Federal Reserve Economic Data

Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Irregular Component of GDP

Title Brave-Butters-Kelley Irregular Component of GDP
Series ID BBKMIR
Source Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center
Release Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes
Seasonal Adjustment Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Annualized Percent Change from Preceding Period
Date Range 1960-01-01 to 2025-06-01
Last Updated 2025-09-29 7:31 AM CDT
Notes The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth.

The irregular component of GDP is expressed in annualized real GDP growth equivalent units.

For more details, see also:
Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422
Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity, Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1
DATE VALUE
1960-01-01 6.7818907998682000000
1960-02-01 3.5613206677570820000
1960-03-01 -2.5125282648331564000
1960-04-01 -5.6944150835529940000
1960-05-01 -3.0780697661169936000
1960-06-01 2.3791684832375780000
1960-07-01 5.0408416455839350000
1960-08-01 1.9500601830312012000
1960-09-01 -4.0329672440852610000
1960-10-01 -7.2294538097489140000
1960-11-01 -4.5261219914125830000
1960-12-01 1.2554483212448595000
1961-01-01 5.0918635107349860000
1961-02-01 4.5214946053630430000
1961-03-01 1.5444769034926156000
1961-04-01 -0.6167962579702825000
1961-05-01 -0.6193159382812455000
1961-06-01 0.6215388543912302000
1961-07-01 1.4580061430650595000
1961-08-01 1.1554703603448773000
1961-09-01 0.2233050310949534500
1961-10-01 -0.1504142156055540000
1961-11-01 0.6934030842289198000
1961-12-01 2.1089883985770093000
1962-01-01 2.5593208108118057000
1962-02-01 1.1327641318872324000
1962-03-01 -1.1404940125574001000
1962-04-01 -2.1266498600212840000
1962-05-01 -0.6512565045096482000
1962-06-01 1.9418777437327550000
1962-07-01 3.0106980202344915000
1962-08-01 1.1518528610192510000
1962-09-01 -2.0531515906897540000
1962-10-01 -3.6771473438796614000
1962-11-01 -2.2607040072529316000
1962-12-01 0.5405213538113034000
1963-01-01 1.7617287871037985000
1963-02-01 0.0008046025314724555
1963-03-01 -3.0563819501964360000
1963-04-01 -3.8189688727010087000
1963-05-01 -0.2563191672244596000
1963-06-01 5.2517179904970740000
1963-07-01 7.6622938115941170000
1963-08-01 4.0717464346097110000
1963-09-01 -2.3748131943471757000
1963-10-01 -5.7379992904465940000
1963-11-01 -2.9151372298735523000
1963-12-01 2.9541648428189893000
1964-01-01 6.1858194186108770000
1964-02-01 3.9596629483261228000
1964-03-01 -1.0024180833463598000
1964-04-01 -3.8061530995101700000
1964-05-01 -2.0776854025476950000
1964-06-01 1.9121730618045945000
1964-07-01 3.7164270771889867000
1964-08-01 0.9934265518498011000
1964-09-01 -3.9678428351389580000
1964-10-01 -6.3671142755042425000
1964-11-01 -3.4821714377734785000
1964-12-01 2.0635701136190985000
1965-01-01 5.2689305832615620000
1965-02-01 3.5106051229372435000
1965-03-01 -0.8151294806189083000
1965-04-01 -3.3260215031937590000
1965-05-01 -1.8296523829954810000
1965-06-01 1.7938603694148145000
1965-07-01 4.2701681262659320000
1965-08-01 4.0805339275941740000
1965-09-01 2.4601807997325613000
1965-10-01 1.5289212678201767000
1965-11-01 2.2051369798058613000
1965-12-01 3.6897461766123767000
1966-01-01 3.8278178579728580000
1966-02-01 1.2106999573052375000
1966-03-01 -2.7626986646897350000
1966-04-01 -5.1092179346941040000
1966-05-01 -4.0996529763537870000
1966-06-01 -1.3816721679393134000
1966-07-01 0.4777579952778698000
1966-08-01 0.4497121275084912000
1966-09-01 -0.5332302802083430000
1966-10-01 -0.7714049601631748000
1966-11-01 0.5289378114883430000
1966-12-01 2.5373916141686115000
1967-01-01 3.2109925970351654000
1967-02-01 1.2774919126319655000
1967-03-01 -1.8802943779678656000
1967-04-01 -3.5269163973114335000
1967-05-01 -2.1880824871134720000
1967-06-01 0.5821661349527648000
1967-07-01 1.8474072957512042000
1967-08-01 0.0916732056960728300
1967-09-01 -3.1317014317198644000
1967-10-01 -4.5451958368225420000
1967-11-01 -2.2583424517272372000
1967-12-01 1.9017466918795614000
1968-01-01 4.6950999168819685000
1968-02-01 4.5386491364823180000
1968-03-01 2.8344023207406073000
1968-04-01 1.4424416656150074000
1968-05-01 0.8625838749842953000
1968-06-01 0.6695779900990316000
1968-07-01 -0.1192257076424859000
1968-08-01 -2.0161272190346950000
1968-09-01 -4.3183103427387050000
1968-10-01 -4.8309946910709510000
1968-11-01 -1.9984647218621279000
1968-12-01 2.3524760852688393000
1969-01-01 4.4951577416377660000
1969-02-01 2.3322487501464800000
1969-03-01 -1.9084677029519925000
1969-04-01 -4.3442552639721060000
1969-05-01 -3.1221371904253115000
1969-06-01 -0.1029951727289405000
1969-07-01 1.3569556821130886000
1969-08-01 -0.3768421817182070500
1969-09-01 -3.6685093591766016000
1969-10-01 -5.3147587053710140000
1969-11-01 -3.6259128680864885000
1969-12-01 -0.3196847133301564000
1970-01-01 1.6397629038120813000
1970-02-01 0.9135201980360300000
1970-03-01 -1.0424304691429407000
1970-04-01 -1.5692101622499708000
1970-05-01 0.5801542427936650000
1970-06-01 3.8409024089920987000
1970-07-01 4.5707659200852590000
1970-08-01 0.5805869373003715000
1970-09-01 -5.5071826107531665000
1970-10-01 -7.8503617117958450000
1970-11-01 -2.9311369060157264000
1970-12-01 5.4841701315311370000
1971-01-01 10.0562490487136120000
1971-02-01 6.7812602100158500000
1971-03-01 -0.4959132120747028500
1971-04-01 -5.1724927884917880000
1971-05-01 -4.1203862168551110000
1971-06-01 0.0036843446061204940
1971-07-01 2.4088210679730860000
1971-08-01 0.7296551894113611000
1971-09-01 -3.2501386000716472000
1971-10-01 -5.8568326024228170000
1971-11-01 -5.0179121841671295000
1971-12-01 -2.1234928730018456000
1972-01-01 0.7805086397924098000
1972-02-01 2.9478195601524284000
1972-03-01 4.4208798974443730000
1972-04-01 4.6000640571616610000
1972-05-01 2.7327966432297050000
1972-06-01 0.0080021164176779860
1972-07-01 -1.8966219892910336000
1972-08-01 -2.3188885237892167000
1972-09-01 -2.0311899010499120000
1972-10-01 -1.3977752649269326000
1972-11-01 -0.0257403759918783600
1972-12-01 1.8010999459976271000
1973-01-01 3.2598624297226070000
1973-02-01 3.6825498190227690000
1973-03-01 3.3316699041877220000
1973-04-01 1.8106126536566975000
1973-05-01 -1.4931591638734245000
1973-06-01 -5.3663789052249880000
1973-07-01 -6.8521143110112040000
1973-08-01 -4.0485551756425040000
1973-09-01 0.6579048610768680000
1973-10-01 2.8627724003518082000
1973-11-01 0.2924683777062931000
1973-12-01 -4.5297817213380490000
1974-01-01 -6.9711423980809340000
1974-02-01 -4.6731746140122790000
1974-03-01 -0.0587160958720007800
1974-04-01 2.2963980632857797000
1974-05-01 0.0047794666762221280
1974-06-01 -4.6293750182216330000
1974-07-01 -6.9784708544346130000
1974-08-01 -4.4684692051900890000
1974-09-01 0.6013315047655813000
1974-10-01 4.1657667002507630000
1974-11-01 4.2351630206243700000
1974-12-01 2.3449011277359553000
1975-01-01 0.9738669443120063000
1975-02-01 1.1729633603609801000
1975-03-01 2.3646456255665480000
1975-04-01 3.2356061826602160000
1975-05-01 3.0104926754769230000
1975-06-01 2.0350268589163494000
1975-07-01 0.9512897107756245000
1975-08-01 0.0761308190139504700
1975-09-01 -0.4955181269091068000
1975-10-01 -0.3080739363079475500
1975-11-01 1.0468004897554050000
1975-12-01 2.8394008897787306000
1976-01-01 3.4788303620695813000
1976-02-01 1.9724158319071403000
1976-03-01 -0.5725694676454110000
1976-04-01 -2.3827513651865700000
1976-05-01 -2.6550770585116874000
1976-06-01 -2.1065994375569970000
1976-07-01 -1.6155998479007134000
1976-08-01 -1.3929314206519154000
1976-09-01 -1.3564857982381620000
1976-10-01 -1.3546460500213626000
1976-11-01 -1.3316877792821444000
1976-12-01 -1.2767175295064237000
1977-01-01 -1.0873236580920778000
1977-02-01 -0.6387826831996489000
1977-03-01 -0.0321854904288569750
1977-04-01 0.8506278704793423000
1977-05-01 2.2169123753294198000
1977-06-01 3.7834651365397964000
1977-07-01 4.0532703601496110000
1977-08-01 1.6828051014543050000
1977-09-01 -2.1216478688439240000
1977-10-01 -5.1105800773486090000
1977-11-01 -6.0110212357640650000
1977-12-01 -5.5300253826839160000
1978-01-01 -3.3818143367378415000
1978-02-01 1.4030992555542250000
1978-03-01 7.1804095725022830000
1978-04-01 9.9166002065372000000
1978-05-01 6.9201521851255140000
1978-06-01 1.1297096486584066000
1978-07-01 -2.6932013462836264000
1978-08-01 -2.3748729599966083000
1978-09-01 0.1499474490587723300
1978-10-01 1.8018616891064918000
1978-11-01 1.2396794464888397000
1978-12-01 -0.6543566250624441000
1979-01-01 -2.3435431188994404000
1979-02-01 -3.0879139042971353000
1979-03-01 -3.0978074979322563000
1979-04-01 -2.3690196887375037000
1979-05-01 -0.6706543396483310000
1979-06-01 1.2870860069683050000
1979-07-01 2.1506263541634550000
1979-08-01 1.1730138920158841000
1979-09-01 -0.5696456355427301000
1979-10-01 -1.3595547421347478000
1979-11-01 -0.4532767512055836400
1979-12-01 1.1747738437546607000
1980-01-01 1.7053487507506044000
1980-02-01 0.2100764747270433300
1980-03-01 -2.1803602510547826000
1980-04-01 -3.4193537478894590000
1980-05-01 -2.5081860894460160000
1980-06-01 -0.6504193629507106000
1980-07-01 0.2756743498866487400
1980-08-01 -0.4429067739668836000
1980-09-01 -1.7687808268756870000
1980-10-01 -1.3254909501536727000
1980-11-01 2.2778053299710703000
1980-12-01 7.1849667006795740000
1981-01-01 8.6569330774306370000
1981-02-01 3.5587911858611645000
1981-03-01 -4.6908437819736550000
1981-04-01 -9.1462219007993060000
1981-05-01 -5.8220312880611775000
1981-06-01 1.5551547438867461000
1981-07-01 6.4486916840719690000
1981-08-01 5.6023678743154290000
1981-09-01 1.4566747061823706000
1981-10-01 -2.5294672433693290000
1981-11-01 -5.1256953539571540000
1981-12-01 -6.5270074828838930000
1982-01-01 -6.0925236977664080000
1982-02-01 -2.8798048086762815000
1982-03-01 1.3833094404740403000
1982-04-01 3.6156894654872440000
1982-05-01 2.1893994929583163000
1982-06-01 -0.9448843224335396000
1982-07-01 -2.8069395513995710000
1982-08-01 -2.1446511212966946000
1982-09-01 -0.2193429345523108800
1982-10-01 1.0576868305160890000
1982-11-01 0.9323986850307114000
1982-12-01 0.0872325204649156300
1983-01-01 -0.1998862240268550700
1983-02-01 0.7101651121142981000
1983-03-01 2.2232178357204693000
1983-04-01 2.9691710115551566000
1983-05-01 2.1126264361032460000
1983-06-01 0.4331598515205451500
1983-07-01 -0.6250670890006979000
1983-08-01 -0.3227813604154807000
1983-09-01 0.7053605891450025000
1983-10-01 1.3691216307946772000
1983-11-01 1.1637931336510186000
1983-12-01 0.4751937343523291000
1984-01-01 0.1126932802377582600
1984-02-01 0.5332444041720225000
1984-03-01 1.3998332524037540000
1984-04-01 1.9156627556873558000
1984-05-01 1.5736914103823183000
1984-06-01 0.7152842787826397000
1984-07-01 -0.0728754609745986500
1984-08-01 -0.5002277492639665000
1984-09-01 -0.6254961549414301000
1984-10-01 -0.4107565724963090400
1984-11-01 0.2345062573478589000
1984-12-01 0.9640523391917682000
1985-01-01 1.1349145048476270000
1985-02-01 0.4225707429976991400
1985-03-01 -0.5974855119479540000
1985-04-01 -0.6520542333174284000
1985-05-01 1.0216621555662310000
1985-06-01 3.4505659023119986000
1985-07-01 4.5143760970898280000
1985-08-01 2.9345526210921293000
1985-09-01 0.0608053838131996300
1985-10-01 -1.7553493573076955000
1985-11-01 -1.3644074164109990000
1985-12-01 0.1735279419612258400
1986-01-01 1.1340208806186922000
1986-02-01 0.7625169235424766000
1986-03-01 -0.3373282067885169000
1986-04-01 -0.9656624261242198000
1986-05-01 -0.4744798974770816400
1986-06-01 0.6477992117999187000
1986-07-01 1.2939166123759902000
1986-08-01 0.7831148711477206000
1986-09-01 -0.4153234724948758000
1986-10-01 -1.3922349301005625000
1986-11-01 -1.6406980644879339000
1986-12-01 -1.3631786706355515000
1987-01-01 -0.7746525144269120000
1987-02-01 0.0828516848349623200
1987-03-01 0.8824209446854310000
1987-04-01 0.8639685294945044000
1987-05-01 -0.4363211013930259300
1987-06-01 -2.1844185655230660000
1987-07-01 -2.5908130291332445000
1987-08-01 -0.6034151645673504000
1987-09-01 2.4285614945732585000
1987-10-01 3.7798615687589210000
1987-11-01 1.9128669998196968000
1987-12-01 -1.4939295771883312000
1988-01-01 -3.3499312396461542000
1988-02-01 -2.0592512962015097000
1988-03-01 0.8202419344130311000
1988-04-01 2.4856978575947846000
1988-05-01 1.5351073062442670000
1988-06-01 -0.7997835687829470000
1988-07-01 -2.1983256928495702000
1988-08-01 -1.4458894401951243000
1988-09-01 0.5093255052541220000
1988-10-01 1.9440100235022173000
1988-11-01 1.9890496918836655000
1988-12-01 1.1737235102519958000
1989-01-01 0.3862236501573045000
1989-02-01 0.0309716352364532500
1989-03-01 0.0720663489108962600
1989-04-01 0.5111731413219522000
1989-05-01 1.3912114020962303000
1989-06-01 2.3171761178832150000
1989-07-01 2.3075885885174730000
1989-08-01 0.7077987904832396000
1989-09-01 -1.5627837192867198000
1989-10-01 -2.6564563236196377000
1989-11-01 -1.5153008418012301000
1989-12-01 0.7063779664460750000
1990-01-01 2.0592638306892637000
1990-02-01 1.6198110867590783000
1990-03-01 0.2558806190547497400
1990-04-01 -0.7035682825040451000
1990-05-01 -0.7299242544395486000
1990-06-01 -0.2549944826156263000
1990-07-01 -0.1653719231975716300
1990-08-01 -0.9470955752866651000
1990-09-01 -2.1954886389747240000
1990-10-01 -2.8610548368305437000
1990-11-01 -2.2395036792380036000
1990-12-01 -0.9021498211138079000
1991-01-01 0.3326847719803282000
1991-02-01 1.1670041490507850000
1991-03-01 1.7112247448772822000
1991-04-01 1.7074313429745436000
1991-05-01 0.7439745020688758000
1991-06-01 -0.6818596946235185000
1991-07-01 -1.7238494320766047000
1991-08-01 -1.9360431677027727000
1991-09-01 -1.6558359629484170000
1991-10-01 -0.8814245943719610000
1991-11-01 0.7086684888187024000
1991-12-01 2.6290728019852500000
1992-01-01 3.5621002329013094000
1992-02-01 2.5695326729307832000
1992-03-01 0.5915535909005261000
1992-04-01 -0.7848087033187268000
1992-05-01 -0.7774936251972796000
1992-06-01 0.0483472928334889450
1992-07-01 0.9411709471071926000
1992-08-01 1.6435235774012347000
1992-09-01 2.0704385816708517000
1992-10-01 1.6270109810110323000
1992-11-01 -0.2299314649371164700
1992-12-01 -2.6425693659607300000
1993-01-01 -3.8442909981012800000
1993-02-01 -2.8044268293100427000
1993-03-01 -0.7137130862717954000
1993-04-01 0.5229484820164187000
1993-05-01 0.0746701152093813700
1993-06-01 -1.1885751694164932000
1993-07-01 -1.7313714551193290000
1993-08-01 -0.8170767023268088000
1993-09-01 0.8049362280545171000
1993-10-01 1.6773414861699865000
1993-11-01 1.0311760515036803000
1993-12-01 -0.3564554239114270000
1994-01-01 -1.0656383303841876000
1994-02-01 -0.3976935447983531700
1994-03-01 0.9339131698820295000
1994-04-01 1.4280117510061359000
1994-05-01 0.2339879694964126500
1994-06-01 -1.7876847929280986000
1994-07-01 -2.8727734117753614000
1994-08-01 -2.0269848041716294000
1994-09-01 -0.1970607023950944600
1994-10-01 0.8317257448707570000
1994-11-01 0.1219593624814748900
1994-12-01 -1.5172014802756406000
1995-01-01 -2.6141657059042034000
1995-02-01 -2.4257554354917420000
1995-03-01 -1.5027430941736010000
1995-04-01 -0.6161002496367495000
1995-05-01 -0.0143086780084419240
1995-06-01 0.3686993074290680000
1995-07-01 0.4636730468370221000
1995-08-01 0.0945210786403289500
1995-09-01 -0.4982484105791947000
1995-10-01 -0.9118732213091373000
1995-11-01 -0.9149007881115785000
1995-12-01 -0.6391756387235307000
1996-01-01 -0.0203747723186615830
1996-02-01 1.1070876565962610000
1996-03-01 2.3747442669570566000
1996-04-01 2.7719347350309450000
1996-05-01 1.6089441813563023000
1996-06-01 -0.2410194599719798000
1996-07-01 -1.2188331513723040000
1996-08-01 -0.5541670397661924000
1996-09-01 0.8635961432142277000
1996-10-01 1.3438177083227125000
1996-11-01 0.0015151460870487473
1996-12-01 -2.2048685219091384000
1997-01-01 -3.1406490850625170000
1997-02-01 -1.5064491861155340000
1997-03-01 1.4366291437783996000
1997-04-01 3.2979282633722034000
1997-05-01 2.7917962213404270000
1997-06-01 0.9838940332121998000
1997-07-01 -0.6014457716204222000
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