Title: Leading Index for New York Series ID: NYSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2017-05-01 Last Updated: 2017-06-30 9:41 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -0.91 1982-02-01 -0.04 1982-03-01 -0.05 1982-04-01 0.06 1982-05-01 0.98 1982-06-01 0.74 1982-07-01 0.10 1982-08-01 -0.28 1982-09-01 -0.63 1982-10-01 -0.65 1982-11-01 0.02 1982-12-01 0.39 1983-01-01 1.60 1983-02-01 1.69 1983-03-01 1.88 1983-04-01 2.19 1983-05-01 2.17 1983-06-01 2.96 1983-07-01 3.14 1983-08-01 2.71 1983-09-01 2.99 1983-10-01 3.06 1983-11-01 3.27 1983-12-01 2.95 1984-01-01 2.63 1984-02-01 2.60 1984-03-01 1.81 1984-04-01 1.68 1984-05-01 0.85 1984-06-01 0.02 1984-07-01 0.72 1984-08-01 1.22 1984-09-01 1.39 1984-10-01 1.50 1984-11-01 1.56 1984-12-01 2.20 1985-01-01 1.39 1985-02-01 0.82 1985-03-01 0.70 1985-04-01 1.48 1985-05-01 1.72 1985-06-01 1.67 1985-07-01 1.48 1985-08-01 2.11 1985-09-01 1.19 1985-10-01 1.66 1985-11-01 1.43 1985-12-01 0.49 1986-01-01 0.85 1986-02-01 0.59 1986-03-01 1.18 1986-04-01 0.70 1986-05-01 1.39 1986-06-01 1.82 1986-07-01 2.63 1986-08-01 2.57 1986-09-01 2.19 1986-10-01 1.40 1986-11-01 1.28 1986-12-01 2.19 1987-01-01 2.09 1987-02-01 1.74 1987-03-01 2.15 1987-04-01 1.85 1987-05-01 1.47 1987-06-01 1.39 1987-07-01 1.23 1987-08-01 1.68 1987-09-01 1.20 1987-10-01 1.27 1987-11-01 1.71 1987-12-01 1.78 1988-01-01 2.01 1988-02-01 1.69 1988-03-01 2.12 1988-04-01 1.06 1988-05-01 0.62 1988-06-01 0.65 1988-07-01 0.51 1988-08-01 -0.29 1988-09-01 -0.03 1988-10-01 1.12 1988-11-01 0.79 1988-12-01 0.81 1989-01-01 0.48 1989-02-01 0.71 1989-03-01 0.20 1989-04-01 0.53 1989-05-01 -0.11 1989-06-01 0.36 1989-07-01 -0.19 1989-08-01 -0.56 1989-09-01 0.02 1989-10-01 -0.70 1989-11-01 -0.10 1989-12-01 0.57 1990-01-01 1.42 1990-02-01 1.03 1990-03-01 1.50 1990-04-01 0.95 1990-05-01 0.63 1990-06-01 0.43 1990-07-01 -0.29 1990-08-01 -0.35 1990-09-01 -0.91 1990-10-01 -0.89 1990-11-01 -1.62 1990-12-01 -1.27 1991-01-01 -2.20 1991-02-01 -1.75 1991-03-01 -1.11 1991-04-01 -0.32 1991-05-01 -0.23 1991-06-01 1.25 1991-07-01 0.97 1991-08-01 1.33 1991-09-01 1.29 1991-10-01 0.11 1991-11-01 -0.62 1991-12-01 -0.81 1992-01-01 -0.59 1992-02-01 0.08 1992-03-01 0.00 1992-04-01 0.24 1992-05-01 0.62 1992-06-01 0.70 1992-07-01 0.94 1992-08-01 1.15 1992-09-01 0.91 1992-10-01 1.60 1992-11-01 2.16 1992-12-01 2.37 1993-01-01 2.59 1993-02-01 2.73 1993-03-01 2.45 1993-04-01 1.69 1993-05-01 1.43 1993-06-01 0.84 1993-07-01 0.91 1993-08-01 0.84 1993-09-01 0.99 1993-10-01 1.14 1993-11-01 1.11 1993-12-01 1.69 1994-01-01 1.03 1994-02-01 1.54 1994-03-01 2.17 1994-04-01 1.91 1994-05-01 2.07 1994-06-01 1.73 1994-07-01 1.81 1994-08-01 2.46 1994-09-01 2.13 1994-10-01 1.82 1994-11-01 2.25 1994-12-01 2.03 1995-01-01 1.03 1995-02-01 0.53 1995-03-01 0.55 1995-04-01 0.14 1995-05-01 0.33 1995-06-01 0.07 1995-07-01 0.38 1995-08-01 0.80 1995-09-01 0.80 1995-10-01 0.77 1995-11-01 1.23 1995-12-01 1.27 1996-01-01 0.79 1996-02-01 1.15 1996-03-01 0.86 1996-04-01 0.10 1996-05-01 1.27 1996-06-01 1.61 1996-07-01 1.71 1996-08-01 1.73 1996-09-01 1.22 1996-10-01 0.74 1996-11-01 -0.24 1996-12-01 -0.22 1997-01-01 0.04 1997-02-01 0.85 1997-03-01 0.89 1997-04-01 0.99 1997-05-01 1.06 1997-06-01 1.62 1997-07-01 1.48 1997-08-01 1.60 1997-09-01 1.96 1997-10-01 1.81 1997-11-01 1.00 1997-12-01 1.39 1998-01-01 1.59 1998-02-01 1.84 1998-03-01 1.82 1998-04-01 1.40 1998-05-01 1.75 1998-06-01 1.52 1998-07-01 0.71 1998-08-01 0.55 1998-09-01 0.80 1998-10-01 1.02 1998-11-01 1.66 1998-12-01 0.95 1999-01-01 1.98 1999-02-01 1.37 1999-03-01 1.13 1999-04-01 0.80 1999-05-01 0.91 1999-06-01 0.99 1999-07-01 1.14 1999-08-01 1.53 1999-09-01 1.68 1999-10-01 1.99 1999-11-01 1.93 1999-12-01 1.65 2000-01-01 1.45 2000-02-01 1.33 2000-03-01 1.01 2000-04-01 1.26 2000-05-01 0.82 2000-06-01 0.82 2000-07-01 0.77 2000-08-01 1.07 2000-09-01 1.18 2000-10-01 1.36 2000-11-01 1.46 2000-12-01 1.55 2001-01-01 0.37 2001-02-01 0.05 2001-03-01 -0.28 2001-04-01 -0.69 2001-05-01 -0.64 2001-06-01 -0.92 2001-07-01 -0.87 2001-08-01 -0.71 2001-09-01 -1.36 2001-10-01 -2.27 2001-11-01 -1.38 2001-12-01 -0.23 2002-01-01 1.08 2002-02-01 1.44 2002-03-01 0.99 2002-04-01 1.23 2002-05-01 1.78 2002-06-01 1.89 2002-07-01 1.28 2002-08-01 1.39 2002-09-01 1.16 2002-10-01 0.27 2002-11-01 0.49 2002-12-01 0.47 2003-01-01 0.34 2003-02-01 0.84 2003-03-01 1.06 2003-04-01 0.86 2003-05-01 0.37 2003-06-01 0.56 2003-07-01 0.24 2003-08-01 0.73 2003-09-01 1.17 2003-10-01 1.93 2003-11-01 1.82 2003-12-01 1.33 2004-01-01 1.34 2004-02-01 1.85 2004-03-01 2.44 2004-04-01 1.75 2004-05-01 2.12 2004-06-01 2.50 2004-07-01 2.03 2004-08-01 1.50 2004-09-01 1.94 2004-10-01 1.95 2004-11-01 0.98 2004-12-01 1.29 2005-01-01 1.58 2005-02-01 1.76 2005-03-01 0.63 2005-04-01 1.48 2005-05-01 0.70 2005-06-01 0.76 2005-07-01 0.31 2005-08-01 0.75 2005-09-01 1.03 2005-10-01 1.66 2005-11-01 1.47 2005-12-01 1.55 2006-01-01 1.82 2006-02-01 1.81 2006-03-01 0.93 2006-04-01 0.76 2006-05-01 0.56 2006-06-01 1.19 2006-07-01 0.84 2006-08-01 1.16 2006-09-01 1.44 2006-10-01 1.42 2006-11-01 0.74 2006-12-01 0.98 2007-01-01 0.74 2007-02-01 0.59 2007-03-01 0.23 2007-04-01 0.26 2007-05-01 0.30 2007-06-01 -0.14 2007-07-01 0.09 2007-08-01 0.46 2007-09-01 0.14 2007-10-01 0.56 2007-11-01 0.57 2007-12-01 0.34 2008-01-01 0.30 2008-02-01 0.42 2008-03-01 -0.18 2008-04-01 -0.23 2008-05-01 -0.25 2008-06-01 -0.17 2008-07-01 0.08 2008-08-01 -0.70 2008-09-01 -1.12 2008-10-01 -1.73 2008-11-01 -1.99 2008-12-01 -2.57 2009-01-01 -2.77 2009-02-01 -2.57 2009-03-01 -2.68 2009-04-01 -1.52 2009-05-01 0.17 2009-06-01 0.21 2009-07-01 0.78 2009-08-01 0.97 2009-09-01 1.34 2009-10-01 1.00 2009-11-01 1.37 2009-12-01 1.47 2010-01-01 2.07 2010-02-01 1.58 2010-03-01 2.04 2010-04-01 1.57 2010-05-01 1.95 2010-06-01 1.56 2010-07-01 0.91 2010-08-01 0.30 2010-09-01 0.45 2010-10-01 1.12 2010-11-01 2.08 2010-12-01 1.66 2011-01-01 1.86 2011-02-01 2.01 2011-03-01 1.91 2011-04-01 1.16 2011-05-01 0.24 2011-06-01 -0.41 2011-07-01 0.30 2011-08-01 0.21 2011-09-01 0.15 2011-10-01 0.84 2011-11-01 0.91 2011-12-01 1.16 2012-01-01 0.70 2012-02-01 0.99 2012-03-01 0.59 2012-04-01 0.82 2012-05-01 1.17 2012-06-01 1.17 2012-07-01 1.25 2012-08-01 2.06 2012-09-01 1.87 2012-10-01 1.50 2012-11-01 0.06 2012-12-01 1.21 2013-01-01 1.46 2013-02-01 2.13 2013-03-01 2.11 2013-04-01 2.37 2013-05-01 1.27 2013-06-01 1.16 2013-07-01 0.98 2013-08-01 0.78 2013-09-01 1.77 2013-10-01 2.70 2013-11-01 2.27 2013-12-01 2.03 2014-01-01 1.65 2014-02-01 1.65 2014-03-01 1.86 2014-04-01 1.76 2014-05-01 1.81 2014-06-01 2.12 2014-07-01 1.88 2014-08-01 1.55 2014-09-01 1.42 2014-10-01 1.69 2014-11-01 1.13 2014-12-01 1.61 2015-01-01 1.62 2015-02-01 1.00 2015-03-01 1.29 2015-04-01 1.48 2015-05-01 2.00 2015-06-01 1.80 2015-07-01 1.68 2015-08-01 1.76 2015-09-01 1.67 2015-10-01 1.42 2015-11-01 1.53 2015-12-01 1.22 2016-01-01 0.81 2016-02-01 0.95 2016-03-01 1.46 2016-04-01 1.41 2016-05-01 0.54 2016-06-01 0.40 2016-07-01 0.70 2016-08-01 1.06 2016-09-01 1.25 2016-10-01 1.06 2016-11-01 1.26 2016-12-01 1.62 2017-01-01 2.17 2017-02-01 2.35 2017-03-01 1.44 2017-04-01 0.95 2017-05-01 0.23