Table Data - Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions
| Title | Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions |
|---|---|
| Series ID | FMPSA |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Release | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Percent |
| Date Range | 1995-10-01 to 2025-09-01 |
| Last Updated | 2025-12-12 1:01 PM CST |
| Notes | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay (FMP) Employer-to-Employer (E2E) Transition Probability tracks the rate at which U.S. workers transition from one employer to another in a given month. Expressed as the share (percentage) of movers among all employed workers in the previous month, E2E Transition Probability provides a timely gauge of the pace of worker reallocation in the U.S. labor market. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1995-10-01 | 2.8512415803947300 |
| 1995-11-01 | 3.0753720881376400 |
| 1995-12-01 | 2.6773537313204700 |
| 1996-01-01 | 2.7888061128218200 |
| 1996-02-01 | 2.8622858344333800 |
| 1996-03-01 | 2.8042492494320500 |
| 1996-04-01 | 2.8351553610067097 |
| 1996-05-01 | 3.0461356547199500 |
| 1996-06-01 | 2.8392037772553500 |
| 1996-07-01 | 2.6913334037852000 |
| 1996-08-01 | 2.9182753013135700 |
| 1996-09-01 | 2.7553862881910000 |
| 1996-10-01 | 2.5474432310622400 |
| 1996-11-01 | 2.8650897943293000 |
| 1996-12-01 | 2.5789297712655297 |
| 1997-01-01 | 2.9526451086969900 |
| 1997-02-01 | 2.7560310590168000 |
| 1997-03-01 | 2.8381954439358800 |
| 1997-04-01 | 2.6956360160498303 |
| 1997-05-01 | 2.8486041828733100 |
| 1997-06-01 | 2.7282661914346700 |
| 1997-07-01 | 2.6859415015633500 |
| 1997-08-01 | 2.8944039045921800 |
| 1997-09-01 | 2.8286467106375300 |
| 1997-10-01 | 3.0013115074601700 |
| 1997-11-01 | 2.7682015465053400 |
| 1997-12-01 | 2.9689558907837696 |
| 1998-01-01 | 2.7002985615239000 |
| 1998-02-01 | 2.7655026465210300 |
| 1998-03-01 | 2.7185482741322500 |
| 1998-04-01 | 3.2759066348575700 |
| 1998-05-01 | 2.6398033369596000 |
| 1998-06-01 | 2.7026948098279300 |
| 1998-07-01 | 2.9080272688554200 |
| 1998-08-01 | 2.7056199400328600 |
| 1998-09-01 | 2.6177315904262900 |
| 1998-10-01 | 2.8631397702804900 |
| 1998-11-01 | 2.5230363973101500 |
| 1998-12-01 | 2.8679524415746400 |
| 1999-01-01 | 2.6240901803981900 |
| 1999-02-01 | 2.6525776099343000 |
| 1999-03-01 | 2.6360143312428300 |
| 1999-04-01 | 3.2193673753046603 |
| 1999-05-01 | 2.6173467518695100 |
| 1999-06-01 | 2.6061593578616400 |
| 1999-07-01 | 2.8117110429821700 |
| 1999-08-01 | 2.6299354924989000 |
| 1999-09-01 | 3.1174882884107300 |
| 1999-10-01 | 2.6558666676266500 |
| 1999-11-01 | 2.7148588519145400 |
| 1999-12-01 | 3.2684962272359000 |
| 2000-01-01 | 2.8398166988262497 |
| 2000-02-01 | 2.7649505696902200 |
| 2000-03-01 | 3.0220002337155700 |
| 2000-04-01 | 2.9120982170637800 |
| 2000-05-01 | 2.9525933425036700 |
| 2000-06-01 | 3.0345452348067300 |
| 2000-07-01 | 2.6785428738271100 |
| 2000-08-01 | 2.6838379742368000 |
| 2000-09-01 | 2.9704815764344900 |
| 2000-10-01 | 2.7583357790018800 |
| 2000-11-01 | 2.8672763793330800 |
| 2000-12-01 | 2.5531264891690200 |
| 2001-01-01 | 2.8350549663706100 |
| 2001-02-01 | 3.0086666741760200 |
| 2001-03-01 | 2.6474169122738500 |
| 2001-04-01 | 2.6940111904589297 |
| 2001-05-01 | 2.4147749648690000 |
| 2001-06-01 | 2.7013303035599300 |
| 2001-07-01 | 2.6229107406540400 |
| 2001-08-01 | 2.9322740474084696 |
| 2001-09-01 | 2.4873939059245800 |
| 2001-10-01 | 2.4429283666929700 |
| 2001-11-01 | 2.6156535766995300 |
| 2001-12-01 | 2.4530589650808303 |
| 2002-01-01 | 2.3522789447914300 |
| 2002-02-01 | 2.6081693296182100 |
| 2002-03-01 | 2.4328867227363400 |
| 2002-04-01 | 2.3916452013477500 |
| 2002-05-01 | 2.7151403668593800 |
| 2002-06-01 | 2.4544132716252300 |
| 2002-07-01 | 2.4274971401079300 |
| 2002-08-01 | 2.5005544446899500 |
| 2002-09-01 | 2.3221567641073800 |
| 2002-10-01 | 2.4355731680486800 |
| 2002-11-01 | 2.4820286176951800 |
| 2002-12-01 | 2.1744399800983900 |
| 2003-01-01 | 2.4564329846953203 |
| 2003-02-01 | 2.1919883933183100 |
| 2003-03-01 | 2.2876728100672200 |
| 2003-04-01 | 2.2046127382290600 |
| 2003-05-01 | 2.4663196307926200 |
| 2003-06-01 | 2.1857460482004503 |
| 2003-07-01 | 2.1861395861061000 |
| 2003-08-01 | 2.3112966287323800 |
| 2003-09-01 | 2.2564152160664803 |
| 2003-10-01 | 2.2757289856649500 |
| 2003-11-01 | 2.0840484819980900 |
| 2003-12-01 | 2.3316764547155900 |
| 2004-01-01 | 2.3150271893516700 |
| 2004-02-01 | 2.2009460187800100 |
| 2004-03-01 | 2.2623538181780600 |
| 2004-04-01 | 2.6696604812356200 |
| 2004-05-01 | 2.3032727104218500 |
| 2004-06-01 | 2.2084418822507900 |
| 2004-07-01 | 2.4266519852338400 |
| 2004-08-01 | 2.2841337228722500 |
| 2004-09-01 | 2.3643932624894500 |
| 2004-10-01 | 2.5084605724102300 |
| 2004-11-01 | 2.3156443490999500 |
| 2004-12-01 | 2.5168114973596603 |
| 2005-01-01 | 2.4414521999279900 |
| 2005-02-01 | 2.5092990397863900 |
| 2005-03-01 | 2.4107057255654800 |
| 2005-04-01 | 2.5580331739667000 |
| 2005-05-01 | 2.2312594778338500 |
| 2005-06-01 | 2.5333583344768500 |
| 2005-07-01 | 2.1318894344165100 |
| 2005-08-01 | 2.3904072291276300 |
| 2005-09-01 | 2.4962287433452300 |
| 2005-10-01 | 2.4102027172644100 |
| 2005-11-01 | 2.5460293560537300 |
| 2005-12-01 | 2.3847175163822500 |
| 2006-01-01 | 2.3664924532795700 |
| 2006-02-01 | 2.4812415799136700 |
| 2006-03-01 | 2.4123990681139200 |
| 2006-04-01 | 2.2898080529037400 |
| 2006-05-01 | 2.2827685039770500 |
| 2006-06-01 | 2.5589890731188100 |
| 2006-07-01 | 2.3563908174529700 |
| 2006-08-01 | 2.3728731651650703 |
| 2006-09-01 | 2.4032291102545600 |
| 2006-10-01 | 2.2216916246520400 |
| 2006-11-01 | 2.3712197507779800 |
| 2006-12-01 | 2.5249636863137200 |
| 2007-01-01 | 2.3205920950506700 |
| 2007-02-01 | 2.2521475402579703 |
| 2007-03-01 | 2.6132766657185300 |
| 2007-04-01 | 2.4633684177212300 |
| 2007-05-01 | 2.4589188207916900 |
| 2007-06-01 | 2.3682366908022400 |
| 2007-07-01 | 2.4848339012719500 |
| 2007-08-01 | 2.4259279194645400 |
| 2007-09-01 | 2.4033719549976300 |
| 2007-10-01 | 2.3482205549974700 |
| 2007-11-01 | 2.5382466381896500 |
| 2007-12-01 | 2.2597716668174200 |
| 2008-01-01 | 2.4500878083902800 |
| 2008-02-01 | 2.4661789193539100 |
| 2008-03-01 | 2.4065545123878800 |
| 2008-04-01 | 2.3415720311771000 |
| 2008-05-01 | 2.5399960548361100 |
| 2008-06-01 | 2.3162356297726400 |
| 2008-07-01 | 2.3630184310629000 |
| 2008-08-01 | 2.6527071198426700 |
| 2008-09-01 | 2.2641036091886400 |
| 2008-10-01 | 2.5373669648117200 |
| 2008-11-01 | 2.1838264083107800 |
| 2008-12-01 | 2.3181981029889000 |
| 2009-01-01 | 2.2528367873575000 |
| 2009-02-01 | 2.3434632972060200 |
| 2009-03-01 | 2.1357079120962600 |
| 2009-04-01 | 2.2289941821816100 |
| 2009-05-01 | 2.3689476423456000 |
| 2009-06-01 | 2.1925899951924000 |
| 2009-07-01 | 2.1110723377978600 |
| 2009-08-01 | 2.1011689266378400 |
| 2009-09-01 | 2.1230280381025800 |
| 2009-10-01 | 2.2332781952118500 |
| 2009-11-01 | 2.0759811366723700 |
| 2009-12-01 | 2.1479883726573700 |
| 2010-01-01 | 2.1666319238639500 |
| 2010-02-01 | 2.0934453344771800 |
| 2010-03-01 | 2.1575766188156600 |
| 2010-04-01 | 2.2641356093371300 |
| 2010-05-01 | 2.1298425077896900 |
| 2010-06-01 | 1.9692879736474000 |
| 2010-07-01 | 2.2499364706419502 |
| 2010-08-01 | 2.1544979973706100 |
| 2010-09-01 | 2.2111201602273400 |
| 2010-10-01 | 2.0212775615502200 |
| 2010-11-01 | 2.0940048209818900 |
| 2010-12-01 | 2.1990365522349498 |
| 2011-01-01 | 2.0230775240877400 |
| 2011-02-01 | 1.9248227550873000 |
| 2011-03-01 | 2.1322681604132500 |
| 2011-04-01 | 2.2444664852704800 |
| 2011-05-01 | 2.0508989795597100 |
| 2011-06-01 | 2.2160788270753100 |
| 2011-07-01 | 2.0804675169334200 |
| 2011-08-01 | 2.0587102562645200 |
| 2011-09-01 | 2.2428146640473400 |
| 2011-10-01 | 2.1215540806679400 |
| 2011-11-01 | 2.2528100821000100 |
| 2011-12-01 | 2.0488904380598600 |
| 2012-01-01 | 2.2532245324344100 |
| 2012-02-01 | 2.2103260569483400 |
| 2012-03-01 | 2.1574282381906700 |
| 2012-04-01 | 2.0377831982556300 |
| 2012-05-01 | 1.9953451723698200 |
| 2012-06-01 | 2.2677370607170600 |
| 2012-07-01 | 2.1339932345180600 |
| 2012-08-01 | 2.2184341920877200 |
| 2012-09-01 | 2.0747096739110100 |
| 2012-10-01 | 2.1100123868683403 |
| 2012-11-01 | 2.1019513011130700 |
| 2012-12-01 | 2.2819486093457900 |
| 2013-01-01 | 1.9394016579322295 |
| 2013-02-01 | 2.2483623258611800 |
| 2013-03-01 | 2.2022332277737497 |
| 2013-04-01 | 2.0234370355045800 |
| 2013-05-01 | 2.2656541758797300 |
| 2013-06-01 | 2.0961080158921800 |
| 2013-07-01 | 2.0459198794768600 |
| 2013-08-01 | 2.2163349585793900 |
| 2013-09-01 | 2.0578351655599900 |
| 2013-10-01 | 2.1272628786668800 |
| 2013-11-01 | 2.1404692308304600 |
| 2013-12-01 | 2.0240008219980000 |
| 2014-01-01 | 2.3830512593378400 |
| 2014-02-01 | 2.1176967946183100 |
| 2014-03-01 | 2.0516069957807503 |
| 2014-04-01 | 2.1425546494027703 |
| 2014-05-01 | 2.2450361402647600 |
| 2014-06-01 | 2.1566592101633497 |
| 2014-07-01 | 2.2280363511857000 |
| 2014-08-01 | 2.2988763363650300 |
| 2014-09-01 | 2.3176845510255700 |
| 2014-10-01 | 2.3218848504444103 |
| 2014-11-01 | 2.2861779171019703 |
| 2014-12-01 | 2.1929408190959700 |
| 2015-01-01 | 2.2406290660420200 |
| 2015-02-01 | 2.2200747385689100 |
| 2015-03-01 | 2.3907660462833302 |
| 2015-04-01 | 2.4887719931171200 |
| 2015-05-01 | 2.2852136319189200 |
| 2015-06-01 | 2.2866919018321900 |
| 2015-07-01 | 2.4510909615809900 |
| 2015-08-01 | 2.1678580549479000 |
| 2015-09-01 | 2.3174976656219800 |
| 2015-10-01 | 2.5101716325885000 |
| 2015-11-01 | 2.3023301788891900 |
| 2015-12-01 | 2.3629367194010600 |
| 2016-01-01 | 2.2655452780125100 |
| 2016-02-01 | 2.1636100494373203 |
| 2016-03-01 | 2.1214426210007200 |
| 2016-04-01 | 2.2760826550774000 |
| 2016-05-01 | 2.0678765105833600 |
| 2016-06-01 | 2.3401966069571003 |
| 2016-07-01 | 2.2154225308659603 |
| 2016-08-01 | 2.2004220420161100 |
| 2016-09-01 | 2.6199614399708400 |
| 2016-10-01 | 2.2304964320465500 |
| 2016-11-01 | 2.2246931999632897 |
| 2016-12-01 | 2.3187538034537000 |
| 2017-01-01 | 2.0510968467661800 |
| 2017-02-01 | 2.2544433177748497 |
| 2017-03-01 | 2.3335310868302400 |
| 2017-04-01 | 2.2250729921795100 |
| 2017-05-01 | 2.3691021835969800 |
| 2017-06-01 | 2.2360804949307500 |
| 2017-07-01 | 2.1663651740502800 |
| 2017-08-01 | 2.1045971393216100 |
| 2017-09-01 | 2.6256084893596100 |
| 2017-10-01 | 2.2094968426599200 |
| 2017-11-01 | 2.1619481625255500 |
| 2017-12-01 | 2.0089371714901700 |
| 2018-01-01 | 2.1437388660097400 |
| 2018-02-01 | 2.2074199068911400 |
| 2018-03-01 | 2.0913447135426400 |
| 2018-04-01 | 2.1093627342292898 |
| 2018-05-01 | 2.1108777403766800 |
| 2018-06-01 | 2.3212855999205697 |
| 2018-07-01 | 2.1516336432585800 |
| 2018-08-01 | 2.3839173791493100 |
| 2018-09-01 | 2.0787900776418500 |
| 2018-10-01 | 2.0765696168527600 |
| 2018-11-01 | 2.1054781631234700 |
| 2018-12-01 | 2.2142721505053498 |
| 2019-01-01 | 2.1894752560175700 |
| 2019-02-01 | 2.2678484272970900 |
| 2019-03-01 | 2.2293944550956700 |
| 2019-04-01 | 2.0509368386485898 |
| 2019-05-01 | 2.4075688784133600 |
| 2019-06-01 | 2.0401920775186300 |
| 2019-07-01 | 2.3085935750955300 |
| 2019-08-01 | 2.3095022303521600 |
| 2019-09-01 | 2.1169489323787203 |
| 2019-10-01 | 2.2078592366870100 |
| 2019-11-01 | 2.1561715183226100 |
| 2019-12-01 | 2.2570429186347100 |
| 2020-01-01 | 2.3409308174639200 |
| 2020-02-01 | 2.0827708694263200 |
| 2020-03-01 | 2.0935447190856102 |
| 2020-04-01 | 1.9279533762238100 |
| 2020-05-01 | 1.8460008532070400 |
| 2020-06-01 | 1.7879323181015200 |
| 2020-07-01 | 1.8365581581793000 |
| 2020-08-01 | 2.0463063950195500 |
| 2020-09-01 | 1.9469727931698700 |
| 2020-10-01 | 2.4307964054684503 |
| 2020-11-01 | 2.2566409009342700 |
| 2020-12-01 | 2.1230936908654600 |
| 2021-01-01 | 2.0022640172373700 |
| 2021-02-01 | 2.1415004656149800 |
| 2021-03-01 | 2.2339898681523100 |
| 2021-04-01 | 2.4206452758354000 |
| 2021-05-01 | 2.1414816683361100 |
| 2021-06-01 | 2.2245155929233698 |
| 2021-07-01 | 2.4766992895114700 |
| 2021-08-01 | 2.1097991545287700 |
| 2021-09-01 | 2.5640933630912400 |
| 2021-10-01 | 2.3002953584945600 |
| 2021-11-01 | 2.2965193247929400 |
| 2021-12-01 | 2.3417663921023800 |
| 2022-01-01 | 2.5124150780035600 |
| 2022-02-01 | 2.3375060841776600 |
| 2022-03-01 | 2.3561438658782400 |
| 2022-04-01 | 2.5873411428173200 |
| 2022-05-01 | 2.4797624769480700 |
| 2022-06-01 | 2.5601245867930897 |
| 2022-07-01 | 2.1715762965846400 |
| 2022-08-01 | 2.4059543509202900 |
| 2022-09-01 | 2.3964879025997500 |
| 2022-10-01 | 2.4189002605588200 |
| 2022-11-01 | 2.3369013878477800 |
| 2022-12-01 | 2.3755671301693900 |
| 2023-01-01 | 2.2720171240132700 |
| 2023-02-01 | 2.4294782476008200 |
| 2023-03-01 | 2.3445508839647000 |
| 2023-04-01 | 2.0494099491486400 |
| 2023-05-01 | 2.1514358831012600 |
| 2023-06-01 | 2.5411509350285900 |
| 2023-07-01 | 2.4004963236016500 |
| 2023-08-01 | 2.0171013574550200 |
| 2023-09-01 | 2.2937675361591100 |
| 2023-10-01 | 2.0949063972934300 |
| 2023-11-01 | 2.3495705529295700 |
| 2023-12-01 | 2.1229256901813100 |
| 2024-01-01 | 2.2138883231955200 |
| 2024-02-01 | 2.1716956036711603 |
| 2024-03-01 | 2.0197474484247400 |
| 2024-04-01 | 2.2611410090828303 |
| 2024-05-01 | 2.3384643360147400 |
| 2024-06-01 | 2.2254163990129600 |
| 2024-07-01 | 2.0971814394613000 |
| 2024-08-01 | 2.4136790602147600 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.1823307705334702 |
| 2024-10-01 | 2.3744738028613000 |
| 2024-11-01 | 2.0546795568741700 |
| 2024-12-01 | 2.1929537541785000 |
| 2025-01-01 | 2.1070743600571400 |
| 2025-02-01 | 2.1264010579064800 |
| 2025-03-01 | 2.3718950020387600 |
| 2025-04-01 | 2.1614225823852400 |
| 2025-05-01 | 2.4532679145385000 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2.1035737347236200 |
| 2025-07-01 | 2.1492716587523500 |
| 2025-08-01 | 2.1812232569566400 |
| 2025-09-01 | 2.1069006774120000 |