Table Data - Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions
| Title | Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions |
|---|---|
| Series ID | FMPSA |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Release | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Percent |
| Date Range | 1995-10-01 to 2026-06-01 |
| Last Updated | 2026-07-10 1:01 PM CDT |
| Notes | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay (FMP) Employer-to-Employer (E2E) Transition Probability tracks the rate at which U.S. workers transition from one employer to another in a given month. Expressed as the share (percentage) of movers among all employed workers in the previous month, E2E Transition Probability provides a timely gauge of the pace of worker reallocation in the U.S. labor market. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1995-10-01 | 2.8512348857600600 |
| 1995-11-01 | 3.0753645424828098 |
| 1995-12-01 | 2.6773460150280700 |
| 1996-01-01 | 2.7887988009892903 |
| 1996-02-01 | 2.8622789875430300 |
| 1996-03-01 | 2.8042426819172803 |
| 1996-04-01 | 2.8351483710481102 |
| 1996-05-01 | 3.0461302533471600 |
| 1996-06-01 | 2.8391994159272400 |
| 1996-07-01 | 2.6913299495662100 |
| 1996-08-01 | 2.9182708879043200 |
| 1996-09-01 | 2.7553932824619300 |
| 1996-10-01 | 2.5474399443352000 |
| 1996-11-01 | 2.8650852991910303 |
| 1996-12-01 | 2.5789223143196103 |
| 1997-01-01 | 2.9526399895658500 |
| 1997-02-01 | 2.7560282920503200 |
| 1997-03-01 | 2.8381938322259200 |
| 1997-04-01 | 2.6956347663370900 |
| 1997-05-01 | 2.8486035096047200 |
| 1997-06-01 | 2.7282671344495400 |
| 1997-07-01 | 2.6859418766344900 |
| 1997-08-01 | 2.8944037266357503 |
| 1997-09-01 | 2.8286600568853600 |
| 1997-10-01 | 3.0013113861978200 |
| 1997-11-01 | 2.7681989038471600 |
| 1997-12-01 | 2.9689365463691000 |
| 1998-01-01 | 2.7002944668364900 |
| 1998-02-01 | 2.7654883202175102 |
| 1998-03-01 | 2.7185499491295904 |
| 1998-04-01 | 3.2759093677104300 |
| 1998-05-01 | 2.6398457583286800 |
| 1998-06-01 | 2.7026996901629400 |
| 1998-07-01 | 2.9080312640726600 |
| 1998-08-01 | 2.7056065804022200 |
| 1998-09-01 | 2.6177500980251700 |
| 1998-10-01 | 2.8631421303334603 |
| 1998-11-01 | 2.5230338375101700 |
| 1998-12-01 | 2.8679188758230500 |
| 1999-01-01 | 2.6240830454769500 |
| 1999-02-01 | 2.6525470791128800 |
| 1999-03-01 | 2.6360120129502200 |
| 1999-04-01 | 3.2193642877671500 |
| 1999-05-01 | 2.6174920482391300 |
| 1999-06-01 | 2.6061605497059500 |
| 1999-07-01 | 2.8117122159100902 |
| 1999-08-01 | 2.6299045160068700 |
| 1999-09-01 | 3.1175065974367900 |
| 1999-10-01 | 2.6558676108397500 |
| 1999-11-01 | 2.7148506489276003 |
| 1999-12-01 | 3.2684389681129300 |
| 2000-01-01 | 2.8397983248080800 |
| 2000-02-01 | 2.7648946331224300 |
| 2000-03-01 | 3.0219838286116700 |
| 2000-04-01 | 2.9120820203941800 |
| 2000-05-01 | 2.9529449823447500 |
| 2000-06-01 | 3.0345317830528500 |
| 2000-07-01 | 2.6785320991063300 |
| 2000-08-01 | 2.6837773162558400 |
| 2000-09-01 | 2.9704874637240200 |
| 2000-10-01 | 2.7583266423496500 |
| 2000-11-01 | 2.8672596726105100 |
| 2000-12-01 | 2.5530814567548300 |
| 2001-01-01 | 2.8350313411288200 |
| 2001-02-01 | 3.0085966420203300 |
| 2001-03-01 | 2.6473937130225900 |
| 2001-04-01 | 2.6939872014233500 |
| 2001-05-01 | 2.4151787035538703 |
| 2001-06-01 | 2.7013039504163000 |
| 2001-07-01 | 2.6228866882218800 |
| 2001-08-01 | 2.9321924275148600 |
| 2001-09-01 | 2.4873858502600000 |
| 2001-10-01 | 2.4429147529039000 |
| 2001-11-01 | 2.6156355999881400 |
| 2001-12-01 | 2.4530187004454400 |
| 2002-01-01 | 2.3522598637872600 |
| 2002-02-01 | 2.6081063186155498 |
| 2002-03-01 | 2.4328584806518000 |
| 2002-04-01 | 2.3916131030510500 |
| 2002-05-01 | 2.7156837482525700 |
| 2002-06-01 | 2.4543692902711300 |
| 2002-07-01 | 2.4274647582571403 |
| 2002-08-01 | 2.5004631124787000 |
| 2002-09-01 | 2.3221265002526600 |
| 2002-10-01 | 2.4355444184921600 |
| 2002-11-01 | 2.4820082734848100 |
| 2002-12-01 | 2.1744323419687600 |
| 2003-01-01 | 2.4564464150163100 |
| 2003-02-01 | 2.1919777359791600 |
| 2003-03-01 | 2.2876754002631500 |
| 2003-04-01 | 2.2046069792654600 |
| 2003-05-01 | 2.4668293654484700 |
| 2003-06-01 | 2.1854726410888200 |
| 2003-07-01 | 2.1861391522949600 |
| 2003-08-01 | 2.3112401795702300 |
| 2003-09-01 | 2.2563855655153400 |
| 2003-10-01 | 2.2757025269763700 |
| 2003-11-01 | 2.0840354937222800 |
| 2003-12-01 | 2.3316777483269800 |
| 2004-01-01 | 2.3150380370136303 |
| 2004-02-01 | 2.2011261055579103 |
| 2004-03-01 | 2.2624775494494700 |
| 2004-04-01 | 2.6696555822090200 |
| 2004-05-01 | 2.3036602213436400 |
| 2004-06-01 | 2.2078636088361900 |
| 2004-07-01 | 2.4265870710417300 |
| 2004-08-01 | 2.2840239857997200 |
| 2004-09-01 | 2.3643117858175500 |
| 2004-10-01 | 2.5084394643278203 |
| 2004-11-01 | 2.3157092405081400 |
| 2004-12-01 | 2.5170067813302400 |
| 2005-01-01 | 2.4417210411483000 |
| 2005-02-01 | 2.5098573865169600 |
| 2005-03-01 | 2.4109401291468697 |
| 2005-04-01 | 2.5579635259009400 |
| 2005-05-01 | 2.2313899607049600 |
| 2005-06-01 | 2.5320485163271700 |
| 2005-07-01 | 2.1317945436514300 |
| 2005-08-01 | 2.3900706553833900 |
| 2005-09-01 | 2.4961702790742000 |
| 2005-10-01 | 2.4102431793964000 |
| 2005-11-01 | 2.5461136461739700 |
| 2005-12-01 | 2.3851002730291000 |
| 2006-01-01 | 2.3674521710208603 |
| 2006-02-01 | 2.4822750787558600 |
| 2006-03-01 | 2.4126969326612400 |
| 2006-04-01 | 2.2897428175409800 |
| 2006-05-01 | 2.2827368199034800 |
| 2006-06-01 | 2.5565827032037200 |
| 2006-07-01 | 2.3561678868700900 |
| 2006-08-01 | 2.3722702243220800 |
| 2006-09-01 | 2.4032649713031800 |
| 2006-10-01 | 2.2216718611524700 |
| 2006-11-01 | 2.3711433683794800 |
| 2006-12-01 | 2.5255632321721200 |
| 2007-01-01 | 2.3228319850633100 |
| 2007-02-01 | 2.2524745440496700 |
| 2007-03-01 | 2.6125465671729400 |
| 2007-04-01 | 2.4626516349668800 |
| 2007-05-01 | 2.4576006812074900 |
| 2007-06-01 | 2.3640406269223100 |
| 2007-07-01 | 2.4834891196089600 |
| 2007-08-01 | 2.4239636602876000 |
| 2007-09-01 | 2.4025363643375500 |
| 2007-10-01 | 2.3468224516209400 |
| 2007-11-01 | 2.5363683559475900 |
| 2007-12-01 | 2.2587086029969496 |
| 2008-01-01 | 2.4528996504503900 |
| 2008-02-01 | 2.4697774065889800 |
| 2008-03-01 | 2.4124270419260400 |
| 2008-04-01 | 2.3496313305424700 |
| 2008-05-01 | 2.5482190943770800 |
| 2008-06-01 | 2.3241548115084503 |
| 2008-07-01 | 2.3705418075404200 |
| 2008-08-01 | 2.6600791492181400 |
| 2008-09-01 | 2.2718648500948100 |
| 2008-10-01 | 2.5465073635307500 |
| 2008-11-01 | 2.1921089528101003 |
| 2008-12-01 | 2.3276577760062900 |
| 2009-01-01 | 2.2617837786982900 |
| 2009-02-01 | 2.3536948571085300 |
| 2009-03-01 | 2.1470589668103300 |
| 2009-04-01 | 2.2419392160887400 |
| 2009-05-01 | 2.3845557679764000 |
| 2009-06-01 | 2.2098099158564300 |
| 2009-07-01 | 2.1242272089273200 |
| 2009-08-01 | 2.1133211249936800 |
| 2009-09-01 | 2.1354765476776403 |
| 2009-10-01 | 2.2476536821229303 |
| 2009-11-01 | 2.0890989122922500 |
| 2009-12-01 | 2.1607232337872700 |
| 2010-01-01 | 2.1772542157265800 |
| 2010-02-01 | 2.1052306397793600 |
| 2010-03-01 | 2.1686608175986300 |
| 2010-04-01 | 2.2731479351964100 |
| 2010-05-01 | 2.1412124146485000 |
| 2010-06-01 | 1.9835105613526000 |
| 2010-07-01 | 2.2600947134402600 |
| 2010-08-01 | 2.1642542259707400 |
| 2010-09-01 | 2.2211737665455900 |
| 2010-10-01 | 2.0307756194933400 |
| 2010-11-01 | 2.1035146345880700 |
| 2010-12-01 | 2.2092954350072400 |
| 2011-01-01 | 2.0300863435141100 |
| 2011-02-01 | 1.9316686531626600 |
| 2011-03-01 | 2.1403375147421100 |
| 2011-04-01 | 2.2523250397203600 |
| 2011-05-01 | 2.0581016369754400 |
| 2011-06-01 | 2.2252836485520300 |
| 2011-07-01 | 2.0873252086817900 |
| 2011-08-01 | 2.0650289385246100 |
| 2011-09-01 | 2.2490734119754900 |
| 2011-10-01 | 2.1277054155415500 |
| 2011-11-01 | 2.2596468063159300 |
| 2011-12-01 | 2.0550236401806603 |
| 2012-01-01 | 2.2593464173192300 |
| 2012-02-01 | 2.2157058003740700 |
| 2012-03-01 | 2.1626476217956800 |
| 2012-04-01 | 2.0426936537232600 |
| 2012-05-01 | 1.9992414220101100 |
| 2012-06-01 | 2.2732994696469800 |
| 2012-07-01 | 2.1381353971247700 |
| 2012-08-01 | 2.2222515167228900 |
| 2012-09-01 | 2.0783342564051800 |
| 2012-10-01 | 2.1126409037558700 |
| 2012-11-01 | 2.1046019362370503 |
| 2012-12-01 | 2.2851941010239400 |
| 2013-01-01 | 1.9402038762690600 |
| 2013-02-01 | 2.2505451219705900 |
| 2013-03-01 | 2.2047981091608100 |
| 2013-04-01 | 2.0260167903516297 |
| 2013-05-01 | 2.2685074763054502 |
| 2013-06-01 | 2.0971467216667300 |
| 2013-07-01 | 2.0474083898939500 |
| 2013-08-01 | 2.2173600000974103 |
| 2013-09-01 | 2.0585078696658900 |
| 2013-10-01 | 2.1277176329066700 |
| 2013-11-01 | 2.1412757212914500 |
| 2013-12-01 | 2.0237775467401300 |
| 2014-01-01 | 2.3844294813172500 |
| 2014-02-01 | 2.1176113706034100 |
| 2014-03-01 | 2.0501220891279500 |
| 2014-04-01 | 2.1407342727960200 |
| 2014-05-01 | 2.2442475687278000 |
| 2014-06-01 | 2.1536597716813200 |
| 2014-07-01 | 2.2267892936628000 |
| 2014-08-01 | 2.2968871368490000 |
| 2014-09-01 | 2.3163371103295100 |
| 2014-10-01 | 2.3195992057647800 |
| 2014-11-01 | 2.2836668523852200 |
| 2014-12-01 | 2.1909163069515900 |
| 2015-01-01 | 2.2373730853868200 |
| 2015-02-01 | 2.2164498373857700 |
| 2015-03-01 | 2.3888159146464000 |
| 2015-04-01 | 2.4881991649254300 |
| 2015-05-01 | 2.2821283018539200 |
| 2015-06-01 | 2.2912817661513403 |
| 2015-07-01 | 2.4469314857957400 |
| 2015-08-01 | 2.1631200728723900 |
| 2015-09-01 | 2.3137197862820700 |
| 2015-10-01 | 2.5051424008659200 |
| 2015-11-01 | 2.2978950201256300 |
| 2015-12-01 | 2.3579294149388100 |
| 2016-01-01 | 2.2598735343869300 |
| 2016-02-01 | 2.1578894702275000 |
| 2016-03-01 | 2.1152585114301700 |
| 2016-04-01 | 2.2701426704271200 |
| 2016-05-01 | 2.0611742637514700 |
| 2016-06-01 | 2.3311507517203800 |
| 2016-07-01 | 2.2081690650177297 |
| 2016-08-01 | 2.1926689844591000 |
| 2016-09-01 | 2.6134968290683500 |
| 2016-10-01 | 2.2223306858230600 |
| 2016-11-01 | 2.2162382224216800 |
| 2016-12-01 | 2.3106224127603600 |
| 2017-01-01 | 2.0418651364336000 |
| 2017-02-01 | 2.2465017283367100 |
| 2017-03-01 | 2.3254883107680300 |
| 2017-04-01 | 2.2153006214140203 |
| 2017-05-01 | 2.3604946477197600 |
| 2017-06-01 | 2.2252997993927200 |
| 2017-07-01 | 2.1568818649485500 |
| 2017-08-01 | 2.0946150406695200 |
| 2017-09-01 | 2.6151649559627000 |
| 2017-10-01 | 2.1989533112396003 |
| 2017-11-01 | 2.1512908404881800 |
| 2017-12-01 | 1.9967785086330500 |
| 2018-01-01 | 2.1323295506543800 |
| 2018-02-01 | 2.1951553106250800 |
| 2018-03-01 | 2.0790337546837100 |
| 2018-04-01 | 2.0959921499581000 |
| 2018-05-01 | 2.0987146496038100 |
| 2018-06-01 | 2.3073902148639600 |
| 2018-07-01 | 2.1394653360770900 |
| 2018-08-01 | 2.3708607796618897 |
| 2018-09-01 | 2.0647403951575300 |
| 2018-10-01 | 2.0626084131390500 |
| 2018-11-01 | 2.0918831448407200 |
| 2018-12-01 | 2.2008340854433500 |
| 2019-01-01 | 2.1737804377276400 |
| 2019-02-01 | 2.2531885273695500 |
| 2019-03-01 | 2.2145926239472500 |
| 2019-04-01 | 2.0338950379110000 |
| 2019-05-01 | 2.3931863271698700 |
| 2019-06-01 | 2.0249099118290600 |
| 2019-07-01 | 2.2955926744491000 |
| 2019-08-01 | 2.2942635517332100 |
| 2019-09-01 | 2.0979280385798003 |
| 2019-10-01 | 2.1908034980686800 |
| 2019-11-01 | 2.1404775001659700 |
| 2019-12-01 | 2.2408390618100800 |
| 2020-01-01 | 2.3230138599733100 |
| 2020-02-01 | 2.0654244737469300 |
| 2020-03-01 | 2.0758945269578897 |
| 2020-04-01 | 1.9080036477140400 |
| 2020-05-01 | 1.8283082111588900 |
| 2020-06-01 | 1.7737698027186500 |
| 2020-07-01 | 1.8248569716312200 |
| 2020-08-01 | 2.0281740102242303 |
| 2020-09-01 | 1.9253146301988700 |
| 2020-10-01 | 2.4120082932458900 |
| 2020-11-01 | 2.2381422676436100 |
| 2020-12-01 | 2.1030779739637700 |
| 2021-01-01 | 1.9807755074357800 |
| 2021-02-01 | 2.1209439721994100 |
| 2021-03-01 | 2.2130126825719500 |
| 2021-04-01 | 2.3891956764015000 |
| 2021-05-01 | 2.1191755706657800 |
| 2021-06-01 | 2.2060453252372300 |
| 2021-07-01 | 2.4654456757125303 |
| 2021-08-01 | 2.0886690988093200 |
| 2021-09-01 | 2.5375037483939900 |
| 2021-10-01 | 2.2789513131754298 |
| 2021-11-01 | 2.2748219386156500 |
| 2021-12-01 | 2.3198053464539603 |
| 2022-01-01 | 2.4909948679671900 |
| 2022-02-01 | 2.3135325929444200 |
| 2022-03-01 | 2.3306455810701600 |
| 2022-04-01 | 2.5490530615428697 |
| 2022-05-01 | 2.4455222331503100 |
| 2022-06-01 | 2.5390300849285700 |
| 2022-07-01 | 2.1593043278546200 |
| 2022-08-01 | 2.3856343525542900 |
| 2022-09-01 | 2.3729725413537100 |
| 2022-10-01 | 2.3951724164839700 |
| 2022-11-01 | 2.3187023708296400 |
| 2022-12-01 | 2.3416373982074900 |
| 2023-01-01 | 2.2378321278398300 |
| 2023-02-01 | 2.4118316500652200 |
| 2023-03-01 | 2.3136767632687700 |
| 2023-04-01 | 1.9968877686095200 |
| 2023-05-01 | 2.1061830105277000 |
| 2023-06-01 | 2.5246810797231600 |
| 2023-07-01 | 2.3886122629605800 |
| 2023-08-01 | 1.9949001200444400 |
| 2023-09-01 | 2.2739877293893600 |
| 2023-10-01 | 2.0652082198018897 |
| 2023-11-01 | 2.3312047238963800 |
| 2023-12-01 | 2.0728236912349303 |
| 2024-01-01 | 2.1696813441158200 |
| 2024-02-01 | 2.1591011863117800 |
| 2024-03-01 | 1.9832902602848100 |
| 2024-04-01 | 2.1880793414995100 |
| 2024-05-01 | 2.2778688438908400 |
| 2024-06-01 | 2.2173113865273500 |
| 2024-07-01 | 2.0795459298083300 |
| 2024-08-01 | 2.3934541342133400 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.1662299492922400 |
| 2024-10-01 | 2.3393671210257200 |
| 2024-11-01 | 2.0372836762800700 |
| 2024-12-01 | 2.1290843272728100 |
| 2025-01-01 | 2.0516962336377302 |
| 2025-02-01 | 2.1311584934599100 |
| 2025-03-01 | 2.3343942404741400 |
| 2025-04-01 | 2.0679722477987000 |
| 2025-05-01 | 2.3737859483376500 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2.1060440647382400 |
| 2025-07-01 | 2.1277628820163303 |
| 2025-08-01 | 2.1574198986809000 |
| 2025-09-01 | 2.0902408158664803 |
| 2025-10-01 | 2.1725505821832600 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2.1623330913588700 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2.3598644529890200 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2.3770488070501900 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2.1785905237133600 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2.2813106996731900 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2.4457239539696200 |
| 2026-05-01 | 2.2335415841557800 |
| 2026-06-01 | 2.2648455815504600 |