Table Data - 4-Year Expected Inflation
| Title | 4-Year Expected Inflation |
|---|---|
| Series ID | EXPINF4YR |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland |
| Release | Inflation Expectations (Not a Press Release) |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Not Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Percent |
| Date Range | 1982-01-01 to 2024-12-01 |
| Last Updated | 2024-12-11 3:03 PM CST |
| Notes | The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate. Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations. For more information, please visit the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1982-01-01 | 6.50312050 |
| 1982-02-01 | 6.45015210 |
| 1982-03-01 | 6.11325950 |
| 1982-04-01 | 6.13284950 |
| 1982-05-01 | 5.96382860 |
| 1982-06-01 | 5.91527750 |
| 1982-07-01 | 6.33247330 |
| 1982-08-01 | 6.08768310 |
| 1982-09-01 | 6.03823890 |
| 1982-10-01 | 5.49456770 |
| 1982-11-01 | 4.90351000 |
| 1982-12-01 | 4.99871890 |
| 1983-01-01 | 4.92884830 |
| 1983-02-01 | 4.99309390 |
| 1983-03-01 | 4.68252750 |
| 1983-04-01 | 4.90866360 |
| 1983-05-01 | 4.74285050 |
| 1983-06-01 | 4.80028230 |
| 1983-07-01 | 5.07314910 |
| 1983-08-01 | 5.27834750 |
| 1983-09-01 | 5.32411410 |
| 1983-10-01 | 5.20142780 |
| 1983-11-01 | 5.29427100 |
| 1983-12-01 | 5.30717650 |
| 1984-01-01 | 5.32171650 |
| 1984-02-01 | 5.24432510 |
| 1984-03-01 | 5.32745360 |
| 1984-04-01 | 5.57059580 |
| 1984-05-01 | 5.69090210 |
| 1984-06-01 | 5.96098150 |
| 1984-07-01 | 6.00712490 |
| 1984-08-01 | 5.63492220 |
| 1984-09-01 | 5.63509960 |
| 1984-10-01 | 5.52070040 |
| 1984-11-01 | 5.20671150 |
| 1984-12-01 | 5.19846600 |
| 1985-01-01 | 5.26331170 |
| 1985-02-01 | 5.15235660 |
| 1985-03-01 | 5.40639710 |
| 1985-04-01 | 5.18906890 |
| 1985-05-01 | 5.10798810 |
| 1985-06-01 | 4.74711250 |
| 1985-07-01 | 4.68833680 |
| 1985-08-01 | 4.81697570 |
| 1985-09-01 | 4.74688000 |
| 1985-10-01 | 4.72914350 |
| 1985-11-01 | 4.60637220 |
| 1985-12-01 | 4.44323420 |
| 1986-01-01 | 4.20531310 |
| 1986-02-01 | 4.20844540 |
| 1986-03-01 | 3.81271910 |
| 1986-04-01 | 3.55608120 |
| 1986-05-01 | 3.56216300 |
| 1986-06-01 | 3.95356030 |
| 1986-07-01 | 3.73509520 |
| 1986-08-01 | 3.65773060 |
| 1986-09-01 | 3.48783300 |
| 1986-10-01 | 3.65959020 |
| 1986-11-01 | 3.53914790 |
| 1986-12-01 | 3.56195500 |
| 1987-01-01 | 3.55983930 |
| 1987-02-01 | 3.57598220 |
| 1987-03-01 | 3.39188990 |
| 1987-04-01 | 3.68131320 |
| 1987-05-01 | 4.02768240 |
| 1987-06-01 | 4.00269560 |
| 1987-07-01 | 4.03719200 |
| 1987-08-01 | 4.14809280 |
| 1987-09-01 | 4.26117810 |
| 1987-10-01 | 4.40134650 |
| 1987-11-01 | 4.19733190 |
| 1987-12-01 | 4.28348340 |
| 1988-01-01 | 4.17229670 |
| 1988-02-01 | 3.90541140 |
| 1988-03-01 | 3.85093150 |
| 1988-04-01 | 4.09965970 |
| 1988-05-01 | 4.16039400 |
| 1988-06-01 | 4.19354650 |
| 1988-07-01 | 4.20688430 |
| 1988-08-01 | 4.25086240 |
| 1988-09-01 | 4.33634010 |
| 1988-10-01 | 4.22009350 |
| 1988-11-01 | 4.14774250 |
| 1988-12-01 | 4.30483430 |
| 1989-01-01 | 4.44124240 |
| 1989-02-01 | 4.34906980 |
| 1989-03-01 | 4.49784020 |
| 1989-04-01 | 4.49543770 |
| 1989-05-01 | 4.39903790 |
| 1989-06-01 | 4.17459120 |
| 1989-07-01 | 3.96661070 |
| 1989-08-01 | 3.78451840 |
| 1989-09-01 | 3.95225870 |
| 1989-10-01 | 4.02074230 |
| 1989-11-01 | 3.84649900 |
| 1989-12-01 | 3.75700620 |
| 1990-01-01 | 3.97247140 |
| 1990-02-01 | 4.17417300 |
| 1990-03-01 | 4.09728580 |
| 1990-04-01 | 4.12865340 |
| 1990-05-01 | 4.29370000 |
| 1990-06-01 | 4.10927790 |
| 1990-07-01 | 4.02669520 |
| 1990-08-01 | 3.99444640 |
| 1990-09-01 | 4.31022370 |
| 1990-10-01 | 4.29564330 |
| 1990-11-01 | 4.25493490 |
| 1990-12-01 | 4.14027530 |
| 1991-01-01 | 3.92375970 |
| 1991-02-01 | 3.81101030 |
| 1991-03-01 | 3.92811860 |
| 1991-04-01 | 3.85285890 |
| 1991-05-01 | 3.82568770 |
| 1991-06-01 | 3.87935460 |
| 1991-07-01 | 3.96309460 |
| 1991-08-01 | 3.91173250 |
| 1991-09-01 | 3.73209150 |
| 1991-10-01 | 3.63772120 |
| 1991-11-01 | 3.57860560 |
| 1991-12-01 | 3.53445490 |
| 1992-01-01 | 3.36180260 |
| 1992-02-01 | 3.54937880 |
| 1992-03-01 | 3.63387230 |
| 1992-04-01 | 3.62288870 |
| 1992-05-01 | 3.64185940 |
| 1992-06-01 | 3.60138480 |
| 1992-07-01 | 3.42266280 |
| 1992-08-01 | 3.27094530 |
| 1992-09-01 | 3.15641490 |
| 1992-10-01 | 3.03811040 |
| 1992-11-01 | 3.28594150 |
| 1992-12-01 | 3.35500090 |
| 1993-01-01 | 3.26736730 |
| 1993-02-01 | 3.11505540 |
| 1993-03-01 | 2.97774010 |
| 1993-04-01 | 3.00512190 |
| 1993-05-01 | 2.93680620 |
| 1993-06-01 | 2.94687880 |
| 1993-07-01 | 2.89130650 |
| 1993-08-01 | 2.93709920 |
| 1993-09-01 | 2.77848130 |
| 1993-10-01 | 2.79067070 |
| 1993-11-01 | 2.86106970 |
| 1993-12-01 | 2.89113600 |
| 1994-01-01 | 2.96832770 |
| 1994-02-01 | 2.90086280 |
| 1994-03-01 | 3.19280730 |
| 1994-04-01 | 3.43967160 |
| 1994-05-01 | 3.43104910 |
| 1994-06-01 | 3.49604830 |
| 1994-07-01 | 3.56072530 |
| 1994-08-01 | 3.44623880 |
| 1994-09-01 | 3.46804930 |
| 1994-10-01 | 3.68310290 |
| 1994-11-01 | 3.78921000 |
| 1994-12-01 | 3.89368660 |
| 1995-01-01 | 3.89803540 |
| 1995-02-01 | 3.78352510 |
| 1995-03-01 | 3.60069800 |
| 1995-04-01 | 3.56065950 |
| 1995-05-01 | 3.41102670 |
| 1995-06-01 | 3.04735230 |
| 1995-07-01 | 3.13536170 |
| 1995-08-01 | 3.21921390 |
| 1995-09-01 | 3.15527710 |
| 1995-10-01 | 3.10973690 |
| 1995-11-01 | 3.02577970 |
| 1995-12-01 | 2.84302540 |
| 1996-01-01 | 2.91767330 |
| 1996-02-01 | 2.87953420 |
| 1996-03-01 | 2.91327700 |
| 1996-04-01 | 3.14622440 |
| 1996-05-01 | 3.29312570 |
| 1996-06-01 | 3.37112620 |
| 1996-07-01 | 3.27487600 |
| 1996-08-01 | 3.26319990 |
| 1996-09-01 | 3.35215600 |
| 1996-10-01 | 3.28727320 |
| 1996-11-01 | 3.19558220 |
| 1996-12-01 | 3.04603200 |
| 1997-01-01 | 3.24740820 |
| 1997-02-01 | 3.23287470 |
| 1997-03-01 | 3.28585720 |
| 1997-04-01 | 3.38885920 |
| 1997-05-01 | 3.31183890 |
| 1997-06-01 | 3.30038910 |
| 1997-07-01 | 3.20665830 |
| 1997-08-01 | 3.12724690 |
| 1997-09-01 | 3.14824650 |
| 1997-10-01 | 3.10384390 |
| 1997-11-01 | 3.07023730 |
| 1997-12-01 | 3.00770970 |
| 1998-01-01 | 2.92988790 |
| 1998-02-01 | 2.86462510 |
| 1998-03-01 | 2.95046710 |
| 1998-04-01 | 2.90558440 |
| 1998-05-01 | 2.92057810 |
| 1998-06-01 | 2.84343550 |
| 1998-07-01 | 2.89638410 |
| 1998-08-01 | 2.88439420 |
| 1998-09-01 | 2.69484100 |
| 1998-10-01 | 2.35769810 |
| 1998-11-01 | 2.47336340 |
| 1998-12-01 | 2.43590300 |
| 1999-01-01 | 2.52543410 |
| 1999-02-01 | 2.56306670 |
| 1999-03-01 | 2.77446950 |
| 1999-04-01 | 2.78504910 |
| 1999-05-01 | 2.82782950 |
| 1999-06-01 | 2.85385860 |
| 1999-07-01 | 2.98454550 |
| 1999-08-01 | 3.02955260 |
| 1999-09-01 | 3.03792570 |
| 1999-10-01 | 3.10060140 |
| 1999-11-01 | 3.13568700 |
| 1999-12-01 | 3.22342580 |
| 2000-01-01 | 3.27342060 |
| 2000-02-01 | 3.35325060 |
| 2000-03-01 | 3.35617530 |
| 2000-04-01 | 3.21489910 |
| 2000-05-01 | 3.32641280 |
| 2000-06-01 | 3.42458410 |
| 2000-07-01 | 3.12467680 |
| 2000-08-01 | 3.11595910 |
| 2000-09-01 | 3.05955530 |
| 2000-10-01 | 3.02482840 |
| 2000-11-01 | 3.01128800 |
| 2000-12-01 | 2.94901140 |
| 2001-01-01 | 2.57024670 |
| 2001-02-01 | 2.62213510 |
| 2001-03-01 | 2.42937050 |
| 2001-04-01 | 2.56497820 |
| 2001-05-01 | 2.73532160 |
| 2001-06-01 | 2.80202260 |
| 2001-07-01 | 2.76758060 |
| 2001-08-01 | 2.64336790 |
| 2001-09-01 | 2.78109910 |
| 2001-10-01 | 2.43319590 |
| 2001-11-01 | 2.27709530 |
| 2001-12-01 | 2.59190650 |
| 2002-01-01 | 2.64708820 |
| 2002-02-01 | 2.55086660 |
| 2002-03-01 | 2.52276560 |
| 2002-04-01 | 2.84142720 |
| 2002-05-01 | 2.70232750 |
| 2002-06-01 | 2.59916410 |
| 2002-07-01 | 2.52453350 |
| 2002-08-01 | 2.26078850 |
| 2002-09-01 | 2.08866630 |
| 2002-10-01 | 1.99384610 |
| 2002-11-01 | 2.05864020 |
| 2002-12-01 | 2.16003120 |
| 2003-01-01 | 2.11605220 |
| 2003-02-01 | 2.12177090 |
| 2003-03-01 | 1.93764210 |
| 2003-04-01 | 1.99208980 |
| 2003-05-01 | 1.96446210 |
| 2003-06-01 | 1.91449490 |
| 2003-07-01 | 1.79161720 |
| 2003-08-01 | 2.11136720 |
| 2003-09-01 | 2.22818850 |
| 2003-10-01 | 1.93601580 |
| 2003-11-01 | 2.12419310 |
| 2003-12-01 | 2.23777590 |
| 2004-01-01 | 2.14019160 |
| 2004-02-01 | 2.11534080 |
| 2004-03-01 | 1.97687290 |
| 2004-04-01 | 1.97951040 |
| 2004-05-01 | 2.31386860 |
| 2004-06-01 | 2.47592630 |
| 2004-07-01 | 2.36577890 |
| 2004-08-01 | 2.35782250 |
| 2004-09-01 | 2.31326520 |
| 2004-10-01 | 2.22207580 |
| 2004-11-01 | 2.20128780 |
| 2004-12-01 | 2.16676200 |
| 2005-01-01 | 2.24679840 |
| 2005-02-01 | 2.25339130 |
| 2005-03-01 | 2.38599760 |
| 2005-04-01 | 2.45073180 |
| 2005-05-01 | 2.37030730 |
| 2005-06-01 | 2.23966380 |
| 2005-07-01 | 2.29783110 |
| 2005-08-01 | 2.42732080 |
| 2005-09-01 | 2.32970990 |
| 2005-10-01 | 2.57507590 |
| 2005-11-01 | 2.64412090 |
| 2005-12-01 | 2.66876690 |
| 2006-01-01 | 2.41967700 |
| 2006-02-01 | 2.49702280 |
| 2006-03-01 | 2.33770380 |
| 2006-04-01 | 2.63113280 |
| 2006-05-01 | 2.69365730 |
| 2006-06-01 | 2.67353760 |
| 2006-07-01 | 2.73003500 |
| 2006-08-01 | 2.66088690 |
| 2006-09-01 | 2.54319670 |
| 2006-10-01 | 2.46626530 |
| 2006-11-01 | 2.29315490 |
| 2006-12-01 | 2.28210880 |
| 2007-01-01 | 2.54650250 |
| 2007-02-01 | 2.58286590 |
| 2007-03-01 | 2.51044040 |
| 2007-04-01 | 2.50938370 |
| 2007-05-01 | 2.57372430 |
| 2007-06-01 | 2.75470920 |
| 2007-07-01 | 2.62022850 |
| 2007-08-01 | 2.50402750 |
| 2007-09-01 | 2.41123910 |
| 2007-10-01 | 2.37665640 |
| 2007-11-01 | 2.41169760 |
| 2007-12-01 | 2.17412330 |
| 2008-01-01 | 2.16883120 |
| 2008-02-01 | 2.01782130 |
| 2008-03-01 | 1.84344970 |
| 2008-04-01 | 1.89746690 |
| 2008-05-01 | 2.12939280 |
| 2008-06-01 | 2.30052070 |
| 2008-07-01 | 2.36994020 |
| 2008-08-01 | 2.38184290 |
| 2008-09-01 | 2.20796240 |
| 2008-10-01 | 1.93053700 |
| 2008-11-01 | 1.71160930 |
| 2008-12-01 | 1.23894060 |
| 2009-01-01 | 1.29845090 |
| 2009-02-01 | 1.32418580 |
| 2009-03-01 | 1.14020050 |
| 2009-04-01 | 1.47862790 |
| 2009-05-01 | 1.62559660 |
| 2009-06-01 | 1.76007440 |
| 2009-07-01 | 1.83282730 |
| 2009-08-01 | 1.95579380 |
| 2009-09-01 | 1.98544440 |
| 2009-10-01 | 1.75962800 |
| 2009-11-01 | 1.84862160 |
| 2009-12-01 | 1.74048750 |
| 2010-01-01 | 1.88703860 |
| 2010-02-01 | 1.82617340 |
| 2010-03-01 | 1.85725190 |
| 2010-04-01 | 1.84901210 |
| 2010-05-01 | 1.80970500 |
| 2010-06-01 | 1.64812680 |
| 2010-07-01 | 1.44918690 |
| 2010-08-01 | 1.49273040 |
| 2010-09-01 | 1.30517410 |
| 2010-10-01 | 1.37593050 |
| 2010-11-01 | 1.35417150 |
| 2010-12-01 | 1.50718830 |
| 2011-01-01 | 1.82345260 |
| 2011-02-01 | 1.87270280 |
| 2011-03-01 | 1.95110250 |
| 2011-04-01 | 1.98976650 |
| 2011-05-01 | 1.96406090 |
| 2011-06-01 | 1.80943920 |
| 2011-07-01 | 1.94604240 |
| 2011-08-01 | 1.56053840 |
| 2011-09-01 | 1.31759730 |
| 2011-10-01 | 1.41981130 |
| 2011-11-01 | 1.44402310 |
| 2011-12-01 | 1.50994920 |
| 2012-01-01 | 1.43176010 |
| 2012-02-01 | 1.38844090 |
| 2012-03-01 | 1.39713290 |
| 2012-04-01 | 1.51392230 |
| 2012-05-01 | 1.41847870 |
| 2012-06-01 | 1.15571650 |
| 2012-07-01 | 1.30223820 |
| 2012-08-01 | 1.31496350 |
| 2012-09-01 | 1.45415490 |
| 2012-10-01 | 1.37393390 |
| 2012-11-01 | 1.39918510 |
| 2012-12-01 | 1.47929250 |
| 2013-01-01 | 1.31337610 |
| 2013-02-01 | 1.36930010 |
| 2013-03-01 | 1.19479360 |
| 2013-04-01 | 1.31526460 |
| 2013-05-01 | 1.22200130 |
| 2013-06-01 | 1.37584360 |
| 2013-07-01 | 1.39121820 |
| 2013-08-01 | 1.63383750 |
| 2013-09-01 | 1.80029050 |
| 2013-10-01 | 1.56716290 |
| 2013-11-01 | 1.53898380 |
| 2013-12-01 | 1.67848670 |
| 2014-01-01 | 1.68644570 |
| 2014-02-01 | 1.60489600 |
| 2014-03-01 | 1.52147060 |
| 2014-04-01 | 1.71183010 |
| 2014-05-01 | 1.72605980 |
| 2014-06-01 | 1.65010520 |
| 2014-07-01 | 1.75199620 |
| 2014-08-01 | 1.74712650 |
| 2014-09-01 | 1.82773320 |
| 2014-10-01 | 1.70529730 |
| 2014-11-01 | 1.61113670 |
| 2014-12-01 | 1.78850320 |
| 2015-01-01 | 1.45024720 |
| 2015-02-01 | 1.21072610 |
| 2015-03-01 | 1.43072310 |
| 2015-04-01 | 1.56667510 |
| 2015-05-01 | 1.65684820 |
| 2015-06-01 | 1.69411270 |
| 2015-07-01 | 1.74937450 |
| 2015-08-01 | 1.67764840 |
| 2015-09-01 | 1.73099285 |
| 2015-10-01 | 1.53903610 |
| 2015-11-01 | 1.59144970 |
| 2015-12-01 | 1.63037419 |
| 2016-01-01 | 1.66370347 |
| 2016-02-01 | 1.47713986 |
| 2016-03-01 | 1.36920628 |
| 2016-04-01 | 1.58686327 |
| 2016-05-01 | 1.60739033 |
| 2016-06-01 | 1.52231730 |
| 2016-07-01 | 1.49629866 |
| 2016-08-01 | 1.50038250 |
| 2016-09-01 | 1.65281421 |
| 2016-10-01 | 1.57707610 |
| 2016-11-01 | 1.65100906 |
| 2016-12-01 | 1.89404070 |
| 2017-01-01 | 1.84281885 |
| 2017-02-01 | 1.81482005 |
| 2017-03-01 | 1.71658765 |
| 2017-04-01 | 1.72838236 |
| 2017-05-01 | 1.68544622 |
| 2017-06-01 | 1.48545120 |
| 2017-07-01 | 1.72039596 |
| 2017-08-01 | 1.68039352 |
| 2017-09-01 | 1.77625848 |
| 2017-10-01 | 1.80127547 |
| 2017-11-01 | 1.85055977 |
| 2017-12-01 | 2.05441547 |
| 2018-01-01 | 1.85354100 |
| 2018-02-01 | 1.99950484 |
| 2018-03-01 | 1.83641082 |
| 2018-04-01 | 1.87757864 |
| 2018-05-01 | 1.99373775 |
| 2018-06-01 | 1.88957971 |
| 2018-07-01 | 2.02597577 |
| 2018-08-01 | 2.06707052 |
| 2018-09-01 | 2.11233863 |
| 2018-10-01 | 2.10892649 |
| 2018-11-01 | 2.09369845 |
| 2018-12-01 | 2.00887512 |
| 2019-01-01 | 1.86022670 |
| 2019-02-01 | 1.86789757 |
| 2019-03-01 | 1.54935706 |
| 2019-04-01 | 1.70978850 |
| 2019-05-01 | 1.78351624 |
| 2019-06-01 | 1.53613702 |
| 2019-07-01 | 1.59087449 |
| 2019-08-01 | 1.56774280 |
| 2019-09-01 | 1.46525832 |
| 2019-10-01 | 1.54782562 |
| 2019-11-01 | 1.57221712 |
| 2019-12-01 | 1.60465352 |
| 2020-01-01 | 1.63626192 |
| 2020-02-01 | 1.50675875 |
| 2020-03-01 | 1.10436447 |
| 2020-04-01 | 0.80425982 |
| 2020-05-01 | 0.77553264 |
| 2020-06-01 | 0.96267305 |
| 2020-07-01 | 1.24205653 |
| 2020-08-01 | 1.24886163 |
| 2020-09-01 | 1.23835394 |
| 2020-10-01 | 1.19245545 |
| 2020-11-01 | 1.22905500 |
| 2020-12-01 | 1.30231066 |
| 2021-01-01 | 1.23272873 |
| 2021-02-01 | 1.31342496 |
| 2021-03-01 | 1.35300811 |
| 2021-04-01 | 1.47650556 |
| 2021-05-01 | 1.49028252 |
| 2021-06-01 | 1.54066530 |
| 2021-07-01 | 1.56688424 |
| 2021-08-01 | 1.58806353 |
| 2021-09-01 | 1.67910487 |
| 2021-10-01 | 1.51765553 |
| 2021-11-01 | 1.75596271 |
| 2021-12-01 | 1.77748765 |
| 2022-01-01 | 1.74595950 |
| 2022-02-01 | 1.92581799 |
| 2022-03-01 | 2.03184018 |
| 2022-04-01 | 2.32389744 |
| 2022-05-01 | 2.51174346 |
| 2022-06-01 | 2.64871000 |
| 2022-07-01 | 2.34633283 |
| 2022-08-01 | 2.26090970 |
| 2022-09-01 | 2.63817943 |
| 2022-10-01 | 2.43091927 |
| 2022-11-01 | 2.58057584 |
| 2022-12-01 | 2.31344907 |
| 2023-01-01 | 2.34505369 |
| 2023-02-01 | 2.17581906 |
| 2023-03-01 | 2.22481548 |
| 2023-04-01 | 2.17997344 |
| 2023-05-01 | 2.22891342 |
| 2023-06-01 | 1.65831028 |
| 2023-07-01 | 2.12220406 |
| 2023-08-01 | 2.22013453 |
| 2023-09-01 | 2.32864659 |
| 2023-10-01 | 2.44989603 |
| 2023-11-01 | 2.47188493 |
| 2023-12-01 | 2.42414381 |
| 2024-01-01 | 2.20786838 |
| 2024-02-01 | 2.19319177 |
| 2024-03-01 | 2.20196838 |
| 2024-04-01 | 2.41768014 |
| 2024-05-01 | 2.55506884 |
| 2024-06-01 | 2.44639838 |
| 2024-07-01 | 2.41708182 |
| 2024-08-01 | 2.19674359 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.13777863 |
| 2024-10-01 | 2.12490631 |
| 2024-11-01 | 2.34613355 |
| 2024-12-01 | 2.36892306 |
