Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Real Gross Domestic Product

Title Brave-Butters-Kelley Real Gross Domestic Product
Series ID BBKMGDP
Source Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center
Release Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes
Seasonal Adjustment Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period
Date Range 1960-01-01 to 2026-03-01
Last Updated 2026-06-01 7:32 AM CDT
Notes The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth.

The BBK Monthly GDP Growth is indexed to the quarterly estimates of real GDP growth from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and consists of three components: cycle, trend, and irregular components.

For more details, see also:
Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422
Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1
DATE VALUE
1960-01-01 16.031506277997742000
1960-02-01 5.026418852919562000
1960-03-01 -4.587644651268421500
1960-04-01 -3.750962286155776300
1960-05-01 -2.747940136559845500
1960-06-01 1.397632666420667000
1960-07-01 5.528560839530126000
1960-08-01 2.526031652492607600
1960-09-01 -4.027912318852579000
1960-10-01 -7.255504369724186000
1960-11-01 -8.239523062515214000
1960-12-01 -2.708824257282506800
1961-01-01 6.305586799816538000
1961-02-01 6.051470650593495000
1961-03-01 6.830553460627822000
1961-04-01 6.592199879157658000
1961-05-01 6.535270992227193000
1961-06-01 8.031774570760824000
1961-07-01 7.791777135903709000
1961-08-01 9.110923412599428000
1961-09-01 4.350738908338052000
1961-10-01 8.393410930707518000
1961-11-01 9.123253430590560000
1961-12-01 8.660232901483202000
1962-01-01 4.461413507120818500
1962-02-01 9.788001649345954000
1962-03-01 4.186222477356981000
1962-04-01 1.947336952052871600
1962-05-01 2.290711093862438700
1962-06-01 3.839321693098212000
1962-07-01 7.665510468681100000
1962-08-01 4.160305406517267000
1962-09-01 2.777007970604198000
1962-10-01 -1.338476276150797800
1962-11-01 1.638728206533634200
1962-12-01 2.820493955990335700
1963-01-01 5.545617618001051000
1963-02-01 6.730864115321523000
1963-03-01 1.760101693351925000
1963-04-01 2.882811372112759500
1963-05-01 5.675797798896174000
1963-06-01 9.929635840697074000
1963-07-01 11.381102292798003000
1963-08-01 7.911552804955761000
1963-09-01 2.823426431690282600
1963-10-01 0.392810513475093000
1963-11-01 0.685915404209860700
1963-12-01 7.344764617950959000
1964-01-01 11.916460192151684000
1964-02-01 10.145405445631866000
1964-03-01 3.791418703688655000
1964-04-01 3.031405031423233700
1964-05-01 3.336207017658674400
1964-06-01 5.465610247921128000
1964-07-01 10.258589606741577000
1964-08-01 4.978011927283481000
1964-09-01 0.797304084504786700
1964-10-01 -6.041186774866308000
1964-11-01 6.346427580651904000
1964-12-01 9.948171322115407000
1965-01-01 11.215758303709919000
1965-02-01 9.180871133999710000
1965-03-01 7.857339217187413000
1965-04-01 1.828808355503197000
1965-05-01 3.824762148898810400
1965-06-01 7.157207345266656000
1965-07-01 11.914647482970160000
1965-08-01 8.817543859919688000
1965-09-01 7.637748183045915000
1965-10-01 9.177950919268493000
1965-11-01 9.405813551060993000
1965-12-01 11.615191299000752000
1966-01-01 10.623693098635655000
1966-02-01 8.458278785045353000
1966-03-01 5.121387567593418000
1966-04-01 -2.119478769882719000
1966-05-01 -1.512411702044419700
1966-06-01 2.910194638378566000
1966-07-01 4.274663016180429000
1966-08-01 4.558424048192872000
1966-09-01 4.178261537789325000
1966-10-01 2.996649103191844000
1966-11-01 1.370969629631030800
1966-12-01 4.705020913163474000
1967-01-01 6.235463964740241000
1967-02-01 1.020819344808013400
1967-03-01 0.247443429946816900
1967-04-01 -0.736024499289719400
1967-05-01 -0.588400398123650100
1967-06-01 4.086007931215839000
1967-07-01 3.832338769941027000
1967-08-01 7.381424256438089000
1967-09-01 0.051405900515100190
1967-10-01 -1.209082288779410200
1967-11-01 6.907111819716570000
1967-12-01 9.376575883390286000
1968-01-01 6.999912366246809000
1968-02-01 8.996164360176166000
1968-03-01 8.039648152651063000
1968-04-01 5.144581389988373000
1968-05-01 7.158950877391522000
1968-06-01 4.753060321910700000
1968-07-01 3.811092613364228700
1968-08-01 -0.460211585830737400
1968-09-01 0.648905759805238300
1968-10-01 0.352074401756972130
1968-11-01 3.609118973323481400
1968-12-01 4.963322066684091000
1969-01-01 8.571471590710438000
1969-02-01 6.542945089850457000
1969-03-01 3.557785845591185500
1969-04-01 -1.071811055604992500
1969-05-01 -1.409768627222580700
1969-06-01 3.261638439557316400
1969-07-01 4.518435060412095000
1969-08-01 3.013522104908733000
1969-09-01 -0.998643942693338900
1969-10-01 -2.862362971056318500
1969-11-01 -5.270120052270885000
1969-12-01 0.522364681141747100
1970-01-01 -1.209930690075338600
1970-02-01 1.909433012949005100
1970-03-01 -1.325018180605563900
1970-04-01 -1.662168046779496600
1970-05-01 2.479432287103526400
1970-06-01 5.858309650450808000
1970-07-01 7.560958035529508000
1970-08-01 0.945102602816863000
1970-09-01 -5.757169946570713000
1970-10-01 -11.687637900272607000
1970-11-01 -4.248390944234835000
1970-12-01 15.347685535796769000
1971-01-01 15.327258075105910000
1971-02-01 10.518808604321546000
1971-03-01 2.979037916399352000
1971-04-01 -0.877879991613065500
1971-05-01 0.385225026446044600
1971-06-01 4.842781984779515000
1971-07-01 3.260421585521946000
1971-08-01 3.225002810969884000
1971-09-01 3.176233291584353400
1971-10-01 -2.158318851993031600
1971-11-01 0.300403134494099600
1971-12-01 4.702799237458330000
1972-01-01 9.181757921959704000
1972-02-01 8.642789550326494000
1972-03-01 10.992204059183134000
1972-04-01 10.511691667634110000
1972-05-01 7.065190077128458000
1972-06-01 4.538612379374530500
1972-07-01 0.461145508220311300
1972-08-01 5.684224329479866000
1972-09-01 4.943224700531493000
1972-10-01 6.120611186948967000
1972-11-01 8.310155261796245000
1972-12-01 9.187107342360584000
1973-01-01 10.438051013812375000
1973-02-01 11.234899969782303000
1973-03-01 7.530912691596852000
1973-04-01 3.820907745162236000
1973-05-01 1.972613688947523600
1973-06-01 -2.699123244175206000
1973-07-01 -4.365786264276162000
1973-08-01 -2.736899016102554600
1973-09-01 3.019599454685304400
1973-10-01 8.716462718738923000
1973-11-01 4.636383653072954000
1973-12-01 -4.730868134247137000
1974-01-01 -6.542652086173064000
1974-02-01 -4.024575118796610000
1974-03-01 1.462209326906820800
1974-04-01 2.375484439662754400
1974-05-01 3.317256624782536400
1974-06-01 -4.109807238090848000
1974-07-01 -6.043764031774451000
1974-08-01 -5.636782750881814000
1974-09-01 0.099589870131544080
1974-10-01 2.552107109875997000
1974-11-01 -3.410974354390931700
1974-12-01 -9.398194020349043000
1975-01-01 -3.178927710582748500
1975-02-01 -4.718233896132308000
1975-03-01 -2.965925301496498000
1975-04-01 6.530157958572086000
1975-05-01 5.038952139497528000
1975-06-01 6.634592437475520000
1975-07-01 8.199570312737256000
1975-08-01 6.104371644995409000
1975-09-01 5.987024996598697000
1975-10-01 3.974639907372378000
1975-11-01 4.129749939131656000
1975-12-01 9.907643900074627000
1976-01-01 11.873086501521804000
1976-02-01 8.359756633269965000
1976-03-01 3.789205354698795600
1976-04-01 1.727995518674965800
1976-05-01 1.704859695070284000
1976-06-01 1.787018750198981800
1976-07-01 2.571269749247788000
1976-08-01 2.179527104266867400
1976-09-01 2.318109573144162000
1976-10-01 0.892198002100915500
1976-11-01 5.157774836893905000
1976-12-01 6.122325395101496000
1977-01-01 0.398195416461345700
1977-02-01 7.926385568585717000
1977-03-01 7.988819537470878000
1977-04-01 6.800764736070314000
1977-05-01 7.655109273830174000
1977-06-01 9.642627156293608000
1977-07-01 7.916350222089459000
1977-08-01 6.020413635300326000
1977-09-01 1.609843212258003800
1977-10-01 -1.490872053404249900
1977-11-01 -1.870022820069694000
1977-12-01 -0.974298198498227300
1978-01-01 -6.356073933503147000
1978-02-01 8.794678505199617000
1978-03-01 16.810363267951217000
1978-04-01 20.735860456483667000
1978-05-01 12.282699310185262000
1978-06-01 7.290802953423743000
1978-07-01 -0.190145458732927870
1978-08-01 2.919195656694933000
1978-09-01 3.896457340704658500
1978-10-01 7.099685183652616000
1978-11-01 6.479287797684057000
1978-12-01 3.128942063368312700
1979-01-01 -2.598627574110573300
1979-02-01 -0.706082523121351000
1979-03-01 2.892115750464652000
1979-04-01 -5.778746784950437000
1979-05-01 6.452749702519371000
1979-06-01 3.229653070789264600
1979-07-01 3.783743261855393700
1979-08-01 1.056060157483642800
1979-09-01 0.253252327039587200
1979-10-01 1.607206486914814800
1979-11-01 0.080448235946394940
1979-12-01 2.418723925276560700
1980-01-01 4.375271970673284500
1980-02-01 0.118933521173646200
1980-03-01 -6.936490149978034500
1980-04-01 -11.659050589298184000
1980-05-01 -11.081380218030684000
1980-06-01 -4.072106370746994000
1980-07-01 0.298085490584587100
1980-08-01 3.452866008687465600
1980-09-01 7.117226555671404500
1980-10-01 6.719990911461583000
1980-11-01 8.446433574448944000
1980-12-01 11.811600408380572000
1981-01-01 10.669757013386322000
1981-02-01 4.298908124384661000
1981-03-01 -2.841641802326157000
1981-04-01 -6.743786352151046000
1981-05-01 -4.168860268000081000
1981-06-01 3.164120876216036000
1981-07-01 9.306888674262447000
1981-08-01 6.201073589033637000
1981-09-01 0.391278790885962740
1981-10-01 -5.844646430562596000
1981-11-01 -8.843369780528333000
1981-12-01 -11.185752203227302000
1982-01-01 -11.726908843174185000
1982-02-01 4.665308252412045000
1982-03-01 0.663895862022809300
1982-04-01 2.010393467505988700
1982-05-01 2.631943430705321300
1982-06-01 -0.893732260371584700
1982-07-01 -2.410081447868460000
1982-08-01 -3.954502941662663600
1982-09-01 0.514661803815657800
1982-10-01 -0.473138666889790560
1982-11-01 1.974924165085700100
1982-12-01 1.824423771217768400
1983-01-01 8.766018405934608000
1983-02-01 2.969558093306033700
1983-03-01 9.294567583165854000
1983-04-01 10.310377520226131000
1983-05-01 9.558817787163168000
1983-06-01 9.397519522703186000
1983-07-01 6.994910123497902500
1983-08-01 6.016779510985268000
1983-09-01 9.838035221972923000
1983-10-01 8.484268267759289000
1983-11-01 7.917344363555689000
1983-12-01 7.373762687529656000
1984-01-01 8.689896732854473000
1984-02-01 7.433452121828649000
1984-03-01 6.068206207293672000
1984-04-01 7.165274099592944000
1984-05-01 7.550796395720297500
1984-06-01 5.535190204481542000
1984-07-01 3.269877028415921000
1984-08-01 2.702227228367941000
1984-09-01 0.704944903253456300
1984-10-01 3.779203195884921500
1984-11-01 4.967129613398550000
1984-12-01 4.028403888565680500
1985-01-01 3.478650250574157400
1985-02-01 3.498375644912491600
1985-03-01 4.249687621995609000
1985-04-01 1.622807847080545200
1985-05-01 5.111222936792632500
1985-06-01 4.483792826337748000
1985-07-01 6.983779544562971000
1985-08-01 8.084164370907919000
1985-09-01 3.353771125761469300
1985-10-01 0.718168997692846500
1985-11-01 3.003774240721318400
1985-12-01 3.724760220034140000
1986-01-01 7.159734692387401000
1986-02-01 0.874791355019919300
1986-03-01 -0.239229309077745980
1986-04-01 3.321065459694708500
1986-05-01 1.496524181914854700
1986-06-01 2.822981163731641000
1986-07-01 5.181863467403831000
1986-08-01 3.713009852533642400
1986-09-01 4.171682688208909000
1986-10-01 0.442579696546183700
1986-11-01 0.858695828927926300
1986-12-01 4.160263818552561000
1987-01-01 -0.718612319270701700
1987-02-01 7.875061692577255000
1987-03-01 3.844729834622915300
1987-04-01 4.481756468700587500
1987-05-01 3.619383048656488000
1987-06-01 2.362304846663556600
1987-07-01 3.058399389664831000
1987-08-01 2.791792744684849000
1987-09-01 7.954181517332197000
1987-10-01 9.493288602836774000
1987-11-01 5.507426130181976000
1987-12-01 3.088009369797799500
1988-01-01 -1.463993991425618000
1988-02-01 2.804428261054193000
1988-03-01 5.671119760526908000
1988-04-01 6.658578606080027000
1988-05-01 4.486440485464443000
1988-06-01 3.904815612332587000
1988-07-01 0.370297523429727440
1988-08-01 1.786487007996402000
1988-09-01 4.048865824142807000
1988-10-01 6.153660068809202000
1988-11-01 6.222215674543975000
1988-12-01 6.862421442093628000
1989-01-01 4.236385621572113000
1989-02-01 0.549811923005602200
1989-03-01 2.642329378570613000
1989-04-01 4.185036638673435000
1989-05-01 2.552845664915396600
1989-06-01 3.883797751864662500
1989-07-01 1.583043635696342700
1989-08-01 6.021201540760074500
1989-09-01 -0.556493129156361700
1989-10-01 -1.664641345581919600
1989-11-01 1.911177211727775200
1989-12-01 3.369812474945703200
1990-01-01 4.752556884250708000
1990-02-01 6.344813502159189000
1990-03-01 3.525280098297095300
1990-04-01 -1.506470209489685800
1990-05-01 1.229851132207722100
1990-06-01 1.718647500034333800
1990-07-01 -0.201224773332469900
1990-08-01 0.747923202633161900
1990-09-01 -3.168180802812834000
1990-10-01 -3.934672632079536700
1990-11-01 -6.393512310348221000
1990-12-01 -2.757685415287999500
1991-01-01 -1.649329811771882000
1991-02-01 -0.168747481095596000
1991-03-01 0.304618955886368340
1991-04-01 5.456595537609044000
1991-05-01 4.392453672720290000
1991-06-01 2.366960855089687000
1991-07-01 2.154355389783528000
1991-08-01 0.268197172401264170
1991-09-01 2.026636463952548000
1991-10-01 0.776345293648746300
1991-11-01 1.897317012086454600
1991-12-01 2.068551384379140300
1992-01-01 5.932302443032163000
1992-02-01 6.424551993391363000
1992-03-01 6.162687210650845000
1992-04-01 4.011494570986626000
1992-05-01 2.198921398757570400
1992-06-01 3.644773525494956700
1992-07-01 5.386351081426307000
1992-08-01 2.035733115630442000
1992-09-01 5.697774061594503000
1992-10-01 5.594658525063846000
1992-11-01 2.896923290414080000
1992-12-01 1.313622525768378700
1993-01-01 -0.226533516954440900
1993-02-01 0.170470557549869730
1993-03-01 0.844329408359241600
1993-04-01 4.001110163207436000
1993-05-01 2.738161216333880000
1993-06-01 1.534186176269156700
1993-07-01 0.736916348549718300
1993-08-01 1.830110104756831800
1993-09-01 5.473103550280187000
1993-10-01 6.904543918178655000
1993-11-01 5.297063318462527000
1993-12-01 4.557627856324058000
1994-01-01 2.058435032183817600
1994-02-01 3.005002011929750700
1994-03-01 8.157453917437502000
1994-04-01 5.534048474588639000
1994-05-01 4.775086362053255000
1994-06-01 3.004658233290051300
1994-07-01 0.097263195526787530
1994-08-01 3.297559035182614700
1994-09-01 3.307543465758640400
1994-10-01 5.446022658604788000
1994-11-01 5.316677271893214000
1994-12-01 4.104066033494552500
1995-01-01 0.127047727440557260
1995-02-01 -0.765601218259005700
1995-03-01 0.400541088841870340
1995-04-01 0.438617048829772900
1995-05-01 2.771884201430490500
1995-06-01 3.806292676818809000
1995-07-01 1.488618960680503800
1995-08-01 5.862836339410645000
1995-09-01 3.924095617691607000
1995-10-01 0.987804041169869600
1995-11-01 2.270978401791708700
1995-12-01 3.161373076986769600
1996-01-01 -0.406315749209484430
1996-02-01 6.616603984733496000
1996-03-01 6.241442408554328000
1996-04-01 7.575275072337256000
1996-05-01 6.766106006015749000
1996-06-01 4.186578759738762000
1996-07-01 1.804055039104362200
1996-08-01 3.357099448672743200
1996-09-01 4.906982063372349000
1996-10-01 4.541923720794109000
1996-11-01 4.799607024557268000
1996-12-01 0.788805800021906500
1997-01-01 0.020570615209165588
1997-02-01 5.333037508146628000
1997-03-01 6.057126803977385000
1997-04-01 7.654914798368184000
1997-05-01 6.611326803818671000
1997-06-01 5.805036807061406500
1997-07-01 5.342519524790660000
1997-08-01 3.411940496119044000
1997-09-01 3.600601822575033600
1997-10-01 2.840828430350634000
1997-11-01 3.946425729987001600
1997-12-01 3.584315108724394000
1998-01-01 4.107184379453264000
1998-02-01 4.641317037962778000
1998-03-01 3.222387277227957400
1998-04-01 3.459226786735956500
1998-05-01 4.505232238497872500
1998-06-01 2.698182418928625600
1998-07-01 3.822825908009187000
1998-08-01 8.579191632176501000
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