Table Data - Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions
| Title | Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions |
|---|---|
| Series ID | FMPNSA |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Release | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Not Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Percent |
| Date Range | 1995-10-01 to 2026-06-01 |
| Last Updated | 2026-07-10 1:01 PM CDT |
| Notes | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay (FMP) Employer-to-Employer (E2E) Transition Probability tracks the rate at which U.S. workers transition from one employer to another in a given month. Expressed as the share (percentage) of movers among all employed workers in the previous month, E2E Transition Probability provides a timely gauge of the pace of worker reallocation in the U.S. labor market. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1995-10-01 | 3.0236152932047800 |
| 1995-11-01 | 3.1001074239611603 |
| 1995-12-01 | 2.1032016724348000 |
| 1996-01-01 | 2.6915220543742100 |
| 1996-02-01 | 2.7185343205928800 |
| 1996-03-01 | 2.5969428941607400 |
| 1996-04-01 | 2.4156857281923303 |
| 1996-05-01 | 3.0103573575615800 |
| 1996-06-01 | 3.0372789129614800 |
| 1996-07-01 | 3.0359644442796700 |
| 1996-08-01 | 3.2649584114551504 |
| 1996-09-01 | 3.1704165041446600 |
| 1996-10-01 | 2.6987383142113600 |
| 1996-11-01 | 2.8612939640879600 |
| 1996-12-01 | 2.0419420674443200 |
| 1997-01-01 | 2.8479710221290500 |
| 1997-02-01 | 2.6169348508119500 |
| 1997-03-01 | 2.6389170438051200 |
| 1997-04-01 | 2.3022362962365097 |
| 1997-05-01 | 2.8055435046553603 |
| 1997-06-01 | 2.9416024684906000 |
| 1997-07-01 | 3.0246874317526800 |
| 1997-08-01 | 3.2087776809930800 |
| 1997-09-01 | 3.2775577157735800 |
| 1997-10-01 | 3.1683150678873000 |
| 1997-11-01 | 2.7227971702814098 |
| 1997-12-01 | 2.3740177974104800 |
| 1998-01-01 | 2.6164840906858400 |
| 1998-02-01 | 2.6376962661743100 |
| 1998-03-01 | 2.5377493351697900 |
| 1998-04-01 | 2.8081046417355497 |
| 1998-05-01 | 2.5603162124753000 |
| 1998-06-01 | 2.9497228562831800 |
| 1998-07-01 | 3.2798513770103400 |
| 1998-08-01 | 2.9620826244354200 |
| 1998-09-01 | 3.0581807717680900 |
| 1998-10-01 | 3.0084155499935100 |
| 1998-11-01 | 2.4536078795790600 |
| 1998-12-01 | 2.3094655945897100 |
| 1999-01-01 | 2.5407189503312100 |
| 1999-02-01 | 2.5539437308907500 |
| 1999-03-01 | 2.4635652080178200 |
| 1999-04-01 | 2.7677888050675300 |
| 1999-05-01 | 2.5029422715306200 |
| 1999-06-01 | 2.8889540582895200 |
| 1999-07-01 | 3.1735766679048500 |
| 1999-08-01 | 2.8488941490650100 |
| 1999-09-01 | 3.6560215055942500 |
| 1999-10-01 | 2.7753315865993500 |
| 1999-11-01 | 2.6261774823069500 |
| 1999-12-01 | 2.6228260248899400 |
| 2000-01-01 | 2.7685731649398800 |
| 2000-02-01 | 2.6871182024478900 |
| 2000-03-01 | 2.8194949030876100 |
| 2000-04-01 | 2.5026388466358100 |
| 2000-05-01 | 2.7975616976618700 |
| 2000-06-01 | 3.3937245607376100 |
| 2000-07-01 | 3.0205328017473200 |
| 2000-08-01 | 2.9017584398388800 |
| 2000-09-01 | 3.4973930567502900 |
| 2000-10-01 | 2.8626931831240600 |
| 2000-11-01 | 2.7699669823050500 |
| 2000-12-01 | 2.0334893837571100 |
| 2001-01-01 | 2.7805659919977100 |
| 2001-02-01 | 2.9341841116547500 |
| 2001-03-01 | 2.4668339639902100 |
| 2001-04-01 | 2.3140039294958100 |
| 2001-05-01 | 2.2962840273976304 |
| 2001-06-01 | 3.0288171023130400 |
| 2001-07-01 | 2.9438132420182200 |
| 2001-08-01 | 3.1759936362504897 |
| 2001-09-01 | 2.9327983036637297 |
| 2001-10-01 | 2.5240112096071203 |
| 2001-11-01 | 2.5213524699211100 |
| 2001-12-01 | 1.9374456256628000 |
| 2002-01-01 | 2.3348988965153703 |
| 2002-02-01 | 2.5463860481977400 |
| 2002-03-01 | 2.2608907893300003 |
| 2002-04-01 | 2.0602503791451400 |
| 2002-05-01 | 2.5811560451984400 |
| 2002-06-01 | 2.7391387149691497 |
| 2002-07-01 | 2.7150392532348600 |
| 2002-08-01 | 2.7250327169895100 |
| 2002-09-01 | 2.7448158711194900 |
| 2002-10-01 | 2.5152957066893500 |
| 2002-11-01 | 2.3791125044226600 |
| 2002-12-01 | 1.7249749973416302 |
| 2003-01-01 | 2.4347754195332500 |
| 2003-02-01 | 2.1387774497270500 |
| 2003-03-01 | 2.1236466243863097 |
| 2003-04-01 | 1.9086146727204296 |
| 2003-05-01 | 2.3418555036187100 |
| 2003-06-01 | 2.4266170337796200 |
| 2003-07-01 | 2.4518802762031500 |
| 2003-08-01 | 2.5256616994738500 |
| 2003-09-01 | 2.6736555621027900 |
| 2003-10-01 | 2.3503320291638303 |
| 2003-11-01 | 1.9786655902862500 |
| 2003-12-01 | 1.8754987046122500 |
| 2004-01-01 | 2.2770630195736800 |
| 2004-02-01 | 2.1301340311765600 |
| 2004-03-01 | 2.1083751693367900 |
| 2004-04-01 | 2.3367239162325800 |
| 2004-05-01 | 2.1845607087016097 |
| 2004-06-01 | 2.4359807372093200 |
| 2004-07-01 | 2.7404354885220500 |
| 2004-08-01 | 2.4976778775453500 |
| 2004-09-01 | 2.8196264058351500 |
| 2004-10-01 | 2.5681704282760600 |
| 2004-11-01 | 2.1785777062177600 |
| 2004-12-01 | 2.0519390702247600 |
| 2005-01-01 | 2.3666696622967700 |
| 2005-02-01 | 2.4090843275189400 |
| 2005-03-01 | 2.2675428539514500 |
| 2005-04-01 | 2.2654615342617000 |
| 2005-05-01 | 2.1333836019039100 |
| 2005-06-01 | 2.7795502915978400 |
| 2005-07-01 | 2.4193953722715302 |
| 2005-08-01 | 2.6039393618702800 |
| 2005-09-01 | 2.9896179214119902 |
| 2005-10-01 | 2.4494640529155700 |
| 2005-11-01 | 2.3744376376271200 |
| 2005-12-01 | 1.9596872851252500 |
| 2006-01-01 | 2.2586930543184200 |
| 2006-02-01 | 2.3752253502607300 |
| 2006-03-01 | 2.2787753492593700 |
| 2006-04-01 | 2.0607771351933400 |
| 2006-05-01 | 2.2066662088036497 |
| 2006-06-01 | 2.8018726035952497 |
| 2006-07-01 | 2.6760045439004800 |
| 2006-08-01 | 2.5785420089960000 |
| 2006-09-01 | 2.8794022276997500 |
| 2006-10-01 | 2.2448228672146800 |
| 2006-11-01 | 2.2022536024451203 |
| 2006-12-01 | 2.0723996683955100 |
| 2007-01-01 | 2.1823113784193900 |
| 2007-02-01 | 2.1583529189229003 |
| 2007-03-01 | 2.4674212560057600 |
| 2007-04-01 | 2.2464577108621600 |
| 2007-05-01 | 2.4131884798407500 |
| 2007-06-01 | 2.5808233767747800 |
| 2007-07-01 | 2.8223549947142600 |
| 2007-08-01 | 2.6413202285766600 |
| 2007-09-01 | 2.8751956298947300 |
| 2007-10-01 | 2.3607615381479200 |
| 2007-11-01 | 2.3402435705065700 |
| 2007-12-01 | 1.8534587696194600 |
| 2008-01-01 | 2.2803843021392800 |
| 2008-02-01 | 2.3496283218264500 |
| 2008-03-01 | 2.2764431312680200 |
| 2008-04-01 | 2.1812837570905600 |
| 2008-05-01 | 2.5325868278741800 |
| 2008-06-01 | 2.5341851636767300 |
| 2008-07-01 | 2.6834957301616600 |
| 2008-08-01 | 2.9036691412329603 |
| 2008-09-01 | 2.7231341227889000 |
| 2008-10-01 | 2.5522897019982300 |
| 2008-11-01 | 2.0158238708972900 |
| 2008-12-01 | 1.8975298851728400 |
| 2009-01-01 | 2.1054580807685800 |
| 2009-02-01 | 2.2261513397097500 |
| 2009-03-01 | 2.0213574171066200 |
| 2009-04-01 | 2.1006660535931500 |
| 2009-05-01 | 2.3705301806330600 |
| 2009-06-01 | 2.4186268448829600 |
| 2009-07-01 | 2.3985434323549200 |
| 2009-08-01 | 2.3206155747175200 |
| 2009-09-01 | 2.5589358061552000 |
| 2009-10-01 | 2.2489931434392902 |
| 2009-11-01 | 1.9075751304626400 |
| 2009-12-01 | 1.7628027126193002 |
| 2010-01-01 | 2.0319705829024300 |
| 2010-02-01 | 1.9882239401340400 |
| 2010-03-01 | 2.0367689430713600 |
| 2010-04-01 | 2.1325215697288500 |
| 2010-05-01 | 2.1109100431203800 |
| 2010-06-01 | 2.1986017003655400 |
| 2010-07-01 | 2.5303946807980497 |
| 2010-08-01 | 2.3932317271828600 |
| 2010-09-01 | 2.6584291830658900 |
| 2010-10-01 | 2.0301828160882000 |
| 2010-11-01 | 1.9276313483715000 |
| 2010-12-01 | 1.7918100580572998 |
| 2011-01-01 | 1.9086966291069900 |
| 2011-02-01 | 1.8262272700667300 |
| 2011-03-01 | 2.0057156682014400 |
| 2011-04-01 | 2.0894119516015000 |
| 2011-05-01 | 2.0031748339533800 |
| 2011-06-01 | 2.4975063279271104 |
| 2011-07-01 | 2.3286391049623400 |
| 2011-08-01 | 2.3138882592320400 |
| 2011-09-01 | 2.6899047195911400 |
| 2011-10-01 | 2.1202599629759700 |
| 2011-11-01 | 2.0788075402379000 |
| 2011-12-01 | 1.6622472554445200 |
| 2012-01-01 | 2.1249763667583400 |
| 2012-02-01 | 2.0852159708738300 |
| 2012-03-01 | 2.0352020859718300 |
| 2012-04-01 | 1.8767470493912700 |
| 2012-05-01 | 1.9282625988125800 |
| 2012-06-01 | 2.5760846212506303 |
| 2012-07-01 | 2.3872252553701400 |
| 2012-08-01 | 2.5000916793942400 |
| 2012-09-01 | 2.4760559201240500 |
| 2012-10-01 | 2.1099520847201300 |
| 2012-11-01 | 1.9563226029276800 |
| 2012-12-01 | 1.8320584669709200 |
| 2013-01-01 | 1.8331198021769500 |
| 2013-02-01 | 2.1102799102663900 |
| 2013-03-01 | 2.0749501883983603 |
| 2013-04-01 | 1.8414683640003200 |
| 2013-05-01 | 2.1709797903895300 |
| 2013-06-01 | 2.3966930806636800 |
| 2013-07-01 | 2.3029824718832900 |
| 2013-08-01 | 2.4969397112727100 |
| 2013-09-01 | 2.4319959804415700 |
| 2013-10-01 | 2.1377461031079200 |
| 2013-11-01 | 1.9916305318474700 |
| 2013-12-01 | 1.6219934448599802 |
| 2014-01-01 | 2.2535610944032600 |
| 2014-02-01 | 1.9840661436319300 |
| 2014-03-01 | 1.9352586939930896 |
| 2014-04-01 | 1.9317500293254800 |
| 2014-05-01 | 2.1539412438869400 |
| 2014-06-01 | 2.4689273908734300 |
| 2014-07-01 | 2.5198314338922500 |
| 2014-08-01 | 2.5595907121896700 |
| 2014-09-01 | 2.7107067406177500 |
| 2014-10-01 | 2.3517498746514300 |
| 2014-11-01 | 2.1248748525977100 |
| 2014-12-01 | 1.7562622204422900 |
| 2015-01-01 | 2.1249419078230800 |
| 2015-02-01 | 2.0841905847191800 |
| 2015-03-01 | 2.2543380036950103 |
| 2015-04-01 | 2.2370688617229400 |
| 2015-05-01 | 2.1907614544034000 |
| 2015-06-01 | 2.6288777589797903 |
| 2015-07-01 | 2.7928715571761100 |
| 2015-08-01 | 2.3879043757915500 |
| 2015-09-01 | 2.6854934170842100 |
| 2015-10-01 | 2.5359492748975700 |
| 2015-11-01 | 2.1289836615324000 |
| 2015-12-01 | 1.9037980586290300 |
| 2016-01-01 | 2.1539045497775000 |
| 2016-02-01 | 2.0483555272221500 |
| 2016-03-01 | 2.0141921937465600 |
| 2016-04-01 | 2.0334141328930800 |
| 2016-05-01 | 1.9852757453918400 |
| 2016-06-01 | 2.6509378105401900 |
| 2016-07-01 | 2.5362839922308900 |
| 2016-08-01 | 2.3937666788697203 |
| 2016-09-01 | 3.0006432905793100 |
| 2016-10-01 | 2.2344332188367800 |
| 2016-11-01 | 2.0536851137876500 |
| 2016-12-01 | 1.8885478377342200 |
| 2017-01-01 | 1.9738601520657504 |
| 2017-02-01 | 2.1710170432925200 |
| 2017-03-01 | 2.2344019263982700 |
| 2017-04-01 | 1.9647544249892200 |
| 2017-05-01 | 2.2529259324073703 |
| 2017-06-01 | 2.4932557716965600 |
| 2017-07-01 | 2.4753306061029400 |
| 2017-08-01 | 2.2950707003474200 |
| 2017-09-01 | 2.9730943962931600 |
| 2017-10-01 | 2.1854793652892100 |
| 2017-11-01 | 2.0034378394484498 |
| 2017-12-01 | 1.6605006530880900 |
| 2018-01-01 | 2.0778190344572000 |
| 2018-02-01 | 2.1616749465465500 |
| 2018-03-01 | 2.0273772999644200 |
| 2018-04-01 | 1.8446797505021000 |
| 2018-05-01 | 1.9863896071910800 |
| 2018-06-01 | 2.5063076987862500 |
| 2018-07-01 | 2.4527532979846000 |
| 2018-08-01 | 2.6073846966028200 |
| 2018-09-01 | 2.3497670888900704 |
| 2018-10-01 | 2.0334342494606900 |
| 2018-11-01 | 1.9677033647894800 |
| 2018-12-01 | 1.8470374867320000 |
| 2019-01-01 | 2.1351762115955300 |
| 2019-02-01 | 2.2454513236880300 |
| 2019-03-01 | 2.1719854325056000 |
| 2019-04-01 | 1.7981287091970400 |
| 2019-05-01 | 2.2318253293633400 |
| 2019-06-01 | 2.1404687315225600 |
| 2019-07-01 | 2.6106555014848700 |
| 2019-08-01 | 2.5432184338569600 |
| 2019-09-01 | 2.4168515577912300 |
| 2019-10-01 | 2.1505912765860500 |
| 2019-11-01 | 2.0349226891994400 |
| 2019-12-01 | 1.8869627267122200 |
| 2020-01-01 | 2.2707875818014100 |
| 2020-02-01 | 2.0673450082540503 |
| 2020-03-01 | 2.0455604419112200 |
| 2020-04-01 | 1.7048813402652698 |
| 2020-05-01 | 1.6830909997224800 |
| 2020-06-01 | 1.8284562975168200 |
| 2020-07-01 | 2.0784055814147000 |
| 2020-08-01 | 2.2402293980121600 |
| 2020-09-01 | 2.2680420428514400 |
| 2020-10-01 | 2.3657191544771100 |
| 2020-11-01 | 2.1505761891603400 |
| 2020-12-01 | 1.7636258155107505 |
| 2021-01-01 | 1.9266014918684900 |
| 2021-02-01 | 2.1134804934263203 |
| 2021-03-01 | 2.1637750789523102 |
| 2021-04-01 | 2.1652556955814300 |
| 2021-05-01 | 1.9330738112330400 |
| 2021-06-01 | 2.2536555305123303 |
| 2021-07-01 | 2.7832882478833200 |
| 2021-08-01 | 2.3203363642096497 |
| 2021-09-01 | 3.0570864677429200 |
| 2021-10-01 | 2.2528201341629000 |
| 2021-11-01 | 2.1951004862785300 |
| 2021-12-01 | 1.9252154976129500 |
| 2022-01-01 | 2.3758292198181100 |
| 2022-02-01 | 2.2822419181466100 |
| 2022-03-01 | 2.2718984633684100 |
| 2022-04-01 | 2.3306233808398200 |
| 2022-05-01 | 2.2548912093043300 |
| 2022-06-01 | 2.5865791365504200 |
| 2022-07-01 | 2.4295417591929400 |
| 2022-08-01 | 2.6497408747673000 |
| 2022-09-01 | 2.9117045924067500 |
| 2022-10-01 | 2.3867020383477200 |
| 2022-11-01 | 2.2254375740885700 |
| 2022-12-01 | 1.9162395969033200 |
| 2023-01-01 | 2.1121645346283900 |
| 2023-02-01 | 2.3431578651070500 |
| 2023-03-01 | 2.2407568991184200 |
| 2023-04-01 | 1.8431818112730900 |
| 2023-05-01 | 1.9833099097013400 |
| 2023-06-01 | 2.5846943259239200 |
| 2023-07-01 | 2.6517109945416400 |
| 2023-08-01 | 2.2385610267519898 |
| 2023-09-01 | 2.8027828782796800 |
| 2023-10-01 | 2.0783932879567100 |
| 2023-11-01 | 2.2101966664195000 |
| 2023-12-01 | 1.6842847689986202 |
| 2024-01-01 | 2.0240504294633800 |
| 2024-02-01 | 2.0762445405125600 |
| 2024-03-01 | 1.9261639565229400 |
| 2024-04-01 | 2.0172964781522698 |
| 2024-05-01 | 2.1966081112623200 |
| 2024-06-01 | 2.2666212171316100 |
| 2024-07-01 | 2.3012904450297302 |
| 2024-08-01 | 2.7010900899767800 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.6635652408003800 |
| 2024-10-01 | 2.3615866899490303 |
| 2024-11-01 | 1.9142720848321900 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1.7289403825998300 |
| 2025-01-01 | 1.9155593588948200 |
| 2025-02-01 | 2.0302845165133400 |
| 2025-03-01 | 2.2668873891234400 |
| 2025-04-01 | 1.9068820402026100 |
| 2025-05-01 | 2.3246075958013500 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2.1393939852714500 |
| 2025-07-01 | 2.3460527881979902 |
| 2025-08-01 | 2.4533556774258600 |
| 2025-09-01 | 2.5620425119996000 |
| 2025-10-01 | 2.1994414045583000 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2.0311592980215902 |
| 2025-12-01 | 1.9145430997014000 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2.2092387080192500 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2.0659036934375700 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2.2178310900926500 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2.2543396800756400 |
| 2026-05-01 | 2.2071374580264003 |
| 2026-06-01 | 2.2882690653204900 |