Federal Reserve Economic Data

Table Data - Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions: Hiring Expectations in the next 12 Months in Federal Reserve District 7: Chicago

Title Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions: Hiring Expectations in the next 12 Months in Federal Reserve District 7: Chicago
Series ID CFSBCHIRINGEXP
Source Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Release Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions
Seasonal Adjustment Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Index
Date Range 2013-02-01 to 2025-11-01
Last Updated 2025-11-24 9:05 AM CST
Notes What is the Survey of Economic Conditions?
Contacts located in the Seventh Federal Reserve District are asked to rate various aspects of economic conditions along a seven-point scale ranging from "large increase" to "large decrease." A series of diffusion indexes summarizing the distribution of responses is then calculated.

How are the indexes constructed?
Respondents' answers on the seven-point scale are assigned a numeric value ranging from +3 to –3. Each diffusion index is calculated as the difference between the number of respondents with answers above their respective average responses and the number of respondents with answers below their respective average responses, divided by the total number of respondents. The index is then multiplied by 100 so that it ranges from +100 to −100 and will be +100 if every respondent provides an above-average answer and –100 if every respondent provides a below-average answer. Respondents with no prior history of responses are excluded from the calculation.

What do the numbers mean?
Respondents' respective average answers to a question can be interpreted as representing their historical trends, or long-run averages. Thus, zero index values indicate, on balance, average growth (or a neutral outlook) for activity, hiring, capital spending, and cost pressures. Positive index values indicate above-average growth (or an optimistic outlook) on balance, and negative values indicate below-average growth (or a pessimistic outlook) on balance.

Beginning with the May 12, 2020 release, the CFSEC moved to a monthly release schedule. This release, with data for April 2020, now contains estimated monthly historical values for the CFSEC indexes, as will all future releases. For additional information on how the survey and indexes changed, see the CFSEC FAQs available here.

Prior to April 2022, the Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions was named the Chicago Fed Survey of Business Conditions (CFSBC). The name change was made to better represent the survey’s aim and base of respondents. The goal of the survey is to assess the state of the economy in the Seventh Federal Reserve District. Moreover, since the beginning of the survey, it was been filled out by both business and nonbusiness contacts.
DATE VALUE
2013-02-01 -31.70731735229492200
2013-03-01 -24.95322990417480500
2013-04-01 -19.40601158142090000
2013-05-01 -16.03053474426269500
2013-06-01 -26.19353103637695300
2013-07-01 -24.56273078918457000
2013-08-01 -11.02941226959228500
2013-09-01 -3.59654736518859860
2013-10-01 -3.42049264907836900
2013-11-01 -10.48951053619384800
2013-12-01 3.42323970794677730
2014-01-01 8.91119670867920000
2014-02-01 4.91803264617919900
2014-03-01 -0.08328220993280411
2014-04-01 3.27731108665466300
2014-05-01 15.71428585052490200
2014-06-01 8.04019355773925800
2014-07-01 8.45329570770263700
2014-08-01 16.98113250732422000
2014-09-01 23.46407699584961000
2014-10-01 29.00140380859375000
2014-11-01 33.96226501464844000
2014-12-01 27.89396286010742200
2015-01-01 21.68372344970703000
2015-02-01 15.53784942626953100
2015-03-01 8.54268932342529300
2015-04-01 6.62742567062377900
2015-05-01 10.79136753082275400
2015-06-01 8.23893833160400400
2015-07-01 1.70998036861419680
2015-08-01 -9.23076915740966800
2015-09-01 -14.94943809509277300
2015-10-01 -14.12139892578125000
2015-11-01 -6.69145011901855500
2015-12-01 -2.32746100425720200
2016-01-01 0.00000000000000000
2016-02-01 0.00000000000000000
2016-03-01 4.88764047622680700
2016-04-01 0.69571465253829960
2016-05-01 -13.08139610290527300
2016-06-01 -15.87082099914550800
2016-07-01 -14.04318141937255900
2016-08-01 -7.47663545608520500
2016-09-01 0.84401088953018190
2016-10-01 1.09424030780792240
2016-11-01 -6.70926523208618200
2016-12-01 -0.44024944305419920
2017-01-01 5.02316999435424800
2017-02-01 9.40438842773437500
2017-03-01 12.65731430053711000
2017-04-01 11.31676292419433600
2017-05-01 4.91803312301635700
2017-06-01 -5.00328445434570300
2017-07-01 -7.64401626586914100
2017-08-01 -3.18021202087402340
2017-09-01 -1.03702569007873540
2017-10-01 -1.41776931285858150
2017-11-01 -4.34782600402832000
2017-12-01 5.96053838729858400
2018-01-01 15.02237415313720700
2018-02-01 22.38805961608886700
2018-03-01 20.11972236633300800
2018-04-01 16.69839859008789000
2018-05-01 12.44813251495361300
2018-06-01 4.81637907028198200
2018-07-01 3.67738747596740720
2018-08-01 8.95522403717041000
2018-09-01 0.83591467142105100
2018-10-01 -4.12941169738769500
2018-11-01 -6.27177715301513700
2018-12-01 -11.83537769317627000
2019-01-01 -11.33911609649658200
2019-02-01 -4.18118476867675800
2019-03-01 -10.83306980133056600
2019-04-01 -10.46032333374023400
2019-05-01 -2.11267614364624020
2019-06-01 -2.12787628173828120
2019-07-01 -8.12491607666015600
2019-08-01 -20.50359725952148400
2019-09-01 -19.54507446289062500
2019-10-01 -11.49092102050781200
2019-11-01 4.19580411911010700
2019-12-01 12.17029476165771500
2020-01-01 13.38790035247802700
2020-02-01 7.11462450027465800
2020-03-01 -47.82608795166015600
2020-04-01 -34.25787353515625000
2020-05-01 -16.00931358337402300
2020-06-01 -12.20138740539550800
2020-07-01 -14.46929740905761700
2020-08-01 -15.36098289489746100
2020-09-01 -7.13427686691284200
2020-10-01 3.21902251243591300
2020-11-01 8.25103378295898400
2020-12-01 15.12739467620849600
2021-01-01 16.39123916625976600
2021-02-01 15.71592712402343800
2021-03-01 24.80596160888672000
2021-04-01 30.35136604309082000
2021-05-01 35.08854675292969000
2021-06-01 34.35483932495117000
2021-07-01 31.32551765441894500
2021-08-01 33.85445404052734400
2021-09-01 25.67422866821289000
2021-10-01 14.78774261474609400
2021-11-01 16.01718139648437500
2021-12-01 13.76290416717529300
2022-01-01 11.02993965148925800
2022-02-01 15.84893226623535200
2022-03-01 13.97930431365966800
2022-04-01 15.04887962341308600
2022-05-01 10.98769664764404300
2022-06-01 -0.05874443054199219
2022-07-01 -5.16423892974853500
2022-08-01 -10.93343257904052700
2022-09-01 -5.42228507995605500
2022-10-01 -8.91207790374755900
2022-11-01 -21.44949531555175800
2022-12-01 -6.18556690216064450
2023-01-01 -14.28571414947509800
2023-02-01 -3.63636374473571780
2023-03-01 -25.92592620849609400
2023-04-01 -29.03225708007812500
2023-05-01 -15.53398036956787100
2023-06-01 -29.33753967285156200
2023-07-01 -24.52830123901367200
2023-08-01 -28.88198661804199200
2023-09-01 -24.84662628173828000
2023-10-01 -26.91029739379882800
2023-11-01 -31.80212020874023400
2023-12-01 -3.35820889472961430
2024-01-01 -13.68421077728271500
2024-02-01 -1.02040815353393550
2024-03-01 -15.00000000000000000
2024-04-01 -5.63909769058227500
2024-05-01 -34.48275756835937500
2024-06-01 -34.70149230957031000
2024-07-01 -10.75268840789795000
2024-08-01 -22.41992950439453000
2024-09-01 -12.37113380432128900
2024-10-01 -9.67741966247558600
2024-11-01 -14.60674190521240200
2024-12-01 -3.39622640609741200
2025-01-01 -4.51127815246582000
2025-02-01 -20.43010711669922000
2025-03-01 -24.08759117126465000
2025-04-01 -22.22222137451172000
2025-05-01 -16.15384674072265600
2025-06-01 -15.47619056701660200
2025-07-01 -16.73306846618652300
2025-08-01 4.85829925537109400
2025-09-01 -33.59999847412109400
2025-10-01 -38.97637939453125000
2025-11-01 -34.88372039794922000

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