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Table Data - Noncyclical Rate of Unemployment

NOTE: To improve accessibility of data for all users, this file was converted from a text format to an html table.

Title Noncyclical Rate of Unemployment
Series ID NROU
Source U.S. Congressional Budget Office
Release Budget and Economic Outlook
Seasonal Adjustment Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Quarterly
Units Percent
Date Range 1949-01-01 to 2034-10-01
Last Updated 2024-07-01 12:01 PM CDT
Notes Starting with the July, 2021 report: An Update to the Budget and Economic Outlook: 2021 to 2031, this series was renamed from "Natural Rate of Unemployment (Long-Term)" to "Noncyclical Rate of Unemployment".

The natural rate of unemployment (NAIRU) is the rate of unemployment arising from all sources except fluctuations in aggregate demand. Estimates of potential GDP are based on the long-term natural rate. (CBO did not make explicit adjustments to the short-term natural rate for structural factors before the recent downturn.) The short-term natural rate incorporates structural factors that are temporarily boosting the natural rate beginning in 2008. The short-term natural rate is used to gauge the amount of current and projected slack in labor markets, which is a key input into CBO's projections of inflation.
DATE VALUE
1949-01-01 5.2550525665283200
1949-04-01 5.2615156173706055
1949-07-01 5.2680130000000000
1949-10-01 5.2745640000000000
1950-01-01 5.2811820000000000
1950-04-01 5.2878660000000000
1950-07-01 5.2946040000000000
1950-10-01 5.3013670000000000
1951-01-01 5.3081130000000000
1951-04-01 5.3147890000000000
1951-07-01 5.3213334083557130
1951-10-01 5.3276824951171875
1952-01-01 5.3337740000000000
1952-04-01 5.3395550000000010
1952-07-01 5.3449854850769030
1952-10-01 5.3500404357910165
1953-01-01 5.3547129999999990
1953-04-01 5.3590116500854490
1953-07-01 5.3629580000000000
1953-10-01 5.3665823936462400
1954-01-01 5.3699220000000000
1954-04-01 5.3730144500732410
1954-07-01 5.3759020000000000
1954-10-01 5.3786239999999990
1955-01-01 5.3812200000000000
1955-04-01 5.3837250000000000
1955-07-01 5.3861710000000000
1955-10-01 5.3885860000000000
1956-01-01 5.3909964561462400
1956-04-01 5.3934300000000000
1956-07-01 5.3959170000000000
1956-10-01 5.3984930000000000
1957-01-01 5.4011983871459960
1957-04-01 5.4040803909301760
1957-07-01 5.4071846008300780
1957-10-01 5.4105580000000000
1958-01-01 5.4142403602600100
1958-04-01 5.4182660000000000
1958-07-01 5.4226584434509280
1958-10-01 5.4274290000000000
1959-01-01 5.4325766563415530
1959-04-01 5.4380855560302730
1959-07-01 5.4439270000000000
1959-10-01 5.4500640000000000
1960-01-01 5.4564523696899410
1960-04-01 5.4630510000000000
1960-07-01 5.4698295593261720
1960-10-01 5.4767700000000000
1961-01-01 5.4838750000000000
1961-04-01 5.4911650000000005
1961-07-01 5.4986753463745120
1961-10-01 5.5064554214477540
1962-01-01 5.5145589999999990
1962-04-01 5.5230420000000000
1962-07-01 5.5319504737854000
1962-10-01 5.5413239999999995
1963-01-01 5.5511880000000000
1963-04-01 5.5615520000000000
1963-07-01 5.5724110000000000
1963-10-01 5.5837473869323730
1964-01-01 5.5955276489257810
1964-04-01 5.6077059999999990
1964-07-01 5.6202225685119630
1964-10-01 5.6330070000000000
1965-01-01 5.6459769999999990
1965-04-01 5.6590440000000010
1965-07-01 5.6721160000000000
1965-10-01 5.6851050000000000
1966-01-01 5.6979300000000000
1966-04-01 5.7105290000000000
1966-07-01 5.7228610000000000
1966-10-01 5.7349150000000000
1967-01-01 5.7467040000000000
1967-04-01 5.7582700000000000
1967-07-01 5.7696720000000000
1967-10-01 5.7809839999999990
1968-01-01 5.7922860000000000
1968-04-01 5.8036584854125980
1968-07-01 5.8151755332946780
1968-10-01 5.8269050000000000
1969-01-01 5.8389010000000000
1969-04-01 5.8512096405029300
1969-07-01 5.8638640000000000
1969-10-01 5.8768880000000000
1970-01-01 5.8902983665466310
1970-04-01 5.9041000000000000
1970-07-01 5.9182920000000000
1970-10-01 5.9328610000000000
1971-01-01 5.9477820000000000
1971-04-01 5.9630160000000005
1971-07-01 5.9785056114196780
1971-10-01 5.9941770000000000
1972-01-01 6.0099400000000000
1972-04-01 6.0256905555725100
1972-07-01 6.0413169999999990
1972-10-01 6.0567060000000000
1973-01-01 6.0717453956604000
1973-04-01 6.0863350000000000
1973-07-01 6.1003866195678710
1973-10-01 6.1138305664062500
1974-01-01 6.1266164779663090
1974-04-01 6.1387150000000000
1974-07-01 6.1501145362854000
1974-10-01 6.1608195304870605
1975-01-01 6.1708440000000010
1975-04-01 6.1802090000000000
1975-07-01 6.1889340000000000
1975-10-01 6.1970324516296390
1976-01-01 6.2045090000000000
1976-04-01 6.2113580000000010
1976-07-01 6.2175630000000000
1976-10-01 6.2230989999999995
1977-01-01 6.2279310000000000
1977-04-01 6.2320165634155270
1977-07-01 6.2353090000000000
1977-10-01 6.2377570000000000
1978-01-01 6.2393110000000000
1978-04-01 6.2399270000000000
1978-07-01 6.2395744323730470
1978-10-01 6.2382345199584960
1979-01-01 6.2359094619750980
1979-04-01 6.2326169999999990
1979-07-01 6.2283935546875000
1979-10-01 6.2232900000000000
1980-01-01 6.2173705101013180
1980-04-01 6.2107090000000000
1980-07-01 6.2033879999999995
1980-10-01 6.1954956054687500
1981-01-01 6.1871230000000010
1981-04-01 6.1783614158630370
1981-07-01 6.1693024635314940
1981-10-01 6.1600310000000000
1982-01-01 6.1506270000000000
1982-04-01 6.1411595344543460
1982-07-01 6.1316870000000000
1982-10-01 6.1222540000000000
1983-01-01 6.1128890000000000
1983-04-01 6.1036060000000000
1983-07-01 6.0944004058837890
1983-10-01 6.0852540000000000
1984-01-01 6.0761310000000000
1984-04-01 6.0669820000000000
1984-07-01 6.0577610000000000
1984-10-01 6.0484213829040530
1985-01-01 6.0389029999999995
1985-04-01 6.0291395187377930
1985-07-01 6.0190570000000000
1985-10-01 6.0085780000000000
1986-01-01 5.9976220000000000
1986-04-01 5.9861100000000000
1986-07-01 5.9739675521850580
1986-10-01 5.9611253738403320
1987-01-01 5.9475255012512210
1987-04-01 5.9331254959106445
1987-07-01 5.9179015159606930
1987-10-01 5.9018550000000000
1988-01-01 5.8850150000000000
1988-04-01 5.8674400000000000
1988-07-01 5.8492169999999994
1988-10-01 5.8304524421691895
1989-01-01 5.8112673759460450
1989-04-01 5.7917870000000000
1989-07-01 5.7721350000000000
1989-10-01 5.7524285316467285
1990-01-01 5.7327650000000006
1990-04-01 5.7132306098937990
1990-07-01 5.6939024925231930
1990-10-01 5.6748514175415040
1991-01-01 5.6561455726623535
1991-04-01 5.6378379999999995
1991-07-01 5.6199610000000000
1991-10-01 5.6025339999999995
1992-01-01 5.5855765342712400
1992-04-01 5.5690839999999990
1992-07-01 5.5530589999999990
1992-10-01 5.5375110000000000
1993-01-01 5.5224550000000000
1993-04-01 5.5079045295715330
1993-07-01 5.4938645362854000
1993-10-01 5.4803414344787600
1994-01-01 5.4673385620117190
1994-04-01 5.4548450000000000
1994-07-01 5.4428380000000000
1994-10-01 5.4312910000000010
1995-01-01 5.4201720000000000
1995-04-01 5.4094514846801760
1995-07-01 5.3990910000000000
1995-10-01 5.3890500000000000
1996-01-01 5.3792760000000000
1996-04-01 5.3697094917297360
1996-07-01 5.3602924346923830
1996-10-01 5.3509736061096190
1997-01-01 5.3416960000000000
1997-04-01 5.3324093818664550
1997-07-01 5.3230805397033690
1997-10-01 5.3136900000000000
1998-01-01 5.3042220000000000
1998-04-01 5.2946640000000000
1998-07-01 5.2850010000000000
1998-10-01 5.2752330000000000
1999-01-01 5.2653630000000000
1999-04-01 5.2553944587707520
1999-07-01 5.2453336715698240
1999-10-01 5.2351846694946290
2000-01-01 5.2249480000000000
2000-04-01 5.2146220000000000
2000-07-01 5.2042110000000000
2000-10-01 5.1937310000000000
2001-01-01 5.1831965446472170
2001-04-01 5.1726136207580570
2001-07-01 5.1619830000000000
2001-10-01 5.1513130000000000
2002-01-01 5.1406154632568360
2002-04-01 5.1299050000000000
2002-07-01 5.1192090000000000
2002-10-01 5.1085615158081055
2003-01-01 5.0979900000000000
2003-04-01 5.0875250000000000
2003-07-01 5.0772020000000000
2003-10-01 5.0670585632324220
2004-01-01 5.0571260000000000
2004-04-01 5.0474324226379395
2004-07-01 5.0380080000000000
2004-10-01 5.0288786888122560
2005-01-01 5.0200760000000000
2005-04-01 5.0116370000000000
2005-07-01 5.0036544800004380
2005-10-01 4.9967167758934000
2006-01-01 4.9870167367941030
2006-04-01 4.9767344758624770
2006-07-01 4.9660111577869740
2006-10-01 4.9550400804934210
2007-01-01 4.9440469801287320
2007-04-01 4.9332685792170060
2007-07-01 4.9229251394417170
2007-10-01 4.9131943247053060
2008-01-01 4.9041917188586770
2008-04-01 4.8959605696027730
2008-07-01 4.8884707596178240
2008-10-01 4.8816232953831600
2009-01-01 4.8752619012894070
2009-04-01 4.8691922653746350
2009-07-01 4.8632059799308740
2009-10-01 4.8571069443978450
2010-01-01 4.8507282826277260
2010-04-01 4.8439365907109990
2010-07-01 4.8366308974418510
2010-10-01 4.8287428629369050
2011-01-01 4.8202440065992690
2011-04-01 4.8111581235038250
2011-07-01 4.8015698130170110
2011-10-01 4.7916221181710090
2012-01-01 4.7814995292536370
2012-04-01 4.7713995210888855
2012-07-01 4.7615027148776580
2012-10-01 4.7519488565600130
2013-01-01 4.7428248574686260
2013-04-01 4.7341672183854590
2013-07-01 4.7259732519496370
2013-10-01 4.7182122932351300
2014-01-01 4.7108351624268040
2014-04-01 4.7037808309909100
2014-07-01 4.6969798378057660
2014-10-01 4.6903562779679890
2015-01-01 4.6838315386341860
2015-04-01 4.6773284655312690
2015-07-01 4.6707745941463510
2015-10-01 4.6641073540871910
2016-01-01 4.6572800633808190
2016-04-01 4.6502667631674590
2016-07-01 4.6430657955497920
2016-10-01 4.6356975117040875
2017-01-01 4.6281924646071390
2017-04-01 4.6205740234794330
2017-07-01 4.6128389885979715
2017-10-01 4.6049403705047505
2018-01-01 4.5967845344146660
2018-04-01 4.5882442327742070
2018-07-01 4.5791828583808150
2018-10-01 4.5694883349128210
2019-01-01 4.5591073495599520
2019-04-01 4.5480723167873570
2019-07-01 4.5365183849326850
2019-10-01 4.5246824205585170
2020-01-01 4.5128759969487735
2020-04-01 4.5014350763273480
2020-07-01 4.4906582406308270
2020-10-01 4.4807563269047770
2021-01-01 4.4719376817534020
2021-04-01 4.4640502059399660
2021-07-01 4.4570799460404660
2021-10-01 4.4509262981698200
2022-01-01 4.4454789260387330
2022-04-01 4.4406330261079820
2022-07-01 4.4362985729222030
2022-10-01 4.4323975399344110
2023-01-01 4.4288621090062470
2023-04-01 4.4256282027831070
2023-07-01 4.4226168299383986
2023-10-01 4.4197513749608170
2024-01-01 4.4169620274342370
2024-04-01 4.4141913390221080
2024-07-01 4.4114154602423760
2024-10-01 4.4086189307153290
2025-01-01 4.4057863107464680
2025-04-01 4.4028990912043370
2025-07-01 4.3999258221251600
2025-10-01 4.3968345239248485
2026-01-01 4.3935970408063310
2026-04-01 4.3901890806004730
2026-07-01 4.3865903289196260
2026-10-01 4.3827844198756940
2027-01-01 4.3787596850076390
2027-04-01 4.3745109550917180
2027-07-01 4.3700422858488090
2027-10-01 4.3653662538647096
2028-01-01 4.3605026550204820
2028-04-01 4.3554760027959980
2028-07-01 4.3503120778852770
2028-10-01 4.3450359452874840
2029-01-01 4.3396704787804500
2029-04-01 4.3342359009942870
2029-07-01 4.3287503449158695
2029-10-01 4.3232303708328015
2030-01-01 4.3176918208428330
2030-04-01 4.3121506949550380
2030-07-01 4.3066237287221180
2030-10-01 4.3011274690381250
2031-01-01 4.2956763053877680
2031-04-01 4.2902791118869750
2031-07-01 4.2849348653137880
2031-10-01 4.2796329048920600
2032-01-01 4.2743543288500625
2032-04-01 4.2690762424140285
2032-07-01 4.2637793686363730
2032-10-01 4.2584478845922450
2033-01-01 4.2530701109347280
2033-04-01 4.2476374602105040
2033-07-01 4.2421400973033190
2033-10-01 4.2365696459960740
2034-01-01 4.2309202161220170
2034-04-01 4.2251895197286390
2034-07-01 4.2193811094258040
2034-10-01 4.2135029391705960

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