Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Irregular Component of GDP

Title Brave-Butters-Kelley Irregular Component of GDP
Series ID BBKMIR
Source Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center
Release Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes
Seasonal Adjustment Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period
Date Range 1960-01-01 to 2026-06-01
Last Updated 2026-08-03 2:54 PM CDT
Notes The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth.

The irregular component of GDP is expressed in annualized real GDP growth equivalent units.

For more details, see also:
Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422
Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1
DATE VALUE
1960-01-01 6.811994547678671000000
1960-02-01 3.540060863135341000000
1960-03-01 -2.525628242731156300000
1960-04-01 -5.681931028396784000000
1960-05-01 -3.061439753132103000000
1960-06-01 2.389288324682532000000
1960-07-01 5.068949143705224000000
1960-08-01 2.029802003661212800000
1960-09-01 -3.919219338254660300000
1960-10-01 -7.152792791081492000000
1960-11-01 -4.540779771570304000000
1960-12-01 1.205606882514246500000
1961-01-01 5.114275828634106000000
1961-02-01 4.649470269433702000000
1961-03-01 1.688086597351148300000
1961-04-01 -0.549095242261145800000
1961-05-01 -0.605717125595251400000
1961-06-01 0.670220647350127400000
1961-07-01 1.575800839295630400000
1961-08-01 1.279709657838240800000
1961-09-01 0.292440384345308500000
1961-10-01 -0.125773849442496200000
1961-11-01 0.729488077185313800000
1961-12-01 2.174385339077656600000
1962-01-01 2.618790144806607800000
1962-02-01 1.153008309198655000000
1962-03-01 -1.145254218687041800000
1962-04-01 -2.110346943000342000000
1962-05-01 -0.591469180466860000000
1962-06-01 2.018507082667018600000
1962-07-01 3.059665686194795500000
1962-08-01 1.163305737296227700000
1962-09-01 -2.045624119643996600000
1962-10-01 -3.627031491435422300000
1962-11-01 -2.157039511635055400000
1962-12-01 0.657155397877051800000
1963-01-01 1.829140237879382600000
1963-02-01 -0.000005777089147981394
1963-03-01 -3.064017775110606600000
1963-04-01 -3.763078601391076600000
1963-05-01 -0.149179341257878100000
1963-06-01 5.330543221300208000000
1963-07-01 7.669834492236091000000
1963-08-01 4.060939041299328000000
1963-09-01 -2.342520180610362600000
1963-10-01 -5.664603719473589000000
1963-11-01 -2.856050894493644200000
1963-12-01 2.978146472028683000000
1964-01-01 6.201377152169381000000
1964-02-01 3.995540261806178600000
1964-03-01 -0.958615363058355900000
1964-04-01 -3.779831385721380300000
1964-05-01 -2.069563489178928000000
1964-06-01 1.921035277612926500000
1964-07-01 3.745644580622070400000
1964-08-01 1.053430200516720900000
1964-09-01 -3.883684616226621000000
1964-10-01 -6.289574012736186000000
1964-11-01 -3.448344394980511500000
1964-12-01 2.069115830248688000000
1965-01-01 5.300560698340403000000
1965-02-01 3.598733180763292500000
1965-03-01 -0.715692180985105900000
1965-04-01 -3.285387359386774600000
1965-05-01 -1.861486575982330700000
1965-06-01 1.753945770480920000000
1965-07-01 4.280796956633480500000
1965-08-01 4.123492869528699000000
1965-09-01 2.472884754802651600000
1965-10-01 1.496716460642655000000
1965-11-01 2.184528800295939000000
1965-12-01 3.719534921252682500000
1966-01-01 3.897953161839202700000
1966-02-01 1.293448216241460400000
1966-03-01 -2.687723706034657000000
1966-04-01 -5.054812314870384000000
1966-05-01 -4.071383062577648000000
1966-06-01 -1.351546128155128900000
1966-07-01 0.530360676050952700000
1966-08-01 0.505087355701152600000
1966-09-01 -0.500116782257385400000
1966-10-01 -0.757340346949691000000
1966-11-01 0.542497426696335200000
1966-12-01 2.542191421348059000000
1967-01-01 3.188754178454846300000
1967-02-01 1.238543502505170800000
1967-03-01 -1.909647980429425300000
1967-04-01 -3.529565903071727500000
1967-05-01 -2.171155100791827500000
1967-06-01 0.603627032195999000000
1967-07-01 1.870387755682957300000
1967-08-01 0.130406807080965720000
1967-09-01 -3.067098573935056500000
1967-10-01 -4.478943869745416000000
1967-11-01 -2.236612137965082000000
1967-12-01 1.882480686646451400000
1968-01-01 4.676954796772024000000
1968-02-01 4.542726752920605000000
1968-03-01 2.828452786459705300000
1968-04-01 1.410170849505815400000
1968-05-01 0.842002183306804500000
1968-06-01 0.674088339728670100000
1968-07-01 -0.123769484213170310000
1968-08-01 -2.053399952309342700000
1968-09-01 -4.341605112422913000000
1968-10-01 -4.792377387193066000000
1968-11-01 -1.932352764703421800000
1968-12-01 2.377245216146449000000
1969-01-01 4.457927514071589000000
1969-02-01 2.283110757928936000000
1969-03-01 -1.928971619770563300000
1969-04-01 -4.335413412177218500000
1969-05-01 -3.103244279941019000000
1969-06-01 -0.084685155675110500000
1969-07-01 1.368707977334118000000
1969-08-01 -0.379553325117528540000
1969-09-01 -3.684325929001569000000
1969-10-01 -5.329397159146247500000
1969-11-01 -3.626560986890113000000
1969-12-01 -0.307970424631220150000
1970-01-01 1.636893075923427700000
1970-02-01 0.870788276118041500000
1970-03-01 -1.101342454264007800000
1970-04-01 -1.585765001238491800000
1970-05-01 0.623837238564983200000
1970-06-01 3.870867497698791600000
1970-07-01 4.514128786817880500000
1970-08-01 0.475395663313952400000
1970-09-01 -5.554448167038616500000
1970-10-01 -7.809564216878567000000
1970-11-01 -2.900955758008839400000
1970-12-01 5.433146029786415000000
1971-01-01 9.979218190723888000000
1971-02-01 6.789190153867045000000
1971-03-01 -0.420034046222729660000
1971-04-01 -5.149898161686317000000
1971-05-01 -4.217010762716046000000
1971-06-01 -0.126645110125361200000
1971-07-01 2.386074715560853000000
1971-08-01 0.851244317545673200000
1971-09-01 -3.099638255838359000000
1971-10-01 -5.833407254370615500000
1971-11-01 -5.157409274590473000000
1971-12-01 -2.281562407332845300000
1972-01-01 0.757150589343492900000
1972-02-01 3.040792092439904000000
1972-03-01 4.474528523157220000000
1972-04-01 4.523382907921358000000
1972-05-01 2.605241962314101000000
1972-06-01 -0.063730124269117990000
1972-07-01 -1.891186630601057400000
1972-08-01 -2.290532622574344000000
1972-09-01 -2.021312058980555000000
1972-10-01 -1.427954196638617100000
1972-11-01 -0.109518749882365540000
1972-12-01 1.704664247436001000000
1973-01-01 3.234325064383009300000
1973-02-01 3.763864381428798600000
1973-03-01 3.418050346576037000000
1973-04-01 1.776716173341780400000
1973-05-01 -1.634285277727956800000
1973-06-01 -5.475050907007229000000
1973-07-01 -6.830860283165088000000
1973-08-01 -3.957243428481259000000
1973-09-01 0.702961963131593200000
1973-10-01 2.820024175539631400000
1973-11-01 0.226986899001356460000
1973-12-01 -4.547544412226048000000
1974-01-01 -6.942780761379337000000
1974-02-01 -4.659480752511365000000
1974-03-01 -0.091607107296845620000
1974-04-01 2.252632055601944000000
1974-05-01 0.011160052644547620000
1974-06-01 -4.572373705503546000000
1974-07-01 -6.943520288112032000000
1974-08-01 -4.522338127996600000000
1974-09-01 0.503925022362247100000
1974-10-01 4.126974039550585000000
1974-11-01 4.283800869730669000000
1974-12-01 2.387350187875717000000
1975-01-01 0.911676180146405500000
1975-02-01 1.026707237528963000000
1975-03-01 2.244184281866834500000
1975-04-01 3.231938506443141000000
1975-05-01 3.111538104656347000000
1975-06-01 2.138310678667220400000
1975-07-01 0.965364902701214000000
1975-08-01 0.008108516950426296000
1975-09-01 -0.552270290983027400000
1975-10-01 -0.286219191014158160000
1975-11-01 1.113673841579970300000
1975-12-01 2.874968601982834000000
1976-01-01 3.461697419810045000000
1976-02-01 1.954798217538195000000
1976-03-01 -0.557496764194878700000
1976-04-01 -2.357925130179929300000
1976-05-01 -2.657764135366565700000
1976-06-01 -2.128714728827371300000
1976-07-01 -1.627255574843150300000
1976-08-01 -1.392114358658465400000
1976-09-01 -1.363639518079489000000
1976-10-01 -1.376988687892081400000
1976-11-01 -1.347325626756633800000
1976-12-01 -1.264981046715110800000
1977-01-01 -1.056121505090421800000
1977-02-01 -0.614685973729652000000
1977-03-01 -0.018943260529167873000
1977-04-01 0.855425689752615800000
1977-05-01 2.193346822764953000000
1977-06-01 3.711064742875459700000
1977-07-01 3.979091303784280800000
1977-08-01 1.699171092047876000000
1977-09-01 -2.031356930884397300000
1977-10-01 -5.070585239000608000000
1977-11-01 -6.096586498790215000000
1977-12-01 -5.627942280319401000000
1978-01-01 -3.361523806670981600000
1978-02-01 1.488356166048348000000
1978-03-01 7.181565249132063000000
1978-04-01 9.805799053158994000000
1978-05-01 6.839667068414839500000
1978-06-01 1.152827874843772600000
1978-07-01 -2.643896576643298200000
1978-08-01 -2.406062088775166300000
1978-09-01 0.062000456314404914000
1978-10-01 1.771192536653936300000
1978-11-01 1.317690760563120300000
1978-12-01 -0.547981219166810400000
1979-01-01 -2.325248631803425300000
1979-02-01 -3.171345745419136000000
1979-03-01 -3.172692190660410600000
1979-04-01 -2.338540435186325700000
1979-05-01 -0.570620098001325800000
1979-06-01 1.343873581709965800000
1979-07-01 2.100101190820274200000
1979-08-01 1.061839124741588000000
1979-09-01 -0.654554476525801700000
1979-10-01 -1.364577669439165000000
1979-11-01 -0.388574064150199960000
1979-12-01 1.252683660851786600000
1980-01-01 1.744409039293291400000
1980-02-01 0.205603140020254680000
1980-03-01 -2.187295237609831600000
1980-04-01 -3.388834495442963200000
1980-05-01 -2.447777987866743400000
1980-06-01 -0.608984926596914900000
1980-07-01 0.250978277390988550000
1980-08-01 -0.521395625948049100000
1980-09-01 -1.812236817295588700000
1980-10-01 -1.265905794189399200000
1980-11-01 2.390484187261510600000
1980-12-01 7.226156017500251000000
1981-01-01 8.601335375291868000000
1981-02-01 3.538849800767230000000
1981-03-01 -4.586774976576626000000
1981-04-01 -9.009469511403115000000
1981-05-01 -5.821882677484535000000
1981-06-01 1.442866170807928700000
1981-07-01 6.420776077961376000000
1981-08-01 5.774498166417777000000
1981-09-01 1.674500281779135500000
1981-10-01 -2.499641198728252000000
1981-11-01 -5.303575548310140000000
1981-12-01 -6.699700995522724000000
1982-01-01 -6.077080056646636000000
1982-02-01 -2.725147266225766500000
1982-03-01 1.517896123204881000000
1982-04-01 3.651124160029025400000
1982-05-01 2.181590166984477700000
1982-06-01 -0.930876420769986600000
1982-07-01 -2.772564554564062700000
1982-08-01 -2.130084819211128400000
1982-09-01 -0.234059970459469300000
1982-10-01 1.040637896343038500000
1982-11-01 0.937727306576198300000
1982-12-01 0.113932551162214940000
1983-01-01 -0.168953045440702530000
1983-02-01 0.732889920034373800000
1983-03-01 2.238730602454128000000
1983-04-01 2.993269396361079700000
1983-05-01 2.162200367381429000000
1983-06-01 0.499032528460012100000
1983-07-01 -0.570876657127768400000
1983-08-01 -0.296015409515405300000
1983-09-01 0.724395237023529400000
1983-10-01 1.411317021982734500000
1983-11-01 1.234626965665395900000
1983-12-01 0.549438728291253500000
1984-01-01 0.153398751414199000000
1984-02-01 0.521917538495040600000
1984-03-01 1.357857269635415400000
1984-04-01 1.894990433571296000000
1984-05-01 1.613401716321617000000
1984-06-01 0.791178351334860800000
1984-07-01 -0.021095937039280695000
1984-08-01 -0.499955661535483430000
1984-09-01 -0.636006071973710100000
1984-10-01 -0.375614385101562200000
1984-11-01 0.317290707137469800000
1984-12-01 1.041413315300552700000
1985-01-01 1.158921897519424900000
1985-02-01 0.405501611348864000000
1985-03-01 -0.596592251989039600000
1985-04-01 -0.598612166496199200000
1985-05-01 1.094309409484470300000
1985-06-01 3.487549720571436300000
1985-07-01 4.511995781170205000000
1985-08-01 2.947595193801117600000
1985-09-01 0.116428833517839400000
1985-10-01 -1.687445221183545100000
1985-11-01 -1.327808829486758700000
1985-12-01 0.185274963848736900000
1986-01-01 1.158249735813993800000
1986-02-01 0.811570102706252400000
1986-03-01 -0.290712685294372940000
1986-04-01 -0.955744126028374300000
1986-05-01 -0.501700776888150400000
1986-06-01 0.622065080013255600000
1986-07-01 1.319780495914662600000
1986-08-01 0.876449109999813700000
1986-09-01 -0.303390571492641370000
1986-10-01 -1.336704005437785000000
1986-11-01 -1.667268321019924600000
1986-12-01 -1.407465880613261800000
1987-01-01 -0.749014093714258800000
1987-02-01 0.192102188779727120000
1987-03-01 0.996979112899098500000
1987-04-01 0.898995004937996000000
1987-05-01 -0.479935940455787200000
1987-06-01 -2.226110624947638000000
1987-07-01 -2.562083171499907500000
1987-08-01 -0.519474568813633900000
1987-09-01 2.503497539610607600000
1987-10-01 3.808619837335257000000
1987-11-01 1.916332360365609500000
1987-12-01 -1.489610727808922800000
1988-01-01 -3.347045433029922600000
1988-02-01 -2.072678762670874300000
1988-03-01 0.805530964333063900000
1988-04-01 2.507787569139778000000
1988-05-01 1.609933380569030600000
1988-06-01 -0.711881458102203900000
1988-07-01 -2.160495359159978000000
1988-08-01 -1.479006675274670700000
1988-09-01 0.462467099009155500000
1988-10-01 1.961233937419613300000
1988-11-01 2.083509674345361000000
1988-12-01 1.271905898704920000000
1989-01-01 0.407864854428002100000
1989-02-01 -0.021893440253698566000
1989-03-01 0.026979625083888965000
1989-04-01 0.542822659016193500000
1989-05-01 1.476845072028791000000
1989-06-01 2.370898453731933800000
1989-07-01 2.282889946481844400000
1989-08-01 0.651776311543491200000
1989-09-01 -1.578469122418843200000
1989-10-01 -2.619513618952936400000
1989-11-01 -1.479517016263947700000
1989-12-01 0.705691427857852800000
1990-01-01 2.040104782831580000000
1990-02-01 1.619048960446214600000
1990-03-01 0.275111405159984400000
1990-04-01 -0.683314351913851900000
1990-05-01 -0.709088279782801000000
1990-06-01 -0.217264174703671260000
1990-07-01 -0.100288716450569940000
1990-08-01 -0.865259212263635800000
1990-09-01 -2.118582877587513300000
1990-10-01 -2.813424789422159600000
1990-11-01 -2.231016614683644800000
1990-12-01 -0.902077150325027000000
1991-01-01 0.356682174077828300000
1991-02-01 1.202364672841878000000
1991-03-01 1.713503675828134300000
1991-04-01 1.674596889544562400000
1991-05-01 0.737256278733347900000
1991-06-01 -0.629418124984540000000
1991-07-01 -1.649522601228660300000
1991-08-01 -1.898639271745146800000
1991-09-01 -1.649847051349306000000
1991-10-01 -0.866607534827574900000
1991-11-01 0.737761902128189700000
1991-12-01 2.648648063217532700000
1992-01-01 3.569640193941165500000
1992-02-01 2.594207303727898000000
1992-03-01 0.627641425783130900000
1992-04-01 -0.778970915209011600000
1992-05-01 -0.819321729216252500000
1992-06-01 0.011116246698570753000
1992-07-01 0.969900517528290200000
1992-08-01 1.723706400815649000000
1992-09-01 2.116929110949939700000
1992-10-01 1.591547899365729300000
1992-11-01 -0.289133444986998330000
1992-12-01 -2.637188603987765700000
1993-01-01 -3.760409013345044000000
1993-02-01 -2.718131245260816000000
1993-03-01 -0.686111979273069700000
1993-04-01 0.494125117782448600000
1993-05-01 0.029009425698278940000
1993-06-01 -1.223285914934719000000
1993-07-01 -1.753299197574498700000
1993-08-01 -0.836484634924435700000
1993-09-01 0.778848095597013400000
1993-10-01 1.649922633812707800000
1993-11-01 1.021321538499503100000
1993-12-01 -0.338329294948043000000
1994-01-01 -1.029245654514644200000
1994-02-01 -0.366987744263046870000
1994-03-01 0.942659178547883200000
1994-04-01 1.422111052016257000000
1994-05-01 0.238079944202463760000
1994-06-01 -1.762684161920196300000
1994-07-01 -2.846544275830236000000
1994-08-01 -2.030994029364755700000
1994-09-01 -0.229044546129116100000
1994-10-01 0.811507763559999500000
1994-11-01 0.149567769493759000000
1994-12-01 -1.458014206150480200000
1995-01-01 -2.574669907566221000000
1995-02-01 -2.434815700894067000000
1995-03-01 -1.530226915941090800000
1995-04-01 -0.620117019940433600000
1995-05-01 0.002644180801302631800
1995-06-01 0.372417764503662040000
1995-07-01 0.442895767470933450000
1995-08-01 0.078560970242141950000
1995-09-01 -0.492973769197591950000
1995-10-01 -0.903213578236319400000
1995-11-01 -0.922902146059036400000
1995-12-01 -0.642089852087099700000
1996-01-01 0.013552224179380994000
1996-02-01 1.164525922083830200000
1996-03-01 2.404037756809472000000
1996-04-01 2.746712009748544200000
1996-05-01 1.566284892025431500000
1996-06-01 -0.250905763755856900000
1996-07-01 -1.186548843979318000000
1996-08-01 -0.519035974804504500000
1996-09-01 0.861104561212761600000
1996-10-01 1.308987985753727400000
1996-11-01 -0.015912091465835120000
1996-12-01 -2.168559743022216000000
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