Table Data - Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions
| Title | Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions |
|---|---|
| Series ID | FMPSA |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Release | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Percent |
| Date Range | 1995-10-01 to 2026-04-01 |
| Last Updated | 2026-05-15 1:00 PM CDT |
| Notes | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay (FMP) Employer-to-Employer (E2E) Transition Probability tracks the rate at which U.S. workers transition from one employer to another in a given month. Expressed as the share (percentage) of movers among all employed workers in the previous month, E2E Transition Probability provides a timely gauge of the pace of worker reallocation in the U.S. labor market. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1995-10-01 | 2.8512350971298300 |
| 1995-11-01 | 3.0753649010919700 |
| 1995-12-01 | 2.6773461113650700 |
| 1996-01-01 | 2.7887987790291600 |
| 1996-02-01 | 2.8622790849841600 |
| 1996-03-01 | 2.8042430286111300 |
| 1996-04-01 | 2.8351485735243900 |
| 1996-05-01 | 3.0461303632557900 |
| 1996-06-01 | 2.8391997195775200 |
| 1996-07-01 | 2.6913300227704200 |
| 1996-08-01 | 2.9182710642667500 |
| 1996-09-01 | 2.7553942675966100 |
| 1996-10-01 | 2.5474400395103000 |
| 1996-11-01 | 2.8650851801059902 |
| 1996-12-01 | 2.5789219427347900 |
| 1997-01-01 | 2.9526397219769600 |
| 1997-02-01 | 2.7560283958686000 |
| 1997-03-01 | 2.8381938438537800 |
| 1997-04-01 | 2.6956346280188500 |
| 1997-05-01 | 2.8486038096243100 |
| 1997-06-01 | 2.7282674750886400 |
| 1997-07-01 | 2.6859421568572300 |
| 1997-08-01 | 2.8944037889794900 |
| 1997-09-01 | 2.8286615476541000 |
| 1997-10-01 | 3.0013113250114700 |
| 1997-11-01 | 2.7681983974436900 |
| 1997-12-01 | 2.9689338171592500 |
| 1998-01-01 | 2.7002938316749100 |
| 1998-02-01 | 2.7654867627366500 |
| 1998-03-01 | 2.7185497449736300 |
| 1998-04-01 | 3.2759087841988603 |
| 1998-05-01 | 2.6398506843293500 |
| 1998-06-01 | 2.7026997923503600 |
| 1998-07-01 | 2.9080313723439100 |
| 1998-08-01 | 2.7056064290753000 |
| 1998-09-01 | 2.6177515507956800 |
| 1998-10-01 | 2.8631419011441404 |
| 1998-11-01 | 2.5230325986779700 |
| 1998-12-01 | 2.8679130600235300 |
| 1999-01-01 | 2.6240808052043100 |
| 1999-02-01 | 2.6525426598064700 |
| 1999-03-01 | 2.6360100445734203 |
| 1999-04-01 | 3.2193618548420400 |
| 1999-05-01 | 2.6175125969471500 |
| 1999-06-01 | 2.6061593176968700 |
| 1999-07-01 | 2.8117112744570800 |
| 1999-08-01 | 2.6299034334074600 |
| 1999-09-01 | 3.1175075638310200 |
| 1999-10-01 | 2.6558665551472500 |
| 1999-11-01 | 2.7148483346955500 |
| 1999-12-01 | 3.2684245200699300 |
| 2000-01-01 | 2.8397947028623700 |
| 2000-02-01 | 2.7648876793934503 |
| 2000-03-01 | 3.0219803273665600 |
| 2000-04-01 | 2.9120787088189700 |
| 2000-05-01 | 2.9529894295715800 |
| 2000-06-01 | 3.0345292948208400 |
| 2000-07-01 | 2.6785300353974297 |
| 2000-08-01 | 2.6837748603525700 |
| 2000-09-01 | 2.9704861345206600 |
| 2000-10-01 | 2.7583232349053000 |
| 2000-11-01 | 2.8672551845238600 |
| 2000-12-01 | 2.5530637213303500 |
| 2001-01-01 | 2.8350258971286000 |
| 2001-02-01 | 3.0085875368797700 |
| 2001-03-01 | 2.6473900211235400 |
| 2001-04-01 | 2.6939818975066800 |
| 2001-05-01 | 2.4152301161352000 |
| 2001-06-01 | 2.7013043650146600 |
| 2001-07-01 | 2.6228871409235400 |
| 2001-08-01 | 2.9321905746307600 |
| 2001-09-01 | 2.4873831987074600 |
| 2001-10-01 | 2.4429086126987900 |
| 2001-11-01 | 2.6156267919091200 |
| 2001-12-01 | 2.4529918936082100 |
| 2002-01-01 | 2.3522499263117203 |
| 2002-02-01 | 2.6080932737479700 |
| 2002-03-01 | 2.4328528427465903 |
| 2002-04-01 | 2.3916064699702800 |
| 2002-05-01 | 2.7157672014437697 |
| 2002-06-01 | 2.4543745357039500 |
| 2002-07-01 | 2.4274758241244300 |
| 2002-08-01 | 2.5004671422583400 |
| 2002-09-01 | 2.3221275392048697 |
| 2002-10-01 | 2.4355397770333300 |
| 2002-11-01 | 2.4819982389216700 |
| 2002-12-01 | 2.1743923092340800 |
| 2003-01-01 | 2.4564008892910300 |
| 2003-02-01 | 2.1919341467923603 |
| 2003-03-01 | 2.2876352504842300 |
| 2003-04-01 | 2.2045667951983603 |
| 2003-05-01 | 2.4668845752650600 |
| 2003-06-01 | 2.1857280654310500 |
| 2003-07-01 | 2.1861227689687200 |
| 2003-08-01 | 2.3112129451163300 |
| 2003-09-01 | 2.2563588711377403 |
| 2003-10-01 | 2.2756758850712497 |
| 2003-11-01 | 2.0840069660984100 |
| 2003-12-01 | 2.3316157544054000 |
| 2004-01-01 | 2.3149780276526200 |
| 2004-02-01 | 2.2010207928553400 |
| 2004-03-01 | 2.2623707839810700 |
| 2004-04-01 | 2.6695973717214700 |
| 2004-05-01 | 2.3037076501843400 |
| 2004-06-01 | 2.2084025901993400 |
| 2004-07-01 | 2.4265689829183500 |
| 2004-08-01 | 2.2839886402188100 |
| 2004-09-01 | 2.3642645827358000 |
| 2004-10-01 | 2.5083747630497600 |
| 2004-11-01 | 2.3156251020594800 |
| 2004-12-01 | 2.5168633261398803 |
| 2005-01-01 | 2.4415488621503300 |
| 2005-02-01 | 2.5096235045992700 |
| 2005-03-01 | 2.4107800189065700 |
| 2005-04-01 | 2.5579703153199800 |
| 2005-05-01 | 2.2314128482798400 |
| 2005-06-01 | 2.5332777903421500 |
| 2005-07-01 | 2.1317623075382700 |
| 2005-08-01 | 2.3898993383610700 |
| 2005-09-01 | 2.4960414113045900 |
| 2005-10-01 | 2.4101254423183600 |
| 2005-11-01 | 2.5459847758831900 |
| 2005-12-01 | 2.3848810635660800 |
| 2006-01-01 | 2.3671404968269000 |
| 2006-02-01 | 2.4818811778184400 |
| 2006-03-01 | 2.4124560192260000 |
| 2006-04-01 | 2.2898392115527400 |
| 2006-05-01 | 2.2827631092259400 |
| 2006-06-01 | 2.5587366402612300 |
| 2006-07-01 | 2.3560587700740000 |
| 2006-08-01 | 2.3718975386598102 |
| 2006-09-01 | 2.4029679634248904 |
| 2006-10-01 | 2.2214967930445600 |
| 2006-11-01 | 2.3709531513380500 |
| 2006-12-01 | 2.5252296851284700 |
| 2007-01-01 | 2.3224042360415400 |
| 2007-02-01 | 2.2520829347779200 |
| 2007-03-01 | 2.6122892271602100 |
| 2007-04-01 | 2.4628461565230200 |
| 2007-05-01 | 2.4575779407868903 |
| 2007-06-01 | 2.3671120777058000 |
| 2007-07-01 | 2.4832695251741400 |
| 2007-08-01 | 2.4233696466112000 |
| 2007-09-01 | 2.4020568850941300 |
| 2007-10-01 | 2.3466353911312400 |
| 2007-11-01 | 2.5361641138951800 |
| 2007-12-01 | 2.2584698741646600 |
| 2008-01-01 | 2.4524303489474000 |
| 2008-02-01 | 2.4683744362999400 |
| 2008-03-01 | 2.4100480295862700 |
| 2008-04-01 | 2.3469437134197300 |
| 2008-05-01 | 2.5456726419511300 |
| 2008-06-01 | 2.3217483961796800 |
| 2008-07-01 | 2.3677711767451300 |
| 2008-08-01 | 2.6564970084050000 |
| 2008-09-01 | 2.2693213697261200 |
| 2008-10-01 | 2.5432780854585504 |
| 2008-11-01 | 2.1894736596784100 |
| 2008-12-01 | 2.3244030678895500 |
| 2009-01-01 | 2.2586439356759200 |
| 2009-02-01 | 2.3505276708003200 |
| 2009-03-01 | 2.1438794701013500 |
| 2009-04-01 | 2.2378869846599200 |
| 2009-05-01 | 2.3808805282647500 |
| 2009-06-01 | 2.2030305979165100 |
| 2009-07-01 | 2.1210851501160400 |
| 2009-08-01 | 2.1100151189290200 |
| 2009-09-01 | 2.1324573203070700 |
| 2009-10-01 | 2.2439615115966900 |
| 2009-11-01 | 2.0862135035119300 |
| 2009-12-01 | 2.1576610945571800 |
| 2010-01-01 | 2.1735413200107300 |
| 2010-02-01 | 2.1019413819814500 |
| 2010-03-01 | 2.1657362807549100 |
| 2010-04-01 | 2.2709218677409600 |
| 2010-05-01 | 2.1390480804811403 |
| 2010-06-01 | 1.9782335242008600 |
| 2010-07-01 | 2.2575951172061600 |
| 2010-08-01 | 2.1616429947118200 |
| 2010-09-01 | 2.2184427001335503 |
| 2010-10-01 | 2.0282605492958200 |
| 2010-11-01 | 2.1012405068120000 |
| 2010-12-01 | 2.2063678285277400 |
| 2011-01-01 | 2.0280974298444700 |
| 2011-02-01 | 1.9300116192131400 |
| 2011-03-01 | 2.1381227894882300 |
| 2011-04-01 | 2.2501093223061100 |
| 2011-05-01 | 2.0568732682678100 |
| 2011-06-01 | 2.2225366188277300 |
| 2011-07-01 | 2.0855207155522700 |
| 2011-08-01 | 2.0633420772655800 |
| 2011-09-01 | 2.2474304585855400 |
| 2011-10-01 | 2.1262962161199200 |
| 2011-11-01 | 2.2576485953294000 |
| 2011-12-01 | 2.0535021480835200 |
| 2012-01-01 | 2.2573776848338800 |
| 2012-02-01 | 2.2138201827752400 |
| 2012-03-01 | 2.1612190406599400 |
| 2012-04-01 | 2.0411394978848403 |
| 2012-05-01 | 1.9985385832789700 |
| 2012-06-01 | 2.2719287912174297 |
| 2012-07-01 | 2.1366378004231700 |
| 2012-08-01 | 2.2208861806014200 |
| 2012-09-01 | 2.0771288585148500 |
| 2012-10-01 | 2.1117378932339803 |
| 2012-11-01 | 2.1037685202939500 |
| 2012-12-01 | 2.2839241208235900 |
| 2013-01-01 | 1.9393453806937700 |
| 2013-02-01 | 2.2495554776022800 |
| 2013-03-01 | 2.2029961792404000 |
| 2013-04-01 | 2.0247699754851700 |
| 2013-05-01 | 2.2668967556224200 |
| 2013-06-01 | 2.0977615135546900 |
| 2013-07-01 | 2.0464085862994700 |
| 2013-08-01 | 2.2165077732369800 |
| 2013-09-01 | 2.0578901680194100 |
| 2013-10-01 | 2.1269722449373000 |
| 2013-11-01 | 2.1399641594531400 |
| 2013-12-01 | 2.0229037320676500 |
| 2014-01-01 | 2.3830035932400900 |
| 2014-02-01 | 2.1166882217784100 |
| 2014-03-01 | 2.0500298436130300 |
| 2014-04-01 | 2.1409093555221900 |
| 2014-05-01 | 2.2432730483811900 |
| 2014-06-01 | 2.1558650800089000 |
| 2014-07-01 | 2.2258603008362203 |
| 2014-08-01 | 2.2968614553242404 |
| 2014-09-01 | 2.3151814901541200 |
| 2014-10-01 | 2.3189254117003600 |
| 2014-11-01 | 2.2830465425445200 |
| 2014-12-01 | 2.1900677180719200 |
| 2015-01-01 | 2.2369693253465504 |
| 2015-02-01 | 2.2159814342942696 |
| 2015-03-01 | 2.3873491137977800 |
| 2015-04-01 | 2.4863445186530000 |
| 2015-05-01 | 2.2811510369164600 |
| 2015-06-01 | 2.2787181729969200 |
| 2015-07-01 | 2.4462153891846400 |
| 2015-08-01 | 2.1632000718088102 |
| 2015-09-01 | 2.3125596270434800 |
| 2015-10-01 | 2.5045683865868003 |
| 2015-11-01 | 2.2973527030436100 |
| 2015-12-01 | 2.3573898960480400 |
| 2016-01-01 | 2.2595819741270200 |
| 2016-02-01 | 2.1576862614629100 |
| 2016-03-01 | 2.1154668617587700 |
| 2016-04-01 | 2.2702368687785100 |
| 2016-05-01 | 2.0614538853262700 |
| 2016-06-01 | 2.3342202475036100 |
| 2016-07-01 | 2.2080460916543500 |
| 2016-08-01 | 2.1928629052041300 |
| 2016-09-01 | 2.6119188829918100 |
| 2016-10-01 | 2.2227120159333600 |
| 2016-11-01 | 2.2166168365650800 |
| 2016-12-01 | 2.3106809503572200 |
| 2017-01-01 | 2.0420441520574900 |
| 2017-02-01 | 2.2462750414315300 |
| 2017-03-01 | 2.3254605426406800 |
| 2017-04-01 | 2.2161147578187000 |
| 2017-05-01 | 2.3604872313861200 |
| 2017-06-01 | 2.2275413574486698 |
| 2017-07-01 | 2.1570186565968100 |
| 2017-08-01 | 2.0946753272180803 |
| 2017-09-01 | 2.6146411490104900 |
| 2017-10-01 | 2.1991359234775900 |
| 2017-11-01 | 2.1514705160893097 |
| 2017-12-01 | 1.9980760979347100 |
| 2018-01-01 | 2.1329495391968600 |
| 2018-02-01 | 2.1960868507737400 |
| 2018-03-01 | 2.0795159863470500 |
| 2018-04-01 | 2.0967383260639902 |
| 2018-05-01 | 2.0989547566142300 |
| 2018-06-01 | 2.3091829398181000 |
| 2018-07-01 | 2.1394026640867900 |
| 2018-08-01 | 2.3710444189706200 |
| 2018-09-01 | 2.0660208686898600 |
| 2018-10-01 | 2.0634938398666502 |
| 2018-11-01 | 2.0923461171961600 |
| 2018-12-01 | 2.2011478943232600 |
| 2019-01-01 | 2.1754325525540700 |
| 2019-02-01 | 2.2538580482127900 |
| 2019-03-01 | 2.2150646194973500 |
| 2019-04-01 | 2.0346662908791800 |
| 2019-05-01 | 2.3928620357024600 |
| 2019-06-01 | 2.0249028562458600 |
| 2019-07-01 | 2.2932341193577400 |
| 2019-08-01 | 2.2944091575651800 |
| 2019-09-01 | 2.1007537917560897 |
| 2019-10-01 | 2.1920015764961502 |
| 2019-11-01 | 2.1402661318706200 |
| 2019-12-01 | 2.2412774417029400 |
| 2020-01-01 | 2.3247418728091302 |
| 2020-02-01 | 2.0662259549910500 |
| 2020-03-01 | 2.0770124274654100 |
| 2020-04-01 | 1.9108542712898100 |
| 2020-05-01 | 1.8304415484163600 |
| 2020-06-01 | 1.7710456759167998 |
| 2020-07-01 | 1.8217233661967600 |
| 2020-08-01 | 2.0306196365696900 |
| 2020-09-01 | 1.9286981523582800 |
| 2020-10-01 | 2.4123281128893900 |
| 2020-11-01 | 2.2380963438980500 |
| 2020-12-01 | 2.1038501448923200 |
| 2021-01-01 | 1.9821518864622200 |
| 2021-02-01 | 2.1222333212661800 |
| 2021-03-01 | 2.2144695407451600 |
| 2021-04-01 | 2.3951350939272400 |
| 2021-05-01 | 2.1211273437882200 |
| 2021-06-01 | 2.1994080579913500 |
| 2021-07-01 | 2.4573507772912400 |
| 2021-08-01 | 2.0920909570222200 |
| 2021-09-01 | 2.5410935842253800 |
| 2021-10-01 | 2.2788585300709400 |
| 2021-11-01 | 2.2747207553510900 |
| 2021-12-01 | 2.3191766337320800 |
| 2022-01-01 | 2.4907255975867097 |
| 2022-02-01 | 2.3132977484228300 |
| 2022-03-01 | 2.3329762496361700 |
| 2022-04-01 | 2.5545033584293600 |
| 2022-05-01 | 2.4586709372926500 |
| 2022-06-01 | 2.5273590444268400 |
| 2022-07-01 | 2.1506416792520900 |
| 2022-08-01 | 2.3883053337812300 |
| 2022-09-01 | 2.3747072313607600 |
| 2022-10-01 | 2.3934767397223000 |
| 2022-11-01 | 2.3157052037186000 |
| 2022-12-01 | 2.3393848527234400 |
| 2023-01-01 | 2.2375958867384700 |
| 2023-02-01 | 2.4116886095343200 |
| 2023-03-01 | 2.3196937056935200 |
| 2023-04-01 | 2.0051152776331502 |
| 2023-05-01 | 2.1286299108153000 |
| 2023-06-01 | 2.5029880122370500 |
| 2023-07-01 | 2.3763960899267500 |
| 2023-08-01 | 1.9967409724453100 |
| 2023-09-01 | 2.2740375910510800 |
| 2023-10-01 | 2.0634188732026000 |
| 2023-11-01 | 2.3286345812359600 |
| 2023-12-01 | 2.0713862968513900 |
| 2024-01-01 | 2.1696440862257200 |
| 2024-02-01 | 2.1597472391486300 |
| 2024-03-01 | 1.9924945409715400 |
| 2024-04-01 | 2.2011639613762500 |
| 2024-05-01 | 2.3158318450233700 |
| 2024-06-01 | 2.1824164291019400 |
| 2024-07-01 | 2.0690960099620400 |
| 2024-08-01 | 2.3917031627997300 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.1632640577335600 |
| 2024-10-01 | 2.3348929585159400 |
| 2024-11-01 | 2.0342127349519600 |
| 2024-12-01 | 2.1265667525175900 |
| 2025-01-01 | 2.0514631267313000 |
| 2025-02-01 | 2.1323844212635700 |
| 2025-03-01 | 2.3483645574205500 |
| 2025-04-01 | 2.0841109200316200 |
| 2025-05-01 | 2.4292007404374103 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2.0559510227998200 |
| 2025-07-01 | 2.1168718811357900 |
| 2025-08-01 | 2.1552604591567600 |
| 2025-09-01 | 2.0860283371624700 |
| 2025-10-01 | 2.1676090316867700 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2.1580423675910700 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2.3561106364939100 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2.3755486466197400 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2.1786898417837600 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2.2956944763951700 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2.4628382736810500 |