Table Data - Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions
| Title | Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions |
|---|---|
| Series ID | FMPNSA |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Release | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Not Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Percent |
| Date Range | 1995-10-01 to 2025-09-01 |
| Last Updated | 2025-12-12 1:01 PM CST |
| Notes | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay (FMP) Employer-to-Employer (E2E) Transition Probability tracks the rate at which U.S. workers transition from one employer to another in a given month. Expressed as the share (percentage) of movers among all employed workers in the previous month, E2E Transition Probability provides a timely gauge of the pace of worker reallocation in the U.S. labor market. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1995-10-01 | 3.0236216261982900 |
| 1995-11-01 | 3.1001131981611200 |
| 1995-12-01 | 2.1032067015767100 |
| 1996-01-01 | 2.6915261521935400 |
| 1996-02-01 | 2.7185402810573502 |
| 1996-03-01 | 2.5969490408897400 |
| 1996-04-01 | 2.4156916886568000 |
| 1996-05-01 | 3.0103623867034903 |
| 1996-06-01 | 3.0372843146324100 |
| 1996-07-01 | 3.0359681695699700 |
| 1996-08-01 | 3.2649617642164204 |
| 1996-09-01 | 3.1704187393188400 |
| 1996-10-01 | 2.6987403631210300 |
| 1996-11-01 | 2.8612960129976200 |
| 1996-12-01 | 2.0419439300894697 |
| 1997-01-01 | 2.8479726985096900 |
| 1997-02-01 | 2.6169370859861303 |
| 1997-03-01 | 2.6389190927147800 |
| 1997-04-01 | 2.3022377863526300 |
| 1997-05-01 | 2.8055448085069603 |
| 1997-06-01 | 2.9416035860776900 |
| 1997-07-01 | 3.0246881768107400 |
| 1997-08-01 | 3.2087780535221100 |
| 1997-09-01 | 3.2775580883026100 |
| 1997-10-01 | 3.1683143228292403 |
| 1997-11-01 | 2.7227962389588303 |
| 1997-12-01 | 2.3740164935588800 |
| 1998-01-01 | 2.6164826005697200 |
| 1998-02-01 | 2.6376953348517400 |
| 1998-03-01 | 2.5377482175827000 |
| 1998-04-01 | 2.8081029653549100 |
| 1998-05-01 | 2.5603143498301497 |
| 1998-06-01 | 2.9497209936380298 |
| 1998-07-01 | 3.2798495143651900 |
| 1998-08-01 | 2.9620803892612400 |
| 1998-09-01 | 3.0581779778003700 |
| 1998-10-01 | 3.0084120109677300 |
| 1998-11-01 | 2.4536039680242500 |
| 1998-12-01 | 2.3094614967703800 |
| 1999-01-01 | 2.5407142937183300 |
| 1999-02-01 | 2.5539398193359300 |
| 1999-03-01 | 2.4635616689920403 |
| 1999-04-01 | 2.7677856385707800 |
| 1999-05-01 | 2.5029378011822700 |
| 1999-06-01 | 2.8889501467347100 |
| 1999-07-01 | 3.1735721975564903 |
| 1999-08-01 | 2.8488891199231100 |
| 1999-09-01 | 3.6560166627168600 |
| 1999-10-01 | 2.7753256261348700 |
| 1999-11-01 | 2.6261713355779600 |
| 1999-12-01 | 2.6228204369544900 |
| 2000-01-01 | 2.7685664594173400 |
| 2000-02-01 | 2.6871124282479200 |
| 2000-03-01 | 2.8194895014166800 |
| 2000-04-01 | 2.5026341900229400 |
| 2000-05-01 | 2.7975557371973903 |
| 2000-06-01 | 3.3937182277441000 |
| 2000-07-01 | 3.0205262824893000 |
| 2000-08-01 | 2.9017515480518300 |
| 2000-09-01 | 3.4973859786987296 |
| 2000-10-01 | 2.8626851737499200 |
| 2000-11-01 | 2.7699589729309000 |
| 2000-12-01 | 2.0334811881184502 |
| 2001-01-01 | 2.7805574238300300 |
| 2001-02-01 | 2.9341775923967300 |
| 2001-03-01 | 2.4668276309967000 |
| 2001-04-01 | 2.3139975965023000 |
| 2001-05-01 | 2.2962767630815497 |
| 2001-06-01 | 3.0288100242614700 |
| 2001-07-01 | 2.9438050463795600 |
| 2001-08-01 | 3.1759861856698900 |
| 2001-09-01 | 2.9327904805541000 |
| 2001-10-01 | 2.5240020826458900 |
| 2001-11-01 | 2.5213437154889100 |
| 2001-12-01 | 1.9374379888176900 |
| 2002-01-01 | 2.3348897695541297 |
| 2002-02-01 | 2.5463791564106900 |
| 2002-03-01 | 2.2608848288655200 |
| 2002-04-01 | 2.0602447912096900 |
| 2002-05-01 | 2.5811497122049300 |
| 2002-06-01 | 2.7391320094466200 |
| 2002-07-01 | 2.7150327339768400 |
| 2002-08-01 | 2.7250267565250400 |
| 2002-09-01 | 2.7448093518614700 |
| 2002-10-01 | 2.5152891874313300 |
| 2002-11-01 | 2.3791057989001203 |
| 2002-12-01 | 1.7249684780836100 |
| 2003-01-01 | 2.4347694590687700 |
| 2003-02-01 | 2.1387733519077300 |
| 2003-03-01 | 2.1236430853605200 |
| 2003-04-01 | 1.9086113199591600 |
| 2003-05-01 | 2.3418521508574400 |
| 2003-06-01 | 2.4266134947538300 |
| 2003-07-01 | 2.4518769234418800 |
| 2003-08-01 | 2.5256590917706400 |
| 2003-09-01 | 2.6736527681350700 |
| 2003-10-01 | 2.3503284901380500 |
| 2003-11-01 | 1.9786614924669200 |
| 2003-12-01 | 1.8754957243800100 |
| 2004-01-01 | 2.2770604118704800 |
| 2004-02-01 | 2.1301338449120500 |
| 2004-03-01 | 2.1083753556013100 |
| 2004-04-01 | 2.3367244750261300 |
| 2004-05-01 | 2.1845616400241800 |
| 2004-06-01 | 2.4359822273254300 |
| 2004-07-01 | 2.7404375374317100 |
| 2004-08-01 | 2.4976802989840500 |
| 2004-09-01 | 2.8196290135383600 |
| 2004-10-01 | 2.5681722909212100 |
| 2004-11-01 | 2.1785801276564603 |
| 2004-12-01 | 2.0519422367215103 |
| 2005-01-01 | 2.3666739463806100 |
| 2005-02-01 | 2.4090906605124403 |
| 2005-03-01 | 2.2675495594739900 |
| 2005-04-01 | 2.2654682397842400 |
| 2005-05-01 | 2.1333916112780500 |
| 2005-06-01 | 2.7795592322945500 |
| 2005-07-01 | 2.4194050580263100 |
| 2005-08-01 | 2.6039484888315200 |
| 2005-09-01 | 2.9896272346377300 |
| 2005-10-01 | 2.4494726210832600 |
| 2005-11-01 | 2.3744467645883502 |
| 2005-12-01 | 1.9596965983510000 |
| 2006-01-01 | 2.2587040439248000 |
| 2006-02-01 | 2.3752396926283800 |
| 2006-03-01 | 2.2787883877754203 |
| 2006-04-01 | 2.0607924088835700 |
| 2006-05-01 | 2.2066833451390200 |
| 2006-06-01 | 2.8018895536661100 |
| 2006-07-01 | 2.6760218665003700 |
| 2006-08-01 | 2.5785606354475000 |
| 2006-09-01 | 2.8794223442673600 |
| 2006-10-01 | 2.2448416799306800 |
| 2006-11-01 | 2.2022737190127300 |
| 2006-12-01 | 2.0724218338727898 |
| 2007-01-01 | 2.1823372691869700 |
| 2007-02-01 | 2.1592322736978500 |
| 2007-03-01 | 2.4684021249413400 |
| 2007-04-01 | 2.2474231198430000 |
| 2007-05-01 | 2.4142106994986500 |
| 2007-06-01 | 2.5818714872002600 |
| 2007-07-01 | 2.8234893456101400 |
| 2007-08-01 | 2.6424726471304800 |
| 2007-09-01 | 2.8763916343450500 |
| 2007-10-01 | 2.3619513958692497 |
| 2007-11-01 | 2.3414924740791300 |
| 2007-12-01 | 1.8547508865594800 |
| 2008-01-01 | 2.2817192599177303 |
| 2008-02-01 | 2.3476935923099500 |
| 2008-03-01 | 2.2712495177984200 |
| 2008-04-01 | 2.1748149767518000 |
| 2008-05-01 | 2.5239627808332403 |
| 2008-06-01 | 2.5208901613950703 |
| 2008-07-01 | 2.6743367314338600 |
| 2008-08-01 | 2.8942676261067300 |
| 2008-09-01 | 2.7140637859702100 |
| 2008-10-01 | 2.5424925610423000 |
| 2008-11-01 | 2.0073061808943700 |
| 2008-12-01 | 1.8901761621236800 |
| 2009-01-01 | 2.1025296300649603 |
| 2009-02-01 | 2.2178962826728800 |
| 2009-03-01 | 2.0110761746764100 |
| 2009-04-01 | 2.0904241129755903 |
| 2009-05-01 | 2.3543717339634900 |
| 2009-06-01 | 2.3942677304148603 |
| 2009-07-01 | 2.3829357698559700 |
| 2009-08-01 | 2.3059755563735900 |
| 2009-09-01 | 2.5441769510507500 |
| 2009-10-01 | 2.2337093949317900 |
| 2009-11-01 | 1.8942395225167200 |
| 2009-12-01 | 1.7526099458336800 |
| 2010-01-01 | 2.0287845283746697 |
| 2010-02-01 | 1.9784342497587200 |
| 2010-03-01 | 2.0269941538572303 |
| 2010-04-01 | 2.1269725635647703 |
| 2010-05-01 | 2.0991157740354500 |
| 2010-06-01 | 2.1766416728496500 |
| 2010-07-01 | 2.5180207565426800 |
| 2010-08-01 | 2.3810891434550200 |
| 2010-09-01 | 2.6464127004146500 |
| 2010-10-01 | 2.0195521414279898 |
| 2010-11-01 | 1.9171264022588697 |
| 2010-12-01 | 1.7836611717939300 |
| 2011-01-01 | 1.9094232469797097 |
| 2011-02-01 | 1.8210373818874300 |
| 2011-03-01 | 1.9990904256701400 |
| 2011-04-01 | 2.0860150456428500 |
| 2011-05-01 | 1.9955482333898500 |
| 2011-06-01 | 2.4791454896330800 |
| 2011-07-01 | 2.3198729380965200 |
| 2011-08-01 | 2.3054400458931900 |
| 2011-09-01 | 2.6819830760359700 |
| 2011-10-01 | 2.1126538515090902 |
| 2011-11-01 | 2.0703716203570300 |
| 2011-12-01 | 1.6575481742620400 |
| 2012-01-01 | 2.1280311048030800 |
| 2012-02-01 | 2.0819691941142000 |
| 2012-03-01 | 2.0316623151302298 |
| 2012-04-01 | 1.8765171989798500 |
| 2012-05-01 | 1.9241029396653100 |
| 2012-06-01 | 2.5598434731364200 |
| 2012-07-01 | 2.3813584819436000 |
| 2012-08-01 | 2.4942485615611000 |
| 2012-09-01 | 2.4709306657314300 |
| 2012-10-01 | 2.1056029945611900 |
| 2012-11-01 | 1.9519789144396695 |
| 2012-12-01 | 1.8302002921700400 |
| 2013-01-01 | 1.8401959910988800 |
| 2013-02-01 | 2.1105082705616898 |
| 2013-03-01 | 2.0742576569318700 |
| 2013-04-01 | 1.8438315019011504 |
| 2013-05-01 | 2.1681100130081100 |
| 2013-06-01 | 2.3848699405789300 |
| 2013-07-01 | 2.2999972105026200 |
| 2013-08-01 | 2.4939909577369600 |
| 2013-09-01 | 2.4299409240484200 |
| 2013-10-01 | 2.1354654803872100 |
| 2013-11-01 | 1.9893463701009700 |
| 2013-12-01 | 1.6233880072832100 |
| 2014-01-01 | 2.2619159892201400 |
| 2014-02-01 | 1.9867142662405897 |
| 2014-03-01 | 1.9383799284696500 |
| 2014-04-01 | 1.9387165084481200 |
| 2014-05-01 | 2.1550184115767400 |
| 2014-06-01 | 2.4599196389317500 |
| 2014-07-01 | 2.5196723639965000 |
| 2014-08-01 | 2.5597739964723500 |
| 2014-09-01 | 2.7105057612061500 |
| 2014-10-01 | 2.3520017042756000 |
| 2014-11-01 | 2.1259650588035500 |
| 2014-12-01 | 1.7599200829863500 |
| 2015-01-01 | 2.1369600668549498 |
| 2015-02-01 | 2.0904302597045800 |
| 2015-03-01 | 2.2582048550248100 |
| 2015-04-01 | 2.2442402318120000 |
| 2015-05-01 | 2.1943608298897703 |
| 2015-06-01 | 2.6098040863871503 |
| 2015-07-01 | 2.7953788638114903 |
| 2015-08-01 | 2.3909622803330400 |
| 2015-09-01 | 2.6875765994191100 |
| 2015-10-01 | 2.5389684364199600 |
| 2015-11-01 | 2.1322246640920600 |
| 2015-12-01 | 1.9107103347778300 |
| 2016-01-01 | 2.1682308986783000 |
| 2016-02-01 | 2.0564997568726500 |
| 2016-03-01 | 2.0218061283230697 |
| 2016-04-01 | 2.0451454445719700 |
| 2016-05-01 | 1.9925216212868600 |
| 2016-06-01 | 2.6468396186828600 |
| 2016-07-01 | 2.5421526283025700 |
| 2016-08-01 | 2.3997139185667000 |
| 2016-09-01 | 3.0051337555050800 |
| 2016-10-01 | 2.2411096841096803 |
| 2016-11-01 | 2.0609200000762900 |
| 2016-12-01 | 1.8985725939273800 |
| 2017-01-01 | 1.9905796274542800 |
| 2017-02-01 | 2.1813355386257100 |
| 2017-03-01 | 2.2439708933234200 |
| 2017-04-01 | 1.9797673448920200 |
| 2017-05-01 | 2.2623827680945400 |
| 2017-06-01 | 2.4921646341681400 |
| 2017-07-01 | 2.4832373484969100 |
| 2017-08-01 | 2.3032050579786300 |
| 2017-09-01 | 2.9815034940838800 |
| 2017-10-01 | 2.1948792040348000 |
| 2017-11-01 | 2.0129133015871000 |
| 2017-12-01 | 1.6738699749112105 |
| 2018-01-01 | 2.0968325436115200 |
| 2018-02-01 | 2.1760525181889500 |
| 2018-03-01 | 2.0408883690834000 |
| 2018-04-01 | 1.8624093383550600 |
| 2018-05-01 | 1.9994268193840900 |
| 2018-06-01 | 2.5089576840400700 |
| 2018-07-01 | 2.4633917957544300 |
| 2018-08-01 | 2.6186425238847700 |
| 2018-09-01 | 2.3612614721059800 |
| 2018-10-01 | 2.0467257127165700 |
| 2018-11-01 | 1.9802780821919400 |
| 2018-12-01 | 1.8625056371092800 |
| 2019-01-01 | 2.1583771333098403 |
| 2019-02-01 | 2.2620389237999900 |
| 2019-03-01 | 2.1878490224480600 |
| 2019-04-01 | 1.8184550106525400 |
| 2019-05-01 | 2.2470608353614800 |
| 2019-06-01 | 2.1461758762598000 |
| 2019-07-01 | 2.6248734444379800 |
| 2019-08-01 | 2.5566549971699700 |
| 2019-09-01 | 2.4316450580954500 |
| 2019-10-01 | 2.1670375019311900 |
| 2019-11-01 | 2.0498154684901200 |
| 2019-12-01 | 1.9054358825087496 |
| 2020-01-01 | 2.2969527170062000 |
| 2020-02-01 | 2.0865507423877700 |
| 2020-03-01 | 2.0643180236220300 |
| 2020-04-01 | 1.7242856323719000 |
| 2020-05-01 | 1.7011521384119900 |
| 2020-06-01 | 1.8352532759308800 |
| 2020-07-01 | 2.0940726622939100 |
| 2020-08-01 | 2.2571448236703800 |
| 2020-09-01 | 2.2849153727293000 |
| 2020-10-01 | 2.3841081187129000 |
| 2020-11-01 | 2.1683605387806800 |
| 2020-12-01 | 1.7855865880846902 |
| 2021-01-01 | 1.9550234079360900 |
| 2021-02-01 | 2.1358171477913803 |
| 2021-03-01 | 2.1855952218174900 |
| 2021-04-01 | 2.1913651376962600 |
| 2021-05-01 | 1.9554963335394800 |
| 2021-06-01 | 2.2639364004135100 |
| 2021-07-01 | 2.8031254187226300 |
| 2021-08-01 | 2.3403096944093700 |
| 2021-09-01 | 3.0766194686293600 |
| 2021-10-01 | 2.2738371044397300 |
| 2021-11-01 | 2.2165605798363600 |
| 2021-12-01 | 1.9504481926560400 |
| 2022-01-01 | 2.4068782106041900 |
| 2022-02-01 | 2.3081311956048003 |
| 2022-03-01 | 2.2972632199525800 |
| 2022-04-01 | 2.3585306480526900 |
| 2022-05-01 | 2.2796347737312300 |
| 2022-06-01 | 2.6001630350947300 |
| 2022-07-01 | 2.4521758779883300 |
| 2022-08-01 | 2.6724390685558297 |
| 2022-09-01 | 2.9346188530325800 |
| 2022-10-01 | 2.4110861122608100 |
| 2022-11-01 | 2.2489814087748500 |
| 2022-12-01 | 1.9440550357103300 |
| 2023-01-01 | 2.1475885063409800 |
| 2023-02-01 | 2.3721827194094600 |
| 2023-03-01 | 2.2697417065501200 |
| 2023-04-01 | 1.8756315112113904 |
| 2023-05-01 | 2.0122379064559897 |
| 2023-06-01 | 2.6025818660855200 |
| 2023-07-01 | 2.6778385043144200 |
| 2023-08-01 | 2.2664647549390700 |
| 2023-09-01 | 2.8295105323195400 |
| 2023-10-01 | 2.1075474098324700 |
| 2023-11-01 | 2.2393133491277600 |
| 2023-12-01 | 1.7167441546916900 |
| 2024-01-01 | 2.0630160346627200 |
| 2024-02-01 | 2.1092841401696200 |
| 2024-03-01 | 1.9589029252529100 |
| 2024-04-01 | 2.0543584600090900 |
| 2024-05-01 | 2.2291351109743100 |
| 2024-06-01 | 2.2875765338540000 |
| 2024-07-01 | 2.3323927074670703 |
| 2024-08-01 | 2.7311911806464100 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.6937138289213100 |
| 2024-10-01 | 2.3934125900268500 |
| 2024-11-01 | 1.9461004063487000 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1.7646217718720400 |
| 2025-01-01 | 1.9576152786612500 |
| 2025-02-01 | 2.0659016445279100 |
| 2025-03-01 | 2.3012822493910700 |
| 2025-04-01 | 1.9463490694761200 |
| 2025-05-01 | 2.3594060912728300 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2.1641926839947700 |
| 2025-07-01 | 2.3800492286682102 |
| 2025-08-01 | 2.4872098118066700 |
| 2025-09-01 | 2.5962535291910100 |