Title: Leading Index for New York Series ID: NYSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2020-02-01 Last Updated: 2020-04-14 9:17 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -0.77 1982-02-01 -0.06 1982-03-01 0.02 1982-04-01 -0.15 1982-05-01 0.94 1982-06-01 0.69 1982-07-01 0.23 1982-08-01 -0.16 1982-09-01 -0.67 1982-10-01 -0.66 1982-11-01 -0.21 1982-12-01 0.61 1983-01-01 0.97 1983-02-01 1.26 1983-03-01 2.14 1983-04-01 1.90 1983-05-01 1.77 1983-06-01 2.87 1983-07-01 3.24 1983-08-01 2.63 1983-09-01 3.02 1983-10-01 3.07 1983-11-01 3.43 1983-12-01 3.14 1984-01-01 2.72 1984-02-01 2.70 1984-03-01 1.90 1984-04-01 1.25 1984-05-01 0.75 1984-06-01 0.77 1984-07-01 1.10 1984-08-01 1.10 1984-09-01 1.26 1984-10-01 1.45 1984-11-01 1.65 1984-12-01 2.28 1985-01-01 1.43 1985-02-01 0.84 1985-03-01 0.66 1985-04-01 1.39 1985-05-01 1.62 1985-06-01 1.72 1985-07-01 1.50 1985-08-01 2.08 1985-09-01 1.19 1985-10-01 1.61 1985-11-01 1.34 1985-12-01 0.41 1986-01-01 0.79 1986-02-01 0.54 1986-03-01 1.15 1986-04-01 1.16 1986-05-01 1.03 1986-06-01 1.61 1986-07-01 2.55 1986-08-01 2.66 1986-09-01 2.31 1986-10-01 1.56 1986-11-01 1.48 1986-12-01 2.25 1987-01-01 2.18 1987-02-01 1.88 1987-03-01 2.32 1987-04-01 1.91 1987-05-01 1.58 1987-06-01 1.50 1987-07-01 1.35 1987-08-01 1.67 1987-09-01 1.28 1987-10-01 1.38 1987-11-01 1.69 1987-12-01 1.84 1988-01-01 2.02 1988-02-01 1.78 1988-03-01 2.32 1988-04-01 1.17 1988-05-01 0.79 1988-06-01 0.51 1988-07-01 0.48 1988-08-01 0.17 1988-09-01 -0.33 1988-10-01 0.25 1988-11-01 0.94 1988-12-01 1.17 1989-01-01 0.51 1989-02-01 0.58 1989-03-01 0.08 1989-04-01 0.00 1989-05-01 0.21 1989-06-01 0.74 1989-07-01 -0.02 1989-08-01 -0.59 1989-09-01 0.10 1989-10-01 -0.80 1989-11-01 0.00 1989-12-01 0.58 1990-01-01 1.56 1990-02-01 1.19 1990-03-01 1.58 1990-04-01 1.19 1990-05-01 0.74 1990-06-01 0.53 1990-07-01 -0.13 1990-08-01 -0.28 1990-09-01 -0.82 1990-10-01 -0.88 1990-11-01 -1.68 1990-12-01 -1.35 1991-01-01 -2.11 1991-02-01 -1.27 1991-03-01 -1.59 1991-04-01 -0.78 1991-05-01 -0.37 1991-06-01 1.18 1991-07-01 1.37 1991-08-01 0.89 1991-09-01 0.74 1991-10-01 0.04 1991-11-01 0.09 1991-12-01 -1.06 1992-01-01 -0.34 1992-02-01 -0.46 1992-03-01 -0.35 1992-04-01 0.12 1992-05-01 0.61 1992-06-01 0.65 1992-07-01 0.76 1992-08-01 1.06 1992-09-01 0.94 1992-10-01 1.71 1992-11-01 2.16 1992-12-01 2.46 1993-01-01 2.65 1993-02-01 2.67 1993-03-01 1.76 1993-04-01 2.00 1993-05-01 1.86 1993-06-01 1.11 1993-07-01 0.86 1993-08-01 0.77 1993-09-01 0.93 1993-10-01 1.07 1993-11-01 0.99 1993-12-01 1.67 1994-01-01 1.08 1994-02-01 1.57 1994-03-01 2.08 1994-04-01 1.97 1994-05-01 2.16 1994-06-01 1.89 1994-07-01 1.87 1994-08-01 2.34 1994-09-01 1.96 1994-10-01 1.77 1994-11-01 2.30 1994-12-01 2.18 1995-01-01 1.10 1995-02-01 0.54 1995-03-01 0.62 1995-04-01 0.23 1995-05-01 0.28 1995-06-01 0.05 1995-07-01 0.38 1995-08-01 0.86 1995-09-01 0.87 1995-10-01 0.86 1995-11-01 1.30 1995-12-01 1.34 1996-01-01 0.89 1996-02-01 1.14 1996-03-01 0.85 1996-04-01 0.26 1996-05-01 1.33 1996-06-01 1.63 1996-07-01 1.82 1996-08-01 1.74 1996-09-01 1.28 1996-10-01 0.79 1996-11-01 -0.14 1996-12-01 -0.18 1997-01-01 0.04 1997-02-01 0.34 1997-03-01 1.23 1997-04-01 1.30 1997-05-01 1.14 1997-06-01 0.96 1997-07-01 1.70 1997-08-01 1.95 1997-09-01 1.99 1997-10-01 1.17 1997-11-01 1.36 1997-12-01 1.75 1998-01-01 1.80 1998-02-01 1.78 1998-03-01 1.86 1998-04-01 1.48 1998-05-01 1.95 1998-06-01 1.57 1998-07-01 0.78 1998-08-01 0.63 1998-09-01 0.92 1998-10-01 1.14 1998-11-01 1.61 1998-12-01 1.01 1999-01-01 2.05 1999-02-01 1.41 1999-03-01 1.36 1999-04-01 0.82 1999-05-01 1.02 1999-06-01 1.06 1999-07-01 1.18 1999-08-01 1.59 1999-09-01 1.71 1999-10-01 2.05 1999-11-01 2.02 1999-12-01 1.83 2000-01-01 1.49 2000-02-01 0.92 2000-03-01 1.44 2000-04-01 1.61 2000-05-01 0.91 2000-06-01 0.74 2000-07-01 0.77 2000-08-01 1.05 2000-09-01 1.29 2000-10-01 1.42 2000-11-01 1.63 2000-12-01 1.70 2001-01-01 0.54 2001-02-01 0.19 2001-03-01 -0.18 2001-04-01 0.02 2001-05-01 -0.86 2001-06-01 -0.65 2001-07-01 -0.72 2001-08-01 -1.32 2001-09-01 -1.96 2001-10-01 -2.01 2001-11-01 -1.69 2001-12-01 -0.54 2002-01-01 0.98 2002-02-01 1.41 2002-03-01 0.79 2002-04-01 1.06 2002-05-01 1.69 2002-06-01 1.90 2002-07-01 1.30 2002-08-01 1.38 2002-09-01 1.04 2002-10-01 0.23 2002-11-01 0.51 2002-12-01 0.47 2003-01-01 0.38 2003-02-01 0.66 2003-03-01 0.91 2003-04-01 0.83 2003-05-01 0.39 2003-06-01 0.62 2003-07-01 0.24 2003-08-01 0.76 2003-09-01 1.08 2003-10-01 1.92 2003-11-01 1.74 2003-12-01 1.32 2004-01-01 1.32 2004-02-01 1.67 2004-03-01 1.68 2004-04-01 2.01 2004-05-01 2.48 2004-06-01 2.13 2004-07-01 2.32 2004-08-01 1.78 2004-09-01 1.48 2004-10-01 1.67 2004-11-01 1.69 2004-12-01 1.75 2005-01-01 1.46 2005-02-01 1.12 2005-03-01 0.97 2005-04-01 1.29 2005-05-01 1.14 2005-06-01 1.10 2005-07-01 0.40 2005-08-01 0.68 2005-09-01 0.88 2005-10-01 1.47 2005-11-01 1.47 2005-12-01 1.73 2006-01-01 1.82 2006-02-01 1.39 2006-03-01 1.31 2006-04-01 1.19 2006-05-01 0.76 2006-06-01 0.66 2006-07-01 1.22 2006-08-01 1.56 2006-09-01 1.60 2006-10-01 1.45 2006-11-01 0.91 2006-12-01 1.76 2007-01-01 1.23 2007-02-01 0.16 2007-03-01 0.53 2007-04-01 0.14 2007-05-01 0.18 2007-06-01 0.41 2007-07-01 0.46 2007-08-01 0.06 2007-09-01 0.32 2007-10-01 0.42 2007-11-01 0.55 2007-12-01 0.77 2008-01-01 0.68 2008-02-01 0.02 2008-03-01 0.14 2008-04-01 0.20 2008-05-01 0.05 2008-06-01 -0.17 2008-07-01 -0.55 2008-08-01 -0.43 2008-09-01 -0.90 2008-10-01 -1.83 2008-11-01 -2.16 2008-12-01 -2.73 2009-01-01 -2.76 2009-02-01 -2.82 2009-03-01 -2.28 2009-04-01 -1.88 2009-05-01 -0.31 2009-06-01 0.47 2009-07-01 0.88 2009-08-01 0.30 2009-09-01 0.24 2009-10-01 1.23 2009-11-01 1.13 2009-12-01 1.24 2010-01-01 1.39 2010-02-01 1.84 2010-03-01 1.82 2010-04-01 1.88 2010-05-01 1.94 2010-06-01 1.57 2010-07-01 0.93 2010-08-01 0.40 2010-09-01 0.47 2010-10-01 1.01 2010-11-01 1.96 2010-12-01 1.59 2011-01-01 1.85 2011-02-01 2.10 2011-03-01 2.00 2011-04-01 1.29 2011-05-01 0.36 2011-06-01 -0.28 2011-07-01 -0.12 2011-08-01 0.47 2011-09-01 0.47 2011-10-01 0.15 2011-11-01 1.03 2011-12-01 0.87 2012-01-01 0.96 2012-02-01 1.21 2012-03-01 0.81 2012-04-01 0.76 2012-05-01 1.11 2012-06-01 1.08 2012-07-01 1.15 2012-08-01 1.43 2012-09-01 1.63 2012-10-01 1.77 2012-11-01 0.59 2012-12-01 0.92 2013-01-01 1.33 2013-02-01 1.81 2013-03-01 2.03 2013-04-01 2.47 2013-05-01 2.02 2013-06-01 0.90 2013-07-01 1.25 2013-08-01 1.08 2013-09-01 1.85 2013-10-01 2.55 2013-11-01 2.22 2013-12-01 2.01 2014-01-01 1.88 2014-02-01 2.17 2014-03-01 2.25 2014-04-01 1.83 2014-05-01 1.76 2014-06-01 1.60 2014-07-01 2.19 2014-08-01 1.95 2014-09-01 1.58 2014-10-01 0.96 2014-11-01 1.37 2014-12-01 1.86 2015-01-01 1.85 2015-02-01 1.04 2015-03-01 1.40 2015-04-01 1.58 2015-05-01 2.14 2015-06-01 1.81 2015-07-01 1.76 2015-08-01 2.29 2015-09-01 1.43 2015-10-01 1.54 2015-11-01 1.13 2015-12-01 1.06 2016-01-01 0.86 2016-02-01 1.58 2016-03-01 1.26 2016-04-01 1.29 2016-05-01 0.50 2016-06-01 0.33 2016-07-01 0.57 2016-08-01 1.18 2016-09-01 0.73 2016-10-01 1.33 2016-11-01 1.46 2016-12-01 1.82 2017-01-01 1.68 2017-02-01 1.22 2017-03-01 0.60 2017-04-01 0.84 2017-05-01 0.85 2017-06-01 1.09 2017-07-01 0.37 2017-08-01 0.88 2017-09-01 2.02 2017-10-01 1.59 2017-11-01 1.72 2017-12-01 1.28 2018-01-01 1.63 2018-02-01 1.48 2018-03-01 1.46 2018-04-01 1.83 2018-05-01 1.86 2018-06-01 2.07 2018-07-01 1.70 2018-08-01 1.41 2018-09-01 0.96 2018-10-01 1.03 2018-11-01 0.36 2018-12-01 0.55 2019-01-01 0.97 2019-02-01 1.17 2019-03-01 1.23 2019-04-01 1.06 2019-05-01 0.90 2019-06-01 1.05 2019-07-01 0.99 2019-08-01 0.63 2019-09-01 0.73 2019-10-01 0.57 2019-11-01 0.91 2019-12-01 0.60 2020-01-01 1.57 2020-02-01 1.83