Table Data - Inflation Between 0 and 1.5 Percent
| Title | Inflation Between 0 and 1.5 Percent |
|---|---|
| Series ID | STLPPMLOW |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| Release | St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures (Not a Press Release) |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Not Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Probability |
| Date Range | 1990-01-01 to 2026-02-01 |
| Last Updated | 2026-03-13 1:13 PM CDT |
| Notes | This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will range between 0 and 1.5 percent. For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure. As of April 5, 2023, the MZM Money Stock measure, in SA billions of dollars, has been replaced with the series Revolving Consumer Credit Outstanding (break-adjusted), in SA billions of dollars, from the Federal Reserve’s monthly G.19 release. This change was made because the MZM series was discontinued. As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series. As of January 29, 2021, the Adjusted Monetary Base (including Deposits to Satisfy Clearing Balance Contracts) Seasonally Adjusted, in billions of dollars has been replaced with the series, Monetary Base, NSA, in billions of dollars. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1990-01-01 | 0.04506900 |
| 1990-02-01 | 0.02778832 |
| 1990-03-01 | 0.04532752 |
| 1990-04-01 | 0.04356262 |
| 1990-05-01 | 0.06925261 |
| 1990-06-01 | 0.06686744 |
| 1990-07-01 | 0.04386927 |
| 1990-08-01 | 0.06778128 |
| 1990-09-01 | 0.10218978 |
| 1990-10-01 | 0.02599227 |
| 1990-11-01 | 0.03691569 |
| 1990-12-01 | 0.04320976 |
| 1991-01-01 | 0.03601274 |
| 1991-02-01 | 0.02682954 |
| 1991-03-01 | 0.03036937 |
| 1991-04-01 | 0.05116319 |
| 1991-05-01 | 0.05438315 |
| 1991-06-01 | 0.05004350 |
| 1991-07-01 | 0.04304801 |
| 1991-08-01 | 0.05379406 |
| 1991-09-01 | 0.06316842 |
| 1991-10-01 | 0.05664468 |
| 1991-11-01 | 0.06258952 |
| 1991-12-01 | 0.06727531 |
| 1992-01-01 | 0.12027863 |
| 1992-02-01 | 0.09625694 |
| 1992-03-01 | 0.10117444 |
| 1992-04-01 | 0.07689422 |
| 1992-05-01 | 0.08048679 |
| 1992-06-01 | 0.09813706 |
| 1992-07-01 | 0.08653614 |
| 1992-08-01 | 0.10253286 |
| 1992-09-01 | 0.10170263 |
| 1992-10-01 | 0.10493874 |
| 1992-11-01 | 0.08346448 |
| 1992-12-01 | 0.08878211 |
| 1993-01-01 | 0.10814081 |
| 1993-02-01 | 0.09302456 |
| 1993-03-01 | 0.11992712 |
| 1993-04-01 | 0.10401078 |
| 1993-05-01 | 0.11121942 |
| 1993-06-01 | 0.07281765 |
| 1993-07-01 | 0.09816360 |
| 1993-08-01 | 0.09057447 |
| 1993-09-01 | 0.11275257 |
| 1993-10-01 | 0.10877421 |
| 1993-11-01 | 0.11789958 |
| 1993-12-01 | 0.06578263 |
| 1994-01-01 | 0.19000244 |
| 1994-02-01 | 0.19022565 |
| 1994-03-01 | 0.11085189 |
| 1994-04-01 | 0.10305414 |
| 1994-05-01 | 0.10156517 |
| 1994-06-01 | 0.12594904 |
| 1994-07-01 | 0.16014114 |
| 1994-08-01 | 0.12983625 |
| 1994-09-01 | 0.09063040 |
| 1994-10-01 | 0.10854808 |
| 1994-11-01 | 0.10992447 |
| 1994-12-01 | 0.06770940 |
| 1995-01-01 | 0.09442739 |
| 1995-02-01 | 0.06984052 |
| 1995-03-01 | 0.08871737 |
| 1995-04-01 | 0.06901723 |
| 1995-05-01 | 0.10494180 |
| 1995-06-01 | 0.08532236 |
| 1995-07-01 | 0.11908944 |
| 1995-08-01 | 0.14863085 |
| 1995-09-01 | 0.13506561 |
| 1995-10-01 | 0.26513862 |
| 1995-11-01 | 0.12179819 |
| 1995-12-01 | 0.25837598 |
| 1996-01-01 | 0.25425720 |
| 1996-02-01 | 0.17654606 |
| 1996-03-01 | 0.20908151 |
| 1996-04-01 | 0.09901814 |
| 1996-05-01 | 0.09967040 |
| 1996-06-01 | 0.07382026 |
| 1996-07-01 | 0.11584120 |
| 1996-08-01 | 0.05867799 |
| 1996-09-01 | 0.14658803 |
| 1996-10-01 | 0.08391273 |
| 1996-11-01 | 0.10195245 |
| 1996-12-01 | 0.08961473 |
| 1997-01-01 | 0.03314169 |
| 1997-02-01 | 0.01920480 |
| 1997-03-01 | 0.03012877 |
| 1997-04-01 | 0.10926180 |
| 1997-05-01 | 0.09339889 |
| 1997-06-01 | 0.34707184 |
| 1997-07-01 | 0.15299599 |
| 1997-08-01 | 0.24982947 |
| 1997-09-01 | 0.33983073 |
| 1997-10-01 | 0.27711426 |
| 1997-11-01 | 0.34646307 |
| 1997-12-01 | 0.39727943 |
| 1998-01-01 | 0.69805387 |
| 1998-02-01 | 0.77684747 |
| 1998-03-01 | 0.77539678 |
| 1998-04-01 | 0.52421605 |
| 1998-05-01 | 0.64845548 |
| 1998-06-01 | 0.50460841 |
| 1998-07-01 | 0.74511398 |
| 1998-08-01 | 0.58156628 |
| 1998-09-01 | 0.63805732 |
| 1998-10-01 | 0.80187544 |
| 1998-11-01 | 0.67881719 |
| 1998-12-01 | 0.80380974 |
| 1999-01-01 | 0.91793773 |
| 1999-02-01 | 0.83057650 |
| 1999-03-01 | 0.90823308 |
| 1999-04-01 | 0.82290771 |
| 1999-05-01 | 0.26542958 |
| 1999-06-01 | 0.66516331 |
| 1999-07-01 | 0.65691377 |
| 1999-08-01 | 0.37827266 |
| 1999-09-01 | 0.31795938 |
| 1999-10-01 | 0.12157647 |
| 1999-11-01 | 0.21224277 |
| 1999-12-01 | 0.12396847 |
| 2000-01-01 | 0.07118858 |
| 2000-02-01 | 0.03896841 |
| 2000-03-01 | 0.01236303 |
| 2000-04-01 | 0.00169727 |
| 2000-05-01 | 0.04788703 |
| 2000-06-01 | 0.00388428 |
| 2000-07-01 | 0.00594482 |
| 2000-08-01 | 0.01090009 |
| 2000-09-01 | 0.01428986 |
| 2000-10-01 | 0.02435458 |
| 2000-11-01 | 0.02660900 |
| 2000-12-01 | 0.00981092 |
| 2001-01-01 | 0.02139814 |
| 2001-02-01 | 0.00400960 |
| 2001-03-01 | 0.00634911 |
| 2001-04-01 | 0.16650629 |
| 2001-05-01 | 0.00766790 |
| 2001-06-01 | 0.00398145 |
| 2001-07-01 | 0.00593154 |
| 2001-08-01 | 0.01830264 |
| 2001-09-01 | 0.05215683 |
| 2001-10-01 | 0.60975970 |
| 2001-11-01 | 0.28264038 |
| 2001-12-01 | 0.65749328 |
| 2002-01-01 | 0.77446533 |
| 2002-02-01 | 0.81479256 |
| 2002-03-01 | 0.76451997 |
| 2002-04-01 | 0.49739012 |
| 2002-05-01 | 0.46121995 |
| 2002-06-01 | 0.69528379 |
| 2002-07-01 | 0.69250141 |
| 2002-08-01 | 0.60914413 |
| 2002-09-01 | 0.59723348 |
| 2002-10-01 | 0.53786995 |
| 2002-11-01 | 0.20155607 |
| 2002-12-01 | 0.29366451 |
| 2003-01-01 | 0.27539243 |
| 2003-02-01 | 0.32988124 |
| 2003-03-01 | 0.09293153 |
| 2003-04-01 | 0.13502776 |
| 2003-05-01 | 0.77516438 |
| 2003-06-01 | 0.71837745 |
| 2003-07-01 | 0.55319125 |
| 2003-08-01 | 0.21246149 |
| 2003-09-01 | 0.21847857 |
| 2003-10-01 | 0.29981651 |
| 2003-11-01 | 0.27002827 |
| 2003-12-01 | 0.25339941 |
| 2004-01-01 | 0.06866431 |
| 2004-02-01 | 0.03563579 |
| 2004-03-01 | 0.09093872 |
| 2004-04-01 | 0.19393814 |
| 2004-05-01 | 0.01757098 |
| 2004-06-01 | 0.01128928 |
| 2004-07-01 | 0.02602066 |
| 2004-08-01 | 0.09233849 |
| 2004-09-01 | 0.07083933 |
| 2004-10-01 | 0.08193189 |
| 2004-11-01 | 0.05194812 |
| 2004-12-01 | 0.01989560 |
| 2005-01-01 | 0.02419460 |
| 2005-02-01 | 0.02015537 |
| 2005-03-01 | 0.01357999 |
| 2005-04-01 | 0.00036870 |
| 2005-05-01 | 0.00788530 |
| 2005-06-01 | 0.03828885 |
| 2005-07-01 | 0.03346346 |
| 2005-08-01 | 0.00783640 |
| 2005-09-01 | 0.00302806 |
| 2005-10-01 | 0.00004367 |
| 2005-11-01 | 0.00229304 |
| 2005-12-01 | 0.01703052 |
| 2006-01-01 | 0.02766573 |
| 2006-02-01 | 0.00108806 |
| 2006-03-01 | 0.00682339 |
| 2006-04-01 | 0.01094835 |
| 2006-05-01 | 0.00151619 |
| 2006-06-01 | 0.00099589 |
| 2006-07-01 | 0.00944462 |
| 2006-08-01 | 0.00863615 |
| 2006-09-01 | 0.01056463 |
| 2006-10-01 | 0.41793347 |
| 2006-11-01 | 0.31350897 |
| 2006-12-01 | 0.25047875 |
| 2007-01-01 | 0.12150388 |
| 2007-02-01 | 0.10152068 |
| 2007-03-01 | 0.01677920 |
| 2007-04-01 | 0.03536499 |
| 2007-05-01 | 0.15388232 |
| 2007-06-01 | 0.26387044 |
| 2007-07-01 | 0.26994029 |
| 2007-08-01 | 0.47196532 |
| 2007-09-01 | 0.54028875 |
| 2007-10-01 | 0.34055832 |
| 2007-11-01 | 0.14140408 |
| 2007-12-01 | 0.09327294 |
| 2008-01-01 | 0.12299296 |
| 2008-02-01 | 0.20218961 |
| 2008-03-01 | 0.09962388 |
| 2008-04-01 | 0.11236543 |
| 2008-05-01 | 0.12561629 |
| 2008-06-01 | 0.06985197 |
| 2008-07-01 | 0.02577977 |
| 2008-08-01 | 0.03315642 |
| 2008-09-01 | 0.10488220 |
| 2008-10-01 | 0.22763225 |
| 2008-11-01 | 0.37738491 |
| 2008-12-01 | 0.49549270 |
| 2009-01-01 | 0.10630619 |
| 2009-02-01 | 0.58014046 |
| 2009-03-01 | 0.48246753 |
| 2009-04-01 | 0.21968739 |
| 2009-05-01 | 0.55911284 |
| 2009-06-01 | 0.42231371 |
| 2009-07-01 | 0.34828688 |
| 2009-08-01 | 0.24811969 |
| 2009-09-01 | 0.49487836 |
| 2009-10-01 | 0.40894868 |
| 2009-11-01 | 0.74507505 |
| 2009-12-01 | 0.27843769 |
| 2010-01-01 | 0.28972643 |
| 2010-02-01 | 0.20519091 |
| 2010-03-01 | 0.50379035 |
| 2010-04-01 | 0.13505791 |
| 2010-05-01 | 0.10037076 |
| 2010-06-01 | 0.30199016 |
| 2010-07-01 | 0.67429583 |
| 2010-08-01 | 0.55817375 |
| 2010-09-01 | 0.55738860 |
| 2010-10-01 | 0.63824816 |
| 2010-11-01 | 0.52464633 |
| 2010-12-01 | 0.69614270 |
| 2011-01-01 | 0.51769163 |
| 2011-02-01 | 0.34906566 |
| 2011-03-01 | 0.30542088 |
| 2011-04-01 | 0.31104725 |
| 2011-05-01 | 0.12337087 |
| 2011-06-01 | 0.20939715 |
| 2011-07-01 | 0.16516065 |
| 2011-08-01 | 0.14976387 |
| 2011-09-01 | 0.18457922 |
| 2011-10-01 | 0.26719696 |
| 2011-11-01 | 0.39552599 |
| 2011-12-01 | 0.29809899 |
| 2012-01-01 | 0.28990204 |
| 2012-02-01 | 0.13863610 |
| 2012-03-01 | 0.12004288 |
| 2012-04-01 | 0.10718382 |
| 2012-05-01 | 0.18755862 |
| 2012-06-01 | 0.34983437 |
| 2012-07-01 | 0.43925464 |
| 2012-08-01 | 0.34144087 |
| 2012-09-01 | 0.16999811 |
| 2012-10-01 | 0.16024679 |
| 2012-11-01 | 0.25947193 |
| 2012-12-01 | 0.33095310 |
| 2013-01-01 | 0.33437782 |
| 2013-02-01 | 0.27384338 |
| 2013-03-01 | 0.15987867 |
| 2013-04-01 | 0.32256887 |
| 2013-05-01 | 0.52428424 |
| 2013-06-01 | 0.41204421 |
| 2013-07-01 | 0.26094739 |
| 2013-08-01 | 0.21353862 |
| 2013-09-01 | 0.29477362 |
| 2013-10-01 | 0.47353292 |
| 2013-11-01 | 0.59356708 |
| 2013-12-01 | 0.44681356 |
| 2014-01-01 | 0.41745295 |
| 2014-02-01 | 0.45901076 |
| 2014-03-01 | 0.51710456 |
| 2014-04-01 | 0.23019733 |
| 2014-05-01 | 0.18477922 |
| 2014-06-01 | 0.24772363 |
| 2014-07-01 | 0.43041951 |
| 2014-08-01 | 0.31829322 |
| 2014-09-01 | 0.48370692 |
| 2014-10-01 | 0.47716418 |
| 2014-11-01 | 0.61553314 |
| 2014-12-01 | 0.68779453 |
| 2015-01-01 | 0.74601526 |
| 2015-02-01 | 0.44979195 |
| 2015-03-01 | 0.69914213 |
| 2015-04-01 | 0.69911300 |
| 2015-05-01 | 0.67325637 |
| 2015-06-01 | 0.59832487 |
| 2015-07-01 | 0.66967005 |
| 2015-08-01 | 0.72671502 |
| 2015-09-01 | 0.72917598 |
| 2015-10-01 | 0.64010328 |
| 2015-11-01 | 0.65024249 |
| 2015-12-01 | 0.68071002 |
| 2016-01-01 | 0.75176507 |
| 2016-02-01 | 0.70793755 |
| 2016-03-01 | 0.65375618 |
| 2016-04-01 | 0.51954852 |
| 2016-05-01 | 0.35974926 |
| 2016-06-01 | 0.24135792 |
| 2016-07-01 | 0.28061975 |
| 2016-08-01 | 0.40586967 |
| 2016-09-01 | 0.38895341 |
| 2016-10-01 | 0.34854057 |
| 2016-11-01 | 0.23745033 |
| 2016-12-01 | 0.17003962 |
| 2017-01-01 | 0.23177202 |
| 2017-02-01 | 0.15620311 |
| 2017-03-01 | 0.18253073 |
| 2017-04-01 | 0.29334981 |
| 2017-05-01 | 0.31739646 |
| 2017-06-01 | 0.37189570 |
| 2017-07-01 | 0.37816892 |
| 2017-08-01 | 0.44259756 |
| 2017-09-01 | 0.32663049 |
| 2017-10-01 | 0.27300827 |
| 2017-11-01 | 0.34842133 |
| 2017-12-01 | 0.26586630 |
| 2018-01-01 | 0.25591440 |
| 2018-02-01 | 0.13631053 |
| 2018-03-01 | 0.23334265 |
| 2018-04-01 | 0.22991452 |
| 2018-05-01 | 0.18754063 |
| 2018-06-01 | 0.12175729 |
| 2018-07-01 | 0.20047300 |
| 2018-08-01 | 0.24850972 |
| 2018-09-01 | 0.38688744 |
| 2018-10-01 | 0.26270549 |
| 2018-11-01 | 0.19736430 |
| 2018-12-01 | 0.30685656 |
| 2019-01-01 | 0.40792518 |
| 2019-02-01 | 0.52913892 |
| 2019-03-01 | 0.35230586 |
| 2019-04-01 | 0.29858826 |
| 2019-05-01 | 0.21058095 |
| 2019-06-01 | 0.51539121 |
| 2019-07-01 | 0.55903679 |
| 2019-08-01 | 0.52229169 |
| 2019-09-01 | 0.47122967 |
| 2019-10-01 | 0.63033150 |
| 2019-11-01 | 0.47571814 |
| 2019-12-01 | 0.54113875 |
| 2020-01-01 | 0.26565715 |
| 2020-02-01 | 0.15516845 |
| 2020-03-01 | 0.41634241 |
| 2020-04-01 | 0.77483577 |
| 2020-05-01 | 0.12333164 |
| 2020-06-01 | 0.64702008 |
| 2020-07-01 | 0.43177013 |
| 2020-08-01 | 0.21818494 |
| 2020-09-01 | 0.10859568 |
| 2020-10-01 | 0.16831866 |
| 2020-11-01 | 0.27607112 |
| 2020-12-01 | 0.34485214 |
| 2021-01-01 | 0.18799249 |
| 2021-02-01 | 0.11605716 |
| 2021-03-01 | 0.08409976 |
| 2021-04-01 | 0.01824190 |
| 2021-05-01 | 0.02561849 |
| 2021-06-01 | 0.01880976 |
| 2021-07-01 | 0.01355832 |
| 2021-08-01 | 0.02420437 |
| 2021-09-01 | 0.01700672 |
| 2021-10-01 | 0.03375674 |
| 2021-11-01 | 0.01237237 |
| 2021-12-01 | 0.00704795 |
| 2022-01-01 | 0.00612170 |
| 2022-02-01 | 0.00929264 |
| 2022-03-01 | 0.00220742 |
| 2022-04-01 | 0.00116888 |
| 2022-05-01 | 0.00482303 |
| 2022-06-01 | 0.00600460 |
| 2022-07-01 | 0.01169494 |
| 2022-08-01 | 0.02258100 |
| 2022-09-01 | 0.01376667 |
| 2022-10-01 | 0.03551033 |
| 2022-11-01 | 0.04478538 |
| 2022-12-01 | 0.01471053 |
| 2023-01-01 | 0.03187592 |
| 2023-02-01 | 0.02144071 |
| 2023-03-01 | 0.01412112 |
| 2023-04-01 | 0.02230031 |
| 2023-05-01 | 0.00796559 |
| 2023-06-01 | 0.02862123 |
| 2023-07-01 | 0.05082186 |
| 2023-08-01 | 0.00806255 |
| 2023-09-01 | 0.02673629 |
| 2023-10-01 | 0.01042591 |
| 2023-11-01 | 0.05922885 |
| 2023-12-01 | 0.14777091 |
| 2024-01-01 | 0.21296125 |
| 2024-02-01 | 0.09391678 |
| 2024-03-01 | 0.06359658 |
| 2024-04-01 | 0.02960602 |
| 2024-05-01 | 0.04225127 |
| 2024-06-01 | 0.09041609 |
| 2024-07-01 | 0.11563687 |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.12177271 |
| 2024-09-01 | 0.15073340 |
| 2024-10-01 | 0.16699381 |
| 2024-11-01 | 0.10947145 |
| 2024-12-01 | 0.13525455 |
| 2025-01-01 | 0.08056459 |
| 2025-02-01 | 0.06902491 |
| 2025-03-01 | 0.03759192 |
| 2025-04-01 | 0.16857668 |
| 2025-05-01 | 0.20084003 |
| 2025-06-01 | 0.11830116 |
| 2025-07-01 | 0.07589786 |
| 2025-08-01 | 0.11297831 |
| 2025-09-01 | 0.12145883 |
| 2025-10-01 | 0.14724737 |
| 2025-11-01 | 0.18778785 |
| 2025-12-01 | 0.13239636 |
| 2026-01-01 | 0.08234588 |
| 2026-02-01 | 0.04634118 |