Table Data - Price Pressures Measure
| Title | Price Pressures Measure |
|---|---|
| Series ID | STLPPM |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| Release | St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures (Not a Press Release) |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Not Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Probability |
| Date Range | 1990-01-01 to 2026-05-01 |
| Last Updated | 2026-05-29 11:23 AM CDT |
| Notes | This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will exceed 2.5 percent. For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure. As of April 5, 2023, the MZM Money Stock measure, in SA billions of dollars, has been replaced with the series Revolving Consumer Credit Outstanding (break-adjusted), in SA billions of dollars, from the Federal Reserve’s monthly G.19 release. This change was made because the MZM series was discontinued. As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series. As of January 29, 2021, the Adjusted Monetary Base (including Deposits to Satisfy Clearing Balance Contracts) Seasonally Adjusted, in billions of dollars has been replaced with the series, Monetary Base, NSA, in billions of dollars. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1990-01-01 | 0.83896888 |
| 1990-02-01 | 0.91153678 |
| 1990-03-01 | 0.83634200 |
| 1990-04-01 | 0.85602241 |
| 1990-05-01 | 0.74558692 |
| 1990-06-01 | 0.75989560 |
| 1990-07-01 | 0.83713216 |
| 1990-08-01 | 0.75141725 |
| 1990-09-01 | 0.61115140 |
| 1990-10-01 | 0.91547592 |
| 1990-11-01 | 0.86453799 |
| 1990-12-01 | 0.82816461 |
| 1991-01-01 | 0.87107524 |
| 1991-02-01 | 0.90453607 |
| 1991-03-01 | 0.89298243 |
| 1991-04-01 | 0.81842286 |
| 1991-05-01 | 0.80253272 |
| 1991-06-01 | 0.81834946 |
| 1991-07-01 | 0.84682297 |
| 1991-08-01 | 0.80548283 |
| 1991-09-01 | 0.76174325 |
| 1991-10-01 | 0.79348175 |
| 1991-11-01 | 0.77241608 |
| 1991-12-01 | 0.75453933 |
| 1992-01-01 | 0.61788764 |
| 1992-02-01 | 0.69568815 |
| 1992-03-01 | 0.68422668 |
| 1992-04-01 | 0.76029164 |
| 1992-05-01 | 0.74839422 |
| 1992-06-01 | 0.70329035 |
| 1992-07-01 | 0.73201612 |
| 1992-08-01 | 0.67026282 |
| 1992-09-01 | 0.67414986 |
| 1992-10-01 | 0.67243112 |
| 1992-11-01 | 0.73756833 |
| 1992-12-01 | 0.72711593 |
| 1993-01-01 | 0.69249149 |
| 1993-02-01 | 0.73593116 |
| 1993-03-01 | 0.65880667 |
| 1993-04-01 | 0.70046501 |
| 1993-05-01 | 0.69060876 |
| 1993-06-01 | 0.78859816 |
| 1993-07-01 | 0.71918393 |
| 1993-08-01 | 0.73720727 |
| 1993-09-01 | 0.68100820 |
| 1993-10-01 | 0.68765214 |
| 1993-11-01 | 0.67756056 |
| 1993-12-01 | 0.80717542 |
| 1994-01-01 | 0.53925292 |
| 1994-02-01 | 0.54808289 |
| 1994-03-01 | 0.69560531 |
| 1994-04-01 | 0.71307886 |
| 1994-05-01 | 0.71528019 |
| 1994-06-01 | 0.66179977 |
| 1994-07-01 | 0.59543371 |
| 1994-08-01 | 0.65452005 |
| 1994-09-01 | 0.73940171 |
| 1994-10-01 | 0.70127096 |
| 1994-11-01 | 0.69716116 |
| 1994-12-01 | 0.79647820 |
| 1995-01-01 | 0.55013968 |
| 1995-02-01 | 0.61969594 |
| 1995-03-01 | 0.61637304 |
| 1995-04-01 | 0.61752056 |
| 1995-05-01 | 0.54244651 |
| 1995-06-01 | 0.57208019 |
| 1995-07-01 | 0.49028998 |
| 1995-08-01 | 0.46041400 |
| 1995-09-01 | 0.46518453 |
| 1995-10-01 | 0.28323841 |
| 1995-11-01 | 0.48298631 |
| 1995-12-01 | 0.31744052 |
| 1996-01-01 | 0.15234072 |
| 1996-02-01 | 0.20518278 |
| 1996-03-01 | 0.18020994 |
| 1996-04-01 | 0.33861271 |
| 1996-05-01 | 0.37735383 |
| 1996-06-01 | 0.42938843 |
| 1996-07-01 | 0.29721556 |
| 1996-08-01 | 0.41961348 |
| 1996-09-01 | 0.23807609 |
| 1996-10-01 | 0.34617840 |
| 1996-11-01 | 0.31861255 |
| 1996-12-01 | 0.36359193 |
| 1997-01-01 | 0.35395417 |
| 1997-02-01 | 0.39958940 |
| 1997-03-01 | 0.32740580 |
| 1997-04-01 | 0.14304032 |
| 1997-05-01 | 0.19065669 |
| 1997-06-01 | 0.03802854 |
| 1997-07-01 | 0.14858155 |
| 1997-08-01 | 0.06628074 |
| 1997-09-01 | 0.04283453 |
| 1997-10-01 | 0.07604604 |
| 1997-11-01 | 0.04384858 |
| 1997-12-01 | 0.03639456 |
| 1998-01-01 | 0.00250443 |
| 1998-02-01 | 0.00151623 |
| 1998-03-01 | 0.00279457 |
| 1998-04-01 | 0.02267270 |
| 1998-05-01 | 0.00947140 |
| 1998-06-01 | 0.05014381 |
| 1998-07-01 | 0.00362175 |
| 1998-08-01 | 0.01259487 |
| 1998-09-01 | 0.00871397 |
| 1998-10-01 | 0.00068995 |
| 1998-11-01 | 0.00533357 |
| 1998-12-01 | 0.00140077 |
| 1999-01-01 | 0.00020701 |
| 1999-02-01 | 0.00196423 |
| 1999-03-01 | 0.00017306 |
| 1999-04-01 | 0.00168127 |
| 1999-05-01 | 0.15893545 |
| 1999-06-01 | 0.00845336 |
| 1999-07-01 | 0.01091902 |
| 1999-08-01 | 0.03848113 |
| 1999-09-01 | 0.04548845 |
| 1999-10-01 | 0.13886983 |
| 1999-11-01 | 0.04084611 |
| 1999-12-01 | 0.08456351 |
| 2000-01-01 | 0.11987535 |
| 2000-02-01 | 0.18985333 |
| 2000-03-01 | 0.54404134 |
| 2000-04-01 | 0.67846650 |
| 2000-05-01 | 0.30944311 |
| 2000-06-01 | 0.48376828 |
| 2000-07-01 | 0.72972222 |
| 2000-08-01 | 0.54214746 |
| 2000-09-01 | 0.41916668 |
| 2000-10-01 | 0.34278913 |
| 2000-11-01 | 0.28683584 |
| 2000-12-01 | 0.45058531 |
| 2001-01-01 | 0.38624508 |
| 2001-02-01 | 0.62632803 |
| 2001-03-01 | 0.62462676 |
| 2001-04-01 | 0.09291993 |
| 2001-05-01 | 0.46441775 |
| 2001-06-01 | 0.56596889 |
| 2001-07-01 | 0.50653558 |
| 2001-08-01 | 0.48645842 |
| 2001-09-01 | 0.18684023 |
| 2001-10-01 | 0.00850512 |
| 2001-11-01 | 0.09621749 |
| 2001-12-01 | 0.01857547 |
| 2002-01-01 | 0.01796055 |
| 2002-02-01 | 0.00463203 |
| 2002-03-01 | 0.01367997 |
| 2002-04-01 | 0.07063695 |
| 2002-05-01 | 0.04738228 |
| 2002-06-01 | 0.01910595 |
| 2002-07-01 | 0.02251267 |
| 2002-08-01 | 0.02582047 |
| 2002-09-01 | 0.01290620 |
| 2002-10-01 | 0.02036545 |
| 2002-11-01 | 0.05619398 |
| 2002-12-01 | 0.03939432 |
| 2003-01-01 | 0.02538821 |
| 2003-02-01 | 0.03455053 |
| 2003-03-01 | 0.44498146 |
| 2003-04-01 | 0.45402900 |
| 2003-05-01 | 0.00501708 |
| 2003-06-01 | 0.00119491 |
| 2003-07-01 | 0.00363129 |
| 2003-08-01 | 0.06144785 |
| 2003-09-01 | 0.07052413 |
| 2003-10-01 | 0.02427459 |
| 2003-11-01 | 0.02639553 |
| 2003-12-01 | 0.02846853 |
| 2004-01-01 | 0.13476317 |
| 2004-02-01 | 0.26414052 |
| 2004-03-01 | 0.09201016 |
| 2004-04-01 | 0.04587922 |
| 2004-05-01 | 0.35347886 |
| 2004-06-01 | 0.61928534 |
| 2004-07-01 | 0.48717238 |
| 2004-08-01 | 0.29176743 |
| 2004-09-01 | 0.26179182 |
| 2004-10-01 | 0.15418330 |
| 2004-11-01 | 0.25024530 |
| 2004-12-01 | 0.54232251 |
| 2005-01-01 | 0.43791620 |
| 2005-02-01 | 0.43394691 |
| 2005-03-01 | 0.45134010 |
| 2005-04-01 | 0.86944122 |
| 2005-05-01 | 0.73047118 |
| 2005-06-01 | 0.45828568 |
| 2005-07-01 | 0.37616555 |
| 2005-08-01 | 0.52859191 |
| 2005-09-01 | 0.85397998 |
| 2005-10-01 | 0.95033965 |
| 2005-11-01 | 0.78963294 |
| 2005-12-01 | 0.74194362 |
| 2006-01-01 | 0.62768515 |
| 2006-02-01 | 0.87612086 |
| 2006-03-01 | 0.69733404 |
| 2006-04-01 | 0.71816728 |
| 2006-05-01 | 0.90410042 |
| 2006-06-01 | 0.90135953 |
| 2006-07-01 | 0.76346064 |
| 2006-08-01 | 0.74272759 |
| 2006-09-01 | 0.77249489 |
| 2006-10-01 | 0.01819838 |
| 2006-11-01 | 0.01885042 |
| 2006-12-01 | 0.04541416 |
| 2007-01-01 | 0.09605715 |
| 2007-02-01 | 0.11696930 |
| 2007-03-01 | 0.36209341 |
| 2007-04-01 | 0.29809725 |
| 2007-05-01 | 0.09212717 |
| 2007-06-01 | 0.04842088 |
| 2007-07-01 | 0.04433106 |
| 2007-08-01 | 0.01397551 |
| 2007-09-01 | 0.00286628 |
| 2007-10-01 | 0.04347021 |
| 2007-11-01 | 0.21961103 |
| 2007-12-01 | 0.34281975 |
| 2008-01-01 | 0.41925939 |
| 2008-02-01 | 0.31912680 |
| 2008-03-01 | 0.49078617 |
| 2008-04-01 | 0.41746576 |
| 2008-05-01 | 0.36074316 |
| 2008-06-01 | 0.55775695 |
| 2008-07-01 | 0.76715790 |
| 2008-08-01 | 0.74362431 |
| 2008-09-01 | 0.56916649 |
| 2008-10-01 | 0.41051948 |
| 2008-11-01 | 0.03808317 |
| 2008-12-01 | 0.00007286 |
| 2009-01-01 | 0.00005313 |
| 2009-02-01 | 0.01484946 |
| 2009-03-01 | 0.00691630 |
| 2009-04-01 | 0.00027542 |
| 2009-05-01 | 0.00374844 |
| 2009-06-01 | 0.01035592 |
| 2009-07-01 | 0.01543770 |
| 2009-08-01 | 0.00016355 |
| 2009-09-01 | 0.00035459 |
| 2009-10-01 | 0.00034580 |
| 2009-11-01 | 0.00333570 |
| 2009-12-01 | 0.09816448 |
| 2010-01-01 | 0.10509532 |
| 2010-02-01 | 0.24329611 |
| 2010-03-01 | 0.03389180 |
| 2010-04-01 | 0.30370356 |
| 2010-05-01 | 0.37594643 |
| 2010-06-01 | 0.10750782 |
| 2010-07-01 | 0.01266539 |
| 2010-08-01 | 0.03113533 |
| 2010-09-01 | 0.04282073 |
| 2010-10-01 | 0.02211279 |
| 2010-11-01 | 0.06093143 |
| 2010-12-01 | 0.02075944 |
| 2011-01-01 | 0.05338718 |
| 2011-02-01 | 0.09905477 |
| 2011-03-01 | 0.09829476 |
| 2011-04-01 | 0.09977132 |
| 2011-05-01 | 0.38840772 |
| 2011-06-01 | 0.31637290 |
| 2011-07-01 | 0.31242387 |
| 2011-08-01 | 0.40037759 |
| 2011-09-01 | 0.36871625 |
| 2011-10-01 | 0.28421406 |
| 2011-11-01 | 0.10932827 |
| 2011-12-01 | 0.21856850 |
| 2012-01-01 | 0.17589921 |
| 2012-02-01 | 0.38844187 |
| 2012-03-01 | 0.35277180 |
| 2012-04-01 | 0.37495885 |
| 2012-05-01 | 0.20899230 |
| 2012-06-01 | 0.11746823 |
| 2012-07-01 | 0.09845740 |
| 2012-08-01 | 0.18470267 |
| 2012-09-01 | 0.29687810 |
| 2012-10-01 | 0.24602213 |
| 2012-11-01 | 0.14122896 |
| 2012-12-01 | 0.12602092 |
| 2013-01-01 | 0.14500490 |
| 2013-02-01 | 0.19007382 |
| 2013-03-01 | 0.22071069 |
| 2013-04-01 | 0.20218274 |
| 2013-05-01 | 0.11221099 |
| 2013-06-01 | 0.16243559 |
| 2013-07-01 | 0.16712559 |
| 2013-08-01 | 0.17857160 |
| 2013-09-01 | 0.15495769 |
| 2013-10-01 | 0.10868025 |
| 2013-11-01 | 0.07396270 |
| 2013-12-01 | 0.11237100 |
| 2014-01-01 | 0.11724187 |
| 2014-02-01 | 0.08983997 |
| 2014-03-01 | 0.09267189 |
| 2014-04-01 | 0.21342376 |
| 2014-05-01 | 0.20938094 |
| 2014-06-01 | 0.15312582 |
| 2014-07-01 | 0.08387096 |
| 2014-08-01 | 0.11517484 |
| 2014-09-01 | 0.07561152 |
| 2014-10-01 | 0.08372099 |
| 2014-11-01 | 0.04350441 |
| 2014-12-01 | 0.05735739 |
| 2015-01-01 | 0.02995245 |
| 2015-02-01 | 0.01392457 |
| 2015-03-01 | 0.03593605 |
| 2015-04-01 | 0.04170234 |
| 2015-05-01 | 0.04729089 |
| 2015-06-01 | 0.09442866 |
| 2015-07-01 | 0.05552907 |
| 2015-08-01 | 0.02765635 |
| 2015-09-01 | 0.02236442 |
| 2015-10-01 | 0.04073096 |
| 2015-11-01 | 0.03439083 |
| 2015-12-01 | 0.02277334 |
| 2016-01-01 | 0.02260140 |
| 2016-02-01 | 0.04852511 |
| 2016-03-01 | 0.05772784 |
| 2016-04-01 | 0.14311515 |
| 2016-05-01 | 0.18065716 |
| 2016-06-01 | 0.32899316 |
| 2016-07-01 | 0.26499899 |
| 2016-08-01 | 0.15522067 |
| 2016-09-01 | 0.19735708 |
| 2016-10-01 | 0.18130153 |
| 2016-11-01 | 0.24032915 |
| 2016-12-01 | 0.32323388 |
| 2017-01-01 | 0.16909262 |
| 2017-02-01 | 0.19820769 |
| 2017-03-01 | 0.16755640 |
| 2017-04-01 | 0.09218140 |
| 2017-05-01 | 0.07443298 |
| 2017-06-01 | 0.10143766 |
| 2017-07-01 | 0.09105151 |
| 2017-08-01 | 0.08941580 |
| 2017-09-01 | 0.08485130 |
| 2017-10-01 | 0.10313779 |
| 2017-11-01 | 0.06771325 |
| 2017-12-01 | 0.10108871 |
| 2018-01-01 | 0.10582323 |
| 2018-02-01 | 0.19565828 |
| 2018-03-01 | 0.11023877 |
| 2018-04-01 | 0.10721349 |
| 2018-05-01 | 0.13955362 |
| 2018-06-01 | 0.28624477 |
| 2018-07-01 | 0.13842591 |
| 2018-08-01 | 0.11323804 |
| 2018-09-01 | 0.04311116 |
| 2018-10-01 | 0.08869977 |
| 2018-11-01 | 0.14161645 |
| 2018-12-01 | 0.07971623 |
| 2019-01-01 | 0.03926773 |
| 2019-02-01 | 0.05053135 |
| 2019-03-01 | 0.06872923 |
| 2019-04-01 | 0.08904593 |
| 2019-05-01 | 0.11477576 |
| 2019-06-01 | 0.04170194 |
| 2019-07-01 | 0.04158979 |
| 2019-08-01 | 0.02958905 |
| 2019-09-01 | 0.03823781 |
| 2019-10-01 | 0.03177851 |
| 2019-11-01 | 0.06059964 |
| 2019-12-01 | 0.05300772 |
| 2020-01-01 | 0.09169831 |
| 2020-02-01 | 0.15025952 |
| 2020-03-01 | 0.07162658 |
| 2020-04-01 | 0.01133936 |
| 2020-05-01 | 0.00172035 |
| 2020-06-01 | 0.03082314 |
| 2020-07-01 | 0.07914801 |
| 2020-08-01 | 0.20634772 |
| 2020-09-01 | 0.27967810 |
| 2020-10-01 | 0.20117839 |
| 2020-11-01 | 0.10944528 |
| 2020-12-01 | 0.10677450 |
| 2021-01-01 | 0.16649815 |
| 2021-02-01 | 0.23429986 |
| 2021-03-01 | 0.30956193 |
| 2021-04-01 | 0.79977952 |
| 2021-05-01 | 0.82570406 |
| 2021-06-01 | 0.85616731 |
| 2021-07-01 | 0.86904852 |
| 2021-08-01 | 0.82834368 |
| 2021-09-01 | 0.83855907 |
| 2021-10-01 | 0.76027307 |
| 2021-11-01 | 0.88432582 |
| 2021-12-01 | 0.92256465 |
| 2022-01-01 | 0.92613533 |
| 2022-02-01 | 0.92575860 |
| 2022-03-01 | 0.96576924 |
| 2022-04-01 | 0.97964567 |
| 2022-05-01 | 0.94209679 |
| 2022-06-01 | 0.94072080 |
| 2022-07-01 | 0.91318968 |
| 2022-08-01 | 0.77704943 |
| 2022-09-01 | 0.86470274 |
| 2022-10-01 | 0.79289254 |
| 2022-11-01 | 0.76908455 |
| 2022-12-01 | 0.86137090 |
| 2023-01-01 | 0.74896989 |
| 2023-02-01 | 0.83847535 |
| 2023-03-01 | 0.83668408 |
| 2023-04-01 | 0.74969642 |
| 2023-05-01 | 0.87398081 |
| 2023-06-01 | 0.71424239 |
| 2023-07-01 | 0.59263031 |
| 2023-08-01 | 0.89544065 |
| 2023-09-01 | 0.81468267 |
| 2023-10-01 | 0.86015884 |
| 2023-11-01 | 0.55315880 |
| 2023-12-01 | 0.32396234 |
| 2024-01-01 | 0.21151631 |
| 2024-02-01 | 0.41599799 |
| 2024-03-01 | 0.59467831 |
| 2024-04-01 | 0.65918525 |
| 2024-05-01 | 0.65577392 |
| 2024-06-01 | 0.35820145 |
| 2024-07-01 | 0.33985423 |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.31542810 |
| 2024-09-01 | 0.19541497 |
| 2024-10-01 | 0.15640511 |
| 2024-11-01 | 0.34439795 |
| 2024-12-01 | 0.27919007 |
| 2025-01-01 | 0.48456265 |
| 2025-02-01 | 0.56789785 |
| 2025-03-01 | 0.59932500 |
| 2025-04-01 | 0.16801932 |
| 2025-05-01 | 0.13104636 |
| 2025-06-01 | 0.28807951 |
| 2025-07-01 | 0.41693267 |
| 2025-08-01 | 0.46042232 |
| 2025-09-01 | 0.35671712 |
| 2025-10-01 | 0.36502300 |
| 2025-11-01 | 0.26870371 |
| 2025-12-01 | 0.39495932 |
| 2026-01-01 | 0.54758747 |
| 2026-02-01 | 0.59372026 |
| 2026-03-01 | 0.78064140 |
| 2026-04-01 | 0.99917371 |
| 2026-05-01 | 0.99957222 |