Skip to main content

Leading Index for the United States (USSLIND)

Observation:

Apr 2018: 1.58  
Updated: Jun 5, 2018

Units:

Percent,
Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:

Monthly
1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Max
Close
  EDIT LINE 1
(a) Leading Index for the United States, Percent, Seasonally Adjusted (USSLIND)
The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill.

Leading Index for the United States

Select a date that will equal 100 for your custom index:
to

Customize data:

Write a custom formula to transform one or more series or combine two or more series.

You can begin by adding a series to combine with your existing series.

Now create a custom formula to combine or transform the series.
Need help? []

Finally, you can change the units of your new series.

Select a date that will equal 100 for your custom index:

ADD LINE

Add data series to graph:

Create user-defined line? []
FORMAT GRAPH
Log scale:

fullscreen
Shaded areas indicate U.S. recessions
fred.stlouisfed.org



NOTES

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia  

Release: State Leading Indexes  

Units:  Percent, Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:  Monthly

Notes:

The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill.

Suggested Citation:

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Leading Index for the United States [USSLIND], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USSLIND, June 23, 2018.

RELATED CONTENT

Related Resources

Related Categories

Business Cycle Expansions & Contractions Production & Business Activity Financial Activity Measures Financial Indicators Money, Banking, & Finance

Sources

More Releases from Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Releases

More Series from State Leading Indexes

Tags

Leading Index Philadelphia Fed Headline Figure Seasonally Adjusted Monthly United States of America Nation
RELEASE TABLES





Browse Data

Retrieving data.
Updating graph.

Need Help?

Questions or Comments
FRED Help

Subscribe to the FRED newsletter

Follow us

Twitter logo Google Plus logo Facebook logo YouTube logo LinkedIn logo
Back to Top
Click to send us feedback
Top