Title: Leading Index for New York Series ID: NYSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2017-08-01 Last Updated: 2017-10-05 1:31 PM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -0.89 1982-02-01 -0.05 1982-03-01 -0.05 1982-04-01 0.05 1982-05-01 0.98 1982-06-01 0.76 1982-07-01 0.12 1982-08-01 -0.25 1982-09-01 -0.61 1982-10-01 -0.64 1982-11-01 0.01 1982-12-01 0.39 1983-01-01 1.62 1983-02-01 1.70 1983-03-01 1.89 1983-04-01 2.19 1983-05-01 2.17 1983-06-01 2.95 1983-07-01 3.13 1983-08-01 2.69 1983-09-01 2.99 1983-10-01 3.05 1983-11-01 3.25 1983-12-01 2.95 1984-01-01 2.61 1984-02-01 2.58 1984-03-01 1.78 1984-04-01 1.65 1984-05-01 0.84 1984-06-01 0.01 1984-07-01 0.69 1984-08-01 1.21 1984-09-01 1.38 1984-10-01 1.50 1984-11-01 1.55 1984-12-01 2.20 1985-01-01 1.38 1985-02-01 0.81 1985-03-01 0.69 1985-04-01 1.47 1985-05-01 1.72 1985-06-01 1.67 1985-07-01 1.48 1985-08-01 2.11 1985-09-01 1.17 1985-10-01 1.66 1985-11-01 1.42 1985-12-01 0.47 1986-01-01 0.83 1986-02-01 0.59 1986-03-01 1.18 1986-04-01 0.69 1986-05-01 1.40 1986-06-01 1.82 1986-07-01 2.63 1986-08-01 2.57 1986-09-01 2.19 1986-10-01 1.38 1986-11-01 1.26 1986-12-01 2.17 1987-01-01 2.08 1987-02-01 1.72 1987-03-01 2.14 1987-04-01 1.84 1987-05-01 1.47 1987-06-01 1.38 1987-07-01 1.21 1987-08-01 1.67 1987-09-01 1.19 1987-10-01 1.26 1987-11-01 1.70 1987-12-01 1.78 1988-01-01 2.00 1988-02-01 1.67 1988-03-01 2.10 1988-04-01 1.03 1988-05-01 0.60 1988-06-01 0.62 1988-07-01 0.51 1988-08-01 -0.30 1988-09-01 -0.04 1988-10-01 1.12 1988-11-01 0.79 1988-12-01 0.79 1989-01-01 0.46 1989-02-01 0.70 1989-03-01 0.19 1989-04-01 0.52 1989-05-01 -0.11 1989-06-01 0.36 1989-07-01 -0.20 1989-08-01 -0.56 1989-09-01 0.02 1989-10-01 -0.70 1989-11-01 -0.11 1989-12-01 0.56 1990-01-01 1.40 1990-02-01 1.04 1990-03-01 1.50 1990-04-01 0.95 1990-05-01 0.62 1990-06-01 0.42 1990-07-01 -0.29 1990-08-01 -0.36 1990-09-01 -0.91 1990-10-01 -0.88 1990-11-01 -1.63 1990-12-01 -1.27 1991-01-01 -2.19 1991-02-01 -1.75 1991-03-01 -1.09 1991-04-01 -0.31 1991-05-01 -0.22 1991-06-01 1.27 1991-07-01 0.98 1991-08-01 1.35 1991-09-01 1.29 1991-10-01 0.11 1991-11-01 -0.62 1991-12-01 -0.81 1992-01-01 -0.58 1992-02-01 0.10 1992-03-01 0.01 1992-04-01 0.26 1992-05-01 0.62 1992-06-01 0.70 1992-07-01 0.95 1992-08-01 1.16 1992-09-01 0.91 1992-10-01 1.59 1992-11-01 2.15 1992-12-01 2.36 1993-01-01 2.58 1993-02-01 2.72 1993-03-01 2.43 1993-04-01 1.67 1993-05-01 1.42 1993-06-01 0.82 1993-07-01 0.88 1993-08-01 0.82 1993-09-01 0.98 1993-10-01 1.13 1993-11-01 1.10 1993-12-01 1.69 1994-01-01 1.02 1994-02-01 1.53 1994-03-01 2.17 1994-04-01 1.90 1994-05-01 2.05 1994-06-01 1.70 1994-07-01 1.79 1994-08-01 2.42 1994-09-01 2.11 1994-10-01 1.80 1994-11-01 2.23 1994-12-01 2.01 1995-01-01 1.01 1995-02-01 0.50 1995-03-01 0.53 1995-04-01 0.12 1995-05-01 0.31 1995-06-01 0.06 1995-07-01 0.38 1995-08-01 0.79 1995-09-01 0.80 1995-10-01 0.76 1995-11-01 1.23 1995-12-01 1.26 1996-01-01 0.78 1996-02-01 1.15 1996-03-01 0.86 1996-04-01 0.10 1996-05-01 1.28 1996-06-01 1.60 1996-07-01 1.71 1996-08-01 1.72 1996-09-01 1.22 1996-10-01 0.73 1996-11-01 -0.26 1996-12-01 -0.23 1997-01-01 0.04 1997-02-01 0.86 1997-03-01 0.89 1997-04-01 1.00 1997-05-01 1.05 1997-06-01 1.62 1997-07-01 1.47 1997-08-01 1.59 1997-09-01 1.95 1997-10-01 1.80 1997-11-01 0.98 1997-12-01 1.38 1998-01-01 1.58 1998-02-01 1.83 1998-03-01 1.81 1998-04-01 1.40 1998-05-01 1.74 1998-06-01 1.51 1998-07-01 0.69 1998-08-01 0.54 1998-09-01 0.78 1998-10-01 1.02 1998-11-01 1.66 1998-12-01 0.95 1999-01-01 1.97 1999-02-01 1.36 1999-03-01 1.12 1999-04-01 0.80 1999-05-01 0.90 1999-06-01 1.00 1999-07-01 1.13 1999-08-01 1.53 1999-09-01 1.66 1999-10-01 1.98 1999-11-01 1.92 1999-12-01 1.64 2000-01-01 1.44 2000-02-01 1.32 2000-03-01 0.99 2000-04-01 1.24 2000-05-01 0.81 2000-06-01 0.81 2000-07-01 0.76 2000-08-01 1.06 2000-09-01 1.18 2000-10-01 1.34 2000-11-01 1.45 2000-12-01 1.53 2001-01-01 0.36 2001-02-01 0.04 2001-03-01 -0.28 2001-04-01 -0.70 2001-05-01 -0.63 2001-06-01 -0.93 2001-07-01 -0.86 2001-08-01 -0.71 2001-09-01 -1.35 2001-10-01 -2.27 2001-11-01 -1.36 2001-12-01 -0.21 2002-01-01 1.09 2002-02-01 1.45 2002-03-01 1.01 2002-04-01 1.24 2002-05-01 1.79 2002-06-01 1.88 2002-07-01 1.27 2002-08-01 1.37 2002-09-01 1.14 2002-10-01 0.26 2002-11-01 0.49 2002-12-01 0.46 2003-01-01 0.33 2003-02-01 0.84 2003-03-01 1.06 2003-04-01 0.87 2003-05-01 0.36 2003-06-01 0.55 2003-07-01 0.23 2003-08-01 0.73 2003-09-01 1.17 2003-10-01 1.93 2003-11-01 1.81 2003-12-01 1.32 2004-01-01 1.33 2004-02-01 1.84 2004-03-01 2.43 2004-04-01 1.74 2004-05-01 2.10 2004-06-01 2.49 2004-07-01 2.00 2004-08-01 1.47 2004-09-01 1.91 2004-10-01 1.93 2004-11-01 0.95 2004-12-01 1.27 2005-01-01 1.57 2005-02-01 1.74 2005-03-01 0.62 2005-04-01 1.47 2005-05-01 0.68 2005-06-01 0.74 2005-07-01 0.30 2005-08-01 0.74 2005-09-01 1.01 2005-10-01 1.66 2005-11-01 1.49 2005-12-01 1.55 2006-01-01 1.80 2006-02-01 1.80 2006-03-01 0.91 2006-04-01 0.74 2006-05-01 0.56 2006-06-01 1.18 2006-07-01 0.82 2006-08-01 1.15 2006-09-01 1.43 2006-10-01 1.41 2006-11-01 0.72 2006-12-01 0.96 2007-01-01 0.73 2007-02-01 0.58 2007-03-01 0.22 2007-04-01 0.25 2007-05-01 0.30 2007-06-01 -0.13 2007-07-01 0.09 2007-08-01 0.47 2007-09-01 0.14 2007-10-01 0.56 2007-11-01 0.56 2007-12-01 0.33 2008-01-01 0.31 2008-02-01 0.43 2008-03-01 -0.18 2008-04-01 -0.24 2008-05-01 -0.25 2008-06-01 -0.18 2008-07-01 0.08 2008-08-01 -0.70 2008-09-01 -1.14 2008-10-01 -1.73 2008-11-01 -1.98 2008-12-01 -2.57 2009-01-01 -2.77 2009-02-01 -2.57 2009-03-01 -2.66 2009-04-01 -1.51 2009-05-01 0.18 2009-06-01 0.24 2009-07-01 0.80 2009-08-01 0.97 2009-09-01 1.34 2009-10-01 1.00 2009-11-01 1.37 2009-12-01 1.47 2010-01-01 2.07 2010-02-01 1.57 2010-03-01 2.04 2010-04-01 1.56 2010-05-01 1.94 2010-06-01 1.55 2010-07-01 0.87 2010-08-01 0.28 2010-09-01 0.43 2010-10-01 1.11 2010-11-01 2.06 2010-12-01 1.66 2011-01-01 1.86 2011-02-01 2.01 2011-03-01 1.91 2011-04-01 1.15 2011-05-01 0.23 2011-06-01 -0.43 2011-07-01 0.30 2011-08-01 0.18 2011-09-01 0.13 2011-10-01 0.83 2011-11-01 0.91 2011-12-01 1.16 2012-01-01 0.69 2012-02-01 0.99 2012-03-01 0.59 2012-04-01 0.81 2012-05-01 1.17 2012-06-01 1.17 2012-07-01 1.25 2012-08-01 2.06 2012-09-01 1.86 2012-10-01 1.48 2012-11-01 0.03 2012-12-01 1.19 2013-01-01 1.46 2013-02-01 2.11 2013-03-01 2.10 2013-04-01 2.36 2013-05-01 1.27 2013-06-01 1.16 2013-07-01 0.97 2013-08-01 0.78 2013-09-01 1.76 2013-10-01 2.70 2013-11-01 2.26 2013-12-01 2.01 2014-01-01 1.63 2014-02-01 1.62 2014-03-01 1.85 2014-04-01 1.75 2014-05-01 1.79 2014-06-01 2.11 2014-07-01 1.86 2014-08-01 1.53 2014-09-01 1.41 2014-10-01 1.67 2014-11-01 1.12 2014-12-01 1.60 2015-01-01 1.61 2015-02-01 0.97 2015-03-01 1.28 2015-04-01 1.48 2015-05-01 2.00 2015-06-01 1.78 2015-07-01 1.68 2015-08-01 1.74 2015-09-01 1.67 2015-10-01 1.41 2015-11-01 1.52 2015-12-01 1.22 2016-01-01 0.79 2016-02-01 0.93 2016-03-01 1.44 2016-04-01 1.41 2016-05-01 0.55 2016-06-01 0.37 2016-07-01 0.72 2016-08-01 1.03 2016-09-01 1.25 2016-10-01 1.06 2016-11-01 1.27 2016-12-01 1.62 2017-01-01 2.16 2017-02-01 2.37 2017-03-01 1.38 2017-04-01 0.76 2017-05-01 0.20 2017-06-01 0.50 2017-07-01 -0.08 2017-08-01 0.26