Table Data - 3-Month Moving Average of Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions
| Title | 3-Month Moving Average of Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions |
|---|---|
| Series ID | FMPSA3MA |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Release | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Percent |
| Date Range | 1995-12-01 to 2026-06-01 |
| Last Updated | 2026-07-10 1:01 PM CDT |
| Notes | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay (FMP) Employer-to-Employer (E2E) Transition Probability tracks the rate at which U.S. workers transition from one employer to another in a given month. Expressed as the share (percentage) of movers among all employed workers in the previous month, E2E Transition Probability provides a timely gauge of the pace of worker reallocation in the U.S. labor market. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1995-12-01 | 2.8679818144236460 |
| 1996-01-01 | 2.8471697861667240 |
| 1996-02-01 | 2.7761412678534630 |
| 1996-03-01 | 2.8184401568165334 |
| 1996-04-01 | 2.8338900135028067 |
| 1996-05-01 | 2.8951737687708503 |
| 1996-06-01 | 2.9068260134408370 |
| 1996-07-01 | 2.8588865396135370 |
| 1996-08-01 | 2.8162667511325900 |
| 1996-09-01 | 2.7883313733108195 |
| 1996-10-01 | 2.7403680382338163 |
| 1996-11-01 | 2.7226395086627204 |
| 1996-12-01 | 2.6638158526152800 |
| 1997-01-01 | 2.7988825343588304 |
| 1997-02-01 | 2.7625301986452600 |
| 1997-03-01 | 2.8489540379473640 |
| 1997-04-01 | 2.7632856302044430 |
| 1997-05-01 | 2.7941440360559100 |
| 1997-06-01 | 2.7575018034637830 |
| 1997-07-01 | 2.7542708402295840 |
| 1997-08-01 | 2.7695375792399264 |
| 1997-09-01 | 2.8030018867185330 |
| 1997-10-01 | 2.9081250565729766 |
| 1997-11-01 | 2.8660567823101130 |
| 1997-12-01 | 2.9128156121380270 |
| 1998-01-01 | 2.8124766390175830 |
| 1998-02-01 | 2.8115731111410334 |
| 1998-03-01 | 2.7281109120611970 |
| 1998-04-01 | 2.9199825456858440 |
| 1998-05-01 | 2.8781016917229000 |
| 1998-06-01 | 2.8728182720673500 |
| 1998-07-01 | 2.7501922375214270 |
| 1998-08-01 | 2.7721125115459400 |
| 1998-09-01 | 2.7437959808333500 |
| 1998-10-01 | 2.7288329362536170 |
| 1998-11-01 | 2.6679753552896000 |
| 1998-12-01 | 2.7513649478888933 |
| 1999-01-01 | 2.6716785862700570 |
| 1999-02-01 | 2.7148496668042936 |
| 1999-03-01 | 2.6375473791800170 |
| 1999-04-01 | 2.8359744599434165 |
| 1999-05-01 | 2.8242894496521664 |
| 1999-06-01 | 2.8143389619040766 |
| 1999-07-01 | 2.6784549379517237 |
| 1999-08-01 | 2.6825924272076365 |
| 1999-09-01 | 2.8530411097845840 |
| 1999-10-01 | 2.8010929080944700 |
| 1999-11-01 | 2.8294082857347130 |
| 1999-12-01 | 2.8797190759600930 |
| 2000-01-01 | 2.9410293139495365 |
| 2000-02-01 | 2.9577106420144800 |
| 2000-03-01 | 2.8755589288473930 |
| 2000-04-01 | 2.8996534940427600 |
| 2000-05-01 | 2.9623369437835336 |
| 2000-06-01 | 2.9665195952639270 |
| 2000-07-01 | 2.8886696215013097 |
| 2000-08-01 | 2.7989470661383400 |
| 2000-09-01 | 2.7775989596953963 |
| 2000-10-01 | 2.8041971407765030 |
| 2000-11-01 | 2.8653579262280600 |
| 2000-12-01 | 2.7262225905716630 |
| 2001-01-01 | 2.7517908234980530 |
| 2001-02-01 | 2.7989031466346600 |
| 2001-03-01 | 2.8303405653905800 |
| 2001-04-01 | 2.7833258521554230 |
| 2001-05-01 | 2.5855198726666030 |
| 2001-06-01 | 2.6034899517978400 |
| 2001-07-01 | 2.5797897807306830 |
| 2001-08-01 | 2.7521276887176800 |
| 2001-09-01 | 2.6808216553322466 |
| 2001-10-01 | 2.6208310102262530 |
| 2001-11-01 | 2.5153120677173466 |
| 2001-12-01 | 2.5038563511124936 |
| 2002-01-01 | 2.4736380547402800 |
| 2002-02-01 | 2.4711282942827500 |
| 2002-03-01 | 2.4644082210182034 |
| 2002-04-01 | 2.4775259674394667 |
| 2002-05-01 | 2.5133851106518070 |
| 2002-06-01 | 2.5205553805249163 |
| 2002-07-01 | 2.5325059322602800 |
| 2002-08-01 | 2.4607657203356568 |
| 2002-09-01 | 2.4166847903295000 |
| 2002-10-01 | 2.4193780104078395 |
| 2002-11-01 | 2.4132263974098764 |
| 2002-12-01 | 2.3639950113152435 |
| 2003-01-01 | 2.3709623434899600 |
| 2003-02-01 | 2.2742854976547430 |
| 2003-03-01 | 2.3120331837528734 |
| 2003-04-01 | 2.2280867051692570 |
| 2003-05-01 | 2.3197039149923600 |
| 2003-06-01 | 2.2856363286009165 |
| 2003-07-01 | 2.2794803862774170 |
| 2003-08-01 | 2.2276173243180030 |
| 2003-09-01 | 2.2512549657935104 |
| 2003-10-01 | 2.2811094240206464 |
| 2003-11-01 | 2.2053745287379964 |
| 2003-12-01 | 2.2304719230085435 |
| 2004-01-01 | 2.2435837596876302 |
| 2004-02-01 | 2.2826139636328400 |
| 2004-03-01 | 2.2595472306736700 |
| 2004-04-01 | 2.3777530790721330 |
| 2004-05-01 | 2.4119311176673763 |
| 2004-06-01 | 2.3937264707962830 |
| 2004-07-01 | 2.3127036337405200 |
| 2004-08-01 | 2.3061582218925470 |
| 2004-09-01 | 2.3583076142196670 |
| 2004-10-01 | 2.3855917453150300 |
| 2004-11-01 | 2.3961534968845037 |
| 2004-12-01 | 2.4470518287220666 |
| 2005-01-01 | 2.4248123543288930 |
| 2005-02-01 | 2.4895284029985000 |
| 2005-03-01 | 2.4541728522707100 |
| 2005-04-01 | 2.4929203471882566 |
| 2005-05-01 | 2.4000978719175903 |
| 2005-06-01 | 2.4404673343110237 |
| 2005-07-01 | 2.2984110068945200 |
| 2005-08-01 | 2.3513045717873298 |
| 2005-09-01 | 2.3393451593696730 |
| 2005-10-01 | 2.4321613712846637 |
| 2005-11-01 | 2.4841757015481900 |
| 2005-12-01 | 2.4471523661998240 |
| 2006-01-01 | 2.4328886967413100 |
| 2006-02-01 | 2.4116091742686070 |
| 2006-03-01 | 2.4208080608126530 |
| 2006-04-01 | 2.3949049429860260 |
| 2006-05-01 | 2.3283921900352333 |
| 2006-06-01 | 2.3763541135493930 |
| 2006-07-01 | 2.3984958033257630 |
| 2006-08-01 | 2.4283402714652970 |
| 2006-09-01 | 2.3772343608317830 |
| 2006-10-01 | 2.3324023522592430 |
| 2006-11-01 | 2.3320267336117100 |
| 2006-12-01 | 2.3727928205680238 |
| 2007-01-01 | 2.4065128618716365 |
| 2007-02-01 | 2.3669565870950330 |
| 2007-03-01 | 2.3959510320953060 |
| 2007-04-01 | 2.4425575820631638 |
| 2007-05-01 | 2.5109329611157696 |
| 2007-06-01 | 2.4280976476988934 |
| 2007-07-01 | 2.4350434759129200 |
| 2007-08-01 | 2.4238311356062905 |
| 2007-09-01 | 2.4366630480780370 |
| 2007-10-01 | 2.3911074920820300 |
| 2007-11-01 | 2.4285757239686940 |
| 2007-12-01 | 2.3806331368551600 |
| 2008-01-01 | 2.4159922031316430 |
| 2008-02-01 | 2.3937952200121067 |
| 2008-03-01 | 2.4450346996551366 |
| 2008-04-01 | 2.4106119263524963 |
| 2008-05-01 | 2.4367591556151966 |
| 2008-06-01 | 2.4073350788093330 |
| 2008-07-01 | 2.4143052378086503 |
| 2008-08-01 | 2.4515919227556700 |
| 2008-09-01 | 2.4341619356177900 |
| 2008-10-01 | 2.4928171209479000 |
| 2008-11-01 | 2.3368270554785533 |
| 2008-12-01 | 2.3554246974490470 |
| 2009-01-01 | 2.2605168358382266 |
| 2009-02-01 | 2.3143788039377040 |
| 2009-03-01 | 2.2541792008723838 |
| 2009-04-01 | 2.2475643466692000 |
| 2009-05-01 | 2.2578513169584900 |
| 2009-06-01 | 2.2787682999738563 |
| 2009-07-01 | 2.2395309642533830 |
| 2009-08-01 | 2.1491194165924767 |
| 2009-09-01 | 2.1243416271995470 |
| 2009-10-01 | 2.1654837849314170 |
| 2009-11-01 | 2.1574097140309405 |
| 2009-12-01 | 2.1658252760674834 |
| 2010-01-01 | 2.1423587872687000 |
| 2010-02-01 | 2.1477360297644030 |
| 2010-03-01 | 2.1503818910348570 |
| 2010-04-01 | 2.1823464641914665 |
| 2010-05-01 | 2.1943403891478463 |
| 2010-06-01 | 2.1326236370658360 |
| 2010-07-01 | 2.1282725631471195 |
| 2010-08-01 | 2.1359531669212000 |
| 2010-09-01 | 2.2151742353188637 |
| 2010-10-01 | 2.1387345373365565 |
| 2010-11-01 | 2.1184880068756670 |
| 2010-12-01 | 2.1145285630295500 |
| 2011-01-01 | 2.1142988043698066 |
| 2011-02-01 | 2.0570168105613367 |
| 2011-03-01 | 2.0340308371396265 |
| 2011-04-01 | 2.1081104025417097 |
| 2011-05-01 | 2.1502547304793040 |
| 2011-06-01 | 2.1785701084159435 |
| 2011-07-01 | 2.1235701647364200 |
| 2011-08-01 | 2.1258792652528100 |
| 2011-09-01 | 2.1338091863939630 |
| 2011-10-01 | 2.1472692553472170 |
| 2011-11-01 | 2.2121418779443240 |
| 2011-12-01 | 2.1474586206793800 |
| 2012-01-01 | 2.1913389546052730 |
| 2012-02-01 | 2.1766919526246533 |
| 2012-03-01 | 2.2125666131629930 |
| 2012-04-01 | 2.1403490252976702 |
| 2012-05-01 | 2.0681942325096830 |
| 2012-06-01 | 2.1050781817934503 |
| 2012-07-01 | 2.1368920962606204 |
| 2012-08-01 | 2.2112287944982130 |
| 2012-09-01 | 2.1462403900842800 |
| 2012-10-01 | 2.1377422256279800 |
| 2012-11-01 | 2.0985256987993670 |
| 2012-12-01 | 2.1674789803389530 |
| 2013-01-01 | 2.1099999711766837 |
| 2013-02-01 | 2.1586476997545300 |
| 2013-03-01 | 2.1318490358001540 |
| 2013-04-01 | 2.1604533404943440 |
| 2013-05-01 | 2.1664407919392965 |
| 2013-06-01 | 2.1305569961079365 |
| 2013-07-01 | 2.1376875292887100 |
| 2013-08-01 | 2.1206383705526965 |
| 2013-09-01 | 2.1077587532190830 |
| 2013-10-01 | 2.1345285008899900 |
| 2013-11-01 | 2.1091670746213365 |
| 2013-12-01 | 2.0975903003127500 |
| 2014-01-01 | 2.1831609164496100 |
| 2014-02-01 | 2.1752727995535968 |
| 2014-03-01 | 2.1840543136828700 |
| 2014-04-01 | 2.1028225775091265 |
| 2014-05-01 | 2.1450346435505900 |
| 2014-06-01 | 2.1795472044017130 |
| 2014-07-01 | 2.2082322113573065 |
| 2014-08-01 | 2.2257787340643733 |
| 2014-09-01 | 2.2800045136137700 |
| 2014-10-01 | 2.3109411509810966 |
| 2014-11-01 | 2.3065343894931702 |
| 2014-12-01 | 2.2647274550338630 |
| 2015-01-01 | 2.2373187482412100 |
| 2015-02-01 | 2.2149130765747262 |
| 2015-03-01 | 2.2808796124729970 |
| 2015-04-01 | 2.3644883056525330 |
| 2015-05-01 | 2.3863811271419160 |
| 2015-06-01 | 2.3538697443102303 |
| 2015-07-01 | 2.3401138512670000 |
| 2015-08-01 | 2.3004444416064900 |
| 2015-09-01 | 2.3079237816500666 |
| 2015-10-01 | 2.3273274200067933 |
| 2015-11-01 | 2.3722524024245404 |
| 2015-12-01 | 2.3869889453101200 |
| 2016-01-01 | 2.3052326564837900 |
| 2016-02-01 | 2.2585641398510803 |
| 2016-03-01 | 2.1776738386815330 |
| 2016-04-01 | 2.1810968840282640 |
| 2016-05-01 | 2.1488584818695866 |
| 2016-06-01 | 2.2208225619663238 |
| 2016-07-01 | 2.2001646934965270 |
| 2016-08-01 | 2.2439962670657367 |
| 2016-09-01 | 2.3381116261817265 |
| 2016-10-01 | 2.3428321664501700 |
| 2016-11-01 | 2.3506885791043635 |
| 2016-12-01 | 2.2497304403350333 |
| 2017-01-01 | 2.1895752572052130 |
| 2017-02-01 | 2.1996630925102240 |
| 2017-03-01 | 2.2046183918461133 |
| 2017-04-01 | 2.2624302201729200 |
| 2017-05-01 | 2.3004278599672700 |
| 2017-06-01 | 2.2670316895088334 |
| 2017-07-01 | 2.2475587706870100 |
| 2017-08-01 | 2.1589322350035967 |
| 2017-09-01 | 2.2888872871935900 |
| 2017-10-01 | 2.3029111026239400 |
| 2017-11-01 | 2.3218030358968260 |
| 2017-12-01 | 2.1156742201202765 |
| 2018-01-01 | 2.0934662999252040 |
| 2018-02-01 | 2.1080877899708370 |
| 2018-03-01 | 2.1355062053210565 |
| 2018-04-01 | 2.1233937384222967 |
| 2018-05-01 | 2.0912468514152067 |
| 2018-06-01 | 2.1673656714752900 |
| 2018-07-01 | 2.1818567335149530 |
| 2018-08-01 | 2.2725721102009800 |
| 2018-09-01 | 2.1916888369655040 |
| 2018-10-01 | 2.1660698626528240 |
| 2018-11-01 | 2.0730773177124333 |
| 2018-12-01 | 2.1184418811410400 |
| 2019-01-01 | 2.1554992226705703 |
| 2019-02-01 | 2.2092676835135130 |
| 2019-03-01 | 2.2138538630148130 |
| 2019-04-01 | 2.1672253964092665 |
| 2019-05-01 | 2.2138913296760400 |
| 2019-06-01 | 2.1506637589699770 |
| 2019-07-01 | 2.2378963044826765 |
| 2019-08-01 | 2.2049220460037900 |
| 2019-09-01 | 2.2292614215873700 |
| 2019-10-01 | 2.1943316961272300 |
| 2019-11-01 | 2.1430696789381500 |
| 2019-12-01 | 2.1907066866815770 |
| 2020-01-01 | 2.2347768073164533 |
| 2020-02-01 | 2.2097591318434400 |
| 2020-03-01 | 2.1547776202260440 |
| 2020-04-01 | 2.0164408828062865 |
| 2020-05-01 | 1.9374021286102732 |
| 2020-06-01 | 1.8366938871971932 |
| 2020-07-01 | 1.8089783285029200 |
| 2020-08-01 | 1.8756002615247000 |
| 2020-09-01 | 1.9261152040181069 |
| 2020-10-01 | 2.1218323112229970 |
| 2020-11-01 | 2.1918217303627903 |
| 2020-12-01 | 2.2510761782844235 |
| 2021-01-01 | 2.1073319163477200 |
| 2021-02-01 | 2.0682658178663200 |
| 2021-03-01 | 2.1049107207357130 |
| 2021-04-01 | 2.2410507770576200 |
| 2021-05-01 | 2.2404613098797430 |
| 2021-06-01 | 2.2381388574348366 |
| 2021-07-01 | 2.2635555238718466 |
| 2021-08-01 | 2.2533866999196930 |
| 2021-09-01 | 2.3638728409719470 |
| 2021-10-01 | 2.3017080534595795 |
| 2021-11-01 | 2.3637590000616897 |
| 2021-12-01 | 2.2911928660816800 |
| 2022-01-01 | 2.3618740510122667 |
| 2022-02-01 | 2.3747776024551900 |
| 2022-03-01 | 2.3783910139939235 |
| 2022-04-01 | 2.3977437451858170 |
| 2022-05-01 | 2.4417402919211133 |
| 2022-06-01 | 2.5112017932072500 |
| 2022-07-01 | 2.3812855486445000 |
| 2022-08-01 | 2.3613229217791600 |
| 2022-09-01 | 2.3059704072542067 |
| 2022-10-01 | 2.3845931034639904 |
| 2022-11-01 | 2.3622824428891067 |
| 2022-12-01 | 2.3518373951737000 |
| 2023-01-01 | 2.2993906322923200 |
| 2023-02-01 | 2.3304337253708467 |
| 2023-03-01 | 2.3211135137246064 |
| 2023-04-01 | 2.2407987273145040 |
| 2023-05-01 | 2.1389158474686630 |
| 2023-06-01 | 2.2092506196201270 |
| 2023-07-01 | 2.3398254510704803 |
| 2023-08-01 | 2.3027311542427267 |
| 2023-09-01 | 2.2191667041314600 |
| 2023-10-01 | 2.1113653564118966 |
| 2023-11-01 | 2.2234668910292100 |
| 2023-12-01 | 2.1564122116444000 |
| 2024-01-01 | 2.1912365864157100 |
| 2024-02-01 | 2.1338687405541767 |
| 2024-03-01 | 2.1040242635708037 |
| 2024-04-01 | 2.1101569293653670 |
| 2024-05-01 | 2.1497461485583864 |
| 2024-06-01 | 2.2277531906392336 |
| 2024-07-01 | 2.1915753867421730 |
| 2024-08-01 | 2.2301038168496730 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.2130766711046370 |
| 2024-10-01 | 2.2996837348437670 |
| 2024-11-01 | 2.1809602488660100 |
| 2024-12-01 | 2.1685783748595330 |
| 2025-01-01 | 2.0726880790635365 |
| 2025-02-01 | 2.1039796847901497 |
| 2025-03-01 | 2.1724163225239270 |
| 2025-04-01 | 2.1778416605775830 |
| 2025-05-01 | 2.2587174788701630 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2.1826007536248637 |
| 2025-07-01 | 2.2025309650307400 |
| 2025-08-01 | 2.1304089484784900 |
| 2025-09-01 | 2.1251411988545703 |
| 2025-10-01 | 2.1400704322435470 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2.1417081631362030 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2.2315827088437170 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2.2997487837993600 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2.3051679279175232 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2.2789833434789130 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2.3018750591187230 |
| 2026-05-01 | 2.3201920792661967 |
| 2026-06-01 | 2.3147037065586200 |