Table Data - 3-Month Moving Average of Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions
| Title | 3-Month Moving Average of Average Probability of U.S. Workers Making Employer to Employer Transitions |
|---|---|
| Series ID | FMPSA3MA |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Release | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay Employer-to-Employer Transition Probability |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Percent |
| Date Range | 1995-12-01 to 2026-04-01 |
| Last Updated | 2026-05-15 1:00 PM CDT |
| Notes | Fujita, Moscarini, and Postel-Vinay (FMP) Employer-to-Employer (E2E) Transition Probability tracks the rate at which U.S. workers transition from one employer to another in a given month. Expressed as the share (percentage) of movers among all employed workers in the previous month, E2E Transition Probability provides a timely gauge of the pace of worker reallocation in the U.S. labor market. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1995-12-01 | 2.8679820365289570 |
| 1996-01-01 | 2.8471699304954000 |
| 1996-02-01 | 2.7761413251261300 |
| 1996-03-01 | 2.8184402975414830 |
| 1996-04-01 | 2.8338902290398930 |
| 1996-05-01 | 2.8951739884637700 |
| 1996-06-01 | 2.9068262187859000 |
| 1996-07-01 | 2.8588867018679100 |
| 1996-08-01 | 2.8162669355382297 |
| 1996-09-01 | 2.7883317848779270 |
| 1996-10-01 | 2.7403684571245530 |
| 1996-11-01 | 2.7226398290709666 |
| 1996-12-01 | 2.6638157207836930 |
| 1997-01-01 | 2.7988822816059136 |
| 1997-02-01 | 2.7625300201934500 |
| 1997-03-01 | 2.8489539872331133 |
| 1997-04-01 | 2.7632856225804097 |
| 1997-05-01 | 2.7941440938323137 |
| 1997-06-01 | 2.7575019709106003 |
| 1997-07-01 | 2.7542711471900600 |
| 1997-08-01 | 2.7695378069751200 |
| 1997-09-01 | 2.8030024978302737 |
| 1997-10-01 | 2.9081255538816870 |
| 1997-11-01 | 2.8660570900364200 |
| 1997-12-01 | 2.9128145132048030 |
| 1998-01-01 | 2.8124753487592837 |
| 1998-02-01 | 2.8115714705236035 |
| 1998-03-01 | 2.7281101131283970 |
| 1998-04-01 | 2.9199817639697137 |
| 1998-05-01 | 2.8781030711672800 |
| 1998-06-01 | 2.8728197536261900 |
| 1998-07-01 | 2.7501939496745400 |
| 1998-08-01 | 2.7721125312565230 |
| 1998-09-01 | 2.7437964507382966 |
| 1998-10-01 | 2.7288332936717064 |
| 1998-11-01 | 2.6679753502059302 |
| 1998-12-01 | 2.7513625199485467 |
| 1999-01-01 | 2.6716754879686038 |
| 1999-02-01 | 2.7148455083447700 |
| 1999-03-01 | 2.6375445031947330 |
| 1999-04-01 | 2.8359715197406430 |
| 1999-05-01 | 2.8242948321208700 |
| 1999-06-01 | 2.8143445898286865 |
| 1999-07-01 | 2.6784610630337000 |
| 1999-08-01 | 2.6825913418538034 |
| 1999-09-01 | 2.8530407572318530 |
| 1999-10-01 | 2.8010925174619100 |
| 1999-11-01 | 2.8294074845579400 |
| 1999-12-01 | 2.8797131366375770 |
| 2000-01-01 | 2.9410225192092840 |
| 2000-02-01 | 2.9577023007752503 |
| 2000-03-01 | 2.8755542365407933 |
| 2000-04-01 | 2.8996489051929930 |
| 2000-05-01 | 2.9623494885857040 |
| 2000-06-01 | 2.9665324777371300 |
| 2000-07-01 | 2.8886829199299497 |
| 2000-08-01 | 2.7989447301902800 |
| 2000-09-01 | 2.7775970100902200 |
| 2000-10-01 | 2.8041947432595100 |
| 2000-11-01 | 2.8653548513166065 |
| 2000-12-01 | 2.7262140469198366 |
| 2001-01-01 | 2.7517816009942700 |
| 2001-02-01 | 2.7988923851129064 |
| 2001-03-01 | 2.8303344850439700 |
| 2001-04-01 | 2.7833198185033297 |
| 2001-05-01 | 2.5855340115884733 |
| 2001-06-01 | 2.6035054595521800 |
| 2001-07-01 | 2.5798072073578000 |
| 2001-08-01 | 2.7521273601896530 |
| 2001-09-01 | 2.6808203047539200 |
| 2001-10-01 | 2.6208274620123370 |
| 2001-11-01 | 2.5153062011051235 |
| 2001-12-01 | 2.5038424327387068 |
| 2002-01-01 | 2.4736228706096830 |
| 2002-02-01 | 2.4711116978893000 |
| 2002-03-01 | 2.4643986809354270 |
| 2002-04-01 | 2.4775175288216134 |
| 2002-05-01 | 2.5134088380535460 |
| 2002-06-01 | 2.5205827357060000 |
| 2002-07-01 | 2.5325391870907170 |
| 2002-08-01 | 2.4607725006955734 |
| 2002-09-01 | 2.4166901685292133 |
| 2002-10-01 | 2.4193781528321800 |
| 2002-11-01 | 2.4132218517199570 |
| 2002-12-01 | 2.3639767750630267 |
| 2003-01-01 | 2.3709304791489267 |
| 2003-02-01 | 2.2742424484391570 |
| 2003-03-01 | 2.3119900955225400 |
| 2003-04-01 | 2.2280453974916500 |
| 2003-05-01 | 2.3196955403158834 |
| 2003-06-01 | 2.2857264786314900 |
| 2003-07-01 | 2.2795784698882770 |
| 2003-08-01 | 2.2276879265053670 |
| 2003-09-01 | 2.2512315284075965 |
| 2003-10-01 | 2.2810825671084400 |
| 2003-11-01 | 2.2053472407691330 |
| 2003-12-01 | 2.2304328685250203 |
| 2004-01-01 | 2.2435335827188100 |
| 2004-02-01 | 2.2825381916377867 |
| 2004-03-01 | 2.2594565348296767 |
| 2004-04-01 | 2.3776629828526270 |
| 2004-05-01 | 2.4118919352956270 |
| 2004-06-01 | 2.3939025373683838 |
| 2004-07-01 | 2.3128930744340100 |
| 2004-08-01 | 2.3063200711121667 |
| 2004-09-01 | 2.3582740686243200 |
| 2004-10-01 | 2.3855426620014570 |
| 2004-11-01 | 2.3960881492816792 |
| 2004-12-01 | 2.4469543970830400 |
| 2005-01-01 | 2.4246790967832300 |
| 2005-02-01 | 2.4893452309631600 |
| 2005-03-01 | 2.4539841285520567 |
| 2005-04-01 | 2.4927912796086065 |
| 2005-05-01 | 2.4000543941687966 |
| 2005-06-01 | 2.4408869846473240 |
| 2005-07-01 | 2.2988176487200870 |
| 2005-08-01 | 2.3516464787471630 |
| 2005-09-01 | 2.3392343524013100 |
| 2005-10-01 | 2.4320220639946730 |
| 2005-11-01 | 2.4840505431687130 |
| 2005-12-01 | 2.4469970939225430 |
| 2006-01-01 | 2.4326687787587230 |
| 2006-02-01 | 2.4113009127371400 |
| 2006-03-01 | 2.4204925646237800 |
| 2006-04-01 | 2.3947254695323936 |
| 2006-05-01 | 2.3283527800015595 |
| 2006-06-01 | 2.3771129870133034 |
| 2006-07-01 | 2.3991861731870570 |
| 2006-08-01 | 2.4288976496650140 |
| 2006-09-01 | 2.3769747573862340 |
| 2006-10-01 | 2.3321207650430870 |
| 2006-11-01 | 2.3318059692691670 |
| 2006-12-01 | 2.3725598765036930 |
| 2007-01-01 | 2.4061956908360200 |
| 2007-02-01 | 2.3665722853159767 |
| 2007-03-01 | 2.3955921326598903 |
| 2007-04-01 | 2.4424061061537170 |
| 2007-05-01 | 2.5109044414900400 |
| 2007-06-01 | 2.4291787250052370 |
| 2007-07-01 | 2.4359865145556103 |
| 2007-08-01 | 2.4245837498303800 |
| 2007-09-01 | 2.4362320189598234 |
| 2007-10-01 | 2.3906873076121897 |
| 2007-11-01 | 2.4282854633735167 |
| 2007-12-01 | 2.3804231263970260 |
| 2008-01-01 | 2.4156881123357463 |
| 2008-02-01 | 2.3930915531373333 |
| 2008-03-01 | 2.4436176049445370 |
| 2008-04-01 | 2.4084553931019800 |
| 2008-05-01 | 2.4342214616523767 |
| 2008-06-01 | 2.4047882505168467 |
| 2008-07-01 | 2.4117307382919800 |
| 2008-08-01 | 2.4486721937766034 |
| 2008-09-01 | 2.4311965182920834 |
| 2008-10-01 | 2.4896988211965567 |
| 2008-11-01 | 2.3340243716210267 |
| 2008-12-01 | 2.3523849376755037 |
| 2009-01-01 | 2.2575068877479603 |
| 2009-02-01 | 2.3111915581219300 |
| 2009-03-01 | 2.2510170255258632 |
| 2009-04-01 | 2.2440980418538630 |
| 2009-05-01 | 2.2542156610086730 |
| 2009-06-01 | 2.2739327036137267 |
| 2009-07-01 | 2.2349987587657670 |
| 2009-08-01 | 2.1447102889871905 |
| 2009-09-01 | 2.1211858631173770 |
| 2009-10-01 | 2.1621446502775930 |
| 2009-11-01 | 2.1542107784718967 |
| 2009-12-01 | 2.1626120365552666 |
| 2010-01-01 | 2.1391386393599467 |
| 2010-02-01 | 2.1443812655164530 |
| 2010-03-01 | 2.1470729942490303 |
| 2010-04-01 | 2.1795331768257737 |
| 2010-05-01 | 2.1919020763256700 |
| 2010-06-01 | 2.1294011574743200 |
| 2010-07-01 | 2.1249589072960537 |
| 2010-08-01 | 2.1324905453729466 |
| 2010-09-01 | 2.2125602706838430 |
| 2010-10-01 | 2.1361154147137300 |
| 2010-11-01 | 2.1159812520804566 |
| 2010-12-01 | 2.1119562948785200 |
| 2011-01-01 | 2.1119019217280700 |
| 2011-02-01 | 2.0548256258617834 |
| 2011-03-01 | 2.0320772795152804 |
| 2011-04-01 | 2.1060812436691600 |
| 2011-05-01 | 2.1483684600207160 |
| 2011-06-01 | 2.1765064031338830 |
| 2011-07-01 | 2.1216435342159365 |
| 2011-08-01 | 2.1237998038818600 |
| 2011-09-01 | 2.1320977504677967 |
| 2011-10-01 | 2.1456895839903467 |
| 2011-11-01 | 2.2104584233449530 |
| 2011-12-01 | 2.1458156531776130 |
| 2012-01-01 | 2.1895094760822670 |
| 2012-02-01 | 2.1749000052308800 |
| 2012-03-01 | 2.2108056360896864 |
| 2012-04-01 | 2.1387262404400070 |
| 2012-05-01 | 2.0669657072745835 |
| 2012-06-01 | 2.1038689574604130 |
| 2012-07-01 | 2.1357017249731896 |
| 2012-08-01 | 2.2098175907473400 |
| 2012-09-01 | 2.1448842798464800 |
| 2012-10-01 | 2.1365843107834170 |
| 2012-11-01 | 2.0975450906809270 |
| 2012-12-01 | 2.1664768447838400 |
| 2013-01-01 | 2.1090126739371040 |
| 2013-02-01 | 2.1576083263732130 |
| 2013-03-01 | 2.1306323458454830 |
| 2013-04-01 | 2.1591072107759497 |
| 2013-05-01 | 2.1648876367826637 |
| 2013-06-01 | 2.1298094148874270 |
| 2013-07-01 | 2.1370222851588600 |
| 2013-08-01 | 2.1202259576970470 |
| 2013-09-01 | 2.1069355091852870 |
| 2013-10-01 | 2.1337900620645640 |
| 2013-11-01 | 2.1082755241366167 |
| 2013-12-01 | 2.0966133788193635 |
| 2014-01-01 | 2.1819571615869600 |
| 2014-02-01 | 2.1741985156953830 |
| 2014-03-01 | 2.1832405528771770 |
| 2014-04-01 | 2.1025424736378766 |
| 2014-05-01 | 2.1447374158388035 |
| 2014-06-01 | 2.1800158279707604 |
| 2014-07-01 | 2.2083328097421030 |
| 2014-08-01 | 2.2261956120564530 |
| 2014-09-01 | 2.2793010821048605 |
| 2014-10-01 | 2.3103227857262403 |
| 2014-11-01 | 2.3057178147996670 |
| 2014-12-01 | 2.2640132241056000 |
| 2015-01-01 | 2.2366945286543300 |
| 2015-02-01 | 2.2143394925709137 |
| 2015-03-01 | 2.2800999578128662 |
| 2015-04-01 | 2.3632250222483497 |
| 2015-05-01 | 2.3849482231224130 |
| 2015-06-01 | 2.3487379095221270 |
| 2015-07-01 | 2.3353615330326734 |
| 2015-08-01 | 2.2960445446634568 |
| 2015-09-01 | 2.3073250293456438 |
| 2015-10-01 | 2.3267760284796970 |
| 2015-11-01 | 2.3714935722246300 |
| 2015-12-01 | 2.3864369952261497 |
| 2016-01-01 | 2.3047748577395564 |
| 2016-02-01 | 2.2582193772126566 |
| 2016-03-01 | 2.1775783657829004 |
| 2016-04-01 | 2.1811299973333966 |
| 2016-05-01 | 2.1490525386211834 |
| 2016-06-01 | 2.2219703338694634 |
| 2016-07-01 | 2.2012400748280770 |
| 2016-08-01 | 2.2450430814540300 |
| 2016-09-01 | 2.3376092932834296 |
| 2016-10-01 | 2.3424979347097667 |
| 2016-11-01 | 2.3504159118300840 |
| 2016-12-01 | 2.2500032676185540 |
| 2017-01-01 | 2.1897806463265970 |
| 2017-02-01 | 2.1996667146154130 |
| 2017-03-01 | 2.2045932453765660 |
| 2017-04-01 | 2.2626167806303040 |
| 2017-05-01 | 2.3006875106151665 |
| 2017-06-01 | 2.2680477822178300 |
| 2017-07-01 | 2.2483490818105330 |
| 2017-08-01 | 2.1597451137545200 |
| 2017-09-01 | 2.2887783776084600 |
| 2017-10-01 | 2.3028174665687200 |
| 2017-11-01 | 2.3217491961924630 |
| 2017-12-01 | 2.1162275125005365 |
| 2018-01-01 | 2.0941653844069600 |
| 2018-02-01 | 2.1090374959684370 |
| 2018-03-01 | 2.1361841254392164 |
| 2018-04-01 | 2.1241137210615930 |
| 2018-05-01 | 2.0917363563417566 |
| 2018-06-01 | 2.1682920074987733 |
| 2018-07-01 | 2.1825134535063730 |
| 2018-08-01 | 2.2732100076251700 |
| 2018-09-01 | 2.1921559839157565 |
| 2018-10-01 | 2.1668530425090435 |
| 2018-11-01 | 2.0739536085842234 |
| 2018-12-01 | 2.1189959504620237 |
| 2019-01-01 | 2.1563088546911637 |
| 2019-02-01 | 2.2101461650300400 |
| 2019-03-01 | 2.2147850734214030 |
| 2019-04-01 | 2.1678629861964405 |
| 2019-05-01 | 2.2141976486929966 |
| 2019-06-01 | 2.1508103942758330 |
| 2019-07-01 | 2.2369996704353534 |
| 2019-08-01 | 2.2041820443895930 |
| 2019-09-01 | 2.2294656895596700 |
| 2019-10-01 | 2.1957215086058066 |
| 2019-11-01 | 2.1443405000409530 |
| 2019-12-01 | 2.1911817166899032 |
| 2020-01-01 | 2.2354284821275634 |
| 2020-02-01 | 2.2107484231677070 |
| 2020-03-01 | 2.1559934184218634 |
| 2020-04-01 | 2.0180308845820902 |
| 2020-05-01 | 1.9394360823905263 |
| 2020-06-01 | 1.8374471652076567 |
| 2020-07-01 | 1.8077368635099730 |
| 2020-08-01 | 1.8744628928944167 |
| 2020-09-01 | 1.9270137183749103 |
| 2020-10-01 | 2.1238819672724536 |
| 2020-11-01 | 2.1930408697152400 |
| 2020-12-01 | 2.2514248672265860 |
| 2021-01-01 | 2.1080327917508640 |
| 2021-02-01 | 2.0694117842069060 |
| 2021-03-01 | 2.1062849161578530 |
| 2021-04-01 | 2.2439459853128603 |
| 2021-05-01 | 2.2435773261535400 |
| 2021-06-01 | 2.2385568319022700 |
| 2021-07-01 | 2.2592953930236030 |
| 2021-08-01 | 2.2496165974349367 |
| 2021-09-01 | 2.3635117728462800 |
| 2021-10-01 | 2.3040143571061800 |
| 2021-11-01 | 2.3648909565491367 |
| 2021-12-01 | 2.2909186397180368 |
| 2022-01-01 | 2.3615409955566267 |
| 2022-02-01 | 2.3743999932472060 |
| 2022-03-01 | 2.3789998652152367 |
| 2022-04-01 | 2.4002591188294530 |
| 2022-05-01 | 2.4487168484527264 |
| 2022-06-01 | 2.5135111133829500 |
| 2022-07-01 | 2.3788905536571936 |
| 2022-08-01 | 2.3554353524867198 |
| 2022-09-01 | 2.3045514147980266 |
| 2022-10-01 | 2.3854964349547630 |
| 2022-11-01 | 2.3612963916005536 |
| 2022-12-01 | 2.3495222653881136 |
| 2023-01-01 | 2.2975619810601700 |
| 2023-02-01 | 2.3295564496654100 |
| 2023-03-01 | 2.3229927339887704 |
| 2023-04-01 | 2.2454991976203305 |
| 2023-05-01 | 2.1511462980473235 |
| 2023-06-01 | 2.2122444002285000 |
| 2023-07-01 | 2.3360046709930330 |
| 2023-08-01 | 2.2920416915363700 |
| 2023-09-01 | 2.2157248844743800 |
| 2023-10-01 | 2.1113991455663300 |
| 2023-11-01 | 2.2220303484965470 |
| 2023-12-01 | 2.1544799170966504 |
| 2024-01-01 | 2.1898883214376900 |
| 2024-02-01 | 2.1335925407419130 |
| 2024-03-01 | 2.1072952887819640 |
| 2024-04-01 | 2.1178019138321400 |
| 2024-05-01 | 2.1698301157903870 |
| 2024-06-01 | 2.2331374118338534 |
| 2024-07-01 | 2.1891147613624500 |
| 2024-08-01 | 2.2144052006212367 |
| 2024-09-01 | 2.2080210768317770 |
| 2024-10-01 | 2.2966200596830766 |
| 2024-11-01 | 2.1774565837338200 |
| 2024-12-01 | 2.1652241486618300 |
| 2025-01-01 | 2.0707475380669500 |
| 2025-02-01 | 2.1034714335041533 |
| 2025-03-01 | 2.1774040351384730 |
| 2025-04-01 | 2.1882866329052466 |
| 2025-05-01 | 2.2872254059631936 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2.1897542277562840 |
| 2025-07-01 | 2.2006745481243400 |
| 2025-08-01 | 2.1093611210307897 |
| 2025-09-01 | 2.1193868924850070 |
| 2025-10-01 | 2.1362992760020000 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2.1372265788134370 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2.2272540119239170 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2.2965672169015736 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2.3034497082991363 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2.2833109882662240 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2.3124075306199930 |