Table Data - Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions
| Title | Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions |
|---|---|
| Series ID | FMPNSA |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Release | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Not Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Percent |
| Date Range | 1995-10-01 to 2026-04-01 |
| Last Updated | 2026-05-15 1:00 PM CDT |
| Notes | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay (FMP) Employer-to-Employer (E2E) Transition Probability tracks the rate at which U.S. workers transition from one employer to another in a given month. Expressed as the share (percentage) of movers among all employed workers in the previous month, E2E Transition Probability provides a timely gauge of the pace of worker reallocation in the U.S. labor market. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1995-10-01 | 3.0236154794693000 |
| 1995-11-01 | 3.1001077964901900 |
| 1995-12-01 | 2.1032018586993200 |
| 1996-01-01 | 2.6915222406387302 |
| 1996-02-01 | 2.7185345068573900 |
| 1996-03-01 | 2.5969432666897703 |
| 1996-04-01 | 2.4156861007213500 |
| 1996-05-01 | 3.0103575438261000 |
| 1996-06-01 | 3.0372790992259900 |
| 1996-07-01 | 3.0359646305441803 |
| 1996-08-01 | 3.2649587839841803 |
| 1996-09-01 | 3.1704165041446600 |
| 1996-10-01 | 2.6987385004758800 |
| 1996-11-01 | 2.8612939640879600 |
| 1996-12-01 | 2.0419422537088300 |
| 1997-01-01 | 2.8479710221290500 |
| 1997-02-01 | 2.6169350370764700 |
| 1997-03-01 | 2.6389170438051200 |
| 1997-04-01 | 2.3022362962365097 |
| 1997-05-01 | 2.8055436909198700 |
| 1997-06-01 | 2.9416024684906000 |
| 1997-07-01 | 3.0246876180171900 |
| 1997-08-01 | 3.2087776809930800 |
| 1997-09-01 | 3.2775577157735800 |
| 1997-10-01 | 3.1683150678873000 |
| 1997-11-01 | 2.7227969840168900 |
| 1997-12-01 | 2.3740177974104800 |
| 1998-01-01 | 2.6164840906858400 |
| 1998-02-01 | 2.6376962661743100 |
| 1998-03-01 | 2.5377493351697900 |
| 1998-04-01 | 2.8081044554710300 |
| 1998-05-01 | 2.5603162124753000 |
| 1998-06-01 | 2.9497226700186703 |
| 1998-07-01 | 3.2798513770103400 |
| 1998-08-01 | 2.9620824381709100 |
| 1998-09-01 | 3.0581805855035697 |
| 1998-10-01 | 3.0084155499935100 |
| 1998-11-01 | 2.4536076933145500 |
| 1998-12-01 | 2.3094654083251900 |
| 1999-01-01 | 2.5407187640666900 |
| 1999-02-01 | 2.5539435446262300 |
| 1999-03-01 | 2.4635650217533103 |
| 1999-04-01 | 2.7677886188030203 |
| 1999-05-01 | 2.5029420852661100 |
| 1999-06-01 | 2.8889538720250100 |
| 1999-07-01 | 3.1735766679048500 |
| 1999-08-01 | 2.8488939628005000 |
| 1999-09-01 | 3.6560215055942500 |
| 1999-10-01 | 2.7753314003348297 |
| 1999-11-01 | 2.6261771097779203 |
| 1999-12-01 | 2.6228256523609100 |
| 2000-01-01 | 2.7685727924108496 |
| 2000-02-01 | 2.6871180161833700 |
| 2000-03-01 | 2.8194947168231000 |
| 2000-04-01 | 2.5026386603713000 |
| 2000-05-01 | 2.7975613251328400 |
| 2000-06-01 | 3.3937241882085800 |
| 2000-07-01 | 3.0205324292182900 |
| 2000-08-01 | 2.9017582535743700 |
| 2000-09-01 | 3.4973926842212600 |
| 2000-10-01 | 2.8626928105950302 |
| 2000-11-01 | 2.7699666097760200 |
| 2000-12-01 | 2.0334888249635700 |
| 2001-01-01 | 2.7805656194686800 |
| 2001-02-01 | 2.9341839253902400 |
| 2001-03-01 | 2.4668335914611800 |
| 2001-04-01 | 2.3140035569667800 |
| 2001-05-01 | 2.2962836548686000 |
| 2001-06-01 | 3.0288169160485200 |
| 2001-07-01 | 2.9438128694891900 |
| 2001-08-01 | 3.1759932637214600 |
| 2001-09-01 | 2.9327979311347000 |
| 2001-10-01 | 2.5240108370780900 |
| 2001-11-01 | 2.5213520973920800 |
| 2001-12-01 | 1.9374452531337700 |
| 2002-01-01 | 2.3348985239863400 |
| 2002-02-01 | 2.5463856756687098 |
| 2002-03-01 | 2.2608904168009700 |
| 2002-04-01 | 2.0602500066161102 |
| 2002-05-01 | 2.5811556726694100 |
| 2002-06-01 | 2.7391385287046400 |
| 2002-07-01 | 2.7150388807058300 |
| 2002-08-01 | 2.7250325307250000 |
| 2002-09-01 | 2.7448156848549803 |
| 2002-10-01 | 2.5152955204248400 |
| 2002-11-01 | 2.3791121318936300 |
| 2002-12-01 | 1.7249748110771100 |
| 2003-01-01 | 2.4347750470042200 |
| 2003-02-01 | 2.1387772634625400 |
| 2003-03-01 | 2.1236464381217903 |
| 2003-04-01 | 1.9086144864559100 |
| 2003-05-01 | 2.3418553173542000 |
| 2003-06-01 | 2.4266170337796200 |
| 2003-07-01 | 2.4518800899386400 |
| 2003-08-01 | 2.5256616994738500 |
| 2003-09-01 | 2.6736555621027900 |
| 2003-10-01 | 2.3503318428993203 |
| 2003-11-01 | 1.9786654040217400 |
| 2003-12-01 | 1.8754985183477400 |
| 2004-01-01 | 2.2770628333091700 |
| 2004-02-01 | 2.1301340311765600 |
| 2004-03-01 | 2.1083751693367900 |
| 2004-04-01 | 2.3367239162325800 |
| 2004-05-01 | 2.1845607087016097 |
| 2004-06-01 | 2.4359809234738300 |
| 2004-07-01 | 2.7404354885220500 |
| 2004-08-01 | 2.4976780638098700 |
| 2004-09-01 | 2.8196265920996600 |
| 2004-10-01 | 2.5681706145405700 |
| 2004-11-01 | 2.1785778924822800 |
| 2004-12-01 | 2.0519390702247600 |
| 2005-01-01 | 2.3666698485612800 |
| 2005-02-01 | 2.4090847000479600 |
| 2005-03-01 | 2.2675430402159600 |
| 2005-04-01 | 2.2654619067907300 |
| 2005-05-01 | 2.1333839744329400 |
| 2005-06-01 | 2.7795506641268700 |
| 2005-07-01 | 2.4193959310650803 |
| 2005-08-01 | 2.6039397343993100 |
| 2005-09-01 | 2.9896182939410200 |
| 2005-10-01 | 2.4494644254446000 |
| 2005-11-01 | 2.3744381964206700 |
| 2005-12-01 | 1.9596878439188000 |
| 2006-01-01 | 2.2586934268474500 |
| 2006-02-01 | 2.3752259090542700 |
| 2006-03-01 | 2.2787759080529200 |
| 2006-04-01 | 2.0607778802514000 |
| 2006-05-01 | 2.2066669538617100 |
| 2006-06-01 | 2.8018733486533100 |
| 2006-07-01 | 2.6760052889585400 |
| 2006-08-01 | 2.5785427540540600 |
| 2006-09-01 | 2.8794031590223300 |
| 2006-10-01 | 2.2448237985372503 |
| 2006-11-01 | 2.2022545337677000 |
| 2006-12-01 | 2.0724007859826000 |
| 2007-01-01 | 2.1823126822710000 |
| 2007-02-01 | 2.1583937108516600 |
| 2007-03-01 | 2.4674667045474000 |
| 2007-04-01 | 2.2465024143457400 |
| 2007-05-01 | 2.4132359772920600 |
| 2007-06-01 | 2.5808718055486600 |
| 2007-07-01 | 2.8224073350429500 |
| 2007-08-01 | 2.6413736864924400 |
| 2007-09-01 | 2.8752511367201800 |
| 2007-10-01 | 2.3608170449733700 |
| 2007-11-01 | 2.3403016850352200 |
| 2007-12-01 | 1.8535187467932700 |
| 2008-01-01 | 2.2804461419582300 |
| 2008-02-01 | 2.3487662896513900 |
| 2008-03-01 | 2.2745450958609500 |
| 2008-04-01 | 2.1786877885460800 |
| 2008-05-01 | 2.5303374975919700 |
| 2008-06-01 | 2.5272000581026000 |
| 2008-07-01 | 2.6808170601725500 |
| 2008-08-01 | 2.9007239267230000 |
| 2008-09-01 | 2.7209483087062800 |
| 2008-10-01 | 2.5493817403912500 |
| 2008-11-01 | 2.0136762410402200 |
| 2008-12-01 | 1.8951535224914500 |
| 2009-01-01 | 2.1030601114034600 |
| 2009-02-01 | 2.2235482931137000 |
| 2009-03-01 | 2.0187325775623300 |
| 2009-04-01 | 2.0968690514564500 |
| 2009-05-01 | 2.3674644529819400 |
| 2009-06-01 | 2.4059100076556200 |
| 2009-07-01 | 2.3955665528774200 |
| 2009-08-01 | 2.3178882896900100 |
| 2009-09-01 | 2.5563513860106400 |
| 2009-10-01 | 2.2456543520092900 |
| 2009-11-01 | 1.9052509218454297 |
| 2009-12-01 | 1.7605418339371600 |
| 2010-01-01 | 2.0290680229663800 |
| 2010-02-01 | 1.9854618236422500 |
| 2010-03-01 | 2.0344914868474000 |
| 2010-04-01 | 2.1305881440639500 |
| 2010-05-01 | 2.1096132695674900 |
| 2010-06-01 | 2.1869031712412800 |
| 2010-07-01 | 2.5283902883529600 |
| 2010-08-01 | 2.3913085460662800 |
| 2010-09-01 | 2.6564713567495300 |
| 2010-10-01 | 2.0280655473470600 |
| 2010-11-01 | 1.9259208813309600 |
| 2010-12-01 | 1.7896812409162500 |
| 2011-01-01 | 1.9073577597737300 |
| 2011-02-01 | 1.8249442800879400 |
| 2011-03-01 | 2.0042022690176900 |
| 2011-04-01 | 2.0877439528703600 |
| 2011-05-01 | 2.0030716434121100 |
| 2011-06-01 | 2.4869097396731300 |
| 2011-07-01 | 2.3274455219507200 |
| 2011-08-01 | 2.3128621280193300 |
| 2011-09-01 | 2.6893021538853600 |
| 2011-10-01 | 2.1192854270339000 |
| 2011-11-01 | 2.0774289965629500 |
| 2011-12-01 | 1.6612729057669602 |
| 2012-01-01 | 2.1238520741462700 |
| 2012-02-01 | 2.0839199423789903 |
| 2012-03-01 | 2.0346254110336300 |
| 2012-04-01 | 1.8758656457066500 |
| 2012-05-01 | 1.9290030002593900 |
| 2012-06-01 | 2.5653077289462000 |
| 2012-07-01 | 2.3866137489676400 |
| 2012-08-01 | 2.4993203580379400 |
| 2012-09-01 | 2.4759693071246100 |
| 2012-10-01 | 2.1094877272844300 |
| 2012-11-01 | 1.9561229273676800 |
| 2012-12-01 | 1.8314810469746496 |
| 2013-01-01 | 1.8330676481127700 |
| 2013-02-01 | 2.1099967882037100 |
| 2013-03-01 | 2.0741980522871000 |
| 2013-04-01 | 1.8409980461001400 |
| 2013-05-01 | 2.1713664755225097 |
| 2013-06-01 | 2.3876531049609100 |
| 2013-07-01 | 2.3029975593090000 |
| 2013-08-01 | 2.4966249242424900 |
| 2013-09-01 | 2.4326214566826800 |
| 2013-10-01 | 2.1374352276325204 |
| 2013-11-01 | 1.9911695271730400 |
| 2013-12-01 | 1.6218496486544598 |
| 2014-01-01 | 2.2533038631081500 |
| 2014-02-01 | 1.9839804619550700 |
| 2014-03-01 | 1.9361281767487504 |
| 2014-04-01 | 1.9326929003000200 |
| 2014-05-01 | 2.1551731973886400 |
| 2014-06-01 | 2.4603042751550603 |
| 2014-07-01 | 2.5201877579092900 |
| 2014-08-01 | 2.5601632893085400 |
| 2014-09-01 | 2.7109928429126700 |
| 2014-10-01 | 2.3515522480010898 |
| 2014-11-01 | 2.1252684295177400 |
| 2014-12-01 | 1.7563948407769200 |
| 2015-01-01 | 2.1255187690258000 |
| 2015-02-01 | 2.0845564082264900 |
| 2015-03-01 | 2.2540060803294097 |
| 2015-04-01 | 2.2364053875207900 |
| 2015-05-01 | 2.1921036764979300 |
| 2015-06-01 | 2.6025770232081400 |
| 2015-07-01 | 2.7934338897466600 |
| 2015-08-01 | 2.3887103423476200 |
| 2015-09-01 | 2.6856340467929800 |
| 2015-10-01 | 2.5358829647302600 |
| 2015-11-01 | 2.1294990554451902 |
| 2015-12-01 | 1.9043609499931300 |
| 2016-01-01 | 2.1545290946960400 |
| 2016-02-01 | 2.0489064976572900 |
| 2016-03-01 | 2.0152138546109200 |
| 2016-04-01 | 2.0344616845250100 |
| 2016-05-01 | 1.9876860082149500 |
| 2016-06-01 | 2.6423079892992902 |
| 2016-07-01 | 2.5373138487339000 |
| 2016-08-01 | 2.3948820307850800 |
| 2016-09-01 | 3.0004803091287600 |
| 2016-10-01 | 2.2353932261466900 |
| 2016-11-01 | 2.0549714565277100 |
| 2016-12-01 | 1.8896298483014100 |
| 2017-01-01 | 1.9744910299777900 |
| 2017-02-01 | 2.1713946014642700 |
| 2017-03-01 | 2.2351002320647200 |
| 2017-04-01 | 1.9664164632558800 |
| 2017-05-01 | 2.2553987801074897 |
| 2017-06-01 | 2.4852117523550900 |
| 2017-07-01 | 2.4764018133282600 |
| 2017-08-01 | 2.2961923852562900 |
| 2017-09-01 | 2.9738986864686000 |
| 2017-10-01 | 2.1863082423806100 |
| 2017-11-01 | 2.0043676719069400 |
| 2017-12-01 | 1.6623403877019798 |
| 2018-01-01 | 2.0784510299563400 |
| 2018-02-01 | 2.1629685536026900 |
| 2018-03-01 | 2.0283622667193400 |
| 2018-04-01 | 1.8463300541043200 |
| 2018-05-01 | 1.9890177994966500 |
| 2018-06-01 | 2.4987898766994400 |
| 2018-07-01 | 2.4537140503525700 |
| 2018-08-01 | 2.6086244732141400 |
| 2018-09-01 | 2.3512963205575903 |
| 2018-10-01 | 2.0351564511656700 |
| 2018-11-01 | 1.9689051434397704 |
| 2018-12-01 | 1.8481241539120600 |
| 2019-01-01 | 2.1364072337746600 |
| 2019-02-01 | 2.2461950778961097 |
| 2019-03-01 | 2.1726973354816400 |
| 2019-04-01 | 1.7995199188590000 |
| 2019-05-01 | 2.2340832278132400 |
| 2019-06-01 | 2.1330418065190300 |
| 2019-07-01 | 2.6119517162442200 |
| 2019-08-01 | 2.5438627228140800 |
| 2019-09-01 | 2.4186735972762100 |
| 2019-10-01 | 2.1526673808693800 |
| 2019-11-01 | 2.0354669541120503 |
| 2019-12-01 | 1.8879352137446400 |
| 2020-01-01 | 2.2718064486980400 |
| 2020-02-01 | 2.0680449903011300 |
| 2020-03-01 | 2.0467193797230700 |
| 2020-04-01 | 1.7062816768884600 |
| 2020-05-01 | 1.6868719831108998 |
| 2020-06-01 | 1.8219053745269700 |
| 2020-07-01 | 2.0803486928343700 |
| 2020-08-01 | 2.2417306900024400 |
| 2020-09-01 | 2.2695112973451600 |
| 2020-10-01 | 2.3670705035328800 |
| 2020-11-01 | 2.1513255313038804 |
| 2020-12-01 | 1.7647581174969600 |
| 2021-01-01 | 1.9273715093731800 |
| 2021-02-01 | 2.1145846694707800 |
| 2021-03-01 | 2.1647321060299800 |
| 2021-04-01 | 2.1666681393980900 |
| 2021-05-01 | 1.9365340471267700 |
| 2021-06-01 | 2.2451484575867600 |
| 2021-07-01 | 2.7842395007610300 |
| 2021-08-01 | 2.3214064538478800 |
| 2021-09-01 | 3.0572995543479897 |
| 2021-10-01 | 2.2533932700753203 |
| 2021-11-01 | 2.1961392834782600 |
| 2021-12-01 | 1.9259003922343200 |
| 2022-01-01 | 2.3762971162796000 |
| 2022-02-01 | 2.2832030430436100 |
| 2022-03-01 | 2.2729745134711200 |
| 2022-04-01 | 2.3307014256715703 |
| 2022-05-01 | 2.2573163732886300 |
| 2022-06-01 | 2.5780946016311600 |
| 2022-07-01 | 2.4300489574670703 |
| 2022-08-01 | 2.6503803208470300 |
| 2022-09-01 | 2.9118020087480500 |
| 2022-10-01 | 2.3873798549175200 |
| 2022-11-01 | 2.2250952199101400 |
| 2022-12-01 | 1.9162699580192500 |
| 2023-01-01 | 2.1128777414560300 |
| 2023-02-01 | 2.3438861593604000 |
| 2023-03-01 | 2.2414630278944900 |
| 2023-04-01 | 1.8440501764416600 |
| 2023-05-01 | 1.9860539585351900 |
| 2023-06-01 | 2.5768920779228200 |
| 2023-07-01 | 2.6517365127801800 |
| 2023-08-01 | 2.2404184564948000 |
| 2023-09-01 | 2.8033394366502700 |
| 2023-10-01 | 2.0795328542590100 |
| 2023-11-01 | 2.2110832855105400 |
| 2023-12-01 | 1.6850451007485300 |
| 2024-01-01 | 2.0249813795089700 |
| 2024-02-01 | 2.0772168412804600 |
| 2024-03-01 | 1.9269334152340800 |
| 2024-04-01 | 2.0180560648441300 |
| 2024-05-01 | 2.1992387250065800 |
| 2024-06-01 | 2.2580789402127200 |
| 2024-07-01 | 2.3020843043923302 |
| 2024-08-01 | 2.7013260871171900 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.6635289192199700 |
| 2024-10-01 | 2.3618936538696200 |
| 2024-11-01 | 1.9150272011756900 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1.7290487885475100 |
| 2025-01-01 | 1.9157458096742600 |
| 2025-02-01 | 2.0306764170527400 |
| 2025-03-01 | 2.2665541619062400 |
| 2025-04-01 | 1.9073357805609696 |
| 2025-05-01 | 2.3265408352017400 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2.1307675167918200 |
| 2025-07-01 | 2.3463854566216400 |
| 2025-08-01 | 2.4540707468986502 |
| 2025-09-01 | 2.5623660534620200 |
| 2025-10-01 | 2.1993410866709500 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2.0311783179544100 |
| 2025-12-01 | 1.9142292439937500 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2.2092504426836900 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2.0659742876887300 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2.2175665944814600 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2.2539494559168800 |