Title: 1-Year Real Interest Rate
Series ID: REAINTRATREARAT1YE
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Release: Inflation Expectations (Not a Press Release)
Seasonal Adjustment: Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency: Monthly
Units: Percent
Date Range: 1982-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Last Updated: 2023-11-14 2:33 PM CST
Notes: The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of
inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk
premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate.
Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields,
inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of
inflation expectations.
For more information, please visit the Federal
Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
DATE VALUE
1982-01-01 4.34358480
1982-02-01 6.70684300
1982-03-01 7.67323810
1982-04-01 8.16635540
1982-05-01 8.26540550
1982-06-01 9.28602170
1982-07-01 7.45154700
1982-08-01 5.67198710
1982-09-01 3.30248340
1982-10-01 4.62968240
1982-11-01 5.75723950
1982-12-01 5.34963530
1983-01-01 4.69918930
1983-02-01 4.86952160
1983-03-01 5.30381690
1983-04-01 5.08796580
1983-05-01 5.29803120
1983-06-01 5.96062350
1983-07-01 4.72544950
1983-08-01 5.73898110
1983-09-01 5.47291380
1983-10-01 4.92586040
1983-11-01 4.61756170
1983-12-01 4.45117330
1984-01-01 5.35483190
1984-02-01 5.20461540
1984-03-01 5.60234410
1984-04-01 5.36433260
1984-05-01 5.37024530
1984-06-01 5.37616630
1984-07-01 6.29498690
1984-08-01 6.06695610
1984-09-01 6.43406740
1984-10-01 6.86463640
1984-11-01 6.38209390
1984-12-01 5.75477110
1985-01-01 5.13621670
1985-02-01 4.79282600
1985-03-01 4.54149360
1985-04-01 5.71717960
1985-05-01 4.98950490
1985-06-01 3.52091030
1985-07-01 4.46017150
1985-08-01 4.25833670
1985-09-01 4.11774730
1985-10-01 4.08268070
1985-11-01 4.20825250
1985-12-01 4.45881810
1986-01-01 4.29488410
1986-02-01 4.48317660
1986-03-01 5.31592260
1986-04-01 5.11601550
1986-05-01 4.96674130
1986-06-01 4.49154240
1986-07-01 3.50493680
1986-08-01 3.35509850
1986-09-01 2.99641290
1986-10-01 2.76604470
1986-11-01 2.69176570
1986-12-01 2.41788070
1987-01-01 2.48413290
1987-02-01 2.28603990
1987-03-01 3.29241540
1987-04-01 2.50409520
1987-05-01 2.10890030
1987-06-01 2.85414650
1987-07-01 2.26998560
1987-08-01 2.57361290
1987-09-01 2.37821020
1987-10-01 3.65368380
1987-11-01 3.43400670
1987-12-01 2.41275040
1988-01-01 2.47168430
1988-02-01 2.85749320
1988-03-01 2.69979000
1988-04-01 2.80511640
1988-05-01 2.90784510
1988-06-01 3.12711250
1988-07-01 2.51976500
1988-08-01 3.23874260
1988-09-01 3.35833630
1988-10-01 3.11955320
1988-11-01 3.04382550
1988-12-01 3.27055190
1989-01-01 3.25220860
1989-02-01 3.41076590
1989-03-01 3.46650770
1989-04-01 4.05675830
1989-05-01 4.50635940
1989-06-01 4.45379320
1989-07-01 3.90232120
1989-08-01 3.73376290
1989-09-01 3.96956770
1989-10-01 3.93519170
1989-11-01 3.86269160
1989-12-01 3.92125370
1990-01-01 3.82224230
1990-02-01 3.36711840
1990-03-01 4.43179570
1990-04-01 4.52712990
1990-05-01 4.30626600
1990-06-01 3.72363800
1990-07-01 4.28931890
1990-08-01 3.90242770
1990-09-01 2.85327940
1990-10-01 2.57517710
1990-11-01 2.06465650
1990-12-01 2.08943760
1991-01-01 2.68832760
1991-02-01 3.00589800
1991-03-01 2.83248230
1991-04-01 3.41511650
1991-05-01 3.15279120
1991-06-01 2.96284440
1991-07-01 2.86350750
1991-08-01 2.70176280
1991-09-01 2.63416980
1991-10-01 2.15856580
1991-11-01 2.06564660
1991-12-01 1.64026630
1992-01-01 1.50429280
1992-02-01 1.45465520
1992-03-01 1.36988450
1992-04-01 1.74984650
1992-05-01 1.49159080
1992-06-01 1.25285460
1992-07-01 1.25385840
1992-08-01 1.06869980
1992-09-01 0.98347453
1992-10-01 0.73632090
1992-11-01 0.90703369
1992-12-01 1.09956710
1993-01-01 0.90345318
1993-02-01 0.79552367
1993-03-01 0.55103927
1993-04-01 0.71185854
1993-05-01 0.60491925
1993-06-01 1.25552300
1993-07-01 0.83848638
1993-08-01 0.91406765
1993-09-01 0.76919008
1993-10-01 0.53441071
1993-11-01 0.72851590
1993-12-01 0.94794230
1994-01-01 0.88858704
1994-02-01 0.77513982
1994-03-01 0.33699727
1994-04-01 1.30459580
1994-05-01 1.55011750
1994-06-01 1.25383360
1994-07-01 1.48021810
1994-08-01 1.99615040
1994-09-01 2.03101840
1994-10-01 2.03094610
1994-11-01 2.04089860
1994-12-01 2.01401730
1995-01-01 2.32982810
1995-02-01 2.25730420
1995-03-01 2.16127930
1995-04-01 2.36221990
1995-05-01 3.71093360
1995-06-01 3.10988340
1995-07-01 2.43535030
1995-08-01 2.51839550
1995-09-01 2.20314530
1995-10-01 2.52767610
1995-11-01 2.32717580
1995-12-01 3.05439540
1996-01-01 2.41653340
1996-02-01 2.14358530
1996-03-01 2.59565560
1996-04-01 2.58769470
1996-05-01 2.30539510
1996-06-01 2.37647570
1996-07-01 2.67806080
1996-08-01 2.45370100
1996-09-01 2.67428960
1996-10-01 2.36091570
1996-11-01 2.15343490
1996-12-01 2.45361110
1997-01-01 2.14983000
1997-02-01 1.95379130
1997-03-01 2.42806580
1997-04-01 2.58341090
1997-05-01 2.59784350
1997-06-01 2.77497690
1997-07-01 2.93198090
1997-08-01 2.64664890
1997-09-01 2.84858720
1997-10-01 2.33297070
1997-11-01 2.16665380
1997-12-01 2.83529710
1998-01-01 2.65581340
1998-02-01 2.53064530
1998-03-01 2.69924950
1998-04-01 2.70722660
1998-05-01 2.59774460
1998-06-01 2.86986550
1998-07-01 2.26653150
1998-08-01 2.34616520
1998-09-01 2.23960010
1998-10-01 2.11769940
1998-11-01 2.01977820
1998-12-01 2.36395660
1999-01-01 1.97754850
1999-02-01 1.90742410
1999-03-01 2.43334450
1999-04-01 2.50242990
1999-05-01 2.16183750
1999-06-01 3.44903840
1999-07-01 2.54590720
1999-08-01 2.63163780
1999-09-01 2.71541290
1999-10-01 2.25767010
1999-11-01 2.16694580
1999-12-01 1.84404300
2000-01-01 2.65349890
2000-02-01 2.63962140
2000-03-01 2.65931000
2000-04-01 2.89569900
2000-05-01 2.78899800
2000-06-01 1.97824960
2000-07-01 3.35333640
2000-08-01 3.23888420
2000-09-01 3.00375470
2000-10-01 3.04657280
2000-11-01 2.75627540
2000-12-01 2.31883880
2001-01-01 3.12556130
2001-02-01 2.83425220
2001-03-01 3.61730110
2001-04-01 2.39777640
2001-05-01 1.86322210
2001-06-01 1.44539710
2001-07-01 1.69281700
2001-08-01 1.59373150
2001-09-01 0.25169635
2001-10-01 1.02547360
2001-11-01 1.05574580
2001-12-01 -0.19812037
2002-01-01 0.78737590
2002-02-01 0.85551172
2002-03-01 1.08039570
2002-04-01 0.53216094
2002-05-01 0.10822150
2002-06-01 0.44413012
2002-07-01 0.25558851
2002-08-01 0.18227988
2002-09-01 -0.01541029
2002-10-01 -0.19993985
2002-11-01 -0.27816716
2002-12-01 -0.06171805
2003-01-01 -0.19006412
2003-02-01 -0.18728049
2003-03-01 -0.17478652
2003-04-01 -0.10768997
2003-05-01 0.08037008
2003-06-01 -1.22201890
2003-07-01 -0.09244847
2003-08-01 0.09684109
2003-09-01 0.05638458
2003-10-01 -0.19647062
2003-11-01 -0.16354861
2003-12-01 -0.60214837
2004-01-01 -0.13765171
2004-02-01 -0.40138788
2004-03-01 -0.06433799
2004-04-01 -0.41226559
2004-05-01 -0.50688531
2004-06-01 -0.99233744
2004-07-01 -0.44661319
2004-08-01 -0.49146606
2004-09-01 -1.33238490
2004-10-01 -0.21069296
2004-11-01 -0.04377570
2004-12-01 1.17700150
2005-01-01 0.34105223
2005-02-01 0.53033359
2005-03-01 0.58317037
2005-04-01 0.48126552
2005-05-01 0.66765132
2005-06-01 0.82656544
2005-07-01 1.09123600
2005-08-01 1.27134700
2005-09-01 1.97526410
2005-10-01 1.18130550
2005-11-01 1.27227230
2005-12-01 0.86637481
2006-01-01 2.02267770
2006-02-01 2.12014590
2006-03-01 3.24640900
2006-04-01 2.09117090
2006-05-01 2.29525250
2006-06-01 2.38412450
2006-07-01 2.16458710
2006-08-01 2.15325800
2006-09-01 2.76977870
2006-10-01 2.82775340
2006-11-01 3.35348870
2006-12-01 3.44532640
2007-01-01 2.29426100
2007-02-01 2.48278340
2007-03-01 2.08109970
2007-04-01 2.06176470
2007-05-01 1.45303580
2007-06-01 1.08686540
2007-07-01 1.90748410
2007-08-01 2.13083890
2007-09-01 1.80619640
2007-10-01 1.70921060
2007-11-01 2.19277410
2007-12-01 1.49314140
2008-01-01 1.12055790
2008-02-01 0.29817483
2008-03-01 0.63290718
2008-04-01 0.06574427
2008-05-01 -0.38171377
2008-06-01 -0.36084469
2008-07-01 -0.81728214
2008-08-01 -1.47387050
2008-09-01 -1.01600200
2008-10-01 1.19478250
2008-11-01 2.78386870
2008-12-01 2.54899290
2009-01-01 2.02703460
2009-02-01 2.07874390
2009-03-01 3.24525050
2009-04-01 0.06938378
2009-05-01 0.06749577
2009-06-01 0.48903207
2009-07-01 -0.10306189
2009-08-01 -0.96508483
2009-09-01 -1.88670630
2009-10-01 -0.80983562
2009-11-01 -1.00561440
2009-12-01 -1.21965670
2010-01-01 -0.81215137
2010-02-01 -1.06732520
2010-03-01 -1.61830630
2010-04-01 -0.44425119
2010-05-01 -0.50458009
2010-06-01 -0.38416424
2010-07-01 -0.07004565
2010-08-01 -0.68622794
2010-09-01 -0.13733499
2010-10-01 -1.00223790
2010-11-01 -1.16548310
2010-12-01 -0.93692711
2011-01-01 -1.10898110
2011-02-01 -1.37308600
2011-03-01 -1.53354630
2011-04-01 -1.46878210
2011-05-01 -2.12289840
2011-06-01 -2.04385660
2011-07-01 -2.56603860
2011-08-01 -1.29618830
2011-09-01 -0.74655287
2011-10-01 -1.59565640
2011-11-01 -1.64115630
2011-12-01 -1.95413670
2012-01-01 -1.59499720
2012-02-01 -1.66254900
2012-03-01 -1.32757640
2012-04-01 -1.87389300
2012-05-01 -1.25001450
2012-06-01 -0.35978255
2012-07-01 -1.21090770
2012-08-01 -1.16579480
2012-09-01 -2.12467250
2012-10-01 -1.67924670
2012-11-01 -1.51823980
2012-12-01 -2.48971230
2013-01-01 -1.11616370
2013-02-01 -0.94603683
2013-03-01 0.48887020
2013-04-01 -0.77068502
2013-05-01 -0.51296752
2013-06-01 -0.68342236
2013-07-01 -0.16887147
2013-08-01 -1.57304500
2013-09-01 -1.35603460
2013-10-01 -1.07562530
2013-11-01 -1.01729450
2013-12-01 -1.91457370
2014-01-01 -1.34525250
2014-02-01 -1.40151350
2014-03-01 -0.87407667
2014-04-01 -1.32158430
2014-05-01 -1.52038790
2014-06-01 -1.19028930
2014-07-01 -1.78356220
2014-08-01 -1.31988030
2014-09-01 -1.97205230
2014-10-01 -1.11007930
2014-11-01 -0.34990728
2014-12-01 -2.50329180
2015-01-01 1.12397490
2015-02-01 1.54236930
2015-03-01 0.91614976
2015-04-01 -0.83404213
2015-05-01 -0.98806997
2015-06-01 -1.18205955
2015-07-01 -1.26470300
2015-08-01 -1.30288050
2015-09-01 -1.74613640
2015-10-01 -0.84535881
2015-11-01 -0.73988133
2015-12-01 -0.72996474
2016-01-01 -0.87219070
2016-02-01 -0.21080726
2016-03-01 0.20280334
2016-04-01 -1.18731654
2016-05-01 -1.17368690
2016-06-01 -0.55190959
2016-07-01 -1.50103723
2016-08-01 -1.41616467
2016-09-01 -2.20417488
2016-10-01 -1.65360405
2016-11-01 -1.88065568
2016-12-01 -2.25275783
2017-01-01 -1.37086914
2017-02-01 -1.18188446
2017-03-01 -0.15871639
2017-04-01 -0.56455297
2017-05-01 -0.40602435
2017-06-01 0.68431521
2017-07-01 -0.44468298
2017-08-01 -0.37064119
2017-09-01 -1.01705756
2017-10-01 -0.83785636
2017-11-01 -0.98384247
2017-12-01 -2.81708626
2018-01-01 -0.77726570
2018-02-01 -0.83055203
2018-03-01 1.34333197
2018-04-01 0.77551332
2018-05-01 0.43880137
2018-06-01 0.75638472
2018-07-01 -0.12973530
2018-08-01 -0.11489998
2018-09-01 -0.68478285
2018-10-01 -0.18193060
2018-11-01 0.11522289
2018-12-01 0.48206827
2019-01-01 0.59518209
2019-02-01 0.56831863
2019-03-01 5.69992870
2019-04-01 3.11685814
2019-05-01 1.86934498
2019-06-01 1.84771863
2019-07-01 1.05216750
2019-08-01 0.64538988
2019-09-01 0.28409933
2019-10-01 -0.04052344
2019-11-01 -0.22348679
2019-12-01 -0.28927221
2020-01-01 -0.59602385
2020-02-01 -0.54217106
2020-03-01 3.35421645
2020-04-01 3.23944367
2020-05-01 2.87932085
2020-06-01 1.41774102
2020-07-01 -0.74405804
2020-08-01 -1.24438508
2020-09-01 -1.31528359
2020-10-01 -1.20327548
2020-11-01 -1.34746957
2020-12-01 -1.83847259
2021-01-01 -1.61108806
2021-02-01 -2.03085035
2021-03-01 -1.50202356
2021-04-01 -1.52838991
2021-05-01 -1.70438715
2021-06-01 -1.92139542
2021-07-01 -2.01792543
2021-08-01 -3.20561303
2021-09-01 -3.47182721
2021-10-01 -1.84043425
2021-11-01 -2.60001778
2021-12-01 -2.92875407
2022-01-01 -2.23245881
2022-02-01 -2.64867235
2022-03-01 -2.99804380
2022-04-01 -3.28578549
2022-05-01 -3.25642212
2022-06-01 -3.96642481
2022-07-01 -1.40330475
2022-08-01 -1.47068045
2022-09-01 -2.58910241
2022-10-01 0.02713679
2022-11-01 0.24964310
2022-12-01 0.82794740
2023-01-01 1.35596652
2023-02-01 1.43385141
2023-03-01 2.60005624
2023-04-01 1.24802557
2023-05-01 1.14790584
2023-06-01 8.00560278
2023-07-01 5.10470969
2023-08-01 4.30642606
2023-09-01 3.32253749
2023-10-01 3.18287590
2023-11-01 2.80175386