Title: Leading Index for North Dakota Series ID: NDSLIND Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Release: State Leading Indexes Seasonal Adjustment: Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Percent Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2020-02-01 Last Updated: 2020-04-14 9:17 AM CDT Notes: The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. DATE VALUE 1982-01-01 -0.09 1982-02-01 0.65 1982-03-01 0.09 1982-04-01 -0.81 1982-05-01 -0.50 1982-06-01 0.29 1982-07-01 0.20 1982-08-01 -0.73 1982-09-01 -1.32 1982-10-01 -0.84 1982-11-01 0.52 1982-12-01 0.95 1983-01-01 1.23 1983-02-01 1.39 1983-03-01 2.19 1983-04-01 2.58 1983-05-01 2.76 1983-06-01 3.63 1983-07-01 3.89 1983-08-01 2.82 1983-09-01 2.42 1983-10-01 2.43 1983-11-01 1.99 1983-12-01 1.87 1984-01-01 1.71 1984-02-01 1.42 1984-03-01 1.32 1984-04-01 1.20 1984-05-01 0.22 1984-06-01 -0.42 1984-07-01 0.81 1984-08-01 1.13 1984-09-01 1.45 1984-10-01 1.20 1984-11-01 0.39 1984-12-01 0.47 1985-01-01 0.52 1985-02-01 0.90 1985-03-01 0.40 1985-04-01 0.92 1985-05-01 2.03 1985-06-01 1.83 1985-07-01 1.25 1985-08-01 0.43 1985-09-01 0.85 1985-10-01 1.43 1985-11-01 1.00 1985-12-01 1.19 1986-01-01 0.69 1986-02-01 0.28 1986-03-01 0.16 1986-04-01 0.94 1986-05-01 1.20 1986-06-01 1.81 1986-07-01 2.26 1986-08-01 2.49 1986-09-01 2.04 1986-10-01 2.17 1986-11-01 2.23 1986-12-01 2.77 1987-01-01 2.59 1987-02-01 2.48 1987-03-01 2.25 1987-04-01 2.25 1987-05-01 1.54 1987-06-01 1.86 1987-07-01 1.91 1987-08-01 1.69 1987-09-01 1.68 1987-10-01 1.46 1987-11-01 1.67 1987-12-01 1.42 1988-01-01 2.33 1988-02-01 1.97 1988-03-01 2.20 1988-04-01 1.72 1988-05-01 1.26 1988-06-01 1.90 1988-07-01 1.54 1988-08-01 1.48 1988-09-01 1.30 1988-10-01 2.22 1988-11-01 1.75 1988-12-01 2.07 1989-01-01 2.45 1989-02-01 1.96 1989-03-01 1.38 1989-04-01 1.84 1989-05-01 1.93 1989-06-01 1.42 1989-07-01 0.92 1989-08-01 0.91 1989-09-01 1.11 1989-10-01 1.92 1989-11-01 1.78 1989-12-01 2.16 1990-01-01 1.75 1990-02-01 1.02 1990-03-01 1.78 1990-04-01 1.65 1990-05-01 1.51 1990-06-01 1.22 1990-07-01 0.39 1990-08-01 1.54 1990-09-01 1.44 1990-10-01 1.51 1990-11-01 1.50 1990-12-01 1.34 1991-01-01 0.29 1991-02-01 -0.12 1991-03-01 -0.23 1991-04-01 0.17 1991-05-01 0.79 1991-06-01 1.46 1991-07-01 1.63 1991-08-01 1.41 1991-09-01 1.54 1991-10-01 1.40 1991-11-01 0.62 1991-12-01 -0.06 1992-01-01 0.17 1992-02-01 0.88 1992-03-01 0.71 1992-04-01 0.74 1992-05-01 1.31 1992-06-01 1.54 1992-07-01 1.56 1992-08-01 1.50 1992-09-01 1.56 1992-10-01 2.18 1992-11-01 1.96 1992-12-01 2.48 1993-01-01 2.96 1993-02-01 2.62 1993-03-01 1.79 1993-04-01 1.25 1993-05-01 2.24 1993-06-01 1.66 1993-07-01 1.56 1993-08-01 1.44 1993-09-01 2.41 1993-10-01 1.93 1993-11-01 2.03 1993-12-01 1.69 1994-01-01 2.25 1994-02-01 2.13 1994-03-01 2.58 1994-04-01 2.78 1994-05-01 2.94 1994-06-01 2.06 1994-07-01 2.37 1994-08-01 1.94 1994-09-01 1.68 1994-10-01 1.66 1994-11-01 2.49 1994-12-01 2.26 1995-01-01 1.46 1995-02-01 2.06 1995-03-01 2.53 1995-04-01 1.80 1995-05-01 1.85 1995-06-01 1.70 1995-07-01 1.44 1995-08-01 1.19 1995-09-01 1.12 1995-10-01 1.86 1995-11-01 1.73 1995-12-01 1.31 1996-01-01 1.30 1996-02-01 2.18 1996-03-01 1.76 1996-04-01 1.27 1996-05-01 2.05 1996-06-01 2.19 1996-07-01 1.49 1996-08-01 2.03 1996-09-01 1.43 1996-10-01 1.35 1996-11-01 1.12 1996-12-01 1.17 1997-01-01 1.30 1997-02-01 1.51 1997-03-01 0.65 1997-04-01 0.73 1997-05-01 1.44 1997-06-01 1.90 1997-07-01 2.37 1997-08-01 2.61 1997-09-01 2.63 1997-10-01 2.58 1997-11-01 1.87 1997-12-01 1.53 1998-01-01 1.38 1998-02-01 0.48 1998-03-01 0.75 1998-04-01 0.09 1998-05-01 0.72 1998-06-01 0.11 1998-07-01 0.37 1998-08-01 0.01 1998-09-01 0.35 1998-10-01 0.41 1998-11-01 0.40 1998-12-01 0.72 1999-01-01 0.65 1999-02-01 0.77 1999-03-01 0.97 1999-04-01 2.24 1999-05-01 1.80 1999-06-01 1.45 1999-07-01 1.32 1999-08-01 1.52 1999-09-01 1.70 1999-10-01 2.10 1999-11-01 2.10 1999-12-01 2.21 2000-01-01 1.40 2000-02-01 1.74 2000-03-01 1.84 2000-04-01 2.28 2000-05-01 1.73 2000-06-01 1.04 2000-07-01 1.80 2000-08-01 0.73 2000-09-01 0.73 2000-10-01 0.98 2000-11-01 1.96 2000-12-01 1.92 2001-01-01 2.05 2001-02-01 1.57 2001-03-01 0.96 2001-04-01 0.53 2001-05-01 0.71 2001-06-01 1.00 2001-07-01 0.20 2001-08-01 0.47 2001-09-01 0.45 2001-10-01 0.24 2001-11-01 -0.08 2001-12-01 -0.30 2002-01-01 -0.54 2002-02-01 -0.17 2002-03-01 -0.05 2002-04-01 1.14 2002-05-01 0.90 2002-06-01 1.46 2002-07-01 1.41 2002-08-01 1.58 2002-09-01 1.74 2002-10-01 1.39 2002-11-01 1.12 2002-12-01 1.33 2003-01-01 1.17 2003-02-01 0.55 2003-03-01 1.51 2003-04-01 1.59 2003-05-01 1.50 2003-06-01 1.26 2003-07-01 1.86 2003-08-01 2.04 2003-09-01 2.13 2003-10-01 1.63 2003-11-01 1.43 2003-12-01 2.25 2004-01-01 1.98 2004-02-01 2.45 2004-03-01 2.11 2004-04-01 1.68 2004-05-01 1.55 2004-06-01 1.47 2004-07-01 1.69 2004-08-01 1.64 2004-09-01 1.44 2004-10-01 1.54 2004-11-01 1.51 2004-12-01 1.35 2005-01-01 1.32 2005-02-01 1.62 2005-03-01 1.45 2005-04-01 1.55 2005-05-01 1.28 2005-06-01 1.48 2005-07-01 1.54 2005-08-01 1.50 2005-09-01 1.85 2005-10-01 2.32 2005-11-01 1.80 2005-12-01 1.26 2006-01-01 2.09 2006-02-01 1.99 2006-03-01 1.63 2006-04-01 1.47 2006-05-01 1.29 2006-06-01 1.29 2006-07-01 1.04 2006-08-01 1.38 2006-09-01 0.69 2006-10-01 1.61 2006-11-01 1.86 2006-12-01 1.92 2007-01-01 1.34 2007-02-01 1.72 2007-03-01 1.71 2007-04-01 1.05 2007-05-01 1.02 2007-06-01 0.86 2007-07-01 1.21 2007-08-01 1.21 2007-09-01 1.33 2007-10-01 1.38 2007-11-01 1.55 2007-12-01 2.05 2008-01-01 1.90 2008-02-01 1.27 2008-03-01 1.94 2008-04-01 0.74 2008-05-01 0.91 2008-06-01 0.62 2008-07-01 0.61 2008-08-01 0.73 2008-09-01 0.48 2008-10-01 0.00 2008-11-01 -0.08 2008-12-01 -0.62 2009-01-01 -1.06 2009-02-01 -0.98 2009-03-01 -0.37 2009-04-01 0.11 2009-05-01 1.79 2009-06-01 2.38 2009-07-01 2.58 2009-08-01 1.58 2009-09-01 2.13 2009-10-01 1.76 2009-11-01 1.32 2009-12-01 1.25 2010-01-01 1.33 2010-02-01 1.60 2010-03-01 2.84 2010-04-01 2.61 2010-05-01 2.47 2010-06-01 1.53 2010-07-01 2.39 2010-08-01 1.92 2010-09-01 1.41 2010-10-01 1.66 2010-11-01 2.64 2010-12-01 2.07 2011-01-01 2.07 2011-02-01 1.95 2011-03-01 1.94 2011-04-01 1.64 2011-05-01 1.62 2011-06-01 1.56 2011-07-01 1.73 2011-08-01 1.99 2011-09-01 2.09 2011-10-01 2.50 2011-11-01 2.26 2011-12-01 2.46 2012-01-01 3.18 2012-02-01 2.83 2012-03-01 2.82 2012-04-01 1.91 2012-05-01 1.52 2012-06-01 1.71 2012-07-01 1.43 2012-08-01 0.72 2012-09-01 1.15 2012-10-01 1.49 2012-11-01 1.26 2012-12-01 1.58 2013-01-01 1.53 2013-02-01 1.55 2013-03-01 2.14 2013-04-01 1.57 2013-05-01 1.55 2013-06-01 2.13 2013-07-01 1.89 2013-08-01 2.06 2013-09-01 1.75 2013-10-01 1.39 2013-11-01 1.48 2013-12-01 1.08 2014-01-01 2.22 2014-02-01 2.13 2014-03-01 1.71 2014-04-01 2.02 2014-05-01 1.80 2014-06-01 1.63 2014-07-01 0.99 2014-08-01 1.14 2014-09-01 1.36 2014-10-01 1.79 2014-11-01 1.59 2014-12-01 2.26 2015-01-01 1.75 2015-02-01 0.40 2015-03-01 0.39 2015-04-01 -0.05 2015-05-01 0.69 2015-06-01 0.79 2015-07-01 0.95 2015-08-01 1.14 2015-09-01 0.99 2015-10-01 0.25 2015-11-01 0.50 2015-12-01 0.25 2016-01-01 -0.17 2016-02-01 -0.21 2016-03-01 -0.04 2016-04-01 0.83 2016-05-01 1.97 2016-06-01 1.79 2016-07-01 2.34 2016-08-01 2.43 2016-09-01 1.60 2016-10-01 1.70 2016-11-01 1.40 2016-12-01 0.96 2017-01-01 1.78 2017-02-01 2.56 2017-03-01 2.12 2017-04-01 2.23 2017-05-01 1.52 2017-06-01 1.33 2017-07-01 1.17 2017-08-01 1.31 2017-09-01 0.88 2017-10-01 0.88 2017-11-01 1.12 2017-12-01 1.43 2018-01-01 1.58 2018-02-01 1.63 2018-03-01 1.57 2018-04-01 1.99 2018-05-01 1.95 2018-06-01 1.87 2018-07-01 1.38 2018-08-01 1.26 2018-09-01 1.99 2018-10-01 1.79 2018-11-01 2.11 2018-12-01 1.66 2019-01-01 2.04 2019-02-01 1.51 2019-03-01 1.21 2019-04-01 1.36 2019-05-01 0.57 2019-06-01 0.82 2019-07-01 1.14 2019-08-01 1.56 2019-09-01 1.18 2019-10-01 0.89 2019-11-01 1.02 2019-12-01 1.14 2020-01-01 2.12 2020-02-01 3.05