Title: Leading Index for Pennsylvania Series ID: PASLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2020-02-01 Last Updated: 2020-04-14 9:17 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -2.18 1982-02-01 -1.59 1982-03-01 -1.62 1982-04-01 -1.18 1982-05-01 -1.34 1982-06-01 -1.63 1982-07-01 -1.70 1982-08-01 -2.28 1982-09-01 -2.40 1982-10-01 -2.06 1982-11-01 -1.26 1982-12-01 -0.39 1983-01-01 0.07 1983-02-01 0.65 1983-03-01 1.83 1983-04-01 2.84 1983-05-01 3.59 1983-06-01 3.99 1983-07-01 4.44 1983-08-01 3.56 1983-09-01 3.60 1983-10-01 3.87 1983-11-01 3.99 1983-12-01 3.45 1984-01-01 3.18 1984-02-01 3.03 1984-03-01 2.50 1984-04-01 2.14 1984-05-01 1.69 1984-06-01 1.63 1984-07-01 2.14 1984-08-01 1.67 1984-09-01 1.69 1984-10-01 1.65 1984-11-01 2.03 1984-12-01 1.43 1985-01-01 1.34 1985-02-01 1.45 1985-03-01 1.94 1985-04-01 1.77 1985-05-01 1.44 1985-06-01 1.75 1985-07-01 1.84 1985-08-01 1.83 1985-09-01 2.37 1985-10-01 2.44 1985-11-01 2.09 1985-12-01 1.60 1986-01-01 1.80 1986-02-01 1.25 1986-03-01 1.77 1986-04-01 2.15 1986-05-01 2.13 1986-06-01 2.20 1986-07-01 1.70 1986-08-01 2.36 1986-09-01 2.42 1986-10-01 1.80 1986-11-01 1.97 1986-12-01 2.36 1987-01-01 2.44 1987-02-01 2.33 1987-03-01 2.22 1987-04-01 2.14 1987-05-01 1.66 1987-06-01 1.64 1987-07-01 1.79 1987-08-01 1.43 1987-09-01 1.45 1987-10-01 2.42 1987-11-01 2.06 1987-12-01 1.42 1988-01-01 1.47 1988-02-01 1.98 1988-03-01 1.97 1988-04-01 1.80 1988-05-01 1.32 1988-06-01 1.71 1988-07-01 2.04 1988-08-01 1.77 1988-09-01 1.07 1988-10-01 1.49 1988-11-01 2.01 1988-12-01 1.88 1989-01-01 1.85 1989-02-01 1.75 1989-03-01 1.08 1989-04-01 0.91 1989-05-01 0.40 1989-06-01 0.31 1989-07-01 -0.01 1989-08-01 0.27 1989-09-01 0.29 1989-10-01 -0.26 1989-11-01 -0.09 1989-12-01 0.51 1990-01-01 0.89 1990-02-01 0.92 1990-03-01 0.99 1990-04-01 0.56 1990-05-01 0.03 1990-06-01 0.45 1990-07-01 0.09 1990-08-01 -0.73 1990-09-01 -1.13 1990-10-01 -1.37 1990-11-01 -1.17 1990-12-01 -1.11 1991-01-01 -1.64 1991-02-01 -1.39 1991-03-01 -0.78 1991-04-01 -0.75 1991-05-01 -0.11 1991-06-01 0.83 1991-07-01 0.84 1991-08-01 1.43 1991-09-01 0.82 1991-10-01 0.34 1991-11-01 0.21 1991-12-01 0.10 1992-01-01 0.21 1992-02-01 0.21 1992-03-01 0.75 1992-04-01 0.60 1992-05-01 1.24 1992-06-01 1.47 1992-07-01 1.39 1992-08-01 1.17 1992-09-01 1.46 1992-10-01 1.91 1992-11-01 2.00 1992-12-01 1.56 1993-01-01 2.33 1993-02-01 2.72 1993-03-01 1.33 1993-04-01 1.42 1993-05-01 1.50 1993-06-01 1.28 1993-07-01 1.79 1993-08-01 1.69 1993-09-01 1.74 1993-10-01 1.81 1993-11-01 1.70 1993-12-01 1.81 1994-01-01 0.84 1994-02-01 1.13 1994-03-01 0.90 1994-04-01 1.68 1994-05-01 1.93 1994-06-01 2.19 1994-07-01 1.74 1994-08-01 1.85 1994-09-01 2.01 1994-10-01 2.02 1994-11-01 1.79 1994-12-01 1.95 1995-01-01 1.15 1995-02-01 1.23 1995-03-01 0.59 1995-04-01 0.48 1995-05-01 -0.14 1995-06-01 0.39 1995-07-01 0.43 1995-08-01 0.71 1995-09-01 0.86 1995-10-01 0.89 1995-11-01 0.69 1995-12-01 0.78 1996-01-01 -0.36 1996-02-01 1.19 1996-03-01 1.44 1996-04-01 1.82 1996-05-01 2.43 1996-06-01 2.48 1996-07-01 2.06 1996-08-01 2.10 1996-09-01 1.34 1996-10-01 1.70 1996-11-01 1.25 1996-12-01 0.97 1997-01-01 0.70 1997-02-01 1.03 1997-03-01 1.26 1997-04-01 0.99 1997-05-01 1.04 1997-06-01 1.39 1997-07-01 1.45 1997-08-01 1.32 1997-09-01 1.67 1997-10-01 1.97 1997-11-01 1.98 1997-12-01 1.77 1998-01-01 1.24 1998-02-01 0.92 1998-03-01 1.17 1998-04-01 1.00 1998-05-01 0.88 1998-06-01 0.63 1998-07-01 0.59 1998-08-01 0.87 1998-09-01 1.14 1998-10-01 0.97 1998-11-01 1.12 1998-12-01 1.52 1999-01-01 1.24 1999-02-01 1.52 1999-03-01 1.09 1999-04-01 0.88 1999-05-01 0.90 1999-06-01 1.16 1999-07-01 1.06 1999-08-01 0.77 1999-09-01 1.36 1999-10-01 1.45 1999-11-01 1.71 1999-12-01 1.98 2000-01-01 1.87 2000-02-01 1.71 2000-03-01 1.69 2000-04-01 1.44 2000-05-01 1.11 2000-06-01 0.36 2000-07-01 0.55 2000-08-01 0.19 2000-09-01 0.36 2000-10-01 0.64 2000-11-01 0.24 2000-12-01 0.32 2001-01-01 0.23 2001-02-01 -0.22 2001-03-01 -0.31 2001-04-01 -0.76 2001-05-01 -0.91 2001-06-01 -0.43 2001-07-01 -0.32 2001-08-01 -0.07 2001-09-01 -0.65 2001-10-01 -0.62 2001-11-01 -0.43 2001-12-01 -0.24 2002-01-01 0.48 2002-02-01 0.77 2002-03-01 1.11 2002-04-01 0.70 2002-05-01 1.26 2002-06-01 1.53 2002-07-01 1.54 2002-08-01 1.16 2002-09-01 0.62 2002-10-01 0.45 2002-11-01 0.12 2002-12-01 -0.30 2003-01-01 0.43 2003-02-01 0.60 2003-03-01 0.74 2003-04-01 0.51 2003-05-01 1.48 2003-06-01 1.29 2003-07-01 0.84 2003-08-01 1.42 2003-09-01 1.23 2003-10-01 1.72 2003-11-01 1.69 2003-12-01 1.41 2004-01-01 1.16 2004-02-01 1.12 2004-03-01 1.56 2004-04-01 1.01 2004-05-01 1.06 2004-06-01 1.21 2004-07-01 1.61 2004-08-01 1.28 2004-09-01 0.98 2004-10-01 1.71 2004-11-01 1.40 2004-12-01 0.95 2005-01-01 1.22 2005-02-01 1.48 2005-03-01 1.15 2005-04-01 1.39 2005-05-01 1.56 2005-06-01 1.88 2005-07-01 1.39 2005-08-01 0.87 2005-09-01 1.21 2005-10-01 0.93 2005-11-01 1.21 2005-12-01 1.25 2006-01-01 1.16 2006-02-01 1.32 2006-03-01 1.23 2006-04-01 0.95 2006-05-01 -0.03 2006-06-01 0.25 2006-07-01 0.51 2006-08-01 1.35 2006-09-01 1.04 2006-10-01 1.33 2006-11-01 1.43 2006-12-01 1.10 2007-01-01 1.10 2007-02-01 0.88 2007-03-01 0.82 2007-04-01 0.29 2007-05-01 0.65 2007-06-01 0.28 2007-07-01 0.11 2007-08-01 -0.05 2007-09-01 0.43 2007-10-01 0.33 2007-11-01 0.45 2007-12-01 0.06 2008-01-01 0.55 2008-02-01 0.46 2008-03-01 0.01 2008-04-01 0.48 2008-05-01 0.57 2008-06-01 0.11 2008-07-01 -0.65 2008-08-01 -0.90 2008-09-01 -1.13 2008-10-01 -1.76 2008-11-01 -2.21 2008-12-01 -2.43 2009-01-01 -3.03 2009-02-01 -3.08 2009-03-01 -2.81 2009-04-01 -2.07 2009-05-01 -1.47 2009-06-01 -0.75 2009-07-01 0.22 2009-08-01 0.37 2009-09-01 0.88 2009-10-01 0.80 2009-11-01 0.56 2009-12-01 0.50 2010-01-01 0.67 2010-02-01 0.40 2010-03-01 1.42 2010-04-01 2.20 2010-05-01 2.91 2010-06-01 2.50 2010-07-01 2.75 2010-08-01 1.71 2010-09-01 1.29 2010-10-01 1.25 2010-11-01 1.81 2010-12-01 1.81 2011-01-01 1.69 2011-02-01 1.29 2011-03-01 1.64 2011-04-01 1.48 2011-05-01 0.70 2011-06-01 0.05 2011-07-01 0.66 2011-08-01 0.71 2011-09-01 1.18 2011-10-01 1.19 2011-11-01 1.71 2011-12-01 1.89 2012-01-01 2.01 2012-02-01 1.54 2012-03-01 1.53 2012-04-01 1.15 2012-05-01 0.31 2012-06-01 -0.02 2012-07-01 0.52 2012-08-01 0.80 2012-09-01 1.08 2012-10-01 0.90 2012-11-01 0.56 2012-12-01 0.86 2013-01-01 0.88 2013-02-01 2.00 2013-03-01 2.19 2013-04-01 1.85 2013-05-01 1.60 2013-06-01 1.46 2013-07-01 1.42 2013-08-01 1.07 2013-09-01 1.71 2013-10-01 1.87 2013-11-01 2.13 2013-12-01 1.78 2014-01-01 2.31 2014-02-01 1.80 2014-03-01 2.39 2014-04-01 2.34 2014-05-01 2.20 2014-06-01 2.02 2014-07-01 2.07 2014-08-01 1.99 2014-09-01 1.86 2014-10-01 2.19 2014-11-01 1.89 2014-12-01 1.39 2015-01-01 0.80 2015-02-01 0.51 2015-03-01 0.53 2015-04-01 0.74 2015-05-01 1.30 2015-06-01 1.78 2015-07-01 1.29 2015-08-01 1.64 2015-09-01 1.20 2015-10-01 1.43 2015-11-01 1.18 2015-12-01 0.65 2016-01-01 0.80 2016-02-01 0.68 2016-03-01 0.54 2016-04-01 0.86 2016-05-01 0.97 2016-06-01 0.52 2016-07-01 0.89 2016-08-01 1.08 2016-09-01 1.59 2016-10-01 1.18 2016-11-01 1.50 2016-12-01 1.63 2017-01-01 1.56 2017-02-01 1.82 2017-03-01 1.67 2017-04-01 1.30 2017-05-01 1.42 2017-06-01 1.76 2017-07-01 1.35 2017-08-01 0.88 2017-09-01 1.60 2017-10-01 1.19 2017-11-01 0.81 2017-12-01 1.44 2018-01-01 1.20 2018-02-01 1.50 2018-03-01 1.48 2018-04-01 1.77 2018-05-01 1.27 2018-06-01 1.62 2018-07-01 1.01 2018-08-01 0.73 2018-09-01 1.28 2018-10-01 1.33 2018-11-01 0.73 2018-12-01 0.63 2019-01-01 0.86 2019-02-01 0.72 2019-03-01 0.79 2019-04-01 0.67 2019-05-01 0.43 2019-06-01 -0.14 2019-07-01 0.09 2019-08-01 0.37 2019-09-01 -0.07 2019-10-01 0.42 2019-11-01 0.88 2019-12-01 0.65 2020-01-01 0.62 2020-02-01 0.90