Title: 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate Series ID: T5YIEM Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Release: Interest Rate Spreads (Not a Press Release) Seasonal Adjustment: Not Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 2003-01-01 to 2023-11-01 Last Updated: 2023-12-01 4:01 PM CST Notes: The breakeven inflation rate represents a measure of expected inflation derived from 5-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Securities (BC_5YEAR) and 5-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Securities (TC_5YEAR). The latest value implies what market participants expect inflation to be in the next 5 years, on average. Starting with the update on June 21, 2019, the Treasury bond data used in calculating interest rate spreads is obtained directly from the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield). DATE VALUE 2003-01-01 1.40 2003-02-01 1.66 2003-03-01 1.69 2003-04-01 1.57 2003-05-01 1.34 2003-06-01 1.36 2003-07-01 1.57 2003-08-01 1.89 2003-09-01 1.89 2003-10-01 1.98 2003-11-01 2.02 2003-12-01 2.04 2004-01-01 2.03 2004-02-01 2.21 2004-03-01 2.27 2004-04-01 2.37 2004-05-01 2.51 2004-06-01 2.52 2004-07-01 2.40 2004-08-01 2.35 2004-09-01 2.26 2004-10-01 2.38 2004-11-01 2.63 2004-12-01 2.68 2005-01-01 2.58 2005-02-01 2.69 2005-03-01 2.88 2005-04-01 2.77 2005-05-01 2.57 2005-06-01 2.38 2005-07-01 2.31 2005-08-01 2.41 2005-09-01 2.61 2005-10-01 2.63 2005-11-01 2.48 2005-12-01 2.30 2006-01-01 2.42 2006-02-01 2.59 2006-03-01 2.63 2006-04-01 2.64 2006-05-01 2.70 2006-06-01 2.62 2006-07-01 2.58 2006-08-01 2.55 2006-09-01 2.29 2006-10-01 2.18 2006-11-01 2.17 2006-12-01 2.25 2007-01-01 2.28 2007-02-01 2.37 2007-03-01 2.44 2007-04-01 2.47 2007-05-01 2.38 2007-06-01 2.38 2007-07-01 2.28 2007-08-01 2.04 2007-09-01 2.06 2007-10-01 2.19 2007-11-01 2.32 2007-12-01 2.22 2008-01-01 2.12 2008-02-01 2.13 2008-03-01 2.25 2008-04-01 2.22 2008-05-01 2.36 2008-06-01 2.52 2008-07-01 2.46 2008-08-01 1.99 2008-09-01 1.33 2008-10-01 -0.02 2008-11-01 -1.40 2008-12-01 -0.24 2009-01-01 0.01 2009-02-01 0.58 2009-03-01 0.59 2009-04-01 0.75 2009-05-01 1.06 2009-06-01 1.53 2009-07-01 1.28 2009-08-01 1.28 2009-09-01 1.34 2009-10-01 1.50 2009-11-01 1.75 2009-12-01 1.91 2010-01-01 2.06 2010-02-01 1.94 2010-03-01 1.87 2010-04-01 1.96 2010-05-01 1.77 2010-06-01 1.66 2010-07-01 1.42 2010-08-01 1.34 2010-09-01 1.28 2010-10-01 1.50 2010-11-01 1.56 2010-12-01 1.72 2011-01-01 1.93 2011-02-01 2.01 2011-03-01 2.20 2011-04-01 2.31 2011-05-01 2.18 2011-06-01 1.96 2011-07-01 2.03 2011-08-01 1.77 2011-09-01 1.62 2011-10-01 1.69 2011-11-01 1.76 2011-12-01 1.67 2012-01-01 1.76 2012-02-01 1.94 2012-03-01 2.05 2012-04-01 1.95 2012-05-01 1.88 2012-06-01 1.76 2012-07-01 1.77 2012-08-01 1.90 2012-09-01 2.14 2012-10-01 2.18 2012-11-01 2.05 2012-12-01 2.10 2013-01-01 2.20 2013-02-01 2.24 2013-03-01 2.25 2013-04-01 2.09 2013-05-01 1.98 2013-06-01 1.79 2013-07-01 1.85 2013-08-01 1.85 2013-09-01 1.77 2013-10-01 1.78 2013-11-01 1.75 2013-12-01 1.67 2014-01-01 1.74 2014-02-01 1.78 2014-03-01 1.78 2014-04-01 1.81 2014-05-01 1.93 2014-06-01 1.97 2014-07-01 1.97 2014-08-01 1.84 2014-09-01 1.67 2014-10-01 1.49 2014-11-01 1.48 2014-12-01 1.27 2015-01-01 1.20 2015-02-01 1.36 2015-03-01 1.48 2015-04-01 1.61 2015-05-01 1.64 2015-06-01 1.63 2015-07-01 1.49 2015-08-01 1.23 2015-09-01 1.16 2015-10-01 1.18 2015-11-01 1.27 2015-12-01 1.24 2016-01-01 1.19 2016-02-01 1.08 2016-03-01 1.41 2016-04-01 1.48 2016-05-01 1.52 2016-06-01 1.44 2016-07-01 1.39 2016-08-01 1.30 2016-09-01 1.35 2016-10-01 1.53 2016-11-01 1.67 2016-12-01 1.81 2017-01-01 1.89 2017-02-01 1.89 2017-03-01 1.83 2017-04-01 1.74 2017-05-01 1.75 2017-06-01 1.63 2017-07-01 1.64 2017-08-01 1.62 2017-09-01 1.68 2017-10-01 1.73 2017-11-01 1.75 2017-12-01 1.76 2018-01-01 1.93 2018-02-01 1.97 2018-03-01 2.02 2018-04-01 2.05 2018-05-01 2.10 2018-06-01 2.07 2018-07-01 2.04 2018-08-01 1.98 2018-09-01 2.00 2018-10-01 1.99 2018-11-01 1.85 2018-12-01 1.60 2019-01-01 1.63 2019-02-01 1.76 2019-03-01 1.82 2019-04-01 1.84 2019-05-01 1.71 2019-06-01 1.55 2019-07-01 1.58 2019-08-01 1.38 2019-09-01 1.39 2019-10-01 1.40 2019-11-01 1.55 2019-12-01 1.62 2020-01-01 1.65 2020-02-01 1.58 2020-03-01 0.67 2020-04-01 0.76 2020-05-01 0.77 2020-06-01 1.01 2020-07-01 1.31 2020-08-01 1.55 2020-09-01 1.53 2020-10-01 1.56 2020-11-01 1.63 2020-12-01 1.87 2021-01-01 2.10 2021-02-01 2.31 2021-03-01 2.50 2021-04-01 2.53 2021-05-01 2.65 2021-06-01 2.46 2021-07-01 2.50 2021-08-01 2.49 2021-09-01 2.50 2021-10-01 2.75 2021-11-01 2.98 2021-12-01 2.75 2022-01-01 2.80 2022-02-01 2.87 2022-03-01 3.41 2022-04-01 3.32 2022-05-01 3.03 2022-06-01 2.89 2022-07-01 2.58 2022-08-01 2.68 2022-09-01 2.45 2022-10-01 2.47 2022-11-01 2.44 2022-12-01 2.32 2023-01-01 2.23 2023-02-01 2.45 2023-03-01 2.38 2023-04-01 2.31 2023-05-01 2.16 2023-06-01 2.14 2023-07-01 2.21 2023-08-01 2.24 2023-09-01 2.25 2023-10-01 2.31 2023-11-01 2.25