Table Data - 3-Month Moving Average of Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions
| Title | 3-Month Moving Average of Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions |
|---|---|
| Series ID | FMPSA3MA |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Release | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Percent |
| Date Range | 1995-12-01 to 2026-05-01 |
| Last Updated | 2026-06-12 1:00 PM CDT |
| Notes | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay (FMP) Employer-to-Employer (E2E) Transition Probability tracks the rate at which U.S. workers transition from one employer to another in a given month. Expressed as the share (percentage) of movers among all employed workers in the previous month, E2E Transition Probability provides a timely gauge of the pace of worker reallocation in the U.S. labor market. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1995-12-01 | 2.8679811730525530 |
| 1996-01-01 | 2.8471691465206530 |
| 1996-02-01 | 2.7761406236938164 |
| 1996-03-01 | 2.8184395845107070 |
| 1996-04-01 | 2.8338894987701235 |
| 1996-05-01 | 2.8951733168834470 |
| 1996-06-01 | 2.9068256716589067 |
| 1996-07-01 | 2.8588863165622964 |
| 1996-08-01 | 2.8162666089305968 |
| 1996-09-01 | 2.7883313476911367 |
| 1996-10-01 | 2.7403679373484464 |
| 1996-11-01 | 2.7226393130505766 |
| 1996-12-01 | 2.6638154768873634 |
| 1997-01-01 | 2.7988821049650200 |
| 1997-02-01 | 2.7625298455780000 |
| 1997-03-01 | 2.8489537849027800 |
| 1997-04-01 | 2.7632854793419965 |
| 1997-05-01 | 2.7941439900454700 |
| 1997-06-01 | 2.7575018942883767 |
| 1997-07-01 | 2.7542710677225000 |
| 1997-08-01 | 2.7695377790377200 |
| 1997-09-01 | 2.8030022376866266 |
| 1997-10-01 | 2.9081252882681468 |
| 1997-11-01 | 2.8660568883312700 |
| 1997-12-01 | 2.9128147870029166 |
| 1998-01-01 | 2.8124757417414896 |
| 1998-02-01 | 2.8115721051484166 |
| 1998-03-01 | 2.7281105875015800 |
| 1998-04-01 | 2.9199822513664264 |
| 1998-05-01 | 2.8781026896946000 |
| 1998-06-01 | 2.8728193239651830 |
| 1998-07-01 | 2.7501934232284530 |
| 1998-08-01 | 2.7721130190363240 |
| 1998-09-01 | 2.7437967399966903 |
| 1998-10-01 | 2.7288336724540800 |
| 1998-11-01 | 2.6679755288377100 |
| 1998-12-01 | 2.7513634552269800 |
| 1999-01-01 | 2.6716766476598530 |
| 1999-02-01 | 2.7148471926188270 |
| 1999-03-01 | 2.6375458426059800 |
| 1999-04-01 | 2.8359728894624600 |
| 1999-05-01 | 2.8242932779457100 |
| 1999-06-01 | 2.8143430365940930 |
| 1999-07-01 | 2.6784593539829970 |
| 1999-08-01 | 2.6825927137342230 |
| 1999-09-01 | 2.8530417669758730 |
| 1999-10-01 | 2.8010936207462040 |
| 1999-11-01 | 2.8294081118706470 |
| 1999-12-01 | 2.8797148808620165 |
| 2000-01-01 | 2.9410246558273765 |
| 2000-02-01 | 2.9577053828732230 |
| 2000-03-01 | 2.8755569799279668 |
| 2000-04-01 | 2.8996515619255865 |
| 2000-05-01 | 2.9623450027367900 |
| 2000-06-01 | 2.9665279498461734 |
| 2000-07-01 | 2.8886783983940267 |
| 2000-08-01 | 2.7989475757552440 |
| 2000-09-01 | 2.7775994907519665 |
| 2000-10-01 | 2.8041971954578830 |
| 2000-11-01 | 2.8653563854812063 |
| 2000-12-01 | 2.7262163640441040 |
| 2001-01-01 | 2.7517842183899130 |
| 2001-02-01 | 2.7988959721945500 |
| 2001-03-01 | 2.8303379260355097 |
| 2001-04-01 | 2.7833230877670840 |
| 2001-05-01 | 2.5855289410790734 |
| 2001-06-01 | 2.6035004356591700 |
| 2001-07-01 | 2.5798024241185400 |
| 2001-08-01 | 2.7521314919882500 |
| 2001-09-01 | 2.6808241504688097 |
| 2001-10-01 | 2.6208311684441163 |
| 2001-11-01 | 2.5153085120427930 |
| 2001-12-01 | 2.5038450124396703 |
| 2002-01-01 | 2.4736253896673666 |
| 2002-02-01 | 2.4711147984258670 |
| 2002-03-01 | 2.4644015470562470 |
| 2002-04-01 | 2.4775199760509863 |
| 2002-05-01 | 2.5134001774517465 |
| 2002-06-01 | 2.5205745972628435 |
| 2002-07-01 | 2.5325321728827230 |
| 2002-08-01 | 2.4607776777740330 |
| 2002-09-01 | 2.4166955018007465 |
| 2002-10-01 | 2.4193833910309730 |
| 2002-11-01 | 2.4132257868299267 |
| 2002-12-01 | 2.3639798125601867 |
| 2003-01-01 | 2.3709320446132334 |
| 2003-02-01 | 2.2742427055763765 |
| 2003-03-01 | 2.3119890869267700 |
| 2003-04-01 | 2.2280430571882333 |
| 2003-05-01 | 2.3196826871866200 |
| 2003-06-01 | 2.2857193244318900 |
| 2003-07-01 | 2.2795733230733264 |
| 2003-08-01 | 2.2276955417054967 |
| 2003-09-01 | 2.2512370558461000 |
| 2003-10-01 | 2.2810907758075500 |
| 2003-11-01 | 2.2053561518882434 |
| 2003-12-01 | 2.2304411315775137 |
| 2004-01-01 | 2.2435394917013200 |
| 2004-02-01 | 2.2825338667015800 |
| 2004-03-01 | 2.2594395550644637 |
| 2004-04-01 | 2.3776445947210134 |
| 2004-05-01 | 2.4118718102540900 |
| 2004-06-01 | 2.3939017211562800 |
| 2004-07-01 | 2.3128911306922832 |
| 2004-08-01 | 2.3063271905426537 |
| 2004-09-01 | 2.3582750638421137 |
| 2004-10-01 | 2.3855522035788370 |
| 2004-11-01 | 2.3961073288944164 |
| 2004-12-01 | 2.4469840804121300 |
| 2005-01-01 | 2.4247160711913565 |
| 2005-02-01 | 2.4893544440625040 |
| 2005-03-01 | 2.4539467350471700 |
| 2005-04-01 | 2.4927227744802600 |
| 2005-05-01 | 2.3999984654116570 |
| 2005-06-01 | 2.4408782894319930 |
| 2005-07-01 | 2.2988273917705370 |
| 2005-08-01 | 2.3516509224008470 |
| 2005-09-01 | 2.3392375721792930 |
| 2005-10-01 | 2.4320371017552365 |
| 2005-11-01 | 2.4840952026287333 |
| 2005-12-01 | 2.4470460479650730 |
| 2006-01-01 | 2.4327373675324260 |
| 2006-02-01 | 2.4113226501260130 |
| 2006-03-01 | 2.4204311954060440 |
| 2006-04-01 | 2.3945937396995567 |
| 2006-05-01 | 2.3282514327314434 |
| 2006-06-01 | 2.3770974403241130 |
| 2006-07-01 | 2.3992159756358700 |
| 2006-08-01 | 2.4289038276875603 |
| 2006-09-01 | 2.3769915073878370 |
| 2006-10-01 | 2.3321524193062100 |
| 2006-11-01 | 2.3318845685712004 |
| 2006-12-01 | 2.3726164102283770 |
| 2007-01-01 | 2.4062664778374065 |
| 2007-02-01 | 2.3665403489602697 |
| 2007-03-01 | 2.3954080781048300 |
| 2007-04-01 | 2.4420764184285430 |
| 2007-05-01 | 2.5106304169519160 |
| 2007-06-01 | 2.4290300543519567 |
| 2007-07-01 | 2.4359298113672000 |
| 2007-08-01 | 2.4244777984286205 |
| 2007-09-01 | 2.4361575212456170 |
| 2007-10-01 | 2.3906114042014930 |
| 2007-11-01 | 2.4282531024239966 |
| 2007-12-01 | 2.3803023361856670 |
| 2008-01-01 | 2.4155541714188637 |
| 2008-02-01 | 2.3931466770319930 |
| 2008-03-01 | 2.4440990370568167 |
| 2008-04-01 | 2.4094702323367900 |
| 2008-05-01 | 2.4355851929681034 |
| 2008-06-01 | 2.4063207660005066 |
| 2008-07-01 | 2.4132726728580063 |
| 2008-08-01 | 2.4501343804494100 |
| 2008-09-01 | 2.4326728836297600 |
| 2008-10-01 | 2.4911704860358200 |
| 2008-11-01 | 2.3356545531808437 |
| 2008-12-01 | 2.3541766117101166 |
| 2009-01-01 | 2.2593497065328900 |
| 2009-02-01 | 2.3130318360114037 |
| 2009-03-01 | 2.2528105492455635 |
| 2009-04-01 | 2.2459899115486235 |
| 2009-05-01 | 2.2560690507988497 |
| 2009-06-01 | 2.2756971521259164 |
| 2009-07-01 | 2.2367529239165065 |
| 2009-08-01 | 2.1465551139610333 |
| 2009-09-01 | 2.1230702726956570 |
| 2009-10-01 | 2.1640189287838068 |
| 2009-11-01 | 2.1560626946310330 |
| 2009-12-01 | 2.1646108547029070 |
| 2010-01-01 | 2.1413103555262100 |
| 2010-02-01 | 2.1466019658339570 |
| 2010-03-01 | 2.1490794677569440 |
| 2010-04-01 | 2.1812130804439698 |
| 2010-05-01 | 2.1934650445515267 |
| 2010-06-01 | 2.1309454173985800 |
| 2010-07-01 | 2.1264958290255564 |
| 2010-08-01 | 2.1339196308773065 |
| 2010-09-01 | 2.2139700755250840 |
| 2010-10-01 | 2.1375658724082640 |
| 2010-11-01 | 2.1174909897608200 |
| 2010-12-01 | 2.1133411781741370 |
| 2011-01-01 | 2.1132073954370365 |
| 2011-02-01 | 2.0560361082833640 |
| 2011-03-01 | 2.0333228378879733 |
| 2011-04-01 | 2.1073873262152367 |
| 2011-05-01 | 2.1495503879021567 |
| 2011-06-01 | 2.1776776563034630 |
| 2011-07-01 | 2.1227021668342440 |
| 2011-08-01 | 2.1249336215293260 |
| 2011-09-01 | 2.1332049383543734 |
| 2011-10-01 | 2.1467528405597966 |
| 2011-11-01 | 2.2115663261813934 |
| 2011-12-01 | 2.1469698036291165 |
| 2012-01-01 | 2.1906677341388168 |
| 2012-02-01 | 2.1760366457206900 |
| 2012-03-01 | 2.2119677777722430 |
| 2012-04-01 | 2.1398853260288635 |
| 2012-05-01 | 2.0679962555178637 |
| 2012-06-01 | 2.1046968615769570 |
| 2012-07-01 | 2.1364487933547100 |
| 2012-08-01 | 2.2105523771825930 |
| 2012-09-01 | 2.1456880969757530 |
| 2012-10-01 | 2.1373233025827300 |
| 2012-11-01 | 2.0982530691604566 |
| 2012-12-01 | 2.1670442991654970 |
| 2013-01-01 | 2.1096649605653900 |
| 2013-02-01 | 2.1582382217299365 |
| 2013-03-01 | 2.1312239288134040 |
| 2013-04-01 | 2.1596145179027237 |
| 2013-05-01 | 2.1653857942923100 |
| 2013-06-01 | 2.1302862603215280 |
| 2013-07-01 | 2.1374989023281370 |
| 2013-08-01 | 2.1207603537320000 |
| 2013-09-01 | 2.1075031338068566 |
| 2013-10-01 | 2.1342787197233470 |
| 2013-11-01 | 2.1085985997252070 |
| 2013-12-01 | 2.0970126265291300 |
| 2014-01-01 | 2.1823390084694134 |
| 2014-02-01 | 2.1746685237806966 |
| 2014-03-01 | 2.1836283023272203 |
| 2014-04-01 | 2.1028922399877468 |
| 2014-05-01 | 2.1450030047592130 |
| 2014-06-01 | 2.1801348438380264 |
| 2014-07-01 | 2.2084693286327663 |
| 2014-08-01 | 2.2262055886873300 |
| 2014-09-01 | 2.2793605820902770 |
| 2014-10-01 | 2.3102881194317000 |
| 2014-11-01 | 2.3057412867497800 |
| 2014-12-01 | 2.2640167011669330 |
| 2015-01-01 | 2.2367020908222360 |
| 2015-02-01 | 2.2142479575587800 |
| 2015-03-01 | 2.2799168457749097 |
| 2015-04-01 | 2.3628927029934830 |
| 2015-05-01 | 2.3846362987749600 |
| 2015-06-01 | 2.3488137280242200 |
| 2015-07-01 | 2.3355509610308560 |
| 2015-08-01 | 2.2961819604411400 |
| 2015-09-01 | 2.3071132074161467 |
| 2015-10-01 | 2.3263664554548040 |
| 2015-11-01 | 2.3711979401060630 |
| 2015-12-01 | 2.3860702798001430 |
| 2016-01-01 | 2.3044908174080100 |
| 2016-02-01 | 2.2578403631471330 |
| 2016-03-01 | 2.1772045707090500 |
| 2016-04-01 | 2.1807301085276065 |
| 2016-05-01 | 2.1485693591797600 |
| 2016-06-01 | 2.2212738536792000 |
| 2016-07-01 | 2.2005178791443030 |
| 2016-08-01 | 2.2443285985558670 |
| 2016-09-01 | 2.3370003334055930 |
| 2016-10-01 | 2.3418231153510165 |
| 2016-11-01 | 2.3497508366810200 |
| 2016-12-01 | 2.2492628591834665 |
| 2017-01-01 | 2.1890420523121430 |
| 2017-02-01 | 2.1987775120454365 |
| 2017-03-01 | 2.2037174770722100 |
| 2017-04-01 | 2.2617265934121837 |
| 2017-05-01 | 2.2999506446503600 |
| 2017-06-01 | 2.2671988565875933 |
| 2017-07-01 | 2.2474722916138170 |
| 2017-08-01 | 2.1586323513130834 |
| 2017-09-01 | 2.2877223984282837 |
| 2017-10-01 | 2.3016583092591570 |
| 2017-11-01 | 2.3205929753801000 |
| 2017-12-01 | 2.1150011046404730 |
| 2018-01-01 | 2.0929806832699400 |
| 2018-02-01 | 2.1079299917182337 |
| 2018-03-01 | 2.1350529646636867 |
| 2018-04-01 | 2.1229678179328900 |
| 2018-05-01 | 2.0905709697740330 |
| 2018-06-01 | 2.1671071994902600 |
| 2018-07-01 | 2.1813130557956030 |
| 2018-08-01 | 2.2718881238409870 |
| 2018-09-01 | 2.1908484259977440 |
| 2018-10-01 | 2.1655149885139900 |
| 2018-11-01 | 2.0727057638770265 |
| 2018-12-01 | 2.1176774770327800 |
| 2019-01-01 | 2.1549094787800600 |
| 2019-02-01 | 2.2085114757045800 |
| 2019-03-01 | 2.2131047701170967 |
| 2019-04-01 | 2.1661758848239770 |
| 2019-05-01 | 2.2127942292232100 |
| 2019-06-01 | 2.1494422489704696 |
| 2019-07-01 | 2.2355652866043700 |
| 2019-08-01 | 2.2024378789727300 |
| 2019-09-01 | 2.2276219951911240 |
| 2019-10-01 | 2.1938732497718134 |
| 2019-11-01 | 2.1425027584342837 |
| 2019-12-01 | 2.1893641743236700 |
| 2020-01-01 | 2.2336209516984000 |
| 2020-02-01 | 2.2089716754982534 |
| 2020-03-01 | 2.1541740850346467 |
| 2020-04-01 | 2.0158918549218003 |
| 2020-05-01 | 1.9370296323507400 |
| 2020-06-01 | 1.8352805879952600 |
| 2020-07-01 | 1.8058757515744800 |
| 2020-08-01 | 1.8727887988636231 |
| 2020-09-01 | 1.9249908972785263 |
| 2020-10-01 | 2.1218575071448070 |
| 2020-11-01 | 2.1911589572512864 |
| 2020-12-01 | 2.2496954920876170 |
| 2021-01-01 | 2.1062164237592230 |
| 2021-02-01 | 2.0673752547329730 |
| 2021-03-01 | 2.1040106444424200 |
| 2021-04-01 | 2.2407533726743565 |
| 2021-05-01 | 2.2403257738951000 |
| 2021-06-01 | 2.2355754624776467 |
| 2021-07-01 | 2.2570093395185570 |
| 2021-08-01 | 2.2472598719642267 |
| 2021-09-01 | 2.3607192564646238 |
| 2021-10-01 | 2.3014562651190440 |
| 2021-11-01 | 2.3626950681494800 |
| 2021-12-01 | 2.2890475159357133 |
| 2022-01-01 | 2.3598068412578240 |
| 2022-02-01 | 2.3724984597523600 |
| 2022-03-01 | 2.3766022117920100 |
| 2022-04-01 | 2.3963481093583870 |
| 2022-05-01 | 2.4429416128646400 |
| 2022-06-01 | 2.5085006437389130 |
| 2022-07-01 | 2.3751147871628840 |
| 2022-08-01 | 2.3534223903186400 |
| 2022-09-01 | 2.3023240902202930 |
| 2022-10-01 | 2.3836900110455100 |
| 2022-11-01 | 2.3598420353921834 |
| 2022-12-01 | 2.3480971467156766 |
| 2023-01-01 | 2.2957996774073800 |
| 2023-02-01 | 2.3271908978779066 |
| 2023-03-01 | 2.3190921705992835 |
| 2023-04-01 | 2.2398326765368437 |
| 2023-05-01 | 2.1435959841908168 |
| 2023-06-01 | 2.2063955999061300 |
| 2023-07-01 | 2.3317977124677967 |
| 2023-08-01 | 2.2899114562884333 |
| 2023-09-01 | 2.2135206194961365 |
| 2023-10-01 | 2.1096900421787000 |
| 2023-11-01 | 2.2209169494529330 |
| 2023-12-01 | 2.1534075826606864 |
| 2024-01-01 | 2.1883257953020600 |
| 2024-02-01 | 2.1310934374142265 |
| 2024-03-01 | 2.1024440055390430 |
| 2024-04-01 | 2.1100961985733835 |
| 2024-05-01 | 2.1593766402604000 |
| 2024-06-01 | 2.2251502366858900 |
| 2024-07-01 | 2.1840448503140800 |
| 2024-08-01 | 2.2126530408138367 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.2062396725304270 |
| 2024-10-01 | 2.2956240708874365 |
| 2024-11-01 | 2.1770424373592600 |
| 2024-12-01 | 2.1650692733948100 |
| 2025-01-01 | 2.0698404025728230 |
| 2025-02-01 | 2.1013209383968734 |
| 2025-03-01 | 2.1716157086718963 |
| 2025-04-01 | 2.1789166698448000 |
| 2025-05-01 | 2.2719288246314200 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2.1780077260216130 |
| 2025-07-01 | 2.1928157516476700 |
| 2025-08-01 | 2.1084147333624066 |
| 2025-09-01 | 2.1185930941560733 |
| 2025-10-01 | 2.1361625010152970 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2.1376088628695230 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2.2275732699732766 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2.2961231646093667 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2.3015091484034933 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2.2773153510475570 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2.3017735140350400 |
| 2026-05-01 | 2.3326762576007565 |