Federal Reserve Economic Data

Table Data - Price Pressures Measure

Title Price Pressures Measure
Series ID STLPPM
Source Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Release St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures (Not a Press Release)
Seasonal Adjustment Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Probability
Date Range 1990-01-01 to 2024-09-01
Last Updated 2024-09-30 2:20 PM CDT
Notes This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will exceed 2.5 percent.

For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure.

As of April 5, 2023, the MZM Money Stock measure, in SA billions of dollars, has been replaced with the series Revolving Consumer Credit Outstanding (break-adjusted), in SA billions of dollars, from the Federal Reserve’s monthly G.19 release. This change was made because the MZM series was discontinued.

As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series.

As of January 29, 2021, the Adjusted Monetary Base (including Deposits to Satisfy Clearing Balance Contracts) Seasonally Adjusted, in billions of dollars has been replaced with the series, Monetary Base, NSA, in billions of dollars.
DATE VALUE
1990-01-01 0.82410382
1990-02-01 0.92266792
1990-03-01 0.82972819
1990-04-01 0.83979942
1990-05-01 0.74312135
1990-06-01 0.75030005
1990-07-01 0.85423298
1990-08-01 0.74358204
1990-09-01 0.58113907
1990-10-01 0.92530034
1990-11-01 0.88517280
1990-12-01 0.84695040
1991-01-01 0.87719268
1991-02-01 0.90891106
1991-03-01 0.89840318
1991-04-01 0.82470738
1991-05-01 0.80917020
1991-06-01 0.82337106
1991-07-01 0.85182990
1991-08-01 0.81552068
1991-09-01 0.76729459
1991-10-01 0.79639081
1991-11-01 0.78032118
1991-12-01 0.76403445
1992-01-01 0.61838655
1992-02-01 0.69613473
1992-03-01 0.68452383
1992-04-01 0.75931147
1992-05-01 0.74680284
1992-06-01 0.70581905
1992-07-01 0.73080884
1992-08-01 0.67105106
1992-09-01 0.67436168
1992-10-01 0.67091119
1992-11-01 0.73681603
1992-12-01 0.72724031
1993-01-01 0.69646974
1993-02-01 0.74154834
1993-03-01 0.66421095
1993-04-01 0.70366326
1993-05-01 0.69387052
1993-06-01 0.79366043
1993-07-01 0.72216316
1993-08-01 0.73972473
1993-09-01 0.68527903
1993-10-01 0.69110862
1993-11-01 0.67151012
1993-12-01 0.81032188
1994-01-01 0.53723554
1994-02-01 0.54723712
1994-03-01 0.69235463
1994-04-01 0.70565687
1994-05-01 0.70358168
1994-06-01 0.65439754
1994-07-01 0.59123489
1994-08-01 0.65005293
1994-09-01 0.73825944
1994-10-01 0.69437854
1994-11-01 0.68689802
1994-12-01 0.78916946
1995-01-01 0.54995690
1995-02-01 0.61800374
1995-03-01 0.61366251
1995-04-01 0.61793866
1995-05-01 0.54293967
1995-06-01 0.57421419
1995-07-01 0.49103100
1995-08-01 0.45817548
1995-09-01 0.46202803
1995-10-01 0.28126528
1995-11-01 0.47909420
1995-12-01 0.31609625
1996-01-01 0.15342346
1996-02-01 0.20520940
1996-03-01 0.17963498
1996-04-01 0.33635042
1996-05-01 0.37777236
1996-06-01 0.42956918
1996-07-01 0.29589385
1996-08-01 0.42068085
1996-09-01 0.24008590
1996-10-01 0.34314830
1996-11-01 0.31983539
1996-12-01 0.36443847
1997-01-01 0.35319535
1997-02-01 0.40048560
1997-03-01 0.32707232
1997-04-01 0.13594254
1997-05-01 0.19663848
1997-06-01 0.03876590
1997-07-01 0.15156256
1997-08-01 0.06759133
1997-09-01 0.04410528
1997-10-01 0.07727352
1997-11-01 0.04398279
1997-12-01 0.03676645
1998-01-01 0.00256422
1998-02-01 0.00172906
1998-03-01 0.00259994
1998-04-01 0.02278103
1998-05-01 0.00937916
1998-06-01 0.05204445
1998-07-01 0.00364325
1998-08-01 0.01320472
1998-09-01 0.00880956
1998-10-01 0.00074838
1998-11-01 0.00579345
1998-12-01 0.00126369
1999-01-01 0.00019849
1999-02-01 0.00207086
1999-03-01 0.00014339
1999-04-01 0.00154318
1999-05-01 0.15913762
1999-06-01 0.00820673
1999-07-01 0.01074859
1999-08-01 0.03771017
1999-09-01 0.04508643
1999-10-01 0.14000889
1999-11-01 0.03993464
1999-12-01 0.08309321
2000-01-01 0.11983759
2000-02-01 0.19325365
2000-03-01 0.54036156
2000-04-01 0.67661983
2000-05-01 0.31437011
2000-06-01 0.48522099
2000-07-01 0.76221903
2000-08-01 0.54175086
2000-09-01 0.42304743
2000-10-01 0.34199459
2000-11-01 0.28999449
2000-12-01 0.45301025
2001-01-01 0.38513212
2001-02-01 0.63287098
2001-03-01 0.61932626
2001-04-01 0.09505858
2001-05-01 0.46548108
2001-06-01 0.56556027
2001-07-01 0.50727433
2001-08-01 0.48485123
2001-09-01 0.18733542
2001-10-01 0.00886026
2001-11-01 0.09474984
2001-12-01 0.01889109
2002-01-01 0.01791555
2002-02-01 0.00481848
2002-03-01 0.01352978
2002-04-01 0.07077530
2002-05-01 0.04732618
2002-06-01 0.01968389
2002-07-01 0.02336916
2002-08-01 0.02654526
2002-09-01 0.01311023
2002-10-01 0.02105208
2002-11-01 0.05585103
2002-12-01 0.03954839
2003-01-01 0.02558592
2003-02-01 0.03509216
2003-03-01 0.44300034
2003-04-01 0.44856322
2003-05-01 0.00505956
2003-06-01 0.00124875
2003-07-01 0.00369048
2003-08-01 0.06067858
2003-09-01 0.06995370
2003-10-01 0.02458307
2003-11-01 0.02651901
2003-12-01 0.02825951
2004-01-01 0.13534859
2004-02-01 0.26338768
2004-03-01 0.09035947
2004-04-01 0.04676316
2004-05-01 0.35292263
2004-06-01 0.61543520
2004-07-01 0.48947027
2004-08-01 0.29329265
2004-09-01 0.26382350
2004-10-01 0.18041034
2004-11-01 0.25142861
2004-12-01 0.54175091
2005-01-01 0.43996414
2005-02-01 0.43321904
2005-03-01 0.45549288
2005-04-01 0.86720156
2005-05-01 0.73034751
2005-06-01 0.45937261
2005-07-01 0.27040350
2005-08-01 0.52758836
2005-09-01 0.85410286
2005-10-01 0.95033619
2005-11-01 0.78658329
2005-12-01 0.74033518
2006-01-01 0.62658832
2006-02-01 0.87596553
2006-03-01 0.69261907
2006-04-01 0.71749757
2006-05-01 0.90061865
2006-06-01 0.89908776
2006-07-01 0.76400504
2006-08-01 0.73759415
2006-09-01 0.77335932
2006-10-01 0.02192937
2006-11-01 0.01874550
2006-12-01 0.04522763
2007-01-01 0.09852546
2007-02-01 0.11702004
2007-03-01 0.36351225
2007-04-01 0.30250010
2007-05-01 0.09183763
2007-06-01 0.04933615
2007-07-01 0.04413157
2007-08-01 0.01376678
2007-09-01 0.00286233
2007-10-01 0.04563648
2007-11-01 0.21502888
2007-12-01 0.34267004
2008-01-01 0.41811504
2008-02-01 0.32341913
2008-03-01 0.50265790
2008-04-01 0.43877412
2008-05-01 0.36980859
2008-06-01 0.58170214
2008-07-01 0.77636013
2008-08-01 0.74663072
2008-09-01 0.57954614
2008-10-01 0.41892574
2008-11-01 0.04773153
2008-12-01 0.00006895
2009-01-01 0.00004976
2009-02-01 0.01415165
2009-03-01 0.00659076
2009-04-01 0.00026836
2009-05-01 0.00364037
2009-06-01 0.00988062
2009-07-01 0.01531911
2009-08-01 0.00015637
2009-09-01 0.00035452
2009-10-01 0.00034277
2009-11-01 0.00331019
2009-12-01 0.09859595
2010-01-01 0.10464188
2010-02-01 0.23533315
2010-03-01 0.03430402
2010-04-01 0.30174669
2010-05-01 0.37328794
2010-06-01 0.10677526
2010-07-01 0.01316145
2010-08-01 0.02803680
2010-09-01 0.04577730
2010-10-01 0.02204895
2010-11-01 0.06095304
2010-12-01 0.02087229
2011-01-01 0.05035969
2011-02-01 0.10142305
2011-03-01 0.09544151
2011-04-01 0.10037032
2011-05-01 0.39246024
2011-06-01 0.31592219
2011-07-01 0.31252605
2011-08-01 0.38918972
2011-09-01 0.37851715
2011-10-01 0.28598479
2011-11-01 0.10370721
2011-12-01 0.22746023
2012-01-01 0.17717788
2012-02-01 0.38929213
2012-03-01 0.34562756
2012-04-01 0.37894246
2012-05-01 0.21282828
2012-06-01 0.11715902
2012-07-01 0.10100046
2012-08-01 0.18066194
2012-09-01 0.30260071
2012-10-01 0.24674065
2012-11-01 0.14199670
2012-12-01 0.12618823
2013-01-01 0.14435371
2013-02-01 0.18931555
2013-03-01 0.22369426
2013-04-01 0.20212783
2013-05-01 0.11348262
2013-06-01 0.16360488
2013-07-01 0.16724250
2013-08-01 0.17662180
2013-09-01 0.15838593
2013-10-01 0.10922183
2013-11-01 0.07348601
2013-12-01 0.11196566
2014-01-01 0.11864227
2014-02-01 0.08794993
2014-03-01 0.09420126
2014-04-01 0.21414559
2014-05-01 0.21171422
2014-06-01 0.15257687
2014-07-01 0.08373380
2014-08-01 0.11504362
2014-09-01 0.07583072
2014-10-01 0.08443767
2014-11-01 0.04370481
2014-12-01 0.05741471
2015-01-01 0.03012759
2015-02-01 0.01364789
2015-03-01 0.03648373
2015-04-01 0.04159543
2015-05-01 0.04691889
2015-06-01 0.09493736
2015-07-01 0.05529880
2015-08-01 0.02754080
2015-09-01 0.02216296
2015-10-01 0.04083811
2015-11-01 0.03448879
2015-12-01 0.02270297
2016-01-01 0.02254585
2016-02-01 0.04800361
2016-03-01 0.05860959
2016-04-01 0.08874387
2016-05-01 0.18228465
2016-06-01 0.32579196
2016-07-01 0.26691834
2016-08-01 0.15651724
2016-09-01 0.19603503
2016-10-01 0.18235507
2016-11-01 0.24233223
2016-12-01 0.32338433
2017-01-01 0.16831959
2017-02-01 0.19680941
2017-03-01 0.16961135
2017-04-01 0.09098356
2017-05-01 0.07493619
2017-06-01 0.10026956
2017-07-01 0.09095484
2017-08-01 0.08900278
2017-09-01 0.08478772
2017-10-01 0.10341038
2017-11-01 0.06730631
2017-12-01 0.10184876
2018-01-01 0.10551885
2018-02-01 0.19541295
2018-03-01 0.10943013
2018-04-01 0.10633227
2018-05-01 0.13995434
2018-06-01 0.28994018
2018-07-01 0.13887557
2018-08-01 0.11366129
2018-09-01 0.04318020
2018-10-01 0.08718151
2018-11-01 0.14242434
2018-12-01 0.07972159
2019-01-01 0.03977398
2019-02-01 0.05049742
2019-03-01 0.06677895
2019-04-01 0.08718498
2019-05-01 0.11768075
2019-06-01 0.04114613
2019-07-01 0.04203818
2019-08-01 0.02903059
2019-09-01 0.03822527
2019-10-01 0.03129569
2019-11-01 0.05998788
2019-12-01 0.05283640
2020-01-01 0.09184358
2020-02-01 0.14049980
2020-03-01 0.07111469
2020-04-01 0.01133698
2020-05-01 0.00179769
2020-06-01 0.02937553
2020-07-01 0.07510801
2020-08-01 0.20549750
2020-09-01 0.28378260
2020-10-01 0.19446144
2020-11-01 0.10473402
2020-12-01 0.10434346
2021-01-01 0.16637409
2021-02-01 0.23534609
2021-03-01 0.31929640
2021-04-01 0.79568278
2021-05-01 0.83936694
2021-06-01 0.86618497
2021-07-01 0.86106474
2021-08-01 0.84317951
2021-09-01 0.84325113
2021-10-01 0.77081409
2021-11-01 0.88527963
2021-12-01 0.92757552
2022-01-01 0.93148292
2022-02-01 0.92695681
2022-03-01 0.96828561
2022-04-01 0.98105184
2022-05-01 0.94412237
2022-06-01 0.94278057
2022-07-01 0.91495687
2022-08-01 0.77037392
2022-09-01 0.86909627
2022-10-01 0.78827854
2022-11-01 0.76836622
2022-12-01 0.86524010
2023-01-01 0.75844202
2023-02-01 0.83389108
2023-03-01 0.84702354
2023-04-01 0.74208603
2023-05-01 0.87036458
2023-06-01 0.70564001
2023-07-01 0.58230855
2023-08-01 0.88965773
2023-09-01 0.82081787
2023-10-01 0.85805995
2023-11-01 0.53197389
2023-12-01 0.30444149
2024-01-01 0.18462738
2024-02-01 0.36479019
2024-03-01 0.62417343
2024-04-01 0.58157507
2024-05-01 0.60758793
2024-06-01 0.29452890
2024-07-01 0.23125420
2024-08-01 0.24050469
2024-09-01 0.11497242

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