Real potential GDP is the CBO’s estimate of the output the economy would produce with a high rate of use of its capital and labor resources. The data is adjusted to remove the effects of inflation.

GDPNow is a nowcasting model for gross domestic product (GDP) growth that synthesizes the bridge equation approach relating GDP subcomponents to monthly source data with factor model and Bayesian vector autoregression approaches. The GDPNow model forecasts GDP growth by aggregating 13 subcomponents that make up GDP with the chain-weighting methodology used by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDPNow release complements the quarterly GDP release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The Atlanta Fed recalculates and updates their GDPNow forecasts (called "nowcasts") throughout the quarter as new data are released, up until the BEA releases its "advance estimate" of GDP for that quarter. The St. Louis Fed constructs a quarterly time series for this dataset, in which both historical and current observations values are combined. In general, the most-current observation is revised multiple times throughout the quarter. The final forecasted value (before the BEA's release of the advance estimate of GDP) is the static, historical value for that quarter. For futher information visit the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1).

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment: Business: Structures represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment: Business: Structures provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Change of Inventory Investment represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Change of Inventory Investment provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Personal Consumption Expenditures: Goods represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Goods provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment: Business: Equipment represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment: Business: Equipment provides to real GDP growth. For any forecasts occurring on or before the second quarter of 2013, the Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment: Business: Equipment was actually Equipment and Software. Currently, Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment: Business: Equipment excludes Software. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Change of Net Exports of Goods and Services represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Change of Net Exports of Goods and Services provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Imports of Goods and Services represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Imports of Goods and Services provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment: Business represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment: Business provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Exports of Goods and Services represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Exports of Goods and Services provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Final Sales of Domestic Product represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Final Sales of Domestic Product provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment: Business: Intellectual Property Products represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment: Business: Intellectual Property Products provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Personal Consumption Expenditures represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Personal Consumption Expenditures provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Personal Consumption Expenditures: Services represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Services provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment: Residential represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment: Residential provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Exports of Goods represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Exports of Goods provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Exports of Services represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Exports of Services provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Gross Government Investment: Federal Government represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Gross Government Investment: Federal Government provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Gross Private Domestic Investment represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Gross Private Domestic Investment provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Gross Government Investment represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Gross Government Investment provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Imports of Services represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Imports of Services provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Imports of Goods represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Imports of Goods provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The Contributions to percent change in GDPNow: Real Gross Government Investment: State and Local Government represents the contribution in percentage points that the nowcast for Gross Government Investment: State and Local Government provides to real GDP growth. For further information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

St. Louis Fed’s Economic News Index (ENI) uses economic content from key monthly economic data releases to forecast the growth of real GDP during that quarter. In general, the most-current observation is revised multiple times throughout the quarter. The final forecasted value (before the BEA’s release of the advance estimate of GDP) is the static, historical value for that quarter. For more information, see Grover, Sean P.; Kliesen, Kevin L.; and McCracken, Michael W. “A Macroeconomic News Index for Constructing Nowcasts of U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product Growth" (https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/2016/12/05/a-macroeconomic-news-index-for-constructing-nowcasts-of-u-s-real-gross-domestic-product-growth/ )

The Nowcast for Real Gross Private Domestic Investment: Fixed Investment: Business: Intellectual Property Products uses a nowcasting model to synthesize the bridge equation approach relating GDP subcomponents to monthly source data with factor model and Bayesian vector autoregression approaches. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow release complements the quarterly GDP release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The Atlanta Fed recalculates and updates their GDPNow forecasts (called “nowcasts”) throughout the quarter as new data are released, up until the BEA releases its “advance estimate” of GDP for that quarter. The St. Louis Fed constructs a quarterly time series for this dataset, in which both historical and current observations values are combined. In general, the most-current observation is revised multiple times throughout the quarter. The final forecasted value (before the BEA’s release of the advance estimate of GDP) is the static, historical value for that quarter. For futher information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

The World Uncertainty Index determines uncertainty using the frequency of the selfsame word in the quarterly Economist Intelligence Unit country reports. Please see Hites Ahir, Nicholas Bloom and Davide Furceri (2018), 'The World Uncertainty Index' (https://www.policyuncertainty.com/media/WUI_mimeo_10_29.pdf) for additional explanation.

Source ID: FA885090015.Q For more information about the Flow of Funds tables, see the Financial Accounts Guide (https://www.federalreserve.gov/apps/fof/Default.aspx). With each quarterly release, the source may make major data and structural revisions to the series and tables. These changes are available in the Release Highlights (https://www.federalreserve.gov/apps/fof/FOFHighlight.aspx). In the Financial Accounts, the source identifies each series by a string of patterned letters and numbers. For a detailed description, including how this series is constructed, see the series analyzer (https://www.federalreserve.gov/apps/fof/SeriesAnalyzer.aspx?s=FA885090015&t=) provided by the source.

Source ID: FU795013005.Q For more information about the Flow of Funds tables, see the Financial Accounts Guide (https://www.federalreserve.gov/apps/fof/Default.aspx). With each quarterly release, the source may make major data and structural revisions to the series and tables. These changes are available in the Release Highlights (https://www.federalreserve.gov/apps/fof/FOFHighlight.aspx). In the Financial Accounts, the source identifies each series by a string of patterned letters and numbers. For a detailed description, including how this series is constructed, see the series analyzer (https://www.federalreserve.gov/apps/fof/SeriesAnalyzer.aspx?s=FU795013005&t=) provided by the source.

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://apps.bea.gov/regional/definitions/).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://apps.bea.gov/regional/definitions/).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://apps.bea.gov/regional/definitions/).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://apps.bea.gov/regional/definitions/).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://apps.bea.gov/regional/definitions/).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://apps.bea.gov/regional/definitions/).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://apps.bea.gov/regional/definitions/).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://apps.bea.gov/regional/definitions/).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).

Information about this release can be found here (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state). For information about BEA industries and other regional definitions, visit their Regional Economic Accounts: Regional Definitions website (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state).