Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Real Gross Domestic Product

Title Brave-Butters-Kelley Real Gross Domestic Product
Series ID BBKMGDP
Source Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center
Release Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes
Seasonal Adjustment Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period
Date Range 1960-01-01 to 2026-03-01
Last Updated 2026-06-29 7:32 AM CDT
Notes The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth.

The BBK Monthly GDP Growth is indexed to the quarterly estimates of real GDP growth from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and consists of three components: cycle, trend, and irregular components.

For more details, see also:
Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422
Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1
DATE VALUE
1960-01-01 16.033500772719645000
1960-02-01 5.025007293579767000
1960-03-01 -4.587221360329590000
1960-04-01 -3.751955014029447000
1960-05-01 -2.745786225734603000
1960-06-01 1.396868005853313000
1960-07-01 5.527044019605583000
1960-08-01 2.525941236329602500
1960-09-01 -4.023805616443468000
1960-10-01 -7.256411732527880000
1960-11-01 -8.241006421845984000
1960-12-01 -2.711258438865095000
1961-01-01 6.306359966793465000
1961-02-01 6.052323350962352000
1961-03-01 6.832880281455267000
1961-04-01 6.593165352504352000
1961-05-01 6.532527479915593500
1961-06-01 8.028858833320195000
1961-07-01 7.792837885324760000
1961-08-01 9.114701729038591000
1961-09-01 4.348575014389423000
1961-10-01 8.391722279894650000
1961-11-01 9.124273721727850000
1961-12-01 8.663807743105306000
1962-01-01 4.458922178783675000
1962-02-01 9.789618496349428000
1962-03-01 4.182292793979958000
1962-04-01 1.947084287555980200
1962-05-01 2.292754954097376600
1962-06-01 3.842234485869575000
1962-07-01 7.665200061097305500
1962-08-01 4.158167969985447000
1962-09-01 2.774344620641555000
1962-10-01 -1.337194180051698700
1962-11-01 1.639795448621447200
1962-12-01 2.821977319974508600
1963-01-01 5.546674879157296000
1963-02-01 6.731244014037287000
1963-03-01 1.752136142395502200
1963-04-01 2.882940885040930000
1963-05-01 5.680973584646320500
1963-06-01 9.934446933609332000
1963-07-01 11.380394548758222000
1963-08-01 7.904296703815877000
1963-09-01 2.825263894514726000
1963-10-01 0.394098103101500300
1963-11-01 0.688003709988035600
1963-12-01 7.340306413006385000
1964-01-01 11.916709440403743000
1964-02-01 10.146381999663260000
1964-03-01 3.795545954980664500
1964-04-01 3.031685655189139000
1964-05-01 3.331310727425433400
1964-06-01 5.465329900474481000
1964-07-01 10.257054985181478000
1964-08-01 4.978782261015207000
1964-09-01 0.805824266848167000
1964-10-01 -6.052348755037833000
1964-11-01 6.353605325394187000
1964-12-01 9.949491074726940000
1965-01-01 11.209452348866419000
1965-02-01 9.180981205216330000
1965-03-01 7.866219689319307000
1965-04-01 1.826787664035217400
1965-05-01 3.818911967257295000
1965-06-01 7.157098767473206000
1965-07-01 11.914687027513997000
1965-08-01 8.821657393842987000
1965-09-01 7.635469818796214000
1965-10-01 9.180676439739184000
1965-11-01 9.402426865101130000
1965-12-01 11.614231304084520000
1966-01-01 10.623921919276203000
1966-02-01 8.459453593691338000
1966-03-01 5.123658164172124000
1966-04-01 -2.121126772841306400
1966-05-01 -1.513237853124410000
1966-06-01 2.911074947610907700
1966-07-01 4.274470732507176000
1966-08-01 4.558014914883220000
1966-09-01 4.178722188043686000
1966-10-01 2.998009372291593300
1966-11-01 1.367976257803067600
1966-12-01 4.706414682321082000
1967-01-01 6.234905102178980000
1967-02-01 1.021887611637950300
1967-03-01 0.247189317483473400
1967-04-01 -0.736758888439541100
1967-05-01 -0.585402109765597700
1967-06-01 4.081654480045957000
1967-07-01 3.832397893248145500
1967-08-01 7.387623446925339000
1967-09-01 0.044538763600963980
1967-10-01 -1.208685491821385800
1967-11-01 6.909097173950762000
1967-12-01 9.378949867388847000
1968-01-01 7.001551475335331000
1968-02-01 8.992919800015684000
1968-03-01 8.034486623475140000
1968-04-01 5.145980226719341000
1968-05-01 7.163660782963822000
1968-06-01 4.753011619085523000
1968-07-01 3.812571616101642700
1968-08-01 -0.464495176873808370
1968-09-01 0.648423433757188600
1968-10-01 0.352193513286603200
1968-11-01 3.610526309206149700
1968-12-01 4.965398303469028000
1969-01-01 8.568645847628224000
1969-02-01 6.542985464501342000
1969-03-01 3.560622516083510000
1969-04-01 -1.072660105664617000
1969-05-01 -1.413539818594950600
1969-06-01 3.266014256845392300
1969-07-01 4.516964990551607000
1969-08-01 3.013372174125071600
1969-09-01 -0.998914314748331900
1969-10-01 -2.861940074381370500
1969-11-01 -5.271261430062394000
1969-12-01 0.524069421593538200
1970-01-01 -1.212036037360239200
1970-02-01 1.909621047979751300
1970-03-01 -1.321346311924409500
1970-04-01 -1.664485918740226600
1970-05-01 2.479456244964093300
1970-06-01 5.857683578218810000
1970-07-01 7.559724396208491000
1970-08-01 0.945795368339516400
1970-09-01 -5.753626373049538500
1970-10-01 -11.694454986847424000
1970-11-01 -4.243399143281231000
1970-12-01 15.350373281048984000
1971-01-01 15.322397624931950000
1971-02-01 10.519418915351283000
1971-03-01 2.982031353403715300
1971-04-01 -0.878792327442470300
1971-05-01 0.384965454692243200
1971-06-01 4.839440950736864000
1971-07-01 3.254778027343497600
1971-08-01 3.231071038931725400
1971-09-01 3.187969150035123000
1971-10-01 -2.161004426202692400
1971-11-01 0.292293722835345700
1971-12-01 4.697534838541441000
1972-01-01 9.184207939911277000
1972-02-01 8.647598680702961000
1972-03-01 10.993873954068007000
1972-04-01 10.512283460085780000
1972-05-01 7.062508560278419000
1972-06-01 4.534051115573392500
1972-07-01 0.459980818485861140
1972-08-01 5.691236862190797000
1972-09-01 4.944497748765295000
1972-10-01 6.120302874734348000
1972-11-01 8.309204029179629000
1972-12-01 9.180376115059117000
1973-01-01 10.439599122639777000
1973-02-01 11.238182566015771000
1973-03-01 7.534116859867236000
1973-04-01 3.821060956768267400
1973-05-01 1.968454483719820600
1973-06-01 -2.700955401312125000
1973-07-01 -4.365649065455823000
1973-08-01 -2.732174621566547000
1973-09-01 3.017562588653820700
1973-10-01 8.718071031674310000
1973-11-01 4.633362574840144000
1973-12-01 -4.730301579060733000
1974-01-01 -6.542206119671505000
1974-02-01 -4.023936181325265000
1974-03-01 1.461481520319460400
1974-04-01 2.372415950818806500
1974-05-01 3.320633012263731300
1974-06-01 -4.106537870818022000
1974-07-01 -6.042076128883620000
1974-08-01 -5.644466317474606000
1974-09-01 0.099978172617777970
1974-10-01 2.555249947085012500
1974-11-01 -3.412510563215494400
1974-12-01 -9.397643152706651000
1975-01-01 -3.173683736577887600
1975-02-01 -4.724352753105062000
1975-03-01 -2.968985036025810300
1975-04-01 6.535144778874804000
1975-05-01 5.037019902571028500
1975-06-01 6.635734776451729000
1975-07-01 8.200178057110685000
1975-08-01 6.103633005363838000
1975-09-01 5.986326601715611000
1975-10-01 3.975134119564067000
1975-11-01 4.128726347831275000
1975-12-01 9.910343875498056000
1976-01-01 11.871877768276802000
1976-02-01 8.358777949383672000
1976-03-01 3.790412562659898600
1976-04-01 1.728155170713957300
1976-05-01 1.705443869256160900
1976-06-01 1.783935713674326400
1976-07-01 2.571211264590112000
1976-08-01 2.183285024808270700
1976-09-01 2.316351084897814000
1976-10-01 0.887789890079746100
1976-11-01 5.163463332897683000
1976-12-01 6.123931795108733000
1977-01-01 0.395207216302372100
1977-02-01 7.925194666253096500
1977-03-01 7.991264646594788000
1977-04-01 6.798983556500790000
1977-05-01 7.656179207600404000
1977-06-01 9.642131511546518000
1977-07-01 7.913828136680774000
1977-08-01 6.020308146406334000
1977-09-01 1.617541801995979300
1977-10-01 -1.492098542377146700
1977-11-01 -1.873731999485240200
1977-12-01 -0.978492063330413000
1978-01-01 -6.356605497506687000
1978-02-01 8.798568986088608000
1978-03-01 16.816273907263790000
1978-04-01 20.732354730884616000
1978-05-01 12.279627374661375000
1978-06-01 7.291752241754514000
1978-07-01 -0.188881163148670870
1978-08-01 2.919908830401398000
1978-09-01 3.892411465401307000
1978-10-01 7.097826725898065000
1978-11-01 6.482690419458304000
1978-12-01 3.135090769983699000
1979-01-01 -2.599894556294469500
1979-02-01 -0.711171152105044300
1979-03-01 2.890393919978709000
1979-04-01 -5.783294940632400000
1979-05-01 6.462164763955039000
1979-06-01 3.232999704919421500
1979-07-01 3.787359875223698000
1979-08-01 1.046197558558218000
1979-09-01 0.246019355089552420
1979-10-01 1.613917706767074500
1979-11-01 0.081467262618216460
1979-12-01 2.420880755201632300
1980-01-01 4.372875434468772000
1980-02-01 0.118379973776166820
1980-03-01 -6.933526133091496000
1980-04-01 -11.660321340788839000
1980-05-01 -11.081869111840051000
1980-06-01 -4.072690815031919000
1980-07-01 0.298255312982966370
1980-08-01 3.453287390195749500
1980-09-01 7.117532107838933000
1980-10-01 6.715846527161867000
1980-11-01 8.448215099643786000
1980-12-01 11.819438025046680000
1981-01-01 10.662081267390764000
1981-02-01 4.299144848963246000
1981-03-01 -2.836544772023707600
1981-04-01 -6.746051249270762000
1981-05-01 -4.170913357617172000
1981-06-01 3.164590961625864000
1981-07-01 9.302748645598793000
1981-08-01 6.203394427280093000
1981-09-01 0.400170119181443960
1981-10-01 -5.845825507852913000
1981-11-01 -8.847826412009008000
1981-12-01 -11.193405203232420000
1982-01-01 -11.732527466040283000
1982-02-01 4.679568496861772000
1982-03-01 0.671993873212565400
1982-04-01 2.006695630761519000
1982-05-01 2.621818234597933000
1982-06-01 -0.892844624752617400
1982-07-01 -2.411490558559953000
1982-08-01 -3.949278737598756400
1982-09-01 0.516790652631776000
1982-10-01 -0.475917514187652800
1982-11-01 1.975232193225771700
1982-12-01 1.822662355135072200
1983-01-01 8.768672851304846000
1983-02-01 2.968277723992536000
1983-03-01 9.292379789707457000
1983-04-01 10.312427566293980000
1983-05-01 9.557587543853566000
1983-06-01 9.399485827349123000
1983-07-01 6.993906368185781000
1983-08-01 6.016128436514039000
1983-09-01 9.839646270869471000
1983-10-01 8.481783543895520000
1983-11-01 7.917567829402262400
1983-12-01 7.378198904105952000
1984-01-01 8.684888282321031000
1984-02-01 7.436140841165656000
1984-03-01 6.068758221220818000
1984-04-01 7.162340439766563000
1984-05-01 7.553469187726861000
1984-06-01 5.534852852756256000
1984-07-01 3.272675335193408000
1984-08-01 2.700461408072628000
1984-09-01 0.698083534955631800
1984-10-01 3.781070288527500000
1984-11-01 4.968236432911606000
1984-12-01 4.036077528502799000
1985-01-01 3.474104936960438000
1985-02-01 3.496940091299640200
1985-03-01 4.249740570675176500
1985-04-01 1.619727078651693700
1985-05-01 5.115633337330998000
1985-06-01 4.485543986801284000
1985-07-01 6.981862746556631000
1985-08-01 8.084077960935800000
1985-09-01 3.351781618259295700
1985-10-01 0.719818131145070400
1985-11-01 3.004400424398153500
1985-12-01 3.722625877300269000
1986-01-01 7.158196900620991000
1986-02-01 0.878500247473861200
1986-03-01 -0.238391216895490480
1986-04-01 3.322908820165313400
1986-05-01 1.493202281462639100
1986-06-01 2.818709806405806000
1986-07-01 5.185364132467292000
1986-08-01 3.713833080432124200
1986-09-01 4.171398852325450000
1986-10-01 0.444889105437858300
1986-11-01 0.859327413377796000
1986-12-01 4.151816866846234000
1987-01-01 -0.714311196069239400
1987-02-01 7.877160988829226000
1987-03-01 3.843890191477383300
1987-04-01 4.483350522789882000
1987-05-01 3.617648670451950000
1987-06-01 2.360571430843843500
1987-07-01 3.060287190177507700
1987-08-01 2.791207330421209500
1987-09-01 7.954890154165412000
1987-10-01 9.492661541648552000
1987-11-01 5.506721134742667400
1987-12-01 3.090468684838292700
1988-01-01 -1.467509359736994100
1988-02-01 2.808898294943094500
1988-03-01 5.668512163041555000
1988-04-01 6.658768677013409000
1988-05-01 4.484933014486252000
1988-06-01 3.908005502570629700
1988-07-01 0.371037416379186500
1988-08-01 1.782417459930217200
1988-09-01 4.049912931928909000
1988-10-01 6.149129109835954000
1988-11-01 6.226917691100235000
1988-12-01 6.868585618394830000
1989-01-01 4.232153363056994000
1989-02-01 0.548287633610038800
1989-03-01 2.641044363748433000
1989-04-01 4.185859264423656000
1989-05-01 2.555139662276365400
1989-06-01 3.880836198931984600
1989-07-01 1.581824946149119600
1989-08-01 6.024644994345254500
1989-09-01 -0.556094859180661600
1989-10-01 -1.662354951605185000
1989-11-01 1.912966523014372000
1989-12-01 3.355134676905724000
1990-01-01 4.729357847540027000
1990-02-01 6.430563015050257000
1990-03-01 3.450944467440365000
1990-04-01 -1.499077886136465800
1990-05-01 1.250307764297922300
1990-06-01 1.718479014616667000
1990-07-01 -0.228080276312651260
1990-08-01 0.765102825062334200
1990-09-01 -3.142093199985499000
1990-10-01 -3.969628455471058000
1990-11-01 -6.383963661176752000
1990-12-01 -2.741270071540218000
1991-01-01 -1.650502011736774100
1991-02-01 -0.171484869774223720
1991-03-01 0.271230996471260260
1991-04-01 5.471417321327541000
1991-05-01 4.398469998420232000
1991-06-01 2.379976160043143300
1991-07-01 2.154549930413192000
1991-08-01 0.278407134702155700
1991-09-01 1.973585981854913300
1991-10-01 0.771711426234766400
1991-11-01 1.963500712112519400
1991-12-01 2.045976588463324800
1992-01-01 5.867825491325837000
1992-02-01 6.444224272048319000
1992-03-01 6.295739400261475000
1992-04-01 3.934369616437003000
1992-05-01 2.114094045941899300
1992-06-01 3.760026436896953000
1992-07-01 5.358438959688097000
1992-08-01 1.964069264252631800
1992-09-01 5.779159659576438000
1992-10-01 5.576169319777797000
1992-11-01 2.845896744282790000
1992-12-01 1.380035889303045800
1993-01-01 -0.360348041431033400
1993-02-01 0.250061195732208300
1993-03-01 1.004791524486301000
1993-04-01 3.889821467321423000
1993-05-01 2.663568944862231700
1993-06-01 1.616721936434036600
1993-07-01 0.688557193570876500
1993-08-01 1.846582546998201600
1993-09-01 5.494756881875861000
1993-10-01 6.845096331837945000
1993-11-01 5.362011793630463000
1993-12-01 4.546294559577593000
1994-01-01 2.015265242437007000
1994-02-01 3.043361341455704600
1994-03-01 8.167962745951020000
1994-04-01 5.518596359251235000
1994-05-01 4.765612805851500000
1994-06-01 3.010584705152795000
1994-07-01 0.096149979023866900
1994-08-01 3.311711566988303000
1994-09-01 3.280198664132287300
1994-10-01 5.448683418968284000
1994-11-01 5.320739472609643000
1994-12-01 4.128496422418225000
1995-01-01 0.103213294062591830
1995-02-01 -0.758102661491355500
1995-03-01 0.404124296876691160
1995-04-01 0.427038172532024700
1995-05-01 2.786797899385733400
1995-06-01 3.796536936964274700
1995-07-01 1.476476047416935800
1995-08-01 5.886467944024945000
1995-09-01 3.917858930007536600
1995-10-01 0.981569695657034600
1995-11-01 2.265232502088948300
1995-12-01 3.180409683684634300
1996-01-01 -0.422819471421531650
1996-02-01 6.628939261249220000
1996-03-01 6.233955708466063000
1996-04-01 7.581385591347137500
1996-05-01 6.761569566071707000
1996-06-01 4.179958206258005000
1996-07-01 1.802455167453535200
1996-08-01 3.364904520482649500
1996-09-01 4.913949081610571000
1996-10-01 4.541041952067538000
1996-11-01 4.788207140659999000
1996-12-01 0.792511765709809500
1997-01-01 0.021753818866084630
1997-02-01 5.336339467162531500
1997-03-01 6.050961227496274000
1997-04-01 7.653346516216613000
1997-05-01 6.610502138161456000
1997-06-01 5.820420178776869000
1997-07-01 5.335094510034012000
1997-08-01 3.403435609917609300
1997-09-01 3.609944561474135200
1997-10-01 2.834386608662707000
1997-11-01 3.960311042866369000
1997-12-01 3.565689356432663700
1998-01-01 4.119489135164533000
1998-02-01 4.641965570973397000
1998-03-01 3.207542135777001800
1998-04-01 3.468221777411847600
1998-05-01 4.498068887251001500
1998-06-01 2.714565899285987300
1998-07-01 3.807935059776957200
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