NOTE: THIS DATA FILE WILL CHANGE! To improve accessibility of data for all users, we will convert this file from a text format to an html table by the end of June 2024. Title: Real Risk Premium Series ID: TENEXPCHAREARISPRE Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Release: Inflation Expectations (Not a Press Release) Seasonal Adjustment: Not Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2024-05-01 Last Updated: 2024-05-15 2:48 PM CDT Notes: The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate. Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations. For more information, please visit the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 1.2368608 1982-02-01 1.2317813 1982-03-01 1.1657249 1982-04-01 1.2578395 1982-05-01 1.1575560 1982-06-01 1.1411042 1982-07-01 1.2513304 1982-08-01 1.1723375 1982-09-01 1.0997800 1982-10-01 1.0966023 1982-11-01 1.1637140 1982-12-01 1.2608313 1983-01-01 1.2138130 1983-02-01 1.2934019 1983-03-01 1.2272405 1983-04-01 1.2516150 1983-05-01 1.2071457 1983-06-01 1.2804237 1983-07-01 1.3026097 1983-08-01 1.4394496 1983-09-01 1.4245790 1983-10-01 1.3445740 1983-11-01 1.3561477 1983-12-01 1.3389832 1984-01-01 1.3194472 1984-02-01 1.2695955 1984-03-01 1.3442575 1984-04-01 1.3886424 1984-05-01 1.4228445 1984-06-01 1.5326237 1984-07-01 1.5154585 1984-08-01 1.3717457 1984-09-01 1.3728822 1984-10-01 1.3031195 1984-11-01 1.1909290 1984-12-01 1.1976941 1985-01-01 1.2221949 1985-02-01 1.1686435 1985-03-01 1.2922764 1985-04-01 1.2505305 1985-05-01 1.1922227 1985-06-01 1.2031861 1985-07-01 1.2402847 1985-08-01 1.3051207 1985-09-01 1.2682198 1985-10-01 1.2518228 1985-11-01 1.2086380 1985-12-01 1.1702904 1986-01-01 1.1386211 1986-02-01 1.1718210 1986-03-01 1.1209380 1986-04-01 1.0964864 1986-05-01 1.1165299 1986-06-01 1.3756669 1986-07-01 1.2814314 1986-08-01 1.2570825 1986-09-01 1.2057601 1986-10-01 1.2995179 1986-11-01 1.2552941 1986-12-01 1.2240470 1987-01-01 1.2122082 1987-02-01 1.2093870 1987-03-01 1.1741446 1987-04-01 1.2412331 1987-05-01 1.4457568 1987-06-01 1.4115333 1987-07-01 1.3652149 1987-08-01 1.3933172 1987-09-01 1.3994592 1987-10-01 1.4699546 1987-11-01 1.3098980 1987-12-01 1.3077499 1988-01-01 1.2807886 1988-02-01 1.2265382 1988-03-01 1.2130518 1988-04-01 1.3077990 1988-05-01 1.3195633 1988-06-01 1.3230759 1988-07-01 1.2755766 1988-08-01 1.2944214 1988-09-01 1.3242448 1988-10-01 1.2693917 1988-11-01 1.2388278 1988-12-01 1.3179001 1989-01-01 1.3576515 1989-02-01 1.3152199 1989-03-01 1.3584696 1989-04-01 1.2933644 1989-05-01 1.2448791 1989-06-01 1.1982318 1989-07-01 1.1655714 1989-08-01 1.1320191 1989-09-01 1.3813578 1989-10-01 1.3694802 1989-11-01 1.2964492 1989-12-01 1.2705620 1990-01-01 1.2400685 1990-02-01 1.3089052 1990-03-01 1.3158344 1990-04-01 1.3178255 1990-05-01 1.3765565 1990-06-01 1.2832770 1990-07-01 1.2621513 1990-08-01 1.2012863 1990-09-01 1.2685928 1990-10-01 1.2356491 1990-11-01 1.2008361 1990-12-01 1.1822384 1991-01-01 1.1584319 1991-02-01 1.1628351 1991-03-01 1.2593148 1991-04-01 1.2455880 1991-05-01 1.2133788 1991-06-01 1.2376717 1991-07-01 1.2551133 1991-08-01 1.2319479 1991-09-01 1.1920914 1991-10-01 1.1603064 1991-11-01 1.1447264 1991-12-01 1.1333078 1992-01-01 1.1103382 1992-02-01 1.3164416 1992-03-01 1.3109107 1992-04-01 1.3165834 1992-05-01 1.2866060 1992-06-01 1.2487062 1992-07-01 1.2047610 1992-08-01 1.1717759 1992-09-01 1.1526615 1992-10-01 1.1301904 1992-11-01 1.4375489 1992-12-01 1.4423493 1993-01-01 1.3632307 1993-02-01 1.2949589 1993-03-01 1.2341053 1993-04-01 1.2436588 1993-05-01 1.2146697 1993-06-01 1.2340816 1993-07-01 1.1997910 1993-08-01 1.2273243 1993-09-01 1.1880888 1993-10-01 1.1717020 1993-11-01 1.2172098 1993-12-01 1.2413972 1994-01-01 1.2553980 1994-02-01 1.2149225 1994-03-01 1.3349257 1994-04-01 1.5290367 1994-05-01 1.4826293 1994-06-01 1.4406124 1994-07-01 1.4373035 1994-08-01 1.3657941 1994-09-01 1.3559275 1994-10-01 1.4293506 1994-11-01 1.4304565 1994-12-01 1.4121225 1995-01-01 1.4047222 1995-02-01 1.3411806 1995-03-01 1.2740660 1995-04-01 1.2467378 1995-05-01 1.1928045 1995-06-01 1.1732997 1995-07-01 1.1978512 1995-08-01 1.2633617 1995-09-01 1.2334610 1995-10-01 1.2301618 1995-11-01 1.2002966 1995-12-01 1.1722757 1996-01-01 1.1463834 1996-02-01 1.1463859 1996-03-01 1.2123163 1996-04-01 1.2850024 1996-05-01 1.3264712 1996-06-01 1.3579119 1996-07-01 1.3175889 1996-08-01 1.2953274 1996-09-01 1.3245966 1996-10-01 1.2734870 1996-11-01 1.2299947 1996-12-01 1.1974524 1997-01-01 1.3013279 1997-02-01 1.2808118 1997-03-01 1.2956654 1997-04-01 1.3511825 1997-05-01 1.3124939 1997-06-01 1.2487939 1997-07-01 1.2346052 1997-08-01 1.2095454 1997-09-01 1.2280311 1997-10-01 1.2007877 1997-11-01 1.1941008 1997-12-01 1.1899752 1998-01-01 1.1730054 1998-02-01 1.1648698 1998-03-01 1.2084732 1998-04-01 1.2065972 1998-05-01 1.2064414 1998-06-01 1.1987847 1998-07-01 1.1852977 1998-08-01 1.1941355 1998-09-01 1.1636277 1998-10-01 1.1821559 1998-11-01 1.2734585 1998-12-01 1.2664617 1999-01-01 1.2811503 1999-02-01 1.2876870 1999-03-01 1.3904999 1999-04-01 1.3163159 1999-05-01 1.3163285 1999-06-01 1.3921296 1999-07-01 1.3480847 1999-08-01 1.3537567 1999-09-01 1.3296030 1999-10-01 1.3160987 1999-11-01 1.3099245 1999-12-01 1.3111523 2000-01-01 1.3412394 2000-02-01 1.3371627 2000-03-01 1.2866908 2000-04-01 1.2381495 2000-05-01 1.2850955 2000-06-01 1.1990852 2000-07-01 1.1860898 2000-08-01 1.2015475 2000-09-01 1.1735708 2000-10-01 1.1829336 2000-11-01 1.1831542 2000-12-01 1.1622569 2001-01-01 1.1383360 2001-02-01 1.1363542 2001-03-01 1.1397020 2001-04-01 1.1555527 2001-05-01 1.2058633 2001-06-01 1.2277710 2001-07-01 1.2288033 2001-08-01 1.1989245 2001-09-01 1.1587240 2001-10-01 1.1188325 2001-11-01 1.1137575 2001-12-01 1.2461506 2002-01-01 1.3580120 2002-02-01 1.3123732 2002-03-01 1.2880281 2002-04-01 1.3464267 2002-05-01 1.2756869 2002-06-01 1.2535915 2002-07-01 1.2169815 2002-08-01 1.1797419 2002-09-01 1.1568860 2002-10-01 1.1418255 2002-11-01 1.1829783 2002-12-01 1.2647531 2003-01-01 1.1969138 2003-02-01 1.1772516 2003-03-01 1.1518810 2003-04-01 1.1920924 2003-05-01 1.2140376 2003-06-01 1.1568499 2003-07-01 1.1886766 2003-08-01 1.4043515 2003-09-01 1.4043422 2003-10-01 1.3052642 2003-11-01 1.3863626 2003-12-01 1.3599259 2004-01-01 1.3131558 2004-02-01 1.2762915 2004-03-01 1.2376694 2004-04-01 1.2164152 2004-05-01 1.3867434 2004-06-01 1.3734061 2004-07-01 1.3415503 2004-08-01 1.3122118 2004-09-01 1.2401586 2004-10-01 1.2493974 2004-11-01 1.2183370 2004-12-01 1.2739643 2005-01-01 1.2570988 2005-02-01 1.2475411 2005-03-01 1.2800226 2005-04-01 1.2789227 2005-05-01 1.2218080 2005-06-01 1.2025153 2005-07-01 1.2140319 2005-08-01 1.2407981 2005-09-01 1.0781531 2005-10-01 1.1991322 2005-11-01 1.2688305 2005-12-01 1.2720147 2006-01-01 1.2359447 2006-02-01 1.2850912 2006-03-01 1.2783066 2006-04-01 1.2794002 2006-05-01 1.2906453 2006-06-01 1.2901259 2006-07-01 1.2772985 2006-08-01 1.2330468 2006-09-01 1.1990496 2006-10-01 1.2147361 2006-11-01 1.1784627 2006-12-01 1.1687616 2007-01-01 1.2025925 2007-02-01 1.2360165 2007-03-01 1.1947259 2007-04-01 1.2095120 2007-05-01 1.1994456 2007-06-01 1.2790326 2007-07-01 1.2798023 2007-08-01 1.2385483 2007-09-01 1.1986681 2007-10-01 1.1870789 2007-11-01 1.1258192 2007-12-01 1.1237103 2008-01-01 1.1340748 2008-02-01 1.1120286 2008-03-01 1.1047946 2008-04-01 1.1293766 2008-05-01 1.2405561 2008-06-01 1.2169889 2008-07-01 1.1970234 2008-08-01 1.1849590 2008-09-01 1.1731495 2008-10-01 1.2066017 2008-11-01 1.2455393 2008-12-01 1.1710135 2009-01-01 1.1591700 2009-02-01 1.1539969 2009-03-01 1.1647245 2009-04-01 1.1268905 2009-05-01 1.2259510 2009-06-01 1.2439714 2009-07-01 1.2420316 2009-08-01 1.2199233 2009-09-01 1.1875080 2009-10-01 1.1761974 2009-11-01 1.1927549 2009-12-01 1.1668623 2010-01-01 1.3275341 2010-02-01 1.2811064 2010-03-01 1.2516075 2010-04-01 1.3081659 2010-05-01 1.2817381 2010-06-01 1.2340777 2010-07-01 1.1848002 2010-08-01 1.1658476 2010-09-01 1.1467902 2010-10-01 1.1236226 2010-11-01 1.1177811 2010-12-01 1.2103835 2011-01-01 1.2715228 2011-02-01 1.2505481 2011-03-01 1.2381054 2011-04-01 1.2472274 2011-05-01 1.1916548 2011-06-01 1.1663034 2011-07-01 1.1992538 2011-08-01 1.1649313 2011-09-01 1.1440924 2011-10-01 1.1446024 2011-11-01 1.1647874 2011-12-01 1.1775767 2012-01-01 1.1758662 2012-02-01 1.1563519 2012-03-01 1.1826697 2012-04-01 1.2034739 2012-05-01 1.1667997 2012-06-01 1.1391610 2012-07-01 1.1662842 2012-08-01 1.1504595 2012-09-01 1.1308315 2012-10-01 1.1512764 2012-11-01 1.1812764 2012-12-01 1.1649553 2013-01-01 1.2165788 2013-02-01 1.2050741 2013-03-01 1.1534860 2013-04-01 1.1647183 2013-05-01 1.1759681 2013-06-01 1.2359215 2013-07-01 1.2924940 2013-08-01 1.2864123 2013-09-01 1.3064023 2013-10-01 1.2680435 2013-11-01 1.2602462 2013-12-01 1.2365995 2014-01-01 1.2914453 2014-02-01 1.2523933 2014-03-01 1.2399027 2014-04-01 1.2713635 2014-05-01 1.2451624 2014-06-01 1.2307904 2014-07-01 1.2255665 2014-08-01 1.2286231 2014-09-01 1.2179332 2014-10-01 1.2299821 2014-11-01 1.2211969 2014-12-01 1.1374824 2015-01-01 1.2003966 2015-02-01 1.1693660 2015-03-01 1.2316641 2015-04-01 1.1847672 2015-05-01 1.2105168 2015-06-01 1.2124344 2015-07-01 1.2396006 2015-08-01 1.2152095 2015-09-01 1.2110942 2015-10-01 1.2014385 2015-11-01 1.2153920 2015-12-01 1.2234686 2016-01-01 1.2456638 2016-02-01 1.2014762 2016-03-01 1.1836192 2016-04-01 1.1449932 2016-05-01 1.1676221 2016-06-01 1.1772199 2016-07-01 1.1481324 2016-08-01 1.1692884 2016-09-01 1.1757562 2016-10-01 1.1841811 2016-11-01 1.2044047 2016-12-01 1.3290649 2017-01-01 1.2897367 2017-02-01 1.2876996 2017-03-01 1.2920425 2017-04-01 1.2598127 2017-05-01 1.2578464 2017-06-01 1.1985039 2017-07-01 1.2285199 2017-08-01 1.2097536 2017-09-01 1.1819244 2017-10-01 1.2282870 2017-11-01 1.2272774 2017-12-01 1.1610032 2018-01-01 1.2183080 2018-02-01 1.2912536 2018-03-01 1.2306141 2018-04-01 1.2328859 2018-05-01 1.2843951 2018-06-01 1.2620296 2018-07-01 1.2543079 2018-08-01 1.2734675 2018-09-01 1.2468578 2018-10-01 1.2740029 2018-11-01 1.2667843 2018-12-01 1.2442892 2019-01-01 1.2070958 2019-02-01 1.2130935 2019-03-01 1.0207319 2019-04-01 1.0600166 2019-05-01 1.1371593 2019-06-01 1.1289913 2019-07-01 1.1479148 2019-08-01 1.1609962 2019-09-01 1.1464023 2019-10-01 1.1841650 2019-11-01 1.1995382 2019-12-01 1.2196729 2020-01-01 1.2199695 2020-02-01 1.1906984 2020-03-01 1.0199730 2020-04-01 1.0322013 2020-05-01 1.0736871 2020-06-01 1.0682220 2020-07-01 1.0530717 2020-08-01 1.0731986 2020-09-01 1.1089133 2020-10-01 1.1360730 2020-11-01 1.1655101 2020-12-01 1.1646201 2021-01-01 1.1682306 2021-02-01 1.1722263 2021-03-01 1.2057374 2021-04-01 1.2015461 2021-05-01 1.1745436 2021-06-01 1.1466392 2021-07-01 1.1560817 2021-08-01 1.1061539 2021-09-01 1.1518996 2021-10-01 1.1640596 2021-11-01 1.1802303 2021-12-01 1.1718709 2022-01-01 1.2068075 2022-02-01 1.2171895 2022-03-01 1.1623305 2022-04-01 1.4173954 2022-05-01 1.4372574 2022-06-01 1.3482276 2022-07-01 1.3112157 2022-08-01 1.2694036 2022-09-01 1.3973509 2022-10-01 1.4823361 2022-11-01 1.4993449 2022-12-01 1.4022366 2023-01-01 1.3946749 2023-02-01 1.3155493 2023-03-01 1.4730827 2023-04-01 1.3602682 2023-05-01 1.3745858 2023-06-01 1.1148600 2023-07-01 1.3092147 2023-08-01 1.3411725 2023-09-01 1.3632687 2023-10-01 1.4604398 2023-11-01 1.4445712 2023-12-01 1.3498560 2024-01-01 1.3239901 2024-02-01 1.2947154 2024-03-01 1.3377186 2024-04-01 1.3444391 2024-05-01 1.3868175