977-06-01 2.9998260595444206 1977-07-01 2.9996569678092846 1977-08-01 2.9994652489316540 1977-09-01 2.9992728560724524 1977-10-01 2.9991017423926056 1977-11-01 2.9989738610530380 1977-12-01 2.9988798408302744 1978-01-01 2.9988103105008390 1978-02-01 2.9987558988412570 1978-03-01 2.9986900452842504 1978-04-01 2.9985861892625410 1978-05-01 2.9984177702088517 1978-06-01 2.9982022148283334 1978-07-01 2.9979569498261380 1978-08-01 2.9976994019074170 1978-09-01 2.9974345287836760 1978-10-01 2.9971672881664206 1978-11-01 2.9969026377671555 1978-12-01 2.9966462429197190 1979-01-01 2.9964037689579506 1979-02-01 2.9961808812156880 1979-03-01 2.9959778059394270 1979-04-01 2.9957947693756640 1979-05-01 2.9956319977708947 1979-06-01 2.9954807613951610 1979-07-01 2.9953323305185027 1979-08-01 2.9951779754109618 1979-09-01 2.9950187084871405 1979-10-01 2.9948555421616430 1979-11-01 2.9946894888490716 1979-12-01 2.9945197926309850 1980-01-01 2.9943456975889413 1980-02-01 2.9941664478044990 1980-03-01 2.9939895763134440 1980-04-01 2.9938226161515606 1980-05-01 2.9936731003546346 1980-06-01 2.9935411235152936 1980-07-01 2.9934267802261663 1980-08-01 2.9933301650798807 1980-09-01 2.9932380481620390 1980-10-01 2.9931371995582436 1980-11-01 2.9930143893540960 1980-12-01 2.9928643874005040 1981-01-01 2.9926819635483746 1981-02-01 2.9924618876486150 1981-03-01 2.9922263072630740 1981-04-01 2.9919973699536024 1981-05-01 2.9917972232820484 1981-06-01 2.9916086012180574 1981-07-01 2.9914142377312740 1981-08-01 2.9911968667913436 1981-09-01 2.9909686242050240 1981-10-01 2.9907416457790754 1981-11-01 2.9905280673202560 1981-12-01 2.9903387817210330 1982-01-01 2.9901846818738750 1982-02-01 2.9900766606712477 1982-03-01 2.9899962389237190 1982-04-01 2.9899249374418573 1982-05-01 2.9898442770362292 1982-06-01 2.9897585093898296 1982-07-01 2.9896718861856530 1982-08-01 2.9895886591066922 1982-09-01 2.9895090608598470 1982-10-01 2.9894333241520140 1982-11-01 2.9893616816900925 1982-12-01 2.9892888112237700 1983-01-01 2.9892093905027366 1983-02-01 2.9891180972766804 1983-03-01 2.9890122915043427 1983-04-01 2.9888893331444630 1983-05-01 2.9887465821557826 1983-06-01 2.9885885482404113 1983-07-01 2.9884197411004605 1983-08-01 2.9882446704380390 1983-09-01 2.9880631151043750 1983-10-01 2.9878748539506934 1983-11-01 2.9876796658282205 1983-12-01 2.9874763735573144 1984-01-01 2.9872637999583316 1984-02-01 2.9870407678516293 1984-03-01 2.9868056820515783 1984-04-01 2.9865569473725477 1984-05-01 2.9862929686289093 1984-06-01 2.9860170715358376 1984-07-01 2.9857325818085090 1984-08-01 2.9854428251620990 1984-09-01 2.9851490729366210 1984-10-01 2.9848525964720882 1984-11-01 2.9845546671085135 1984-12-01 2.9842539221807720 1985-01-01 2.9839489990237373 1985-02-01 2.9836385349722843 1985-03-01 2.9833199782920237 1985-04-01 2.9829907772485664 1985-05-01 2.9826483801075234 1985-06-01 2.9822872783073030 1985-07-01 2.9819019632863120 1985-08-01 2.9814869264829590 1985-09-01 2.9810504146276524 1985-10-01 2.9806006744508013 1985-11-01 2.9801459526828150 1985-12-01 2.9796874351214440 1986-01-01 2.9792263075644370 1986-02-01 2.9787637558095446 1986-03-01 2.9783000667205970 1986-04-01 2.9778355271614230 1986-05-01 2.9773704239958540 1986-06-01 2.9769033586207083 1986-07-01 2.9764329324328070 1986-08-01 2.9759577468289695 1986-09-01 2.9754824826791006 1986-10-01 2.9750118208531040 1986-11-01 2.9745504422208846 1986-12-01 2.9740974003074645 1987-01-01 2.9736517486378670 1987-02-01 2.9732125407371153 1987-03-01 2.9727788485542500 1987-04-01 2.9723497440383110 1987-05-01 2.9719242991383386 1987-06-01 2.9715034324260587 1987-07-01 2.9710880624731963 1987-08-01 2.9706791078514760 1987-09-01 2.9702699394220358 1987-10-01 2.9698539280460126 1987-11-01 2.9694244445845444 1987-12-01 2.9689888621900127 1988-01-01 2.9685545540147986 1988-02-01 2.9681288932112840 1988-03-01 2.9677083115580802 1988-04-01 2.9672892408337970 1988-05-01 2.9668681128170458 1988-06-01 2.9664468882033580 1988-07-01 2.9660275276882637 1988-08-01 2.9656119919672940 1988-09-01 2.9651961527531965 1988-10-01 2.9647758817587175 1988-11-01 2.9643470506966050 1988-12-01 2.9639085627842996 1989-01-01 2.9634593212392420 1989-02-01 2.9629982292788740 1989-03-01 2.9625242149679547 1989-04-01 2.9620362063712427 1989-05-01 2.9615331315534970 1989-06-01 2.9610161666792470 1989-07-01 2.9604864879130206 1989-08-01 2.9599452714193473 1989-09-01 2.9593990635539660 1989-10-01 2.9588544106726165 1989-11-01 2.9583178591310397 1989-12-01 2.9577842209529783 1990-01-01 2.9572483081621765 1990-02-01 2.9567049327823782 1990-03-01 2.9561558690554870 1990-04-01 2.9556028912234056 1990-05-01 2.9550477735280376 1990-06-01 2.9544947162363630 1990-07-01 2.9539479196153633 1990-08-01 2.9534115839320174 1990-09-01 2.9528887746191232 1990-10-01 2.9523825571094770 1990-11-01 2.9518959968358747 1990-12-01 2.9514223352202310 1991-01-01 2.9509548136844597 1991-02-01 2.9504866736504733 1991-03-01 2.9500145834536196 1991-04-01 2.9495352114292435 1991-05-01 2.9490452259126920 1991-06-01 2.9485519992368860 1991-07-01 2.9480629037347463 1991-08-01 2.9475853117391950 1991-09-01 2.9471158141314570 1991-10-01 2.9466510017927563 1991-11-01 2.9461874656043183 1991-12-01 2.9457172044161433 1992-01-01 2.9452322170782312 1992-02-01 2.9447245024405824 1992-03-01 2.9441995038045996 1992-04-01 2.9436626644716877 1992-05-01 2.9431194277432490 1992-06-01 2.9425686618467950 1992-07-01 2.9420092350098344 1992-08-01 2.9414400154598780 1992-09-01 2.9408628796285017 1992-10-01 2.9402797039472817 1992-11-01 2.9396923648477933 1992-12-01 2.9391100071167310 1993-01-01 2.9385417755407883 1993-02-01 2.9379968149066586 1993-03-01 2.9374714453540993 1993-04-01 2.9369619870228690 1993-05-01 2.9364647600527250 1993-06-01 2.9359780479025530 1993-07-01 2.9355001340312374 1993-08-01 2.9350293018976640 1993-09-01 2.9345617276292280 1993-10-01 2.9340935873533254 1993-11-01 2.9336210571973520 1993-12-01 2.9331452617601603 1994-01-01 2.9326673256406050 1994-02-01 2.9321883734375390 1994-03-01 2.9317092809683640 1994-04-01 2.9312309240504790 1994-05-01 2.9307541785012856 1994-06-01 2.9302840888050380 1994-07-01 2.9298256994459890 1994-08-01 2.9293840549083927 1994-09-01 2.9289570029808780 1994-10-01 2.9285423914520740 1994-11-01 2.9281380681106093 1994-12-01 2.9277467193722058 1995-01-01 2.9273710316525854 1995-02-01 2.9270136913674690 1995-03-01 2.9266721772168016 1995-04-01 2.9263439679005270 1995-05-01 2.9260265421185903 1995-06-01 2.9257162789247660 1995-07-01 2.9254095573728300 1995-08-01 2.9251027565165570 1995-09-01 2.9247980211111675 1995-10-01 2.9244974959118820 1995-11-01 2.9242033256739206 1995-12-01 2.9239115198417576 1996-01-01 2.9236180878598668 1996-02-01 2.9233190391727226 1996-03-01 2.9230099573386545 1996-04-01 2.9226864259159933 1996-05-01 2.9223440284630690 1996-06-01 2.9219879766357253 1996-07-01 2.9216234820898060 1996-08-01 2.9212557564811554 1996-09-01 2.9208870590648760 1996-10-01 2.9205196490960708 1996-11-01 2.9201557858298420 1996-12-01 2.9197981542451403 1997-01-01 2.9194494393209150 1997-02-01 2.9191123260361174 1997-03-01 2.9187775829776195 1997-04-01 2.9184359787322950 1997-05-01 2.9180782818870163 1997-06-01 2.9177094925510260 1997-07-01 2.9173346108335663 1997-08-01 2.9169586368438796 1997-09-01 2.9165866863171614 1997-10-01 2.9162238749886080 1997-11-01 2.9158753185934140 1997-12-01 2.9155368432671720 1998-01-01 2.9152042751454723 1998-02-01 2.9148734403639070 1998-03-01 2.9145420965761044 1998-04-01 2.9142080014356930 1998-05-01 2.9138689125963010 1998-06-01 2.9135194558323050 1998-07-01 2.9131542569180820 1998-08-01 2.9127679416280077 1998-09-01 2.9123586258586700 1998-10-01 2.9119244255066565 1998-11-01 2.9114634564685540 1998-12-01 2.9109831639568995 1999-01-01 2.9104909931842290 1999-02-01 2.9099943893630797 1999-03-01 2.9094962808997034 1999-04-01 2.9089995962003528 1999-05-01 2.9085072636712797 1999-06-01 2.9080119406812166 1999-07-01 2.9075062845988957 1999-08-01 2.9069829527930480 1999-09-01 2.9064441143629582 1999-10-01 2.9058919384079087 1999-11-01 2.9053285940271840 1999-12-01 2.9047626626492633 2000-01-01 2.9042027257026266 2000-02-01 2.9036573646157540 2000-03-01 2.9031146452938907 2000-04-01 2.9025626336422830 2000-05-01 2.9019893955661760 2000-06-01 2.9014046839257040 2000-07-01 2.9008182515810006 2000-08-01 2.9002398513922000 2000-09-01 2.8996687230380513 2000-10-01 2.8991041061973040 2000-11-01 2.8985452405487090 2000-12-01 2.8979907184706610 2001-01-01 2.8974391323415563 2001-02-01 2.8968890745397920 2001-03-01 2.8963317778320157 2001-04-01 2.8957584749848753 2001-05-01 2.8951603987650194 2001-06-01 2.8945448390543684 2001-07-01 2.8939190857348440 2001-08-01 2.8932904286883680 2001-09-01 2.8926548272251686 2001-10-01 2.8920082406554770 2001-11-01 2.8913466282895220 2001-12-01 2.8906691068975640 2002-01-01 2.8899747932498620 2002-02-01 2.8892628041166750 2002-03-01 2.8885407469859192 2002-04-01 2.8878162293455096 2002-05-01 2.8870968586833614 2002-06-01 2.8863830714639387 2002-07-01 2.8856753041517060 2002-08-01 2.8849739932111270 2002-09-01 2.8842798518368538 2002-10-01 2.8835935932235360 2002-11-01 2.8829159305658250 2002-12-01 2.8822433327152557 2003-01-01 2.8815722685233640 2003-02-01 2.8808992068416828 2003-03-01 2.8802176816108034 2003-04-01 2.8795212267713133 2003-05-01 2.8788033762638023 2003-06-01 2.8780613215443163 2003-07-01 2.8772922540689003 2003-08-01 2.8764933652936007 2003-09-01 2.8756739018129585 2003-10-01 2.8748431102215144 2003-11-01 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