Title: Leading Index for Virginia Series ID: VASLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2020-02-01 Last Updated: 2020-04-14 9:16 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -0.31 1982-02-01 0.35 1982-03-01 1.24 1982-04-01 1.19 1982-05-01 1.12 1982-06-01 1.06 1982-07-01 0.76 1982-08-01 0.55 1982-09-01 0.88 1982-10-01 0.95 1982-11-01 1.53 1982-12-01 1.92 1983-01-01 2.76 1983-02-01 2.99 1983-03-01 3.48 1983-04-01 3.69 1983-05-01 3.44 1983-06-01 3.41 1983-07-01 3.47 1983-08-01 2.59 1983-09-01 3.01 1983-10-01 2.67 1983-11-01 2.83 1983-12-01 2.29 1984-01-01 3.12 1984-02-01 2.76 1984-03-01 1.86 1984-04-01 1.49 1984-05-01 1.52 1984-06-01 1.90 1984-07-01 1.86 1984-08-01 1.79 1984-09-01 2.29 1984-10-01 1.48 1984-11-01 1.37 1984-12-01 1.21 1985-01-01 1.62 1985-02-01 1.56 1985-03-01 1.62 1985-04-01 1.66 1985-05-01 2.06 1985-06-01 1.82 1985-07-01 1.28 1985-08-01 2.31 1985-09-01 2.93 1985-10-01 3.00 1985-11-01 2.76 1985-12-01 2.67 1986-01-01 2.33 1986-02-01 1.80 1986-03-01 1.75 1986-04-01 1.72 1986-05-01 1.75 1986-06-01 1.60 1986-07-01 2.01 1986-08-01 1.92 1986-09-01 1.67 1986-10-01 2.00 1986-11-01 1.96 1986-12-01 2.11 1987-01-01 2.17 1987-02-01 1.92 1987-03-01 2.24 1987-04-01 2.32 1987-05-01 2.49 1987-06-01 2.21 1987-07-01 2.86 1987-08-01 2.41 1987-09-01 2.05 1987-10-01 1.64 1987-11-01 1.57 1987-12-01 1.81 1988-01-01 1.72 1988-02-01 1.67 1988-03-01 1.51 1988-04-01 1.09 1988-05-01 1.31 1988-06-01 1.56 1988-07-01 1.78 1988-08-01 1.53 1988-09-01 1.54 1988-10-01 1.97 1988-11-01 1.68 1988-12-01 1.93 1989-01-01 2.32 1989-02-01 1.88 1989-03-01 1.28 1989-04-01 1.45 1989-05-01 1.39 1989-06-01 0.96 1989-07-01 0.99 1989-08-01 0.72 1989-09-01 1.00 1989-10-01 1.40 1989-11-01 1.42 1989-12-01 1.42 1990-01-01 1.53 1990-02-01 1.74 1990-03-01 1.42 1990-04-01 0.52 1990-05-01 0.42 1990-06-01 0.10 1990-07-01 -0.25 1990-08-01 -0.21 1990-09-01 -0.53 1990-10-01 -0.73 1990-11-01 -0.34 1990-12-01 -0.19 1991-01-01 -0.29 1991-02-01 -0.17 1991-03-01 0.26 1991-04-01 0.89 1991-05-01 1.22 1991-06-01 1.88 1991-07-01 1.62 1991-08-01 1.67 1991-09-01 1.25 1991-10-01 0.90 1991-11-01 0.75 1991-12-01 0.56 1992-01-01 0.50 1992-02-01 1.33 1992-03-01 1.32 1992-04-01 1.80 1992-05-01 1.93 1992-06-01 1.95 1992-07-01 2.22 1992-08-01 2.11 1992-09-01 1.94 1992-10-01 2.17 1992-11-01 2.32 1992-12-01 2.62 1993-01-01 2.63 1993-02-01 2.56 1993-03-01 1.81 1993-04-01 1.44 1993-05-01 2.01 1993-06-01 1.83 1993-07-01 2.15 1993-08-01 1.90 1993-09-01 1.97 1993-10-01 1.88 1993-11-01 1.90 1993-12-01 1.66 1994-01-01 1.00 1994-02-01 1.18 1994-03-01 1.61 1994-04-01 1.74 1994-05-01 1.94 1994-06-01 2.30 1994-07-01 2.30 1994-08-01 1.91 1994-09-01 1.92 1994-10-01 2.00 1994-11-01 1.96 1994-12-01 1.96 1995-01-01 1.70 1995-02-01 1.17 1995-03-01 1.32 1995-04-01 1.10 1995-05-01 0.65 1995-06-01 0.63 1995-07-01 0.99 1995-08-01 1.25 1995-09-01 1.26 1995-10-01 1.42 1995-11-01 1.30 1995-12-01 1.45 1996-01-01 1.14 1996-02-01 1.64 1996-03-01 1.71 1996-04-01 1.95 1996-05-01 1.67 1996-06-01 1.57 1996-07-01 1.83 1996-08-01 1.76 1996-09-01 1.61 1996-10-01 1.76 1996-11-01 1.76 1996-12-01 1.15 1997-01-01 1.50 1997-02-01 2.11 1997-03-01 1.94 1997-04-01 1.79 1997-05-01 2.24 1997-06-01 2.02 1997-07-01 2.19 1997-08-01 2.16 1997-09-01 2.31 1997-10-01 2.12 1997-11-01 2.01 1997-12-01 2.06 1998-01-01 1.61 1998-02-01 1.32 1998-03-01 1.66 1998-04-01 1.64 1998-05-01 1.71 1998-06-01 1.75 1998-07-01 1.49 1998-08-01 1.62 1998-09-01 2.02 1998-10-01 1.50 1998-11-01 1.85 1998-12-01 1.81 1999-01-01 1.72 1999-02-01 1.65 1999-03-01 1.39 1999-04-01 1.49 1999-05-01 1.46 1999-06-01 1.07 1999-07-01 1.18 1999-08-01 1.45 1999-09-01 1.51 1999-10-01 1.73 1999-11-01 1.63 1999-12-01 1.95 2000-01-01 2.05 2000-02-01 1.89 2000-03-01 2.27 2000-04-01 1.90 2000-05-01 1.87 2000-06-01 1.59 2000-07-01 1.16 2000-08-01 1.36 2000-09-01 1.43 2000-10-01 1.73 2000-11-01 1.57 2000-12-01 0.83 2001-01-01 0.04 2001-02-01 0.15 2001-03-01 0.23 2001-04-01 -0.10 2001-05-01 0.29 2001-06-01 0.39 2001-07-01 0.32 2001-08-01 0.28 2001-09-01 -0.06 2001-10-01 -0.38 2001-11-01 -0.10 2001-12-01 0.52 2002-01-01 1.39 2002-02-01 1.43 2002-03-01 1.46 2002-04-01 1.56 2002-05-01 1.82 2002-06-01 1.63 2002-07-01 1.27 2002-08-01 1.38 2002-09-01 1.28 2002-10-01 1.25 2002-11-01 1.13 2002-12-01 1.06 2003-01-01 1.07 2003-02-01 1.11 2003-03-01 1.08 2003-04-01 1.11 2003-05-01 1.30 2003-06-01 1.43 2003-07-01 1.48 2003-08-01 1.90 2003-09-01 1.76 2003-10-01 2.11 2003-11-01 2.04 2003-12-01 2.04 2004-01-01 2.01 2004-02-01 1.78 2004-03-01 1.89 2004-04-01 1.63 2004-05-01 1.69 2004-06-01 1.95 2004-07-01 1.89 2004-08-01 1.83 2004-09-01 1.72 2004-10-01 1.71 2004-11-01 1.67 2004-12-01 1.59 2005-01-01 1.47 2005-02-01 1.53 2005-03-01 1.23 2005-04-01 1.44 2005-05-01 1.81 2005-06-01 1.54 2005-07-01 1.58 2005-08-01 1.63 2005-09-01 1.94 2005-10-01 1.48 2005-11-01 1.66 2005-12-01 1.85 2006-01-01 1.85 2006-02-01 1.77 2006-03-01 1.37 2006-04-01 1.13 2006-05-01 1.04 2006-06-01 1.13 2006-07-01 0.88 2006-08-01 0.54 2006-09-01 0.60 2006-10-01 1.22 2006-11-01 1.15 2006-12-01 1.52 2007-01-01 1.91 2007-02-01 1.29 2007-03-01 1.16 2007-04-01 1.09 2007-05-01 0.98 2007-06-01 1.07 2007-07-01 0.70 2007-08-01 0.53 2007-09-01 0.53 2007-10-01 0.96 2007-11-01 0.79 2007-12-01 0.83 2008-01-01 0.75 2008-02-01 0.97 2008-03-01 0.83 2008-04-01 0.62 2008-05-01 0.23 2008-06-01 0.37 2008-07-01 0.49 2008-08-01 0.56 2008-09-01 -0.21 2008-10-01 -0.41 2008-11-01 -0.83 2008-12-01 -1.05 2009-01-01 -1.32 2009-02-01 -1.61 2009-03-01 -1.27 2009-04-01 -0.61 2009-05-01 0.25 2009-06-01 0.75 2009-07-01 1.26 2009-08-01 1.06 2009-09-01 0.86 2009-10-01 0.89 2009-11-01 1.00 2009-12-01 0.52 2010-01-01 0.83 2010-02-01 0.58 2010-03-01 1.68 2010-04-01 2.50 2010-05-01 2.60 2010-06-01 2.11 2010-07-01 1.98 2010-08-01 1.48 2010-09-01 1.15 2010-10-01 1.71 2010-11-01 1.54 2010-12-01 1.47 2011-01-01 1.96 2011-02-01 1.88 2011-03-01 1.84 2011-04-01 1.45 2011-05-01 0.85 2011-06-01 1.08 2011-07-01 1.14 2011-08-01 1.27 2011-09-01 1.85 2011-10-01 1.86 2011-11-01 1.76 2011-12-01 1.76 2012-01-01 1.91 2012-02-01 2.17 2012-03-01 1.71 2012-04-01 1.32 2012-05-01 1.19 2012-06-01 1.60 2012-07-01 1.29 2012-08-01 1.61 2012-09-01 2.13 2012-10-01 1.78 2012-11-01 1.82 2012-12-01 1.66 2013-01-01 1.47 2013-02-01 1.60 2013-03-01 1.27 2013-04-01 1.12 2013-05-01 1.48 2013-06-01 1.37 2013-07-01 1.18 2013-08-01 1.36 2013-09-01 1.29 2013-10-01 1.41 2013-11-01 1.42 2013-12-01 1.45 2014-01-01 1.44 2014-02-01 1.64 2014-03-01 1.61 2014-04-01 1.63 2014-05-01 1.94 2014-06-01 1.50 2014-07-01 1.51 2014-08-01 1.44 2014-09-01 1.75 2014-10-01 1.52 2014-11-01 1.73 2014-12-01 1.93 2015-01-01 1.75 2015-02-01 1.73 2015-03-01 1.36 2015-04-01 1.89 2015-05-01 2.37 2015-06-01 2.08 2015-07-01 2.22 2015-08-01 2.24 2015-09-01 2.15 2015-10-01 2.11 2015-11-01 1.77 2015-12-01 1.39 2016-01-01 1.10 2016-02-01 1.57 2016-03-01 1.45 2016-04-01 1.00 2016-05-01 0.78 2016-06-01 1.10 2016-07-01 1.46 2016-08-01 1.14 2016-09-01 1.29 2016-10-01 1.36 2016-11-01 1.66 2016-12-01 1.56 2017-01-01 1.70 2017-02-01 1.66 2017-03-01 1.74 2017-04-01 1.83 2017-05-01 1.37 2017-06-01 1.69 2017-07-01 1.47 2017-08-01 1.52 2017-09-01 1.39 2017-10-01 1.68 2017-11-01 1.77 2017-12-01 1.44 2018-01-01 1.66 2018-02-01 1.88 2018-03-01 1.45 2018-04-01 1.51 2018-05-01 1.23 2018-06-01 1.46 2018-07-01 1.31 2018-08-01 1.42 2018-09-01 1.13 2018-10-01 1.19 2018-11-01 1.20 2018-12-01 0.74 2019-01-01 1.03 2019-02-01 1.24 2019-03-01 1.57 2019-04-01 1.36 2019-05-01 1.51 2019-06-01 1.36 2019-07-01 1.44 2019-08-01 1.33 2019-09-01 1.13 2019-10-01 0.99 2019-11-01 1.45 2019-12-01 1.31 2020-01-01 1.54 2020-02-01 1.96