Title: Leading Index for Alaska Series ID: AKSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2020-02-01 Last Updated: 2020-04-14 9:16 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 0.05 1982-02-01 0.79 1982-03-01 0.41 1982-04-01 0.42 1982-05-01 0.39 1982-06-01 1.24 1982-07-01 1.47 1982-08-01 0.60 1982-09-01 0.59 1982-10-01 -0.01 1982-11-01 0.06 1982-12-01 0.50 1983-01-01 0.71 1983-02-01 1.42 1983-03-01 1.73 1983-04-01 1.96 1983-05-01 1.74 1983-06-01 1.98 1983-07-01 1.52 1983-08-01 1.07 1983-09-01 1.11 1983-10-01 0.52 1983-11-01 0.87 1983-12-01 0.45 1984-01-01 0.78 1984-02-01 0.95 1984-03-01 1.38 1984-04-01 1.27 1984-05-01 1.43 1984-06-01 0.80 1984-07-01 1.23 1984-08-01 0.99 1984-09-01 0.86 1984-10-01 0.85 1984-11-01 0.50 1984-12-01 0.29 1985-01-01 0.57 1985-02-01 0.54 1985-03-01 0.34 1985-04-01 0.18 1985-05-01 -0.06 1985-06-01 -0.03 1985-07-01 0.37 1985-08-01 0.70 1985-09-01 1.06 1985-10-01 0.22 1985-11-01 -0.53 1985-12-01 -0.26 1986-01-01 -0.39 1986-02-01 -0.69 1986-03-01 -1.16 1986-04-01 -1.23 1986-05-01 -0.68 1986-06-01 -0.71 1986-07-01 -0.01 1986-08-01 0.09 1986-09-01 0.14 1986-10-01 0.32 1986-11-01 0.91 1986-12-01 0.36 1987-01-01 0.21 1987-02-01 0.42 1987-03-01 0.20 1987-04-01 0.49 1987-05-01 0.69 1987-06-01 0.82 1987-07-01 0.86 1987-08-01 1.14 1987-09-01 1.10 1987-10-01 2.00 1987-11-01 1.83 1987-12-01 1.77 1988-01-01 1.41 1988-02-01 1.48 1988-03-01 1.37 1988-04-01 1.17 1988-05-01 0.35 1988-06-01 1.57 1988-07-01 1.61 1988-08-01 1.41 1988-09-01 1.57 1988-10-01 1.53 1988-11-01 1.87 1988-12-01 1.84 1989-01-01 2.05 1989-02-01 2.19 1989-03-01 1.97 1989-04-01 1.97 1989-05-01 1.57 1989-06-01 1.53 1989-07-01 0.84 1989-08-01 0.42 1989-09-01 -0.27 1989-10-01 -0.44 1989-11-01 -0.12 1989-12-01 -0.24 1990-01-01 0.33 1990-02-01 0.57 1990-03-01 1.11 1990-04-01 1.01 1990-05-01 0.68 1990-06-01 1.03 1990-07-01 0.48 1990-08-01 0.41 1990-09-01 0.30 1990-10-01 0.31 1990-11-01 0.90 1990-12-01 0.60 1991-01-01 -0.29 1991-02-01 -0.59 1991-03-01 -0.73 1991-04-01 -0.48 1991-05-01 0.03 1991-06-01 -0.27 1991-07-01 -0.11 1991-08-01 -0.14 1991-09-01 -0.21 1991-10-01 -0.07 1991-11-01 0.10 1991-12-01 0.36 1992-01-01 0.21 1992-02-01 0.57 1992-03-01 0.73 1992-04-01 0.63 1992-05-01 0.75 1992-06-01 0.78 1992-07-01 0.88 1992-08-01 0.79 1992-09-01 1.30 1992-10-01 0.89 1992-11-01 1.25 1992-12-01 1.63 1993-01-01 1.73 1993-02-01 1.25 1993-03-01 1.28 1993-04-01 1.13 1993-05-01 0.72 1993-06-01 0.69 1993-07-01 0.71 1993-08-01 0.93 1993-09-01 0.78 1993-10-01 1.20 1993-11-01 0.79 1993-12-01 0.43 1994-01-01 0.72 1994-02-01 0.96 1994-03-01 0.72 1994-04-01 0.18 1994-05-01 0.71 1994-06-01 1.16 1994-07-01 1.34 1994-08-01 1.41 1994-09-01 1.64 1994-10-01 1.13 1994-11-01 1.11 1994-12-01 1.09 1995-01-01 0.88 1995-02-01 1.22 1995-03-01 0.72 1995-04-01 0.84 1995-05-01 0.71 1995-06-01 0.63 1995-07-01 0.34 1995-08-01 0.25 1995-09-01 0.09 1995-10-01 0.04 1995-11-01 -0.19 1995-12-01 0.00 1996-01-01 0.14 1996-02-01 0.42 1996-03-01 0.58 1996-04-01 0.67 1996-05-01 0.80 1996-06-01 0.73 1996-07-01 0.81 1996-08-01 0.85 1996-09-01 0.39 1996-10-01 0.69 1996-11-01 0.69 1996-12-01 0.38 1997-01-01 0.40 1997-02-01 0.73 1997-03-01 0.99 1997-04-01 1.04 1997-05-01 1.16 1997-06-01 1.31 1997-07-01 1.31 1997-08-01 0.87 1997-09-01 0.88 1997-10-01 1.33 1997-11-01 1.47 1997-12-01 1.08 1998-01-01 1.57 1998-02-01 1.42 1998-03-01 1.01 1998-04-01 0.40 1998-05-01 0.51 1998-06-01 0.44 1998-07-01 0.56 1998-08-01 0.20 1998-09-01 0.52 1998-10-01 0.61 1998-11-01 0.74 1998-12-01 0.45 1999-01-01 0.60 1999-02-01 0.09 1999-03-01 0.44 1999-04-01 0.35 1999-05-01 0.54 1999-06-01 0.62 1999-07-01 0.68 1999-08-01 0.73 1999-09-01 1.12 1999-10-01 1.22 1999-11-01 1.16 1999-12-01 0.89 2000-01-01 0.51 2000-02-01 0.54 2000-03-01 0.84 2000-04-01 0.77 2000-05-01 0.75 2000-06-01 0.42 2000-07-01 0.62 2000-08-01 0.69 2000-09-01 0.37 2000-10-01 0.67 2000-11-01 0.65 2000-12-01 0.94 2001-01-01 0.37 2001-02-01 0.88 2001-03-01 0.58 2001-04-01 0.66 2001-05-01 0.27 2001-06-01 0.21 2001-07-01 0.49 2001-08-01 0.60 2001-09-01 0.10 2001-10-01 0.15 2001-11-01 -0.13 2001-12-01 -0.25 2002-01-01 0.36 2002-02-01 0.77 2002-03-01 0.43 2002-04-01 -0.04 2002-05-01 -0.04 2002-06-01 0.40 2002-07-01 0.75 2002-08-01 0.58 2002-09-01 0.62 2002-10-01 0.87 2002-11-01 0.70 2002-12-01 0.48 2003-01-01 -0.07 2003-02-01 0.34 2003-03-01 0.33 2003-04-01 0.11 2003-05-01 0.31 2003-06-01 0.47 2003-07-01 0.45 2003-08-01 0.63 2003-09-01 1.01 2003-10-01 0.83 2003-11-01 0.72 2003-12-01 0.87 2004-01-01 1.39 2004-02-01 1.00 2004-03-01 1.51 2004-04-01 1.18 2004-05-01 1.35 2004-06-01 1.26 2004-07-01 1.42 2004-08-01 1.15 2004-09-01 1.20 2004-10-01 1.16 2004-11-01 0.81 2004-12-01 0.76 2005-01-01 0.98 2005-02-01 1.08 2005-03-01 1.03 2005-04-01 1.03 2005-05-01 0.82 2005-06-01 0.74 2005-07-01 0.81 2005-08-01 0.63 2005-09-01 0.58 2005-10-01 0.79 2005-11-01 0.79 2005-12-01 0.61 2006-01-01 0.75 2006-02-01 0.98 2006-03-01 1.19 2006-04-01 1.37 2006-05-01 0.81 2006-06-01 1.08 2006-07-01 0.29 2006-08-01 0.64 2006-09-01 0.62 2006-10-01 0.26 2006-11-01 0.92 2006-12-01 1.06 2007-01-01 1.07 2007-02-01 0.79 2007-03-01 0.50 2007-04-01 0.36 2007-05-01 0.43 2007-06-01 0.29 2007-07-01 0.02 2007-08-01 0.35 2007-09-01 0.50 2007-10-01 0.61 2007-11-01 0.53 2007-12-01 0.50 2008-01-01 0.56 2008-02-01 0.29 2008-03-01 0.12 2008-04-01 0.24 2008-05-01 0.60 2008-06-01 0.51 2008-07-01 0.59 2008-08-01 0.28 2008-09-01 0.29 2008-10-01 0.01 2008-11-01 -0.13 2008-12-01 0.14 2009-01-01 -0.37 2009-02-01 -0.44 2009-03-01 -0.55 2009-04-01 -0.39 2009-05-01 0.06 2009-06-01 0.05 2009-07-01 0.29 2009-08-01 0.38 2009-09-01 0.81 2009-10-01 1.15 2009-11-01 0.66 2009-12-01 0.62 2010-01-01 0.70 2010-02-01 0.64 2010-03-01 1.08 2010-04-01 0.97 2010-05-01 1.22 2010-06-01 1.50 2010-07-01 1.53 2010-08-01 0.81 2010-09-01 0.49 2010-10-01 0.56 2010-11-01 1.00 2010-12-01 0.57 2011-01-01 0.59 2011-02-01 0.86 2011-03-01 0.96 2011-04-01 1.08 2011-05-01 0.72 2011-06-01 1.07 2011-07-01 0.76 2011-08-01 0.62 2011-09-01 0.81 2011-10-01 0.76 2011-11-01 0.59 2011-12-01 0.46 2012-01-01 0.67 2012-02-01 0.81 2012-03-01 0.71 2012-04-01 0.61 2012-05-01 0.70 2012-06-01 1.03 2012-07-01 0.75 2012-08-01 0.72 2012-09-01 0.73 2012-10-01 0.93 2012-11-01 0.38 2012-12-01 0.34 2013-01-01 0.29 2013-02-01 0.54 2013-03-01 0.54 2013-04-01 0.58 2013-05-01 0.24 2013-06-01 0.60 2013-07-01 0.58 2013-08-01 0.63 2013-09-01 0.66 2013-10-01 0.47 2013-11-01 0.50 2013-12-01 0.56 2014-01-01 0.72 2014-02-01 0.79 2014-03-01 0.89 2014-04-01 0.94 2014-05-01 0.61 2014-06-01 0.31 2014-07-01 0.83 2014-08-01 0.75 2014-09-01 0.71 2014-10-01 1.16 2014-11-01 1.14 2014-12-01 1.27 2015-01-01 0.88 2015-02-01 0.58 2015-03-01 0.51 2015-04-01 0.44 2015-05-01 0.58 2015-06-01 0.24 2015-07-01 0.53 2015-08-01 0.42 2015-09-01 0.59 2015-10-01 0.15 2015-11-01 0.13 2015-12-01 0.14 2016-01-01 0.29 2016-02-01 0.11 2016-03-01 0.22 2016-04-01 0.45 2016-05-01 0.24 2016-06-01 0.13 2016-07-01 0.47 2016-08-01 0.31 2016-09-01 0.08 2016-10-01 0.48 2016-11-01 0.62 2016-12-01 0.61 2017-01-01 0.50 2017-02-01 0.63 2017-03-01 0.66 2017-04-01 0.60 2017-05-01 0.57 2017-06-01 0.75 2017-07-01 0.83 2017-08-01 0.73 2017-09-01 1.00 2017-10-01 0.65 2017-11-01 0.62 2017-12-01 0.64 2018-01-01 1.10 2018-02-01 1.16 2018-03-01 1.30 2018-04-01 0.82 2018-05-01 1.13 2018-06-01 1.31 2018-07-01 1.12 2018-08-01 1.09 2018-09-01 1.03 2018-10-01 1.23 2018-11-01 1.03 2018-12-01 0.69 2019-01-01 0.89 2019-02-01 0.91 2019-03-01 0.84 2019-04-01 0.69 2019-05-01 0.07 2019-06-01 0.37 2019-07-01 0.68 2019-08-01 0.52 2019-09-01 0.67 2019-10-01 0.63 2019-11-01 0.54 2019-12-01 0.32 2020-01-01 0.74 2020-02-01 2.02