Federal Reserve Economic Data

World Uncertainty Index

Individual Country Indices


The World Uncertainty Index is computed by counting the percent of word "uncertain" (or its variant) in the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) country reports. The WUI is then rescaled by multiplying by 1,000,000. A higher number means higher uncertainty and vice versa. For example, an index of 200 corresponds to the word uncertainty accounting for 0.02 percent of all words, which—given the EIU reports are on average about 10,000 words long—means about 2 words per report.

Similarly, the World Pandemic Uncertainty Index is constructed by counting the percent of times uncertainty is mentioned within a proximity to a word related to pandemics, while the index of discussion about pandemics is constructed by counting the percent of times a word related to pandemics is mentioned in the EIU country reports, and then are re-scaled by multiplying by 1,000.


   

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    Q1 1952    
 
 
    Q4 2025
Index
Name Q4 2025 Q3 2025 Q4 2024
Afghanistan
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
Albania
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
Algeria
0.20323 0.12058 0.00000
Angola
0.11822 0.19137 0.17470
Argentina
1.14457 0.86326 0.35127
Armenia
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
Australia
0.18318 0.17131 0.07194
Austria
0.68127 1.06459 0.23006
Azerbaijan
0.35319 0.36228 0.00000
Bangladesh
3.21697 3.58324 1.66852
Belarus
0.64711 0.93349 0.66593
Belgium
0.95503 1.25125 0.46200
Benin
0.36344 0.19531 0.00000
Bolivia
0.50522 0.37580 0.21598
Bosnia and Herzegovina
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
Botswana
0.00000 0.22805 0.23458
Brazil
1.20058 1.15350 0.27384
Bulgaria
0.47769 0.56657 0.26831
Burkina Faso
0.00000 0.27196 0.20640
Burundi
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
Cambodia
0.00000 0.38797 0.00000
Cameroon
0.28662 0.57094 0.35261
Canada
1.38313 1.36635 0.27607
Central African Republic
0.00000 0.20542 0.20687
Chad
0.14241 0.28760 0.15818
Chile
0.47989 1.53935 0.98936
China
0.23864 0.39705 0.06444
Colombia
0.86331 0.82698 0.71919
Costa Rica
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
Côte d'Ivoire
0.15389 0.32410 0.00000
Croatia
0.12092 1.06045 0.10503
Czech Republic
0.60490 0.56370 0.08042
Democratic Republic of the Congo
0.30298 0.30139 0.20708
Denmark
0.00000 0.68668 0.10085
Dominican Republic
1.19875 0.98968 0.00000
Ecuador
0.95918 1.11782 0.97405
Egypt
0.24309 0.23918 0.07018
El Salvador
0.92764 0.86294 0.54274
Eritrea
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
Ethiopia
0.28690 0.31260 0.18943
Finland
0.49121 1.00335 0.00000
France
1.09770 1.15540 0.39670
FYR Macedonia
0.18868 0.72085 0.00000
Gabon
0.46555 0.49124 0.59701
Georgia
0.19257 0.21877 0.22158
Germany
0.69616 1.07362 0.62400
Ghana
0.00000 0.00000 0.19339
Greece
0.60508 0.69948 0.08635
Guatemala
0.65466 0.34855 0.00000
Guinea
0.00000 0.13972 0.16846
Guinea-Bissau
0.19956 0.57318 0.20483
Haiti
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
Honduras
0.37272 1.01454 0.58173
Hong Kong SAR
0.53879 0.57471 0.08814
Hungary
0.17198 0.24728 0.07782
India
0.33170 0.47263 0.06962
Indonesia
0.90389 1.20895 0.22047
Iraq
0.00000 0.14954 0.17280
Ireland
0.78241 0.71702 0.44967
Islamic Republic of Iran
0.88674 1.05477 0.34967
Israel
0.70028 0.98418 0.26927
Italy
0.25046 0.68799 0.13779
Jamaica
0.00000 0.21993 0.00000
Japan
0.53293 1.21258 0.13465
Jordan
0.14652 0.30604 0.00000
Kazakhstan
0.40624 0.26920 0.08419
Kenya
0.22401 0.11401 0.55905
Korea
0.24693 0.17243 0.13000
Kuwait
0.42427 0.54496 0.09300
Kyrgyz Republic
0.59976 1.07481 0.22193
Lao P.D.R.
0.32706 0.38956 0.00000
Latvia
0.00000 0.24140 0.00000
Lebanon
0.74438 0.59533 0.39580
Lesotho
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
Liberia
0.19639 0.20803 0.20169
Libya
0.18425 0.18250 0.11375
Lithuania
0.28441 0.43719 0.00000
Madagascar
1.17233 0.00000 0.00000
Malawi
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
Malaysia
0.73126 1.06496 0.42830
Mali
0.91799 1.22656 0.77912
Mauritania
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
Mexico
1.65304 1.27157 0.42790
Moldova
0.21200 0.19535 0.47270
Mongolia
1.11142 0.80321 0.21482
Morocco
0.48900 0.48491 0.11673
Mozambique
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
Myanmar
0.00000 0.00000 0.19736
Namibia
0.00000 1.34832 0.00000
Nepal
1.89554 2.02922 0.91743
Netherlands
1.36612 1.15299 0.43507
New Zealand
0.21997 0.22326 0.19720
Nicaragua
0.00000 0.19324 0.00000
Niger
0.14641 0.45956 0.37693
Nigeria
0.31447 0.25439 0.23605
Norway
0.20648 0.35069 0.08280
Oman
0.66181 0.65941 0.19550
Pakistan
0.45261 0.58779 0.23436
Panama
0.35537 0.18580 0.42391
Papua New Guinea
0.20881 0.65574 0.41649
Paraguay
0.96768 1.17716 0.00000
Peru
1.06477 0.95017 0.33710
Philippines
0.57143 0.49975 0.16861
Poland
0.17106 0.18007 0.07164
Portugal
0.47174 0.96749 0.52274
Qatar
0.33872 0.23041 0.00000
Republic of Congo
0.00000 0.29842 0.00000
Romania
0.68654 0.65938 0.34786
Russia
0.38914 0.24586 0.00000
Rwanda
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
Saudi Arabia
0.21456 0.14931 0.06726
Senegal
0.35100 0.37729 0.00000
Sierra Leone
0.00000 0.15706 0.40975
Singapore
0.48361 0.49980 0.15679
Slovak Republic
0.59224 0.57477 0.16732
Slovenia
0.23028 0.89686 0.20442
South Africa
0.58347 0.82132 0.86902
Spain
0.77253 0.80848 0.43431
Sri Lanka
0.67831 0.69324 0.09829
Sudan
0.22800 0.22092 0.12935
Sweden
0.66548 0.53792 0.07532
Switzerland
1.89753 1.43292 0.56581
Taiwan Province of China
0.55884 0.71259 0.20390
Tajikistan
0.41580 0.86881 0.00000
Tanzania
0.28948 0.31481 0.00000
Thailand
0.96737 0.91383 0.23899
The Gambia
0.16173 0.15911 0.00000
Togo
0.37495 0.39754 0.00000
Tunisia
0.81843 1.22624 1.10933
Turkey
0.78343 0.60413 0.39195
Turkmenistan
0.20500 0.42845 0.21236
Uganda
0.15657 0.48115 0.00000
Ukraine
0.52738 0.27920 0.21162
United Arab Emirates
0.38634 0.77948 0.13719
United Kingdom
0.68384 0.84922 0.35303
United States
2.02783 2.04623 0.33218
Uruguay
0.18608 0.18594 0.00000
Uzbekistan
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
Venezuela
0.65768 0.31629 0.37736
Vietnam
0.75213 0.69463 0.15317
Yemen
0.33344 0.35373 1.23967
Zambia
0.44743 0.24160 0.00000
Zimbabwe
0.94266 0.98798 0.77610
   

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