Title: Leading Index for Arizona Series ID: AZSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2017-04-01 Last Updated: 2017-05-30 9:11 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -3.34 1982-02-01 -3.50 1982-03-01 -3.33 1982-04-01 -2.00 1982-05-01 -2.36 1982-06-01 -2.40 1982-07-01 -1.86 1982-08-01 -2.01 1982-09-01 -0.38 1982-10-01 1.53 1982-11-01 3.51 1982-12-01 4.20 1983-01-01 5.77 1983-02-01 7.00 1983-03-01 7.64 1983-04-01 7.43 1983-05-01 7.55 1983-06-01 7.91 1983-07-01 8.05 1983-08-01 7.91 1983-09-01 8.10 1983-10-01 7.77 1983-11-01 7.09 1983-12-01 5.80 1984-01-01 5.62 1984-02-01 4.43 1984-03-01 4.70 1984-04-01 3.48 1984-05-01 3.35 1984-06-01 3.09 1984-07-01 1.92 1984-08-01 1.37 1984-09-01 -0.09 1984-10-01 -0.75 1984-11-01 -0.38 1984-12-01 -0.39 1985-01-01 0.24 1985-02-01 0.09 1985-03-01 1.10 1985-04-01 0.41 1985-05-01 0.53 1985-06-01 0.68 1985-07-01 0.94 1985-08-01 2.10 1985-09-01 2.42 1985-10-01 3.22 1985-11-01 3.07 1985-12-01 2.28 1986-01-01 1.29 1986-02-01 0.47 1986-03-01 0.50 1986-04-01 1.10 1986-05-01 0.40 1986-06-01 1.04 1986-07-01 1.44 1986-08-01 2.19 1986-09-01 0.98 1986-10-01 0.92 1986-11-01 1.61 1986-12-01 2.68 1987-01-01 2.85 1987-02-01 2.72 1987-03-01 2.59 1987-04-01 3.66 1987-05-01 3.47 1987-06-01 3.60 1987-07-01 2.27 1987-08-01 2.08 1987-09-01 1.55 1987-10-01 1.88 1987-11-01 1.71 1987-12-01 1.86 1988-01-01 0.55 1988-02-01 0.16 1988-03-01 1.26 1988-04-01 1.34 1988-05-01 2.05 1988-06-01 2.64 1988-07-01 3.25 1988-08-01 2.65 1988-09-01 2.17 1988-10-01 2.56 1988-11-01 2.97 1988-12-01 2.73 1989-01-01 3.43 1989-02-01 3.56 1989-03-01 3.37 1989-04-01 2.32 1989-05-01 0.88 1989-06-01 0.61 1989-07-01 1.67 1989-08-01 2.87 1989-09-01 3.07 1989-10-01 2.62 1989-11-01 1.90 1989-12-01 1.35 1990-01-01 0.73 1990-02-01 0.18 1990-03-01 0.20 1990-04-01 1.65 1990-05-01 2.85 1990-06-01 1.86 1990-07-01 0.97 1990-08-01 1.27 1990-09-01 2.51 1990-10-01 2.00 1990-11-01 1.42 1990-12-01 1.66 1991-01-01 1.90 1991-02-01 1.33 1991-03-01 0.51 1991-04-01 0.48 1991-05-01 0.21 1991-06-01 0.42 1991-07-01 0.65 1991-08-01 -0.10 1991-09-01 -0.67 1991-10-01 -0.24 1991-11-01 -0.36 1991-12-01 0.16 1992-01-01 -0.17 1992-02-01 1.05 1992-03-01 1.68 1992-04-01 2.54 1992-05-01 3.08 1992-06-01 3.93 1992-07-01 3.75 1992-08-01 3.33 1992-09-01 3.82 1992-10-01 3.30 1992-11-01 2.79 1992-12-01 3.68 1993-01-01 3.38 1993-02-01 4.42 1993-03-01 3.33 1993-04-01 4.44 1993-05-01 3.69 1993-06-01 4.18 1993-07-01 3.48 1993-08-01 2.86 1993-09-01 2.22 1993-10-01 2.03 1993-11-01 2.20 1993-12-01 2.78 1994-01-01 1.92 1994-02-01 2.41 1994-03-01 2.55 1994-04-01 2.56 1994-05-01 1.56 1994-06-01 1.86 1994-07-01 2.27 1994-08-01 2.38 1994-09-01 2.62 1994-10-01 3.94 1994-11-01 4.32 1994-12-01 2.89 1995-01-01 3.51 1995-02-01 2.88 1995-03-01 1.85 1995-04-01 1.11 1995-05-01 1.71 1995-06-01 1.96 1995-07-01 2.72 1995-08-01 2.70 1995-09-01 1.79 1995-10-01 2.39 1995-11-01 2.07 1995-12-01 1.89 1996-01-01 1.60 1996-02-01 0.57 1996-03-01 1.36 1996-04-01 0.82 1996-05-01 1.48 1996-06-01 1.28 1996-07-01 1.69 1996-08-01 2.40 1996-09-01 2.64 1996-10-01 1.30 1996-11-01 2.28 1996-12-01 2.76 1997-01-01 3.43 1997-02-01 3.21 1997-03-01 3.45 1997-04-01 4.07 1997-05-01 3.09 1997-06-01 2.32 1997-07-01 2.40 1997-08-01 2.65 1997-09-01 2.62 1997-10-01 2.21 1997-11-01 2.27 1997-12-01 2.28 1998-01-01 1.39 1998-02-01 1.32 1998-03-01 1.62 1998-04-01 2.63 1998-05-01 2.20 1998-06-01 1.74 1998-07-01 1.77 1998-08-01 0.87 1998-09-01 1.72 1998-10-01 1.63 1998-11-01 1.28 1998-12-01 1.44 1999-01-01 1.27 1999-02-01 2.00 1999-03-01 1.30 1999-04-01 1.76 1999-05-01 2.70 1999-06-01 2.63 1999-07-01 2.10 1999-08-01 1.55 1999-09-01 2.19 1999-10-01 2.19 1999-11-01 2.57 1999-12-01 2.82 2000-01-01 1.90 2000-02-01 2.21 2000-03-01 2.25 2000-04-01 1.65 2000-05-01 1.73 2000-06-01 1.17 2000-07-01 2.10 2000-08-01 2.19 2000-09-01 1.49 2000-10-01 2.32 2000-11-01 1.65 2000-12-01 0.23 2001-01-01 -0.07 2001-02-01 0.11 2001-03-01 0.47 2001-04-01 0.11 2001-05-01 0.14 2001-06-01 -0.52 2001-07-01 -0.49 2001-08-01 -0.12 2001-09-01 -0.26 2001-10-01 -1.25 2001-11-01 -0.96 2001-12-01 0.44 2002-01-01 0.99 2002-02-01 1.06 2002-03-01 2.42 2002-04-01 2.46 2002-05-01 2.51 2002-06-01 2.46 2002-07-01 2.39 2002-08-01 1.93 2002-09-01 2.21 2002-10-01 3.12 2002-11-01 2.69 2002-12-01 2.26 2003-01-01 2.96 2003-02-01 2.74 2003-03-01 2.64 2003-04-01 2.04 2003-05-01 1.78 2003-06-01 2.16 2003-07-01 2.29 2003-08-01 3.24 2003-09-01 3.88 2003-10-01 3.89 2003-11-01 3.65 2003-12-01 4.01 2004-01-01 3.13 2004-02-01 2.19 2004-03-01 2.08 2004-04-01 3.15 2004-05-01 3.02 2004-06-01 3.15 2004-07-01 3.66 2004-08-01 3.74 2004-09-01 3.33 2004-10-01 3.74 2004-11-01 2.69 2004-12-01 1.90 2005-01-01 1.63 2005-02-01 2.06 2005-03-01 1.88 2005-04-01 2.11 2005-05-01 2.89 2005-06-01 2.41 2005-07-01 2.58 2005-08-01 2.10 2005-09-01 2.15 2005-10-01 2.57 2005-11-01 2.34 2005-12-01 2.63 2006-01-01 3.05 2006-02-01 2.84 2006-03-01 2.27 2006-04-01 1.03 2006-05-01 0.70 2006-06-01 1.32 2006-07-01 0.73 2006-08-01 1.35 2006-09-01 0.62 2006-10-01 1.27 2006-11-01 0.79 2006-12-01 0.88 2007-01-01 2.13 2007-02-01 1.85 2007-03-01 1.58 2007-04-01 1.94 2007-05-01 1.67 2007-06-01 0.96 2007-07-01 1.00 2007-08-01 -0.05 2007-09-01 -0.75 2007-10-01 -1.15 2007-11-01 -0.76 2007-12-01 -0.81 2008-01-01 -1.36 2008-02-01 -1.58 2008-03-01 -1.22 2008-04-01 -1.84 2008-05-01 -1.80 2008-06-01 -1.77 2008-07-01 -2.43 2008-08-01 -2.02 2008-09-01 -1.75 2008-10-01 -3.09 2008-11-01 -3.99 2008-12-01 -4.53 2009-01-01 -4.20 2009-02-01 -3.78 2009-03-01 -3.73 2009-04-01 -2.71 2009-05-01 0.29 2009-06-01 0.83 2009-07-01 0.62 2009-08-01 1.32 2009-09-01 1.66 2009-10-01 2.37 2009-11-01 2.61 2009-12-01 3.05 2010-01-01 3.76 2010-02-01 4.20 2010-03-01 4.43 2010-04-01 3.57 2010-05-01 4.02 2010-06-01 2.82 2010-07-01 2.64 2010-08-01 1.30 2010-09-01 1.18 2010-10-01 1.82 2010-11-01 2.86 2010-12-01 2.98 2011-01-01 3.78 2011-02-01 2.66 2011-03-01 2.73 2011-04-01 2.48 2011-05-01 1.27 2011-06-01 1.51 2011-07-01 3.09 2011-08-01 4.08 2011-09-01 4.72 2011-10-01 3.44 2011-11-01 4.02 2011-12-01 4.38 2012-01-01 3.77 2012-02-01 2.38 2012-03-01 2.92 2012-04-01 3.00 2012-05-01 3.36 2012-06-01 3.64 2012-07-01 3.50 2012-08-01 4.17 2012-09-01 3.68 2012-10-01 2.98 2012-11-01 2.96 2012-12-01 2.24 2013-01-01 1.78 2013-02-01 1.76 2013-03-01 2.80 2013-04-01 2.50 2013-05-01 2.73 2013-06-01 2.59 2013-07-01 2.69 2013-08-01 2.28 2013-09-01 1.72 2013-10-01 2.48 2013-11-01 3.18 2013-12-01 3.02 2014-01-01 3.08 2014-02-01 2.93 2014-03-01 2.08 2014-04-01 2.55 2014-05-01 3.09 2014-06-01 2.99 2014-07-01 2.88 2014-08-01 2.17 2014-09-01 2.75 2014-10-01 2.53 2014-11-01 2.93 2014-12-01 2.68 2015-01-01 3.04 2015-02-01 3.36 2015-03-01 3.34 2015-04-01 3.21 2015-05-01 2.46 2015-06-01 2.74 2015-07-01 2.66 2015-08-01 3.28 2015-09-01 2.66 2015-10-01 3.15 2015-11-01 2.56 2015-12-01 2.82 2016-01-01 3.00 2016-02-01 2.17 2016-03-01 1.49 2016-04-01 2.49 2016-05-01 3.04 2016-06-01 2.05 2016-07-01 2.27 2016-08-01 2.93 2016-09-01 2.34 2016-10-01 2.31 2016-11-01 2.10 2016-12-01 1.53 2017-01-01 1.81 2017-02-01 1.13 2017-03-01 2.21 2017-04-01 2.52