Title: Leading Index for Washington Series ID: WASLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2020-02-01 Last Updated: 2020-04-14 9:16 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -1.35 1982-02-01 -0.73 1982-03-01 -0.06 1982-04-01 0.08 1982-05-01 0.58 1982-06-01 0.52 1982-07-01 1.07 1982-08-01 0.79 1982-09-01 1.49 1982-10-01 1.89 1982-11-01 2.42 1982-12-01 3.21 1983-01-01 3.40 1983-02-01 4.31 1983-03-01 4.04 1983-04-01 3.43 1983-05-01 2.37 1983-06-01 2.84 1983-07-01 2.79 1983-08-01 2.57 1983-09-01 2.90 1983-10-01 3.47 1983-11-01 4.03 1983-12-01 3.85 1984-01-01 3.35 1984-02-01 3.36 1984-03-01 2.78 1984-04-01 3.09 1984-05-01 3.35 1984-06-01 2.61 1984-07-01 2.01 1984-08-01 2.06 1984-09-01 1.72 1984-10-01 1.51 1984-11-01 2.05 1984-12-01 1.67 1985-01-01 2.41 1985-02-01 2.07 1985-03-01 2.29 1985-04-01 2.65 1985-05-01 2.93 1985-06-01 3.22 1985-07-01 2.91 1985-08-01 3.08 1985-09-01 2.69 1985-10-01 2.43 1985-11-01 1.78 1985-12-01 1.41 1986-01-01 1.71 1986-02-01 1.30 1986-03-01 1.58 1986-04-01 1.48 1986-05-01 2.07 1986-06-01 1.75 1986-07-01 1.64 1986-08-01 1.60 1986-09-01 1.39 1986-10-01 2.49 1986-11-01 2.44 1986-12-01 2.49 1987-01-01 2.51 1987-02-01 2.74 1987-03-01 3.22 1987-04-01 2.87 1987-05-01 3.16 1987-06-01 2.75 1987-07-01 3.08 1987-08-01 2.80 1987-09-01 1.92 1987-10-01 2.09 1987-11-01 2.39 1987-12-01 2.73 1988-01-01 2.18 1988-02-01 2.29 1988-03-01 2.47 1988-04-01 2.50 1988-05-01 2.01 1988-06-01 1.90 1988-07-01 2.36 1988-08-01 1.88 1988-09-01 1.95 1988-10-01 2.60 1988-11-01 2.92 1988-12-01 3.18 1989-01-01 2.03 1989-02-01 1.15 1989-03-01 1.10 1989-04-01 1.44 1989-05-01 1.69 1989-06-01 1.59 1989-07-01 1.49 1989-08-01 2.23 1989-09-01 2.63 1989-10-01 2.54 1989-11-01 2.72 1989-12-01 3.16 1990-01-01 3.66 1990-02-01 2.74 1990-03-01 2.48 1990-04-01 2.00 1990-05-01 2.28 1990-06-01 1.72 1990-07-01 1.18 1990-08-01 0.95 1990-09-01 0.77 1990-10-01 0.19 1990-11-01 -0.29 1990-12-01 -0.96 1991-01-01 -0.88 1991-02-01 -0.17 1991-03-01 0.59 1991-04-01 0.75 1991-05-01 1.48 1991-06-01 1.59 1991-07-01 1.94 1991-08-01 1.34 1991-09-01 0.92 1991-10-01 1.00 1991-11-01 0.32 1991-12-01 0.53 1992-01-01 0.80 1992-02-01 1.88 1992-03-01 1.65 1992-04-01 1.32 1992-05-01 1.52 1992-06-01 1.21 1992-07-01 0.61 1992-08-01 1.02 1992-09-01 1.01 1992-10-01 1.18 1992-11-01 1.27 1992-12-01 1.82 1993-01-01 1.86 1993-02-01 2.43 1993-03-01 2.11 1993-04-01 2.44 1993-05-01 2.55 1993-06-01 2.31 1993-07-01 1.93 1993-08-01 2.18 1993-09-01 2.46 1993-10-01 2.53 1993-11-01 2.54 1993-12-01 2.08 1994-01-01 2.35 1994-02-01 1.79 1994-03-01 1.49 1994-04-01 1.90 1994-05-01 2.34 1994-06-01 2.92 1994-07-01 2.53 1994-08-01 2.56 1994-09-01 1.96 1994-10-01 1.56 1994-11-01 2.11 1994-12-01 1.99 1995-01-01 1.60 1995-02-01 1.25 1995-03-01 0.48 1995-04-01 0.38 1995-05-01 0.32 1995-06-01 1.37 1995-07-01 1.16 1995-08-01 1.43 1995-09-01 1.58 1995-10-01 1.16 1995-11-01 1.17 1995-12-01 1.71 1996-01-01 2.72 1996-02-01 2.14 1996-03-01 1.93 1996-04-01 2.11 1996-05-01 2.17 1996-06-01 2.19 1996-07-01 2.70 1996-08-01 3.43 1996-09-01 3.05 1996-10-01 2.82 1996-11-01 2.68 1996-12-01 2.62 1997-01-01 2.32 1997-02-01 2.38 1997-03-01 2.52 1997-04-01 2.78 1997-05-01 2.90 1997-06-01 2.95 1997-07-01 2.99 1997-08-01 2.05 1997-09-01 2.38 1997-10-01 1.69 1997-11-01 1.62 1997-12-01 1.45 1998-01-01 1.38 1998-02-01 1.99 1998-03-01 2.01 1998-04-01 1.74 1998-05-01 1.06 1998-06-01 1.13 1998-07-01 0.81 1998-08-01 0.45 1998-09-01 0.92 1998-10-01 0.90 1998-11-01 1.64 1998-12-01 1.66 1999-01-01 2.32 1999-02-01 1.88 1999-03-01 1.84 1999-04-01 0.76 1999-05-01 1.25 1999-06-01 1.70 1999-07-01 1.41 1999-08-01 2.13 1999-09-01 2.28 1999-10-01 2.18 1999-11-01 1.62 1999-12-01 1.73 2000-01-01 1.34 2000-02-01 1.15 2000-03-01 0.92 2000-04-01 1.34 2000-05-01 1.28 2000-06-01 1.16 2000-07-01 0.38 2000-08-01 0.57 2000-09-01 0.83 2000-10-01 1.23 2000-11-01 0.68 2000-12-01 0.90 2001-01-01 0.05 2001-02-01 -0.44 2001-03-01 -0.19 2001-04-01 0.02 2001-05-01 0.01 2001-06-01 0.15 2001-07-01 0.15 2001-08-01 -0.13 2001-09-01 -0.63 2001-10-01 -0.72 2001-11-01 -1.03 2001-12-01 -0.61 2002-01-01 0.58 2002-02-01 1.01 2002-03-01 1.53 2002-04-01 2.03 2002-05-01 2.03 2002-06-01 2.55 2002-07-01 2.73 2002-08-01 2.16 2002-09-01 1.50 2002-10-01 1.54 2002-11-01 1.83 2002-12-01 1.65 2003-01-01 1.32 2003-02-01 1.21 2003-03-01 0.96 2003-04-01 1.18 2003-05-01 0.78 2003-06-01 1.22 2003-07-01 1.58 2003-08-01 2.37 2003-09-01 2.60 2003-10-01 2.64 2003-11-01 2.80 2003-12-01 3.46 2004-01-01 3.14 2004-02-01 2.58 2004-03-01 3.22 2004-04-01 3.06 2004-05-01 3.00 2004-06-01 3.30 2004-07-01 3.06 2004-08-01 2.45 2004-09-01 1.91 2004-10-01 2.28 2004-11-01 2.12 2004-12-01 2.41 2005-01-01 2.00 2005-02-01 2.44 2005-03-01 2.04 2005-04-01 2.37 2005-05-01 1.84 2005-06-01 1.60 2005-07-01 1.57 2005-08-01 2.30 2005-09-01 2.17 2005-10-01 2.53 2005-11-01 2.88 2005-12-01 2.82 2006-01-01 2.60 2006-02-01 2.46 2006-03-01 1.77 2006-04-01 1.51 2006-05-01 0.55 2006-06-01 0.95 2006-07-01 1.20 2006-08-01 1.45 2006-09-01 1.46 2006-10-01 1.42 2006-11-01 1.85 2006-12-01 2.16 2007-01-01 2.27 2007-02-01 2.49 2007-03-01 2.61 2007-04-01 2.02 2007-05-01 1.67 2007-06-01 1.61 2007-07-01 0.70 2007-08-01 0.95 2007-09-01 0.64 2007-10-01 1.11 2007-11-01 1.68 2007-12-01 1.18 2008-01-01 0.93 2008-02-01 1.00 2008-03-01 0.56 2008-04-01 0.23 2008-05-01 0.31 2008-06-01 -0.07 2008-07-01 -0.49 2008-08-01 -0.30 2008-09-01 -0.55 2008-10-01 -1.87 2008-11-01 -2.47 2008-12-01 -3.10 2009-01-01 -3.08 2009-02-01 -3.18 2009-03-01 -2.69 2009-04-01 -3.38 2009-05-01 -2.25 2009-06-01 -1.47 2009-07-01 -0.80 2009-08-01 -0.98 2009-09-01 -0.93 2009-10-01 0.27 2009-11-01 1.43 2009-12-01 1.61 2010-01-01 1.97 2010-02-01 2.09 2010-03-01 2.89 2010-04-01 2.68 2010-05-01 2.81 2010-06-01 2.51 2010-07-01 2.31 2010-08-01 1.50 2010-09-01 1.13 2010-10-01 1.57 2010-11-01 2.38 2010-12-01 2.59 2011-01-01 2.84 2011-02-01 2.67 2011-03-01 2.13 2011-04-01 2.32 2011-05-01 1.74 2011-06-01 1.49 2011-07-01 1.90 2011-08-01 2.13 2011-09-01 2.56 2011-10-01 3.04 2011-11-01 3.24 2011-12-01 2.89 2012-01-01 2.89 2012-02-01 2.91 2012-03-01 2.23 2012-04-01 2.58 2012-05-01 2.09 2012-06-01 2.53 2012-07-01 2.72 2012-08-01 3.41 2012-09-01 3.46 2012-10-01 3.35 2012-11-01 3.24 2012-12-01 3.18 2013-01-01 2.30 2013-02-01 2.40 2013-03-01 1.89 2013-04-01 2.22 2013-05-01 2.32 2013-06-01 1.91 2013-07-01 2.09 2013-08-01 2.01 2013-09-01 2.31 2013-10-01 2.60 2013-11-01 2.96 2013-12-01 2.71 2014-01-01 2.97 2014-02-01 2.38 2014-03-01 2.56 2014-04-01 2.34 2014-05-01 1.92 2014-06-01 2.47 2014-07-01 2.35 2014-08-01 2.75 2014-09-01 2.21 2014-10-01 1.80 2014-11-01 2.29 2014-12-01 2.82 2015-01-01 2.31 2015-02-01 2.39 2015-03-01 2.20 2015-04-01 1.83 2015-05-01 1.78 2015-06-01 2.19 2015-07-01 2.04 2015-08-01 1.74 2015-09-01 1.57 2015-10-01 1.71 2015-11-01 1.63 2015-12-01 2.32 2016-01-01 2.28 2016-02-01 2.07 2016-03-01 2.40 2016-04-01 2.12 2016-05-01 1.80 2016-06-01 2.24 2016-07-01 1.97 2016-08-01 2.07 2016-09-01 2.44 2016-10-01 1.97 2016-11-01 2.48 2016-12-01 2.63 2017-01-01 2.21 2017-02-01 2.51 2017-03-01 2.06 2017-04-01 2.41 2017-05-01 1.96 2017-06-01 1.71 2017-07-01 1.53 2017-08-01 1.56 2017-09-01 1.82 2017-10-01 2.22 2017-11-01 1.68 2017-12-01 1.71 2018-01-01 1.54 2018-02-01 2.26 2018-03-01 1.86 2018-04-01 1.58 2018-05-01 2.02 2018-06-01 1.75 2018-07-01 1.38 2018-08-01 1.13 2018-09-01 1.25 2018-10-01 1.33 2018-11-01 0.77 2018-12-01 0.83 2019-01-01 1.34 2019-02-01 0.45 2019-03-01 0.91 2019-04-01 1.57 2019-05-01 2.33 2019-06-01 2.44 2019-07-01 2.86 2019-08-01 2.34 2019-09-01 1.88 2019-10-01 2.08 2019-11-01 1.82 2019-12-01 1.52 2020-01-01 1.71 2020-02-01 2.33