Title: Leading Index for Arizona Series ID: AZSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2017-07-01 Last Updated: 2017-08-29 10:21 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -3.37 1982-02-01 -3.53 1982-03-01 -3.34 1982-04-01 -2.02 1982-05-01 -2.43 1982-06-01 -2.46 1982-07-01 -1.92 1982-08-01 -2.00 1982-09-01 -0.39 1982-10-01 1.46 1982-11-01 3.44 1982-12-01 4.13 1983-01-01 5.72 1983-02-01 6.94 1983-03-01 7.61 1983-04-01 7.43 1983-05-01 7.58 1983-06-01 7.93 1983-07-01 8.07 1983-08-01 7.94 1983-09-01 8.12 1983-10-01 7.80 1983-11-01 7.10 1983-12-01 5.84 1984-01-01 5.66 1984-02-01 4.47 1984-03-01 4.73 1984-04-01 3.47 1984-05-01 3.39 1984-06-01 3.12 1984-07-01 1.96 1984-08-01 1.37 1984-09-01 -0.08 1984-10-01 -0.71 1984-11-01 -0.35 1984-12-01 -0.37 1985-01-01 0.22 1985-02-01 0.06 1985-03-01 1.09 1985-04-01 0.39 1985-05-01 0.52 1985-06-01 0.65 1985-07-01 0.92 1985-08-01 2.10 1985-09-01 2.39 1985-10-01 3.21 1985-11-01 3.05 1985-12-01 2.28 1986-01-01 1.29 1986-02-01 0.44 1986-03-01 0.49 1986-04-01 1.08 1986-05-01 0.41 1986-06-01 1.03 1986-07-01 1.41 1986-08-01 2.16 1986-09-01 0.98 1986-10-01 0.91 1986-11-01 1.56 1986-12-01 2.65 1987-01-01 2.84 1987-02-01 2.75 1987-03-01 2.60 1987-04-01 3.68 1987-05-01 3.47 1987-06-01 3.61 1987-07-01 2.26 1987-08-01 2.08 1987-09-01 1.55 1987-10-01 1.89 1987-11-01 1.68 1987-12-01 1.83 1988-01-01 0.54 1988-02-01 0.16 1988-03-01 1.25 1988-04-01 1.33 1988-05-01 2.05 1988-06-01 2.58 1988-07-01 3.21 1988-08-01 2.63 1988-09-01 2.17 1988-10-01 2.54 1988-11-01 2.95 1988-12-01 2.73 1989-01-01 3.41 1989-02-01 3.54 1989-03-01 3.38 1989-04-01 2.34 1989-05-01 0.91 1989-06-01 0.63 1989-07-01 1.68 1989-08-01 2.87 1989-09-01 3.08 1989-10-01 2.63 1989-11-01 1.90 1989-12-01 1.36 1990-01-01 0.72 1990-02-01 0.16 1990-03-01 0.20 1990-04-01 1.63 1990-05-01 2.82 1990-06-01 1.84 1990-07-01 0.98 1990-08-01 1.27 1990-09-01 2.51 1990-10-01 2.01 1990-11-01 1.42 1990-12-01 1.66 1991-01-01 1.91 1991-02-01 1.36 1991-03-01 0.55 1991-04-01 0.50 1991-05-01 0.21 1991-06-01 0.42 1991-07-01 0.62 1991-08-01 -0.14 1991-09-01 -0.70 1991-10-01 -0.29 1991-11-01 -0.40 1991-12-01 0.12 1992-01-01 -0.19 1992-02-01 1.04 1992-03-01 1.64 1992-04-01 2.53 1992-05-01 3.07 1992-06-01 3.93 1992-07-01 3.74 1992-08-01 3.33 1992-09-01 3.83 1992-10-01 3.34 1992-11-01 2.82 1992-12-01 3.68 1993-01-01 3.37 1993-02-01 4.41 1993-03-01 3.32 1993-04-01 4.47 1993-05-01 3.71 1993-06-01 4.22 1993-07-01 3.49 1993-08-01 2.88 1993-09-01 2.23 1993-10-01 2.02 1993-11-01 2.20 1993-12-01 2.77 1994-01-01 1.90 1994-02-01 2.38 1994-03-01 2.52 1994-04-01 2.54 1994-05-01 1.51 1994-06-01 1.83 1994-07-01 2.23 1994-08-01 2.36 1994-09-01 2.59 1994-10-01 3.90 1994-11-01 4.28 1994-12-01 2.87 1995-01-01 3.50 1995-02-01 2.87 1995-03-01 1.87 1995-04-01 1.12 1995-05-01 1.71 1995-06-01 1.95 1995-07-01 2.72 1995-08-01 2.69 1995-09-01 1.79 1995-10-01 2.37 1995-11-01 2.07 1995-12-01 1.89 1996-01-01 1.59 1996-02-01 0.56 1996-03-01 1.35 1996-04-01 0.80 1996-05-01 1.48 1996-06-01 1.26 1996-07-01 1.67 1996-08-01 2.38 1996-09-01 2.62 1996-10-01 1.32 1996-11-01 2.26 1996-12-01 2.74 1997-01-01 3.43 1997-02-01 3.20 1997-03-01 3.45 1997-04-01 4.05 1997-05-01 3.09 1997-06-01 2.33 1997-07-01 2.39 1997-08-01 2.64 1997-09-01 2.62 1997-10-01 2.21 1997-11-01 2.25 1997-12-01 2.25 1998-01-01 1.37 1998-02-01 1.30 1998-03-01 1.60 1998-04-01 2.61 1998-05-01 2.18 1998-06-01 1.74 1998-07-01 1.75 1998-08-01 0.85 1998-09-01 1.69 1998-10-01 1.60 1998-11-01 1.27 1998-12-01 1.43 1999-01-01 1.24 1999-02-01 1.99 1999-03-01 1.28 1999-04-01 1.75 1999-05-01 2.66 1999-06-01 2.59 1999-07-01 2.08 1999-08-01 1.54 1999-09-01 2.19 1999-10-01 2.16 1999-11-01 2.56 1999-12-01 2.80 2000-01-01 1.90 2000-02-01 2.21 2000-03-01 2.21 2000-04-01 1.64 2000-05-01 1.72 2000-06-01 1.15 2000-07-01 2.07 2000-08-01 2.15 2000-09-01 1.48 2000-10-01 2.31 2000-11-01 1.63 2000-12-01 0.21 2001-01-01 -0.08 2001-02-01 0.09 2001-03-01 0.45 2001-04-01 0.10 2001-05-01 0.15 2001-06-01 -0.52 2001-07-01 -0.50 2001-08-01 -0.15 2001-09-01 -0.28 2001-10-01 -1.27 2001-11-01 -0.98 2001-12-01 0.42 2002-01-01 0.96 2002-02-01 1.04 2002-03-01 2.40 2002-04-01 2.44 2002-05-01 2.51 2002-06-01 2.44 2002-07-01 2.36 2002-08-01 1.90 2002-09-01 2.17 2002-10-01 3.10 2002-11-01 2.69 2002-12-01 2.28 2003-01-01 2.96 2003-02-01 2.74 2003-03-01 2.65 2003-04-01 2.04 2003-05-01 1.79 2003-06-01 2.16 2003-07-01 2.31 2003-08-01 3.25 2003-09-01 3.87 2003-10-01 3.88 2003-11-01 3.64 2003-12-01 3.99 2004-01-01 3.09 2004-02-01 2.16 2004-03-01 2.04 2004-04-01 3.12 2004-05-01 3.00 2004-06-01 3.13 2004-07-01 3.63 2004-08-01 3.71 2004-09-01 3.33 2004-10-01 3.73 2004-11-01 2.68 2004-12-01 1.91 2005-01-01 1.63 2005-02-01 2.04 2005-03-01 1.86 2005-04-01 2.12 2005-05-01 2.89 2005-06-01 2.41 2005-07-01 2.58 2005-08-01 2.10 2005-09-01 2.14 2005-10-01 2.50 2005-11-01 2.31 2005-12-01 2.61 2006-01-01 3.00 2006-02-01 2.82 2006-03-01 2.26 2006-04-01 1.02 2006-05-01 0.68 2006-06-01 1.30 2006-07-01 0.71 2006-08-01 1.34 2006-09-01 0.61 2006-10-01 1.29 2006-11-01 0.78 2006-12-01 0.87 2007-01-01 2.11 2007-02-01 1.84 2007-03-01 1.57 2007-04-01 1.92 2007-05-01 1.65 2007-06-01 0.97 2007-07-01 0.98 2007-08-01 -0.06 2007-09-01 -0.75 2007-10-01 -1.15 2007-11-01 -0.77 2007-12-01 -0.82 2008-01-01 -1.37 2008-02-01 -1.58 2008-03-01 -1.21 2008-04-01 -1.84 2008-05-01 -1.82 2008-06-01 -1.80 2008-07-01 -2.46 2008-08-01 -2.05 2008-09-01 -1.78 2008-10-01 -3.11 2008-11-01 -4.01 2008-12-01 -4.57 2009-01-01 -4.22 2009-02-01 -3.80 2009-03-01 -3.73 2009-04-01 -2.69 2009-05-01 0.27 2009-06-01 0.80 2009-07-01 0.60 2009-08-01 1.25 2009-09-01 1.57 2009-10-01 2.28 2009-11-01 2.55 2009-12-01 3.01 2010-01-01 3.73 2010-02-01 4.17 2010-03-01 4.42 2010-04-01 3.58 2010-05-01 4.02 2010-06-01 2.83 2010-07-01 2.67 2010-08-01 1.31 2010-09-01 1.23 2010-10-01 1.86 2010-11-01 2.87 2010-12-01 2.99 2011-01-01 3.79 2011-02-01 2.67 2011-03-01 2.75 2011-04-01 2.47 2011-05-01 1.28 2011-06-01 1.50 2011-07-01 3.08 2011-08-01 4.06 2011-09-01 4.70 2011-10-01 3.44 2011-11-01 4.03 2011-12-01 4.38 2012-01-01 3.78 2012-02-01 2.40 2012-03-01 2.94 2012-04-01 3.00 2012-05-01 3.35 2012-06-01 3.61 2012-07-01 3.48 2012-08-01 4.16 2012-09-01 3.68 2012-10-01 3.00 2012-11-01 2.97 2012-12-01 2.23 2013-01-01 1.78 2013-02-01 1.76 2013-03-01 2.81 2013-04-01 2.49 2013-05-01 2.73 2013-06-01 2.59 2013-07-01 2.69 2013-08-01 2.28 2013-09-01 1.72 2013-10-01 2.47 2013-11-01 3.16 2013-12-01 3.03 2014-01-01 3.09 2014-02-01 2.92 2014-03-01 2.07 2014-04-01 2.53 2014-05-01 3.09 2014-06-01 3.04 2014-07-01 2.89 2014-08-01 2.16 2014-09-01 2.77 2014-10-01 2.52 2014-11-01 2.93 2014-12-01 2.63 2015-01-01 3.03 2015-02-01 3.36 2015-03-01 3.32 2015-04-01 3.25 2015-05-01 2.48 2015-06-01 2.79 2015-07-01 2.65 2015-08-01 3.27 2015-09-01 2.64 2015-10-01 3.14 2015-11-01 2.56 2015-12-01 2.81 2016-01-01 2.98 2016-02-01 2.15 2016-03-01 1.48 2016-04-01 2.49 2016-05-01 2.99 2016-06-01 2.06 2016-07-01 2.24 2016-08-01 2.87 2016-09-01 2.34 2016-10-01 2.37 2016-11-01 2.16 2016-12-01 1.51 2017-01-01 1.98 2017-02-01 1.60 2017-03-01 2.57 2017-04-01 2.68 2017-05-01 0.93 2017-06-01 1.07 2017-07-01 1.49