Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Irregular Component of GDP

Title Brave-Butters-Kelley Irregular Component of GDP
Series ID BBKMIR
Source Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center
Release Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes
Seasonal Adjustment Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period
Date Range 1960-01-01 to 2026-03-01
Last Updated 2026-06-01 7:33 AM CDT
Notes The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth.

The irregular component of GDP is expressed in annualized real GDP growth equivalent units.

For more details, see also:
Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422
Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1
DATE VALUE
1960-01-01 6.76097941689416000000
1960-02-01 3.49553580108702630000
1960-03-01 -2.56989564955246540000
1960-04-01 -5.73100599496978900000
1960-05-01 -3.11266317499351470000
1960-06-01 2.33604310200542300000
1960-07-01 5.00912554149981200000
1960-08-01 1.95777583004525150000
1960-09-01 -3.99719863224047800000
1960-10-01 -7.22134069418755400000
1960-11-01 -4.58899546193428400000
1960-12-01 1.16349827611688080000
1961-01-01 5.05567688536354800000
1961-02-01 4.56957608002328500000
1961-03-01 1.60897482512648240000
1961-04-01 -0.60867764806181210000
1961-05-01 -0.65411670498505730000
1961-06-01 0.61069856567210700000
1961-07-01 1.49840893312530030000
1961-08-01 1.20100067842881940000
1961-09-01 0.22825170365061030000
1961-10-01 -0.17764674622202120000
1961-11-01 0.67657919061968390000
1961-12-01 2.11525786983638040000
1962-01-01 2.56067083142783300000
1962-02-01 1.10269138652680300000
1962-03-01 -1.19084207143938770000
1962-04-01 -2.16112409095114360000
1962-05-01 -0.65126303399102390000
1962-06-01 1.95621643957554570000
1962-07-01 3.00484337219851660000
1962-08-01 1.11672317369852680000
1962-09-01 -2.09257625841614470000
1962-10-01 -3.68536150488290300000
1962-11-01 -2.22808262147897240000
1962-12-01 0.58366474424175570000
1963-01-01 1.76846724233149700000
1963-02-01 -0.04345429604201463000
1963-03-01 -3.10427222501799350000
1963-04-01 -3.81772352940281450000
1963-05-01 -0.21706041704192677000
1963-06-01 5.26638627994831100000
1963-07-01 7.62118035657704950000
1963-08-01 4.01826590597567500000
1963-09-01 -2.39164525995758900000
1963-10-01 -5.72190180488840800000
1963-11-01 -2.91118664388256180000
1963-12-01 2.92868113051639820000
1964-01-01 6.15370923253146900000
1964-02-01 3.94530015345706200000
1964-03-01 -1.00737735291771040000
1964-04-01 -3.82310408299413940000
1964-05-01 -2.10920359290259450000
1964-06-01 1.87911109202767970000
1964-07-01 3.69822521904498800000
1964-08-01 1.00029540459618180000
1964-09-01 -3.93890852871635740000
1964-10-01 -6.34129228758573300000
1964-11-01 -3.49108378125358900000
1964-12-01 2.02935115602963640000
1965-01-01 5.25346943600403600000
1965-02-01 3.54141754328310570000
1965-03-01 -0.77007224237000420000
1965-04-01 -3.32264681127231930000
1965-05-01 -1.88199564391771170000
1965-06-01 1.73302729914578780000
1965-07-01 4.24644621664072500000
1965-08-01 4.08072031433915000000
1965-09-01 2.43713582117922640000
1965-10-01 1.47256093094246650000
1965-11-01 2.16081647403524930000
1965-12-01 3.68721131983588800000
1966-01-01 3.85814115890279300000
1966-02-01 1.25129273990864440000
1966-03-01 -2.72721056973537570000
1966-04-01 -5.08867247001897300000
1966-05-01 -4.09847078673602400000
1966-06-01 -1.37857555145204770000
1966-07-01 0.49920181674012165000
1966-08-01 0.47453257645318160000
1966-09-01 -0.52412626209438840000
1966-10-01 -0.77642892842084270000
1966-11-01 0.52262288333442830000
1966-12-01 2.52221421411401200000
1967-01-01 3.17389908874287700000
1967-02-01 1.22877816734949040000
1967-03-01 -1.91861194220510270000
1967-04-01 -3.54211694774325240000
1967-05-01 -2.18651755180128200000
1967-06-01 0.58802253439247640000
1967-07-01 1.85558789008757530000
1967-08-01 0.11339081002304577000
1967-09-01 -3.08823020254128180000
1967-10-01 -4.50035461207131700000
1967-11-01 -2.25010919128914730000
1967-12-01 1.87515948609517120000
1968-01-01 4.66936760173493700000
1968-02-01 4.53435309069106650000
1968-03-01 2.82813732269998350000
1968-04-01 1.41879891937639300000
1968-05-01 0.84698492302992600000
1968-06-01 0.67049771939174420000
1968-07-01 -0.12649542149602136000
1968-08-01 -2.04648672006313340000
1968-09-01 -4.33328491779650500000
1968-10-01 -4.79467312397484500000
1968-11-01 -1.94032474584644370000
1968-12-01 2.37713524750077850000
1969-01-01 4.47144727054044000000
1969-02-01 2.30045693191511620000
1969-03-01 -1.91611895872624550000
1969-04-01 -4.32825433517397700000
1969-05-01 -3.09774599112137670000
1969-06-01 -0.07841097136775275000
1969-07-01 1.37763216569757470000
1969-08-01 -0.36707678825879480000
1969-09-01 -3.66931028174256960000
1969-10-01 -5.31605172604522650000
1969-11-01 -3.61773487620230900000
1969-12-01 -0.30290012966087476000
1970-01-01 1.64554609550793020000
1970-02-01 0.88926552384560260000
1970-03-01 -1.07827058265218720000
1970-04-01 -1.57207254338939870000
1970-05-01 0.62368339734308260000
1970-06-01 3.87276768746938460000
1970-07-01 4.53512735285077800000
1970-08-01 0.50806005012866040000
1970-09-01 -5.53231703000736000000
1970-10-01 -7.80583027765206100000
1970-11-01 -2.89555954684298300000
1970-12-01 5.45363561233028000000
1971-01-01 10.00422284282740800000
1971-02-01 6.79699526689454500000
1971-03-01 -0.42265769153783790000
1971-04-01 -5.13703781178608400000
1971-05-01 -4.17661251851295000000
1971-06-01 -0.08102219427418814000
1971-07-01 2.40492155297080630000
1971-08-01 0.83639483669794870000
1971-09-01 -3.11936404809463360000
1971-10-01 -5.82129338667912060000
1971-11-01 -5.10500149740647400000
1971-12-01 -2.22307187383102050000
1972-01-01 0.78456413231164930000
1972-02-01 3.03868486451232030000
1972-03-01 4.47818160231989100000
1972-04-01 4.55654286444726500000
1972-05-01 2.65308101498867400000
1972-06-01 -0.02567762975724546000
1972-07-01 -1.87144091555214430000
1972-08-01 -2.27931589386515080000
1972-09-01 -2.00794632373049500000
1972-10-01 -1.40347374022728500000
1972-11-01 -0.06776633984968544000
1972-12-01 1.75377556003864290000
1973-01-01 3.26826634181235700000
1973-02-01 3.77047003823827030000
1973-03-01 3.41932141563409430000
1973-04-01 1.80382789703851750000
1973-05-01 -1.58010701247688830000
1973-06-01 -5.42350228786029200000
1973-07-01 -6.80709296106200100000
1973-08-01 -3.95252232137756200000
1973-09-01 0.71247885368939850000
1973-10-01 2.84613282093165370000
1973-11-01 0.25819746124007725000
1973-12-01 -4.52518419091269600000
1974-01-01 -6.92925062183235150000
1974-02-01 -4.64067046284293800000
1974-03-01 -0.06081724633124657000
1974-04-01 2.28637219968330800000
1974-05-01 0.03163149156452161500
1974-06-01 -4.56560908989189100000
1974-07-01 -6.93425467327975500000
1974-08-01 -4.49564781850115100000
1974-09-01 0.53686070409651480000
1974-10-01 4.14378736727600300000
1974-11-01 4.27950013059985100000
1974-12-01 2.38487248122258100000
1975-01-01 0.93437945091309740000
1975-02-01 1.07090395555680300000
1975-03-01 2.28413976085440670000
1975-04-01 3.24451987970030200000
1975-05-01 3.09654488846154900000
1975-06-01 2.11864292816179000000
1975-07-01 0.96401465552582890000
1975-08-01 0.02638286705082895600
1975-09-01 -0.53457944095223400000
1975-10-01 -0.28465377015580134000
1975-11-01 1.10716016690645480000
1975-12-01 2.87817990332309300000
1976-01-01 3.47950037090975900000
1976-02-01 1.97390545002874830000
1976-03-01 -0.54595679608836840000
1976-04-01 -2.35029926194231640000
1976-05-01 -2.64650638609118300000
1976-06-01 -2.11532801359507430000
1976-07-01 -1.61676389182937120000
1976-08-01 -1.38316227599303200000
1976-09-01 -1.35108884224100300000
1976-10-01 -1.36020640759411070000
1976-11-01 -1.33283017591556390000
1976-12-01 -1.25835148577952680000
1977-01-01 -1.05547743492821060000
1977-02-01 -0.61314088559356140000
1977-03-01 -0.01447792609810553300
1977-04-01 0.86217984266723350000
1977-05-01 2.20491111548698630000
1977-06-01 3.72981406703938500000
1977-07-01 3.99528339912026500000
1977-08-01 1.69557593714366400000
1977-09-01 -2.04838000439402000000
1977-10-01 -5.07434442636903300000
1977-11-01 -6.07285469053744200000
1977-12-01 -5.60312699827928100000
1978-01-01 -3.36405984656740880000
1978-02-01 1.47134194686579560000
1978-03-01 7.18311121803913200000
1978-04-01 9.83231434750192600000
1978-05-01 6.85917658631209550000
1978-06-01 1.14924078563338530000
1978-07-01 -2.65375734868697540000
1978-08-01 -2.39775821993037660000
1978-09-01 0.08327382181653199000
1978-10-01 1.78010307270645700000
1978-11-01 1.30226127231922020000
1978-12-01 -0.56963744467024510000
1979-01-01 -2.32763246010813500000
1979-02-01 -3.15288738105067350000
1979-03-01 -3.15941527986784900000
1979-04-01 -2.35154820408770300000
1979-05-01 -0.59914966081938960000
1979-06-01 1.32748010979937740000
1979-07-01 2.11029781329575570000
1979-08-01 1.08523573574966180000
1979-09-01 -0.64042904092977220000
1979-10-01 -1.37271759817691020000
1979-11-01 -0.41456782525634683000
1979-12-01 1.22420311169420270000
1980-01-01 1.72760095891888030000
1980-02-01 0.20250365344676863000
1980-03-01 -2.18676448252485930000
1980-04-01 -3.39678193427149330000
1980-05-01 -2.46550604814031170000
1980-06-01 -0.62608533607325500000
1980-07-01 0.24735223113609260000
1980-08-01 -0.51194647715753570000
1980-09-01 -1.80856790921756130000
1980-10-01 -1.28454457567069400000
1980-11-01 2.35880255612898400000
1980-12-01 7.20749211200210700000
1981-01-01 8.60332543541588300000
1981-02-01 3.53583765478540050000
1981-03-01 -4.61126199988988450000
1981-04-01 -9.03884907717670700000
1981-05-01 -5.82571255871298200000
1981-06-01 1.45424951047406360000
1981-07-01 6.40739326783942700000
1981-08-01 5.71836856178507100000
1981-09-01 1.61503137519272830000
1981-10-01 -2.51344629221976900000
1981-11-01 -5.27462922699125900000
1981-12-01 -6.68011426045352400000
1982-01-01 -6.10538141900041900000
1982-02-01 -2.78295580760088900000
1982-03-01 1.47111395729311300000
1982-04-01 3.63180724739913000000
1982-05-01 2.17032795076589100000
1982-06-01 -0.95361356646332340000
1982-07-01 -2.80620709716042560000
1982-08-01 -2.16055529698946800000
1982-09-01 -0.25527656773548210000
1982-10-01 1.02299464166464400000
1982-11-01 0.91532009490994000000
1982-12-01 0.08464349067192374000
1983-01-01 -0.20191652546775193000
1983-02-01 0.69989219077353290000
1983-03-01 2.20627829500334060000
1983-04-01 2.95930437988334740000
1983-05-01 2.12488325526364900000
1983-06-01 0.46146961672766207000
1983-07-01 -0.60369058400566940000
1983-08-01 -0.32295533343933963000
1983-09-01 0.69728757464357330000
1983-10-01 1.37694661161707790000
1983-11-01 1.19204378779373550000
1983-12-01 0.50509438319186810000
1984-01-01 0.11601077390746352000
1984-02-01 0.49543642887606204000
1984-03-01 1.33666274545763500000
1984-04-01 1.86782706560871060000
1984-05-01 1.57344189860250980000
1984-06-01 0.74546877509466690000
1984-07-01 -0.05973451667616771000
1984-08-01 -0.52790339237456820000
1984-09-01 -0.66423754204374400000
1984-10-01 -0.41675443222920020000
1984-11-01 0.26411071208005654000
1984-12-01 0.98924411625602730000
1985-01-01 1.11895583568663900000
1985-02-01 0.37467895640291410000
1985-03-01 -0.63184661802745650000
1985-04-01 -0.64600585124786760000
1985-05-01 1.04313496829726860000
1985-06-01 3.44522081030764500000
1985-07-01 4.47914594171739200000
1985-08-01 2.91083514360283720000
1985-09-01 0.06924921054894609000
1985-10-01 -1.73784726153186140000
1985-11-01 -1.37000648114746460000
1985-12-01 0.15056430506306484000
1986-01-01 1.12183720190961740000
1986-02-01 0.76851633055304690000
1986-03-01 -0.33512308233024770000
1986-04-01 -0.99301631226597040000
1986-05-01 -0.53016465981609300000
1986-06-01 0.59411243353685060000
1986-07-01 1.28179788419064260000
1986-08-01 0.82670145498075380000
1986-09-01 -0.35255810910578240000
1986-10-01 -1.37070478660176630000
1986-11-01 -1.68553869717270350000
1986-12-01 -1.42751273285824490000
1987-01-01 -0.78810140519249490000
1987-02-01 0.13678092880589937000
1987-03-01 0.94629529668177230000
1987-04-01 0.86945900451459530000
1987-05-01 -0.49483471397392330000
1987-06-01 -2.24772078780813700000
1987-07-01 -2.60230734819243100000
1987-08-01 -0.56671078144295330000
1987-09-01 2.46768343770303500000
1987-10-01 3.78830089699542400000
1987-11-01 1.89680272222350220000
1987-12-01 -1.51921382229981970000
1988-01-01 -3.38271979339149300000
1988-02-01 -2.10234245215231970000
1988-03-01 0.78288013589470270000
1988-04-01 2.48175584692836230000
1988-05-01 1.57185360658179920000
1988-06-01 -0.75543577853340930000
1988-07-01 -2.19440973839714200000
1988-08-01 -1.49618325999805160000
1988-09-01 0.44994592256451740000
1988-10-01 1.93478947727312760000
1988-11-01 2.03812414938494960000
1988-12-01 1.22349292438250080000
1989-01-01 0.37537281840043530000
1989-02-01 -0.03745504701822492000
1989-03-01 0.01038617124082970300
1989-04-01 0.51002120886597830000
1989-05-01 1.43389282611942330000
1989-06-01 2.33751107518818600000
1989-07-01 2.26825670653083900000
1989-08-01 0.64243697410874050000
1989-09-01 -1.59988503513372770000
1989-10-01 -2.65348105787903470000
1989-11-01 -1.50864062809403570000
1989-12-01 0.69200020454621370000
1990-01-01 2.03490715016689630000
1990-02-01 1.60702113509902730000
1990-03-01 0.25212824805595510000
1990-04-01 -0.71062417375919510000
1990-05-01 -0.73458840802200410000
1990-06-01 -0.24147760544067873000
1990-07-01 -0.12771875977893524000
1990-08-01 -0.89852993903793240000
1990-09-01 -2.15523208792958300000
1990-10-01 -2.84578380474311880000
1990-11-01 -2.25190834459288500000
1990-12-01 -0.91568475191730920000
1991-01-01 0.34172769265048350000
1991-02-01 1.18487962593424560000
1991-03-01 1.70078439253181780000
1991-04-01 1.66785610540290770000
1991-05-01 0.72566720330181260000
1991-06-01 -0.65117301224801140000
1991-07-01 -1.67378213923737040000
1991-08-01 -1.91452713913178040000
1991-09-01 -1.66026721532625300000
1991-10-01 -0.88249191202191710000
1991-11-01 0.71248641872153550000
1991-12-01 2.61862791830189460000
1992-01-01 3.54175159181617600000
1992-02-01 2.57272666344713900000
1992-03-01 0.61842686916940460000
1992-04-01 -0.77515858979522490000
1992-05-01 -0.81388008436019540000
1992-06-01 -0.00034553348855993353
1992-07-01 0.93680158597565620000
1992-08-01 1.68899017448578500000
1992-09-01 2.10723904662065650000
1992-10-01 1.60699732539669100000
1992-11-01 -0.28263002412360433000
1992-12-01 -2.66957074423772770000
1993-01-01 -3.82271614483891700000
1993-02-01 -2.76755714299532800000
1993-03-01 -0.69534378068974570000
1993-04-01 0.51645492795945620000
1993-05-01 0.05408895332105365000
1993-06-01 -1.21288506525612900000
1993-07-01 -1.75456364109941560000
1993-08-01 -0.83676049502739780000
1993-09-01 0.78739256605865910000
1993-10-01 1.66079031963999340000
1993-11-01 1.01778856186728370000
1993-12-01 -0.36500446974965634000
1994-01-01 -1.06922340869676100000
1994-02-01 -0.39802810099631014000
1994-03-01 0.93303881722913940000
1994-04-01 1.42723153297060730000
1994-05-01 0.24013450763417624000
1994-06-01 -1.77290606585248440000
1994-07-01 -2.86304116981020400000
1994-08-01 -2.04114861052800100000
1994-09-01 -0.23000358042350835000
1994-10-01 0.81064514733522040000
1994-11-01 0.13830612223509944000
1994-12-01 -1.47779025113762020000
1995-01-01 -2.59240066075548770000
1995-02-01 -2.44412362719596480000
1995-03-01 -1.53727665780208360000
1995-04-01 -0.63172853384787380000
1995-05-01 -0.00923063203575986500
1995-06-01 0.36940343120900565000
1995-07-01 0.44918062336481024000
1995-08-01 0.08372768730556317000
1995-09-01 -0.49460237112539357000
1995-10-01 -0.90791330107611090000
1995-11-01 -0.92611344518499100000
1995-12-01 -0.64835103503433490000
1996-01-01 -0.00168683638153586660
1996-02-01 1.14520543975593550000
1996-03-01 2.39303248730047760000
1996-04-01 2.74877386943423500000
1996-05-01 1.57019428684563310000
1996-06-01 -0.25825014862157897000
1996-07-01 -1.20843904248352160000
1996-08-01 -0.54726720607398240000
1996-09-01 0.83592315705558730000
1996-10-01 1.29001368572969620000
1996-11-01 -0.03283334507307587000
1996-12-01 -2.18829442484323120000
1997-01-01 -3.09845486896304130000
1997-02-01 -1.49871545864545390000
1997-03-01 1.39617978201149140000
1997-04-01 3.25604007334180000000
1997-05-01 2.79425036010910070000
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