Table Data - Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions
| Title | Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions |
|---|---|
| Series ID | FMPSA |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Release | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Percent |
| Date Range | 1995-10-01 to 2026-05-01 |
| Last Updated | 2026-06-12 1:00 PM CDT |
| Notes | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay (FMP) Employer-to-Employer (E2E) Transition Probability tracks the rate at which U.S. workers transition from one employer to another in a given month. Expressed as the share (percentage) of movers among all employed workers in the previous month, E2E Transition Probability provides a timely gauge of the pace of worker reallocation in the U.S. labor market. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1995-10-01 | 2.8512342522402200 |
| 1995-11-01 | 3.0753640130359500 |
| 1995-12-01 | 2.6773452538814900 |
| 1996-01-01 | 2.7887981726445200 |
| 1996-02-01 | 2.8622784445554400 |
| 1996-03-01 | 2.8042421363321600 |
| 1996-04-01 | 2.8351479154227697 |
| 1996-05-01 | 3.0461298988954100 |
| 1996-06-01 | 2.8391992006585400 |
| 1996-07-01 | 2.6913298501329400 |
| 1996-08-01 | 2.9182707760003100 |
| 1996-09-01 | 2.7553934169401600 |
| 1996-10-01 | 2.5474396191048703 |
| 1996-11-01 | 2.8650849031067000 |
| 1996-12-01 | 2.5789219084505200 |
| 1997-01-01 | 2.9526395033378403 |
| 1997-02-01 | 2.7560281249456400 |
| 1997-03-01 | 2.8381937264248600 |
| 1997-04-01 | 2.6956345866554900 |
| 1997-05-01 | 2.8486036570560600 |
| 1997-06-01 | 2.7282674391535800 |
| 1997-07-01 | 2.6859421069578600 |
| 1997-08-01 | 2.8944037910017200 |
| 1997-09-01 | 2.8286608151003000 |
| 1997-10-01 | 3.0013112587024200 |
| 1997-11-01 | 2.7681985911910900 |
| 1997-12-01 | 2.9689345111152400 |
| 1998-01-01 | 2.7002941229181400 |
| 1998-02-01 | 2.7654876814118703 |
| 1998-03-01 | 2.7185499581747300 |
| 1998-04-01 | 3.2759091145126800 |
| 1998-05-01 | 2.6398489963963900 |
| 1998-06-01 | 2.7026998609864803 |
| 1998-07-01 | 2.9080314123024897 |
| 1998-08-01 | 2.7056077838200000 |
| 1998-09-01 | 2.6177510238675800 |
| 1998-10-01 | 2.8631422096746600 |
| 1998-11-01 | 2.5230333529708897 |
| 1998-12-01 | 2.8679148030353900 |
| 1999-01-01 | 2.6240817869732800 |
| 1999-02-01 | 2.6525449878478100 |
| 1999-03-01 | 2.6360107529968500 |
| 1999-04-01 | 3.2193629275427200 |
| 1999-05-01 | 2.6175061532975600 |
| 1999-06-01 | 2.6061600289420000 |
| 1999-07-01 | 2.8117118797094300 |
| 1999-08-01 | 2.6299062325512400 |
| 1999-09-01 | 3.1175071886669500 |
| 1999-10-01 | 2.6558674410204200 |
| 1999-11-01 | 2.7148497059245700 |
| 1999-12-01 | 3.2684274956410600 |
| 2000-01-01 | 2.8397967659165000 |
| 2000-02-01 | 2.7648918870621100 |
| 2000-03-01 | 3.0219822868052900 |
| 2000-04-01 | 2.9120805119093600 |
| 2000-05-01 | 2.9529722094957200 |
| 2000-06-01 | 3.0345311281334400 |
| 2000-07-01 | 2.6785318575529200 |
| 2000-08-01 | 2.6837797415793703 |
| 2000-09-01 | 2.9704868731236100 |
| 2000-10-01 | 2.7583249716706700 |
| 2000-11-01 | 2.8672573116493400 |
| 2000-12-01 | 2.5530668088123000 |
| 2001-01-01 | 2.8350285347081000 |
| 2001-02-01 | 3.0085925730632500 |
| 2001-03-01 | 2.6473926703351800 |
| 2001-04-01 | 2.6939840199028200 |
| 2001-05-01 | 2.4152101329992200 |
| 2001-06-01 | 2.7013071540754700 |
| 2001-07-01 | 2.6228899852809300 |
| 2001-08-01 | 2.9321973366083500 |
| 2001-09-01 | 2.4873851295171500 |
| 2001-10-01 | 2.4429110392068500 |
| 2001-11-01 | 2.6156293674043800 |
| 2001-12-01 | 2.4529946307077800 |
| 2002-01-01 | 2.3522521708899400 |
| 2002-02-01 | 2.6080975936798803 |
| 2002-03-01 | 2.4328548765989200 |
| 2002-04-01 | 2.3916074578741600 |
| 2002-05-01 | 2.7157381978821600 |
| 2002-06-01 | 2.4543781360322100 |
| 2002-07-01 | 2.4274801847338000 |
| 2002-08-01 | 2.5004747125560898 |
| 2002-09-01 | 2.3221316081123500 |
| 2002-10-01 | 2.4355438524244800 |
| 2002-11-01 | 2.4820018999529500 |
| 2002-12-01 | 2.1743936853031300 |
| 2003-01-01 | 2.4564005485836200 |
| 2003-02-01 | 2.1919338828423800 |
| 2003-03-01 | 2.2876328293543100 |
| 2003-04-01 | 2.2045624593680100 |
| 2003-05-01 | 2.4668527728375400 |
| 2003-06-01 | 2.1857427410901200 |
| 2003-07-01 | 2.1861244552923200 |
| 2003-08-01 | 2.3112194287340500 |
| 2003-09-01 | 2.2563672835119300 |
| 2003-10-01 | 2.2756856151766700 |
| 2003-11-01 | 2.0840155569761300 |
| 2003-12-01 | 2.3316222225797400 |
| 2004-01-01 | 2.3149806955480900 |
| 2004-02-01 | 2.2009986819769100 |
| 2004-03-01 | 2.2623392876683903 |
| 2004-04-01 | 2.6695958145177400 |
| 2004-05-01 | 2.3036803285761400 |
| 2004-06-01 | 2.2084290203749600 |
| 2004-07-01 | 2.4265640431257500 |
| 2004-08-01 | 2.2839885081272500 |
| 2004-09-01 | 2.3642726402733403 |
| 2004-10-01 | 2.5083954623359200 |
| 2004-11-01 | 2.3156538840739898 |
| 2004-12-01 | 2.5169028948264800 |
| 2005-01-01 | 2.4415914346736000 |
| 2005-02-01 | 2.5095690026874298 |
| 2005-03-01 | 2.4106797677804800 |
| 2005-04-01 | 2.5579195529728700 |
| 2005-05-01 | 2.2313960754816200 |
| 2005-06-01 | 2.5333192398414900 |
| 2005-07-01 | 2.1317668599885000 |
| 2005-08-01 | 2.3898666673725500 |
| 2005-09-01 | 2.4960791891768300 |
| 2005-10-01 | 2.4101654487163300 |
| 2005-11-01 | 2.5460409699930400 |
| 2005-12-01 | 2.3849317251858500 |
| 2006-01-01 | 2.3672394074183902 |
| 2006-02-01 | 2.4817968177738000 |
| 2006-03-01 | 2.4122573610259400 |
| 2006-04-01 | 2.2897270402989300 |
| 2006-05-01 | 2.2827698968694600 |
| 2006-06-01 | 2.5587953838039500 |
| 2006-07-01 | 2.3560826462342000 |
| 2006-08-01 | 2.3718334530245300 |
| 2006-09-01 | 2.4030584229047800 |
| 2006-10-01 | 2.2215653819893200 |
| 2006-11-01 | 2.3710299008195000 |
| 2006-12-01 | 2.5252539478763100 |
| 2007-01-01 | 2.3225155848164100 |
| 2007-02-01 | 2.2518515141880897 |
| 2007-03-01 | 2.6118571353099900 |
| 2007-04-01 | 2.4625206057875500 |
| 2007-05-01 | 2.4575135097582100 |
| 2007-06-01 | 2.3670560475101100 |
| 2007-07-01 | 2.4832198768332800 |
| 2007-08-01 | 2.4231574709424697 |
| 2007-09-01 | 2.4020952159611000 |
| 2007-10-01 | 2.3465815257009100 |
| 2007-11-01 | 2.5360825656099800 |
| 2007-12-01 | 2.2582429172461100 |
| 2008-01-01 | 2.4523370314005000 |
| 2008-02-01 | 2.4688600824493703 |
| 2008-03-01 | 2.4110999973205800 |
| 2008-04-01 | 2.3484506172404203 |
| 2008-05-01 | 2.5472049643433100 |
| 2008-06-01 | 2.3233067164177900 |
| 2008-07-01 | 2.3693063378129200 |
| 2008-08-01 | 2.6577900871175200 |
| 2008-09-01 | 2.2709222259588400 |
| 2008-10-01 | 2.5447991450311000 |
| 2008-11-01 | 2.1912422885525900 |
| 2008-12-01 | 2.3264884015466600 |
| 2009-01-01 | 2.2603184294994203 |
| 2009-02-01 | 2.3522886769881300 |
| 2009-03-01 | 2.1458245412491400 |
| 2009-04-01 | 2.2398565164086000 |
| 2009-05-01 | 2.3825260947388100 |
| 2009-06-01 | 2.2047088452303400 |
| 2009-07-01 | 2.1230238317803700 |
| 2009-08-01 | 2.1119326648723900 |
| 2009-09-01 | 2.1342543214342102 |
| 2009-10-01 | 2.2458698000448200 |
| 2009-11-01 | 2.0880639624140700 |
| 2009-12-01 | 2.1598988016498297 |
| 2010-01-01 | 2.1759683025147300 |
| 2010-02-01 | 2.1039387933373100 |
| 2010-03-01 | 2.1673313074187900 |
| 2010-04-01 | 2.2723691405758100 |
| 2010-05-01 | 2.1406946856599800 |
| 2010-06-01 | 1.9797724259599500 |
| 2010-07-01 | 2.2590203754567400 |
| 2010-08-01 | 2.1629660912152300 |
| 2010-09-01 | 2.2199237599032800 |
| 2010-10-01 | 2.0298077661062800 |
| 2010-11-01 | 2.1027414432729000 |
| 2010-12-01 | 2.2074743251432300 |
| 2011-01-01 | 2.0294064178949800 |
| 2011-02-01 | 1.9312275818118800 |
| 2011-03-01 | 2.1393345139570600 |
| 2011-04-01 | 2.2515998828767700 |
| 2011-05-01 | 2.0577167668726400 |
| 2011-06-01 | 2.2237163191609803 |
| 2011-07-01 | 2.0866734144691100 |
| 2011-08-01 | 2.0644111309578900 |
| 2011-09-01 | 2.2485302696361200 |
| 2011-10-01 | 2.1273171210853800 |
| 2011-11-01 | 2.2588515878226803 |
| 2011-12-01 | 2.0547407019792900 |
| 2012-01-01 | 2.2584109126144800 |
| 2012-02-01 | 2.2149583225683003 |
| 2012-03-01 | 2.1625340981339500 |
| 2012-04-01 | 2.0421635573843400 |
| 2012-05-01 | 1.9992911110353000 |
| 2012-06-01 | 2.2726359163112297 |
| 2012-07-01 | 2.1374193527176000 |
| 2012-08-01 | 2.2216018625189500 |
| 2012-09-01 | 2.0780430756907100 |
| 2012-10-01 | 2.1123249695385300 |
| 2012-11-01 | 2.1043911622521300 |
| 2012-12-01 | 2.2844167657058300 |
| 2013-01-01 | 1.9401869537382100 |
| 2013-02-01 | 2.2501109457457700 |
| 2013-03-01 | 2.2033738869562303 |
| 2013-04-01 | 2.0253587210061700 |
| 2013-05-01 | 2.2674247749145300 |
| 2013-06-01 | 2.0980752850438800 |
| 2013-07-01 | 2.0469966470260000 |
| 2013-08-01 | 2.2172091291261200 |
| 2013-09-01 | 2.0583036252684500 |
| 2013-10-01 | 2.1273234047754700 |
| 2013-11-01 | 2.1401687691317000 |
| 2013-12-01 | 2.0235457056802200 |
| 2014-01-01 | 2.3833025505963200 |
| 2014-02-01 | 2.1171573150655503 |
| 2014-03-01 | 2.0504250413197900 |
| 2014-04-01 | 2.1410943635779000 |
| 2014-05-01 | 2.2434896093799500 |
| 2014-06-01 | 2.1558205585562300 |
| 2014-07-01 | 2.2260978179621200 |
| 2014-08-01 | 2.2966983895436400 |
| 2014-09-01 | 2.3152855387650700 |
| 2014-10-01 | 2.3188804299863900 |
| 2014-11-01 | 2.2830578914978800 |
| 2014-12-01 | 2.1901117820165300 |
| 2015-01-01 | 2.2369365989523000 |
| 2015-02-01 | 2.2156954917075100 |
| 2015-03-01 | 2.3871184466649200 |
| 2015-04-01 | 2.4858641706080200 |
| 2015-05-01 | 2.2809262790519400 |
| 2015-06-01 | 2.2796507344127000 |
| 2015-07-01 | 2.4460758696279300 |
| 2015-08-01 | 2.1628192772827900 |
| 2015-09-01 | 2.3124444753377200 |
| 2015-10-01 | 2.5038356137439000 |
| 2015-11-01 | 2.2973137312365700 |
| 2015-12-01 | 2.3570614944199600 |
| 2016-01-01 | 2.2590972265675000 |
| 2016-02-01 | 2.1573623684539400 |
| 2016-03-01 | 2.1151541171057100 |
| 2016-04-01 | 2.2696738400231697 |
| 2016-05-01 | 2.0608801204104000 |
| 2016-06-01 | 2.3332676006040300 |
| 2016-07-01 | 2.2074059164184803 |
| 2016-08-01 | 2.1923122786450900 |
| 2016-09-01 | 2.6112828051532100 |
| 2016-10-01 | 2.2218742622547500 |
| 2016-11-01 | 2.2160954426351000 |
| 2016-12-01 | 2.3098188726605500 |
| 2017-01-01 | 2.0412118416407800 |
| 2017-02-01 | 2.2453018218349800 |
| 2017-03-01 | 2.3246387677408697 |
| 2017-04-01 | 2.2152391906607000 |
| 2017-05-01 | 2.3599739755495097 |
| 2017-06-01 | 2.2263834035525700 |
| 2017-07-01 | 2.1560594957393700 |
| 2017-08-01 | 2.0934541546473100 |
| 2017-09-01 | 2.6136535448981704 |
| 2017-10-01 | 2.1978672282319900 |
| 2017-11-01 | 2.1502581530101400 |
| 2017-12-01 | 1.9968779326792900 |
| 2018-01-01 | 2.1318059641203900 |
| 2018-02-01 | 2.1951060783550200 |
| 2018-03-01 | 2.0782468515156500 |
| 2018-04-01 | 2.0955505239280003 |
| 2018-05-01 | 2.0979155338784500 |
| 2018-06-01 | 2.3078555406643297 |
| 2018-07-01 | 2.1381680928440300 |
| 2018-08-01 | 2.3696407380146000 |
| 2018-09-01 | 2.0647364471346000 |
| 2018-10-01 | 2.0621677803927700 |
| 2018-11-01 | 2.0912130641037100 |
| 2018-12-01 | 2.1996515866018600 |
| 2019-01-01 | 2.1738637856346100 |
| 2019-02-01 | 2.2520190548772700 |
| 2019-03-01 | 2.2134314698394100 |
| 2019-04-01 | 2.0330771297552500 |
| 2019-05-01 | 2.3918740880749700 |
| 2019-06-01 | 2.0233755290811900 |
| 2019-07-01 | 2.2914462426569497 |
| 2019-08-01 | 2.2924918651800503 |
| 2019-09-01 | 2.0989278777363700 |
| 2019-10-01 | 2.1902000063990200 |
| 2019-11-01 | 2.1383803911674600 |
| 2019-12-01 | 2.2395121254045300 |
| 2020-01-01 | 2.3229703385232100 |
| 2020-02-01 | 2.0644325625670200 |
| 2020-03-01 | 2.0751193540137100 |
| 2020-04-01 | 1.9081236481846700 |
| 2020-05-01 | 1.8278458948538400 |
| 2020-06-01 | 1.7698722209472700 |
| 2020-07-01 | 1.8199091389223300 |
| 2020-08-01 | 2.0285850367212700 |
| 2020-09-01 | 1.9264785161919800 |
| 2020-10-01 | 2.4105089685211700 |
| 2020-11-01 | 2.2364893870407100 |
| 2020-12-01 | 2.1020881207009700 |
| 2021-01-01 | 1.9800717635359900 |
| 2021-02-01 | 2.1199658799619600 |
| 2021-03-01 | 2.2119942898293100 |
| 2021-04-01 | 2.3902999482318000 |
| 2021-05-01 | 2.1186830836241900 |
| 2021-06-01 | 2.1977433555769500 |
| 2021-07-01 | 2.4546015793545300 |
| 2021-08-01 | 2.0894346809612000 |
| 2021-09-01 | 2.5381215090781400 |
| 2021-10-01 | 2.2768126053177897 |
| 2021-11-01 | 2.2731510900525100 |
| 2021-12-01 | 2.3171788524368400 |
| 2022-01-01 | 2.4890905812841200 |
| 2022-02-01 | 2.3112259455361200 |
| 2022-03-01 | 2.3294901085557900 |
| 2022-04-01 | 2.5483282739832500 |
| 2022-05-01 | 2.4510064560548800 |
| 2022-06-01 | 2.5261672011786100 |
| 2022-07-01 | 2.1481707042551600 |
| 2022-08-01 | 2.3859292655221500 |
| 2022-09-01 | 2.3728723008835700 |
| 2022-10-01 | 2.3922684667308100 |
| 2022-11-01 | 2.3143853385621700 |
| 2022-12-01 | 2.3376376348540497 |
| 2023-01-01 | 2.2353760588059200 |
| 2023-02-01 | 2.4085589999737500 |
| 2023-03-01 | 2.3133414530181800 |
| 2023-04-01 | 1.9975975766186000 |
| 2023-05-01 | 2.1198489229356703 |
| 2023-06-01 | 2.5017403001641200 |
| 2023-07-01 | 2.3738039143036000 |
| 2023-08-01 | 1.9941901543975800 |
| 2023-09-01 | 2.2725677897872300 |
| 2023-10-01 | 2.0623121823512900 |
| 2023-11-01 | 2.3278708762202800 |
| 2023-12-01 | 2.0700396894104900 |
| 2024-01-01 | 2.1670668202754100 |
| 2024-02-01 | 2.1561738025567800 |
| 2024-03-01 | 1.9840913937849400 |
| 2024-04-01 | 2.1900233993784300 |
| 2024-05-01 | 2.3040151276178302 |
| 2024-06-01 | 2.1814121830614100 |
| 2024-07-01 | 2.0667072402630000 |
| 2024-08-01 | 2.3898396991171000 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.1621720782111800 |
| 2024-10-01 | 2.3348604353340300 |
| 2024-11-01 | 2.0340947985325700 |
| 2024-12-01 | 2.1262525863178300 |
| 2025-01-01 | 2.0491738228680700 |
| 2025-02-01 | 2.1285364060047200 |
| 2025-03-01 | 2.3371368971429000 |
| 2025-04-01 | 2.0710767063867803 |
| 2025-05-01 | 2.4075728703645800 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2.0553736013134800 |
| 2025-07-01 | 2.1155007832649500 |
| 2025-08-01 | 2.1543698155087903 |
| 2025-09-01 | 2.0859086836944800 |
| 2025-10-01 | 2.1682090038426200 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2.1587089010714700 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2.3558019050057400 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2.3738586877508903 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2.1748668524538504 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2.2832205129379300 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2.4472331767133400 |
| 2026-05-01 | 2.2675750831510000 |