Federal Reserve Economic Data

Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Irregular Component of GDP

Title Brave-Butters-Kelley Irregular Component of GDP
Series ID BBKMIR
Source Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center
Release Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes
Seasonal Adjustment Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period
Date Range 1960-01-01 to 2024-06-01
Last Updated 2024-09-30 7:31 AM CDT
Notes The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth.

The irregular component of GDP is expressed in annualized real GDP growth equivalent units.

For more details, see also:
Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422
Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1
DATE VALUE
1960-01-01 7.757392286050766000
1960-02-01 4.545911863053545000
1960-03-01 -1.897486435396793000
1960-04-01 -5.351075528090346000
1960-05-01 -2.717538018268975500
1960-06-01 2.906994413807326300
1960-07-01 5.643105797837691000
1960-08-01 2.476417163959635300
1960-09-01 -3.601417670286561000
1960-10-01 -6.787353489644750000
1960-11-01 -4.039920483590403000
1960-12-01 1.649447997287710000
1961-01-01 5.195955556909205500
1961-02-01 4.304728412793732000
1961-03-01 1.196949175206719600
1961-04-01 -0.899345393346762900
1961-05-01 -0.856105251721877900
1961-06-01 0.266811404963141430
1961-07-01 0.944722330942544300
1961-08-01 0.665218431456599500
1961-09-01 -0.095446874155965500
1961-10-01 -0.313160019427534300
1961-11-01 0.587763629149018000
1961-12-01 2.033664972215526200
1962-01-01 2.567760275803727200
1962-02-01 1.258155619188079400
1962-03-01 -0.944739241881398700
1962-04-01 -1.949189955570893800
1962-05-01 -0.536861347976433100
1962-06-01 2.047189858377226000
1962-07-01 3.168345022136971300
1962-08-01 1.337150039018632600
1962-09-01 -1.928705910024646600
1962-10-01 -3.679829636984385500
1962-11-01 -2.372837486248192500
1962-12-01 0.418508537608014600
1963-01-01 1.734850628200017800
1963-02-01 0.081964372057029920
1963-03-01 -3.002947808148940500
1963-04-01 -3.930468548237507000
1963-05-01 -0.514588025811417600
1963-06-01 5.006637694013365400
1963-07-01 7.567326918951983000
1963-08-01 4.141233224429093000
1963-09-01 -2.209784375933782000
1963-10-01 -5.548013884503947500
1963-11-01 -2.761587618849491000
1963-12-01 3.031778927785506300
1964-01-01 6.182878135447941000
1964-02-01 3.938691447606214000
1964-03-01 -0.961026716027189600
1964-04-01 -3.668192975434775000
1964-05-01 -1.889756964272711000
1964-06-01 2.094468854565611600
1964-07-01 3.836241869658929500
1964-08-01 1.000011342660680700
1964-09-01 -4.084674253358935000
1964-10-01 -6.512765580700368000
1964-11-01 -3.519079261985907000
1964-12-01 2.145682398329851600
1965-01-01 5.352305322304621500
1965-02-01 3.520183919411657300
1965-03-01 -0.804830707513724400
1965-04-01 -3.153950830504109000
1965-05-01 -1.429720808056774500
1965-06-01 2.318085963213720000
1965-07-01 4.731147423165667000
1965-08-01 4.374010258763870000
1965-09-01 2.637676015497816000
1965-10-01 1.673140035725461500
1965-11-01 2.314675016638010300
1965-12-01 3.749046258117245200
1966-01-01 3.861255609785352300
1966-02-01 1.274540463242993700
1966-03-01 -2.638336581097276300
1966-04-01 -4.909827974277907000
1966-05-01 -3.828878172488295700
1966-06-01 -1.092801756425420700
1966-07-01 0.768716554930142100
1966-08-01 0.826398330416614000
1966-09-01 -0.005797432269537320
1966-10-01 -0.144611068539637820
1966-11-01 1.132645290820250400
1966-12-01 3.097448344520809600
1967-01-01 3.768212020382149400
1967-02-01 1.820098327331163700
1967-03-01 -1.404849005008178000
1967-04-01 -3.150299036552444000
1967-05-01 -1.895104707571700500
1967-06-01 0.827969095970126800
1967-07-01 2.068902970852964700
1967-08-01 0.295660974747457950
1967-09-01 -2.955340920694760000
1967-10-01 -4.385920295896924000
1967-11-01 -2.103373285155037300
1967-12-01 2.011261386491219000
1968-01-01 4.742225247650695000
1968-02-01 4.626451588808926000
1968-03-01 3.097619860180184800
1968-04-01 1.833522708519576700
1968-05-01 1.136419134791282900
1968-06-01 0.715807520608786700
1968-07-01 -0.155988663964149760
1968-08-01 -1.930178694585935600
1968-09-01 -4.125576820914351000
1968-10-01 -4.696306060304263000
1968-11-01 -2.004027057518409400
1968-12-01 2.269815981451448500
1969-01-01 4.427862275690533000
1969-02-01 2.306505573670275300
1969-03-01 -1.908288237769879000
1969-04-01 -4.325323745242810000
1969-05-01 -3.085000673228747000
1969-06-01 -0.050681694344217120
1969-07-01 1.416561435702630400
1969-08-01 -0.309540037080965800
1969-09-01 -3.600449429466802000
1969-10-01 -5.245872307548595000
1969-11-01 -3.542971524843357000
1969-12-01 -0.200646033498603970
1970-01-01 1.828260556381571500
1970-02-01 1.191750947431073000
1970-03-01 -0.738517137713115700
1970-04-01 -1.349129339735156700
1970-05-01 0.691193724859519600
1970-06-01 4.000856633625099000
1970-07-01 4.904680667456779000
1970-08-01 0.974582357997343000
1970-09-01 -5.294160291674740000
1970-10-01 -7.866707073530893000
1970-11-01 -2.963855103232090000
1970-12-01 5.597534494633837000
1971-01-01 10.207059251783390000
1971-02-01 6.760496999983528000
1971-03-01 -0.663350997808635900
1971-04-01 -5.251919111598086000
1971-05-01 -3.995997997538011300
1971-06-01 0.168965724083023270
1971-07-01 2.343219948482204000
1971-08-01 0.370003747320321900
1971-09-01 -3.685230194697865600
1971-10-01 -6.062848949047364000
1971-11-01 -4.920184042439391000
1971-12-01 -1.992648582643345000
1972-01-01 0.659557868280170600
1972-02-01 2.632047146260921600
1972-03-01 4.218598052063001000
1972-04-01 4.648803815092970000
1972-05-01 2.815440481606157300
1972-06-01 -0.105362617724592800
1972-07-01 -2.225215064117898000
1972-08-01 -2.743307923425551700
1972-09-01 -2.478781846176909000
1972-10-01 -1.825881686701600000
1972-11-01 -0.374613931072287240
1972-12-01 1.483725102942055700
1973-01-01 2.838566002802262600
1973-02-01 3.120912205276158000
1973-03-01 2.835261639583950000
1973-04-01 1.566104751706082900
1973-05-01 -1.612824103277092000
1973-06-01 -5.681579482465487000
1973-07-01 -7.497539463059527000
1973-08-01 -4.812116888977475000
1973-09-01 0.051211643121864900
1973-10-01 2.470412907918709000
1973-11-01 -0.041094477270127230
1973-12-01 -4.958133942897797000
1974-01-01 -7.475134650344168500
1974-02-01 -5.119374881802596000
1974-03-01 -0.374078394309948600
1974-04-01 2.052868246841260500
1974-05-01 -0.249629947112729900
1974-06-01 -4.881445677737065000
1974-07-01 -7.000832296986660000
1974-08-01 -3.972057389172609000
1974-09-01 1.609448510941589200
1974-10-01 5.305310434734680000
1974-11-01 5.093097629518350000
1974-12-01 2.923339559611911400
1975-01-01 1.521354728454468000
1975-02-01 1.767774065779930800
1975-03-01 2.859954871097622000
1975-04-01 3.457009532703813700
1975-05-01 2.972059253904412400
1975-06-01 1.921489060450413300
1975-07-01 0.920292664859043800
1975-08-01 0.089154844590605380
1975-09-01 -0.626252754146911300
1975-10-01 -0.668064226518292300
1975-11-01 0.602270695455128600
1975-12-01 2.495387121936060000
1976-01-01 3.267499215885411300
1976-02-01 1.786967847746718600
1976-03-01 -0.796589261255175400
1976-04-01 -2.587807449526634300
1976-05-01 -2.758554284946450600
1976-06-01 -2.123959105494356000
1976-07-01 -1.640299056482277300
1976-08-01 -1.487668546406113700
1976-09-01 -1.506623000366196200
1976-10-01 -1.534530305131304600
1976-11-01 -1.564845618309160400
1976-12-01 -1.592118617627346700
1977-01-01 -1.436984379707961600
1977-02-01 -0.913909130247255600
1977-03-01 -0.205838683602015270
1977-04-01 0.738433337565030000
1977-05-01 2.152175591431342700
1977-06-01 3.790891717854343000
1977-07-01 4.072232116163331000
1977-08-01 1.587243521571380700
1977-09-01 -2.276830206006500700
1977-10-01 -5.104076193732067000
1977-11-01 -5.752306049333985000
1977-12-01 -5.276579057307888000
1978-01-01 -3.401720838034225000
1978-02-01 1.207671845915637000
1978-03-01 7.112865437935264000
1978-04-01 10.052385309526343000
1978-05-01 7.019518598422141000
1978-06-01 1.058493651701341700
1978-07-01 -2.811702403102460700
1978-08-01 -2.400437857658255700
1978-09-01 0.139211577673839400
1978-10-01 1.614478100063671700
1978-11-01 0.852846296685216700
1978-12-01 -1.044759887458542900
1979-01-01 -2.539426500492341000
1979-02-01 -3.131186917711823400
1979-03-01 -3.238241698077367400
1979-04-01 -2.777453671036320200
1979-05-01 -1.241318872495043700
1979-06-01 0.790031382000862300
1979-07-01 1.856056483100040000
1979-08-01 1.012686677752925800
1979-09-01 -0.747789534461369200
1979-10-01 -1.627274067353016200
1979-11-01 -0.745739720255634100
1979-12-01 0.985950712178859300
1980-01-01 1.755233508996117300
1980-02-01 0.589078829733752500
1980-03-01 -1.515546711504195000
1980-04-01 -2.778629469830011400
1980-05-01 -2.350131391849019000
1980-06-01 -1.106569587758421200
1980-07-01 -0.417621587237814800
1980-08-01 -0.820723132756186500
1980-09-01 -1.727837142105784300
1980-10-01 -1.199040657079493100
1980-11-01 2.183245478617608500
1980-12-01 6.925772078323883000
1981-01-01 8.425549707132140000
1981-02-01 3.388466286051046000
1981-03-01 -4.843068364094037000
1981-04-01 -9.172458457437276000
1981-05-01 -5.547399900853578000
1981-06-01 2.015966147023865700
1981-07-01 6.751060582850123000
1981-08-01 5.620923653359575000
1981-09-01 1.538909031919459400
1981-10-01 -2.013025548586197600
1981-11-01 -4.322616165909586500
1981-12-01 -5.945041945470017000
1982-01-01 -6.004795006621956000
1982-02-01 -3.024523099629450300
1982-03-01 1.401888982112581000
1982-04-01 3.941221815828874800
1982-05-01 2.703371767368929000
1982-06-01 -0.377445124861233660
1982-07-01 -2.290392312976126000
1982-08-01 -1.828633988202744300
1982-09-01 -0.195903206286989900
1982-10-01 0.881382084633487600
1982-11-01 0.811439477478121200
1982-12-01 0.172846271835316670
1983-01-01 -0.007526919341966824
1983-02-01 0.755760786036249000
1983-03-01 1.984438774780995700
1983-04-01 2.533163666921859000
1983-05-01 1.691211761834248000
1983-06-01 0.162108786062642150
1983-07-01 -0.763162591044846100
1983-08-01 -0.445687596720920070
1983-09-01 0.489725221744184370
1983-10-01 1.069941945470401300
1983-11-01 0.908754835227684000
1983-12-01 0.375819965983030970
1984-01-01 0.177288151577297880
1984-02-01 0.676679698587964500
1984-03-01 1.527387424959142100
1984-04-01 1.999813359148204100
1984-05-01 1.680854650878293300
1984-06-01 0.959655387928809200
1984-07-01 0.354716215331207200
1984-08-01 0.018184122220497877
1984-09-01 -0.168883029809143940
1984-10-01 -0.125761060169325870
1984-11-01 0.349251302339268300
1984-12-01 1.018075293505039000
1985-01-01 1.269557938587464500
1985-02-01 0.707426036835334700
1985-03-01 -0.235400860381341560
1985-04-01 -0.342202538219514960
1985-05-01 1.218749939425721700
1985-06-01 3.583856393103835600
1985-07-01 4.652840008281359000
1985-08-01 3.102506201284014300
1985-09-01 0.268141413079704850
1985-10-01 -1.486147712010705200
1985-11-01 -1.033799212631737200
1985-12-01 0.509881257868872500
1986-01-01 1.373113935189210500
1986-02-01 0.828727160911567400
1986-03-01 -0.417074658652658100
1986-04-01 -1.068185737724812500
1986-05-01 -0.484340040586525500
1986-06-01 0.718145082121303900
1986-07-01 1.309621004243616300
1986-08-01 0.626791456259624500
1986-09-01 -0.700477294774218600
1986-10-01 -1.639400230804597000
1986-11-01 -1.742634002909207300
1986-12-01 -1.408634266092957000
1987-01-01 -0.936803895756523200
1987-02-01 -0.243089272713429170
1987-03-01 0.528624027060631600
1987-04-01 0.624292004099590300
1987-05-01 -0.594718785936285600
1987-06-01 -2.429160064958528800
1987-07-01 -2.972989165045734000
1987-08-01 -0.942836276052404900
1987-09-01 2.329347243107041000
1987-10-01 3.876776679821133000
1987-11-01 1.942913332873428700
1987-12-01 -1.693516483611485800
1988-01-01 -3.681404374101820300
1988-02-01 -2.310844186143523000
1988-03-01 0.716044154829731600
1988-04-01 2.427980448903901000
1988-05-01 1.435556404227248200
1988-06-01 -0.901036022007535200
1988-07-01 -2.214422753648898000
1988-08-01 -1.402686312928035400
1988-09-01 0.475277761688593540
1988-10-01 1.741548173542935000
1988-11-01 1.710367803074880100
1988-12-01 1.015949033333297700
1989-01-01 0.506537607642639000
1989-02-01 0.429172344618331760
1989-03-01 0.590444327538066100
1989-04-01 0.921080276286505500
1989-05-01 1.543267230753688800
1989-06-01 2.283294241190702200
1989-07-01 2.280789210466872000
1989-08-01 0.812526255202645200
1989-09-01 -1.358269899116537200
1989-10-01 -2.464769010433047300
1989-11-01 -1.428058876487906300
1989-12-01 0.657283244124790800
1990-01-01 1.896040057355404600
1990-02-01 1.407938914125811400
1990-03-01 0.066309119184842090
1990-04-01 -0.849635222375004700
1990-05-01 -0.883055049025958400
1990-06-01 -0.477105894046216400
1990-07-01 -0.440415448266037800
1990-08-01 -1.168474858087329600
1990-09-01 -2.277060357915624000
1990-10-01 -2.784986861068340000
1990-11-01 -2.055706137877224600
1990-12-01 -0.707793410705990000
1991-01-01 0.418059703504349200
1991-02-01 1.064787263975766500
1991-03-01 1.462594424014713700
1991-04-01 1.404765837991791300
1991-05-01 0.442316363570078530
1991-06-01 -0.961672586194189000
1991-07-01 -1.926941145301499500
1991-08-01 -1.993644379786709600
1991-09-01 -1.607910799818043000
1991-10-01 -0.867389644108505200
1991-11-01 0.569598229417777200
1991-12-01 2.338271873832096000
1992-01-01 3.198723043165982000
1992-02-01 2.221285903608231300
1992-03-01 0.336498744381431300
1992-04-01 -0.888702208076077100
1992-05-01 -0.747828756106243600
1992-06-01 0.083407962599881450
1992-07-01 0.819545403623203600
1992-08-01 1.314572495443549800
1992-09-01 1.664428378281559200
1992-10-01 1.321838220801492700
1992-11-01 -0.378128060495166500
1992-12-01 -2.723098467867566300
1993-01-01 -3.953177665939199500
1993-02-01 -2.946594331853860000
1993-03-01 -0.850649307324841900
1993-04-01 0.403096213295758000
1993-05-01 -0.049117947415795820
1993-06-01 -1.335984973371488400
1993-07-01 -1.888337242262402500
1993-08-01 -0.947036358312296200
1993-09-01 0.725763189087352700
1993-10-01 1.618639171823826000
1993-11-01 0.924160493096542600
1993-12-01 -0.548970706114133500
1994-01-01 -1.328370268267012900
1994-02-01 -0.694208971227125300
1994-03-01 0.632546693857734500
1994-04-01 1.123750489884200100
1994-05-01 -0.086461485004562470
1994-06-01 -2.132478188170750000
1994-07-01 -3.236619722227281200
1994-08-01 -2.416159893495455300
1994-09-01 -0.644668854331248900
1994-10-01 0.336679948610736250
1994-11-01 -0.309690089596177900
1994-12-01 -1.766416437709347900
1995-01-01 -2.648825259501353000
1995-02-01 -2.334348073016249400
1995-03-01 -1.417731961709608000
1995-04-01 -0.623126927134492100
1995-05-01 -0.106808423465386620
1995-06-01 0.261872899661633630
1995-07-01 0.400346739394879000
1995-08-01 0.086628758455661580
1995-09-01 -0.448794871598688140
1995-10-01 -0.794267194813101900
1995-11-01 -0.745088517360271300
1995-12-01 -0.490555210042813160
1996-01-01 0.024661671303807375
1996-02-01 1.042221739220451100
1996-03-01 2.289597373099328400
1996-04-01 2.747947101849462600
1996-05-01 1.631389535991576000
1996-06-01 -0.245599294162956840
1996-07-01 -1.289580688170913300
1996-08-01 -0.657842435087697200
1996-09-01 0.787554609837156100
1996-10-01 1.301818940466139800
1996-11-01 -0.066527014973906530
1996-12-01 -2.353557019679904300
1997-01-01 -3.303878314521720800
1997-02-01 -1.534283480750911000
1997-03-01 1.577255234571319600
1997-04-01 3.463045362317758000
1997-05-01 2.826069711278118600
1997-06-01 0.929282581720831900
1997-07-01 -0.575981257029076000
1997-08-01 -1.233949525794315000
1997-09-01 -1.452708231480058800
1997-10-01 -1.396060927988680400
1997-11-01 -0.821454999226504300
1997-12-01 -0.005378319947294158
1998-01-01 0.535421964615391400
1998-02-01 0.533783236089803900
1998-03-01 0.268818029699446200
1998-04-01 0.234062508221542300
1998-05-01 0.668344860453966500
1998-06-01 1.337951966253397600
1998-07-01 1.954187868900806000
1998-08-01 2.446875717186234000
1998-09-01 2.868295693762816000
1998-10-01 2.879432400581983600
1998-11-01 2.076217577082872000
1998-12-01 0.881058300150928800
1999-01-01 -0.041289628868701020
1999-02-01 -0.422243164741904300
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1999-04-01 -0.531679161607100000
1999-05-01 -0.212746437564892340
1999-06-01 0.278766974407633500
1999-07-01 0.985782166925103300
1999-08-01 2.073930741004476000
1999-09-01 3.309518225677672000
1999-10-01 3.188449124045962000
1999-11-01 0.387642205662261600
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2000-03-01 3.524917277355609400
2000-04-01 6.426863333055283000
2000-05-01 3.834593929632932300
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2003-01-01 0.336174936508991050
2003-02-01 0.762055058685505800
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2003-04-01 1.587645250900368500
2003-05-01 2.258711623647072000
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2009-01-01 5.330555260295761000
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2009-03-01 4.656230358270205000
2009-04-01 3.445376990458892200
2009-05-01 1.589018338271656700
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2009-11-01 1.744903047478242300
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2010-02-01 -1.759135749731685700
2010-03-01 -0.823709533876979600
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2010-05-01 0.114892366302919630
2010-06-01 0.117846614314345010
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2010-08-01 0.429377931233047900
2010-09-01 0.710316660130127600
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2011-01-01 -6.414202756053717000
2011-02-01 -4.128232980117192000
2011-03-01 -0.108243698533665500
2011-04-01 2.063917050253600000
2011-05-01 0.485059970669730560
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2011-07-01 -4.587543532777458000
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2012-02-01 -1.442229713402597000
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2014-07-01 1.445724880543906700
2014-08-01 0.085780148433309390
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2014-11-01 -1.062707182775638500
2014-12-01 0.968558158769852100
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2015-02-01 1.973827783013283500
2015-03-01 0.948531768065413700
2015-04-01 0.126414639575361420
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2015-06-01 -0.457614672145567340
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2016-02-01 1.034242318665008300
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2016-04-01 -1.039297078196513400
2016-05-01 -0.509674005211543900
2016-06-01 0.642434201629840300
2016-07-01 1.353141728213753200
2016-08-01 1.150509616121146000
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2018-02-01 -1.298946316148385400
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2018-12-01 0.057316321592540340
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2019-02-01 1.353686545731264000
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2019-04-01 0.628756886350854400
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2020-06-01 15.826158297747900000
2020-07-01 32.172317653300080000
2020-08-01 23.930034190700347000
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2022-10-01 2.778881304954035000
2022-11-01 2.447313842303114700
2022-12-01 1.814481073665076700
2023-01-01 1.333582151891794500
2023-02-01 1.174198049731963300
2023-03-01 1.178331998785841800
2023-04-01 1.318923275185287700
2023-05-01 1.728074593448625700
2023-06-01 2.268797583391332000
2023-07-01 2.618441203824530400
2023-08-01 2.574004711791078000
2023-09-01 2.328001482715082600
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2024-03-01 1.739243207723540500
2024-04-01 2.264841777412084000
2024-05-01 1.416417771506011600
2024-06-01 -0.106580392795372830

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