Table Data - Brave-Butters-Kelley Leading Index
Title | Brave-Butters-Kelley Leading Index |
---|---|
Series ID | BBKMLEIX |
Source | Indiana University: Indiana Business Research Center |
Release | Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes |
Seasonal Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |
Frequency | Monthly |
Units | Standard Deviations |
Date Range | 1960-01-01 to 2024-07-01 |
Last Updated | 2024-09-03 7:31 AM CDT |
Notes | The Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes (BBKI) are the byproduct of research originally conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Currently, the BBKI are maintained and produced by the Indiana Business Research Center at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University. The BBK Coincident and Leading Indexes and Monthly GDP Growth for the U.S. are constructed from a collapsed dynamic factor analysis of a panel of 490 monthly measures of real economic activity and quarterly real GDP growth. The BBK Leading Index is the leading subcomponent of the cycle measured in standard deviation units from trend real GDP growth. For more details, see also: Brave, Scott A., Ross Cole, and David Kelley, 2019, A 'big data' view of the U.S. economy: Introducing the Brave-Butters-Kelley Indexes, Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, No. 422. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/cfl-2019-422 Brave, Scott A., R. Andrew Butters, and David Kelley, 2019, A new 'big data' index of U.S. economic activity (https://www.chicagofed.org/publications/economic-perspectives/2019/1), Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Vol. 43, No. 1. Crossref, https://doi.org/10.21033/ep-2019-1 |
DATE | VALUE |
---|---|
1960-01-01 | 1.38096647872977950000 |
1960-02-01 | 1.80001381753293850000 |
1960-03-01 | 2.06901513857048960000 |
1960-04-01 | 2.20611054932850830000 |
1960-05-01 | 1.92491678767520700000 |
1960-06-01 | 1.74437111712475650000 |
1960-07-01 | 1.63080182938351250000 |
1960-08-01 | 1.45055742892719080000 |
1960-09-01 | 1.20161200574985270000 |
1960-10-01 | 1.08955019464134460000 |
1960-11-01 | 0.99569560305199870000 |
1960-12-01 | 0.85986140759047510000 |
1961-01-01 | 0.89235577279667040000 |
1961-02-01 | 0.62190943234748890000 |
1961-03-01 | 0.41084882186209890000 |
1961-04-01 | 0.12789141698489853000 |
1961-05-01 | -0.01369447938608290000 |
1961-06-01 | -0.11339547455375797000 |
1961-07-01 | -0.31083942843920350000 |
1961-08-01 | -0.17264714245360596000 |
1961-09-01 | 0.03434815836147682400 |
1961-10-01 | 0.41021951480675367000 |
1961-11-01 | 0.57488150443792510000 |
1961-12-01 | 0.64796525076482310000 |
1962-01-01 | 0.74736235038443430000 |
1962-02-01 | 0.83347884066599400000 |
1962-03-01 | 0.95967188146676490000 |
1962-04-01 | 1.08292312926423540000 |
1962-05-01 | 1.04465953892743100000 |
1962-06-01 | 0.94686762465430540000 |
1962-07-01 | 0.89547708158904970000 |
1962-08-01 | 0.77761844914283910000 |
1962-09-01 | 0.65041287431976200000 |
1962-10-01 | 0.61819553763044500000 |
1962-11-01 | 0.64214904409135550000 |
1962-12-01 | 0.50302137842136510000 |
1963-01-01 | 0.38909966309423900000 |
1963-02-01 | 0.33697529231665885000 |
1963-03-01 | 0.45721757329045815000 |
1963-04-01 | 0.59981439840115460000 |
1963-05-01 | 0.70804731929236990000 |
1963-06-01 | 0.78417315472009190000 |
1963-07-01 | 0.88971796101870800000 |
1963-08-01 | 0.92528872184988750000 |
1963-09-01 | 1.01374338945204100000 |
1963-10-01 | 0.98102935233137220000 |
1963-11-01 | 0.96521827702593430000 |
1963-12-01 | 1.06084613474064600000 |
1964-01-01 | 1.14082894804710990000 |
1964-02-01 | 1.26176467817828140000 |
1964-03-01 | 1.18232224928396620000 |
1964-04-01 | 1.15690707199769370000 |
1964-05-01 | 1.09363218928283270000 |
1964-06-01 | 1.00799361920371070000 |
1964-07-01 | 0.94768057842061060000 |
1964-08-01 | 0.88440678155138960000 |
1964-09-01 | 0.75636894209920940000 |
1964-10-01 | 0.67201111852951820000 |
1964-11-01 | 0.71440436846004110000 |
1964-12-01 | 0.97549524427609850000 |
1965-01-01 | 1.14343180846234200000 |
1965-02-01 | 1.44473437923213800000 |
1965-03-01 | 1.63709028652491280000 |
1965-04-01 | 1.72250294960882950000 |
1965-05-01 | 1.97324681039937120000 |
1965-06-01 | 2.03441040154036830000 |
1965-07-01 | 2.25908425644533840000 |
1965-08-01 | 2.39988719588983020000 |
1965-09-01 | 2.39437971757612680000 |
1965-10-01 | 2.22610975051386540000 |
1965-11-01 | 1.85018383910978980000 |
1965-12-01 | 1.53750638412901130000 |
1966-01-01 | 1.22735265849645510000 |
1966-02-01 | 1.04341349815372950000 |
1966-03-01 | 1.04189172161020700000 |
1966-04-01 | 1.00450478605026920000 |
1966-05-01 | 1.05826059858454840000 |
1966-06-01 | 1.21801931905761520000 |
1966-07-01 | 1.33420381419300220000 |
1966-08-01 | 1.41001073280634760000 |
1966-09-01 | 1.64833427670011400000 |
1966-10-01 | 1.96388003133389670000 |
1966-11-01 | 2.33997628300469660000 |
1966-12-01 | 2.46334130524519330000 |
1967-01-01 | 2.62743653109431400000 |
1967-02-01 | 2.37990332552280800000 |
1967-03-01 | 2.27687336834377340000 |
1967-04-01 | 2.17949692394584100000 |
1967-05-01 | 1.95361959402745010000 |
1967-06-01 | 1.69997386387922600000 |
1967-07-01 | 1.52963593382130200000 |
1967-08-01 | 1.35351670422843460000 |
1967-09-01 | 1.21710566977323120000 |
1967-10-01 | 1.09658907379064700000 |
1967-11-01 | 1.18321651500688900000 |
1967-12-01 | 1.37839501467064600000 |
1968-01-01 | 1.61575854803233530000 |
1968-02-01 | 1.83102395134593830000 |
1968-03-01 | 1.82153150116102380000 |
1968-04-01 | 1.68676264979978320000 |
1968-05-01 | 1.60548214445895200000 |
1968-06-01 | 1.40575721026338700000 |
1968-07-01 | 1.21499965853356580000 |
1968-08-01 | 1.06622871717546190000 |
1968-09-01 | 0.79715259362806670000 |
1968-10-01 | 0.61804024518485840000 |
1968-11-01 | 0.65990327010271740000 |
1968-12-01 | 0.68044220372022060000 |
1969-01-01 | 0.77305453417583780000 |
1969-02-01 | 0.63313534165439160000 |
1969-03-01 | 0.47046999598426176000 |
1969-04-01 | 0.37061784658327050000 |
1969-05-01 | 0.32163772814246344000 |
1969-06-01 | 0.21266125984923745000 |
1969-07-01 | 0.12821805238009049000 |
1969-08-01 | 0.15388290933416535000 |
1969-09-01 | 0.11569715177749162000 |
1969-10-01 | 0.14380581263298500000 |
1969-11-01 | 0.27170289007975570000 |
1969-12-01 | 0.38778428417859356000 |
1970-01-01 | 0.43496518051880784000 |
1970-02-01 | 0.64123217380512830000 |
1970-03-01 | 0.73365716814838800000 |
1970-04-01 | 0.77916683016313810000 |
1970-05-01 | 0.77826678741316710000 |
1970-06-01 | 0.88384089522766370000 |
1970-07-01 | 1.01210686641794800000 |
1970-08-01 | 0.97373613121378510000 |
1970-09-01 | 0.80932925938044320000 |
1970-10-01 | 0.63869057755437360000 |
1970-11-01 | 0.61416143737087890000 |
1970-12-01 | 0.70861601647491480000 |
1971-01-01 | 0.75909624187910390000 |
1971-02-01 | 0.62602307812807220000 |
1971-03-01 | 0.56219626044169690000 |
1971-04-01 | 0.44313023058783120000 |
1971-05-01 | 0.24418996342736804000 |
1971-06-01 | 0.08278895274833258000 |
1971-07-01 | 0.01591127703843828200 |
1971-08-01 | -0.05614946870988150000 |
1971-09-01 | -0.14406449915491670000 |
1971-10-01 | -0.18379895221489410000 |
1971-11-01 | -0.01410536517780381800 |
1971-12-01 | 0.31990442463459000000 |
1972-01-01 | 0.52108836418338830000 |
1972-02-01 | 0.53756124814964560000 |
1972-03-01 | 0.56842082894651650000 |
1972-04-01 | 0.44686839608452855000 |
1972-05-01 | 0.31441531200233980000 |
1972-06-01 | 0.20141457793983786000 |
1972-07-01 | 0.01398498546867108000 |
1972-08-01 | -0.10523041002299068000 |
1972-09-01 | -0.22211793417594330000 |
1972-10-01 | -0.27017866983814980000 |
1972-11-01 | -0.49223754338906706000 |
1972-12-01 | -0.51536024885131740000 |
1973-01-01 | -0.56578053723477420000 |
1973-02-01 | -0.70474056051946940000 |
1973-03-01 | -0.90915572664336930000 |
1973-04-01 | -1.13632603177540160000 |
1973-05-01 | -1.23913265955715100000 |
1973-06-01 | -1.45796797934494600000 |
1973-07-01 | -1.73593202274994060000 |
1973-08-01 | -2.10042846579406400000 |
1973-09-01 | -2.14415092780508300000 |
1973-10-01 | -2.32272001321765200000 |
1973-11-01 | -2.27681684290948400000 |
1973-12-01 | -2.30554149485355130000 |
1974-01-01 | -2.07903727835340920000 |
1974-02-01 | -1.72570795537246400000 |
1974-03-01 | -1.36236359458926100000 |
1974-04-01 | -1.00366142765902830000 |
1974-05-01 | -0.63973006552097990000 |
1974-06-01 | -0.40723579808657790000 |
1974-07-01 | -0.16049006006248076000 |
1974-08-01 | 0.15256660023705543000 |
1974-09-01 | 0.54020099496224800000 |
1974-10-01 | 1.02673088376432140000 |
1974-11-01 | 1.33162480263940770000 |
1974-12-01 | 1.70841259246794540000 |
1975-01-01 | 1.68360377626318300000 |
1975-02-01 | 1.53344160237819470000 |
1975-03-01 | 1.36994585081266400000 |
1975-04-01 | 1.04255421831095480000 |
1975-05-01 | 0.72057503862403650000 |
1975-06-01 | 0.19962397282995809000 |
1975-07-01 | -0.05823498684161173400 |
1975-08-01 | -0.14429215141977583000 |
1975-09-01 | -0.27218347842606666000 |
1975-10-01 | -0.26186770383531593000 |
1975-11-01 | -0.30171326463576820000 |
1975-12-01 | -0.29413533347332005000 |
1976-01-01 | -0.16428602504406010000 |
1976-02-01 | -0.17741540053031096000 |
1976-03-01 | -0.24322000635334717000 |
1976-04-01 | -0.22471426932868377000 |
1976-05-01 | -0.27420340128490506000 |
1976-06-01 | -0.31366091784476790000 |
1976-07-01 | -0.24184748942734263000 |
1976-08-01 | -0.20700165446199012000 |
1976-09-01 | -0.14199534899372523000 |
1976-10-01 | -0.24836801212805487000 |
1976-11-01 | -0.27191252345898437000 |
1976-12-01 | -0.37110502263778720000 |
1977-01-01 | -0.50508481021373890000 |
1977-02-01 | -0.31569088700269976000 |
1977-03-01 | -0.16272223907731823000 |
1977-04-01 | 0.08124968115543860000 |
1977-05-01 | 0.26963955382603120000 |
1977-06-01 | 0.33781122426804190000 |
1977-07-01 | 0.40710665735292345000 |
1977-08-01 | 0.34512996970773240000 |
1977-09-01 | 0.31090678188695110000 |
1977-10-01 | 0.22242169849404064000 |
1977-11-01 | 0.20530597232537423000 |
1977-12-01 | 0.29844519726932683000 |
1978-01-01 | 0.44733807629393620000 |
1978-02-01 | 0.74466087675701400000 |
1978-03-01 | 1.01327115819134500000 |
1978-04-01 | 0.97032833150079150000 |
1978-05-01 | 0.72215907850932910000 |
1978-06-01 | 0.53512999974066830000 |
1978-07-01 | 0.20769809819750631000 |
1978-08-01 | -0.03944474742613597600 |
1978-09-01 | -0.22969645376717654000 |
1978-10-01 | -0.44068085771354360000 |
1978-11-01 | -0.67358960241699300000 |
1978-12-01 | -0.91387902285261800000 |
1979-01-01 | -1.22167287601060810000 |
1979-02-01 | -1.31243762158967470000 |
1979-03-01 | -1.47002579481170900000 |
1979-04-01 | -1.64784252806220330000 |
1979-05-01 | -1.47197612438690340000 |
1979-06-01 | -1.33551422885325620000 |
1979-07-01 | -1.22860025448639390000 |
1979-08-01 | -1.14409059005092080000 |
1979-09-01 | -1.21951841145123100000 |
1979-10-01 | -1.37915195210383500000 |
1979-11-01 | -1.45578189726198030000 |
1979-12-01 | -1.47510086179650100000 |
1980-01-01 | -1.41240941500443860000 |
1980-02-01 | -1.32005741314950950000 |
1980-03-01 | -1.18088705768636600000 |
1980-04-01 | -1.03851805596757130000 |
1980-05-01 | -0.79663336994588630000 |
1980-06-01 | -0.53020080296945040000 |
1980-07-01 | -0.50379840112759940000 |
1980-08-01 | -0.71877398396508520000 |
1980-09-01 | -0.85314316344821550000 |
1980-10-01 | -0.85474136285287750000 |
1980-11-01 | -0.70808975871659760000 |
1980-12-01 | -0.53630996519504870000 |
1981-01-01 | -0.41085265619740790000 |
1981-02-01 | -0.41708715889827880000 |
1981-03-01 | -0.31796378678997067000 |
1981-04-01 | -0.37489305451184340000 |
1981-05-01 | -0.32286964112721480000 |
1981-06-01 | -0.25304574355013770000 |
1981-07-01 | -0.12154954022106174000 |
1981-08-01 | -0.03841803349714832000 |
1981-09-01 | -0.04363357628590449000 |
1981-10-01 | 0.11815524319483926000 |
1981-11-01 | 0.20940769899205353000 |
1981-12-01 | 0.12179941187728498000 |
1982-01-01 | -0.00042203502624741274 |
1982-02-01 | 0.08026245777455271000 |
1982-03-01 | -0.03004993180468098400 |
1982-04-01 | -0.07076734747668566000 |
1982-05-01 | -0.08291433825952049000 |
1982-06-01 | -0.01208792338772908700 |
1982-07-01 | 0.28660088200076990000 |
1982-08-01 | 0.40091872158848960000 |
1982-09-01 | 0.54695340199405670000 |
1982-10-01 | 0.53854343636920590000 |
1982-11-01 | 0.48440920748881060000 |
1982-12-01 | 0.31406825095731894000 |
1983-01-01 | 0.13704038749210162000 |
1983-02-01 | -0.09577725157244593000 |
1983-03-01 | -0.03459081936117048400 |
1983-04-01 | -0.07305896846872235000 |
1983-05-01 | -0.12784498995828927000 |
1983-06-01 | -0.13080663118205216000 |
1983-07-01 | -0.02579214735852469000 |
1983-08-01 | 0.00456824295771394200 |
1983-09-01 | 0.16292411495732800000 |
1983-10-01 | 0.19494526380602378000 |
1983-11-01 | 0.28018620706008830000 |
1983-12-01 | 0.50356174021483540000 |
1984-01-01 | 0.77393623117666910000 |
1984-02-01 | 0.95304389278372960000 |
1984-03-01 | 1.14192219082677360000 |
1984-04-01 | 1.35687370960019640000 |
1984-05-01 | 1.35738384560661560000 |
1984-06-01 | 1.31036620681967860000 |
1984-07-01 | 1.22406292804696100000 |
1984-08-01 | 1.22738604689945770000 |
1984-09-01 | 1.21973499801335720000 |
1984-10-01 | 1.06689900749310800000 |
1984-11-01 | 1.14137278078523540000 |
1984-12-01 | 1.06087456666041820000 |
1985-01-01 | 1.02095257429122550000 |
1985-02-01 | 0.97765627345572430000 |
1985-03-01 | 0.86884033527520240000 |
1985-04-01 | 0.92147747483546500000 |
1985-05-01 | 1.03570477192515400000 |
1985-06-01 | 1.12795736077579400000 |
1985-07-01 | 0.97736532002239370000 |
1985-08-01 | 0.85544632438336780000 |
1985-09-01 | 0.74476898762484760000 |
1985-10-01 | 0.50704337297100190000 |
1985-11-01 | 0.43695209541339800000 |
1985-12-01 | 0.50220214269450260000 |
1986-01-01 | 0.29743240840741200000 |
1986-02-01 | 0.25511509427397370000 |
1986-03-01 | 0.22165946585138860000 |
1986-04-01 | -0.01370823764744140000 |
1986-05-01 | -0.24810582216389300000 |
1986-06-01 | -0.49244940950414690000 |
1986-07-01 | -0.58970198724271600000 |
1986-08-01 | -0.73795644912018300000 |
1986-09-01 | -0.81355071681955970000 |
1986-10-01 | -0.86622284004460890000 |
1986-11-01 | -0.91059658012591150000 |
1986-12-01 | -1.00158306270738630000 |
1987-01-01 | -1.23950982631671700000 |
1987-02-01 | -1.11203571416538780000 |
1987-03-01 | -1.08804749175391110000 |
1987-04-01 | -1.01633687643770760000 |
1987-05-01 | -0.90922500961718490000 |
1987-06-01 | -0.94352110897126360000 |
1987-07-01 | -0.84881151331076960000 |
1987-08-01 | -0.71609962552900830000 |
1987-09-01 | -0.74023704864134140000 |
1987-10-01 | -0.57903907351707650000 |
1987-11-01 | -0.49292418365298696000 |
1987-12-01 | -0.45252920116632583000 |
1988-01-01 | -0.39026064705420194000 |
1988-02-01 | -0.33139112869940960000 |
1988-03-01 | -0.35807694649532257000 |
1988-04-01 | -0.32200642180178946000 |
1988-05-01 | -0.28797434963004387000 |
1988-06-01 | -0.26690298553636150000 |
1988-07-01 | -0.20364790212611175000 |
1988-08-01 | -0.13405709760327938000 |
1988-09-01 | -0.12924844964288865000 |
1988-10-01 | 0.02224771297300341300 |
1988-11-01 | 0.00142786561946262940 |
1988-12-01 | 0.07842157712233093000 |
1989-01-01 | 0.14700303867852804000 |
1989-02-01 | 0.12820504526899465000 |
1989-03-01 | 0.14265152593100310000 |
1989-04-01 | 0.20039966843102996000 |
1989-05-01 | 0.27244357656269610000 |
1989-06-01 | 0.44540022150366860000 |
1989-07-01 | 0.42084372182461527000 |
1989-08-01 | 0.24592636512359264000 |
1989-09-01 | 0.07626476143118002000 |
1989-10-01 | -0.17639052701798366000 |
1989-11-01 | -0.39876679255635616000 |
1989-12-01 | -0.55884635473366130000 |
1990-01-01 | -0.73821852793164870000 |
1990-02-01 | -1.06129838048360300000 |
1990-03-01 | -1.10082352620177850000 |
1990-04-01 | -1.23724368162155170000 |
1990-05-01 | -1.33401097836862180000 |
1990-06-01 | -1.52089262157849640000 |
1990-07-01 | -1.71169988341164210000 |
1990-08-01 | -1.88699282775427050000 |
1990-09-01 | -1.79761295169883420000 |
1990-10-01 | -1.69894582675685850000 |
1990-11-01 | -1.41540897711063420000 |
1990-12-01 | -1.22895692450131480000 |
1991-01-01 | -1.07376172714882380000 |
1991-02-01 | -0.82032429058897540000 |
1991-03-01 | -0.85550295435116210000 |
1991-04-01 | -1.09545984612190960000 |
1991-05-01 | -1.27137380260593820000 |
1991-06-01 | -1.37718224002952750000 |
1991-07-01 | -1.46816066271683950000 |
1991-08-01 | -1.47123392295353920000 |
1991-09-01 | -1.34772230091088960000 |
1991-10-01 | -1.20977238836763480000 |
1991-11-01 | -0.99421053899553860000 |
1991-12-01 | -0.79429986275851990000 |
1992-01-01 | -0.71565321442389400000 |
1992-02-01 | -0.80319502074339830000 |
1992-03-01 | -0.84707196079363300000 |
1992-04-01 | -0.80887619941805290000 |
1992-05-01 | -0.86066675890064040000 |
1992-06-01 | -0.96304207716909630000 |
1992-07-01 | -0.92196081916775980000 |
1992-08-01 | -0.83492043471314570000 |
1992-09-01 | -0.86959921031895080000 |
1992-10-01 | -0.93370760244508080000 |
1992-11-01 | -1.00959068446905540000 |
1992-12-01 | -1.05199301237421520000 |
1993-01-01 | -1.31201574484398890000 |
1993-02-01 | -1.25523980931238580000 |
1993-03-01 | -1.12095412994954340000 |
1993-04-01 | -0.91933947665726760000 |
1993-05-01 | -0.91012551839161450000 |
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