Table Data - Inflation Between 0 and 1.5 Percent
| Title | Inflation Between 0 and 1.5 Percent |
|---|---|
| Series ID | STLPPMLOW |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| Release | St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures (Not a Press Release) |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Not Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Probability |
| Date Range | 1990-01-01 to 2025-10-01 |
| Last Updated | 2025-12-05 1:23 PM CST |
| Notes | This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will range between 0 and 1.5 percent. For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure. As of April 5, 2023, the MZM Money Stock measure, in SA billions of dollars, has been replaced with the series Revolving Consumer Credit Outstanding (break-adjusted), in SA billions of dollars, from the Federal Reserve’s monthly G.19 release. This change was made because the MZM series was discontinued. As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series. As of January 29, 2021, the Adjusted Monetary Base (including Deposits to Satisfy Clearing Balance Contracts) Seasonally Adjusted, in billions of dollars has been replaced with the series, Monetary Base, NSA, in billions of dollars. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1990-01-01 | 0.06119228 |
| 1990-02-01 | 0.02980144 |
| 1990-03-01 | 0.04555992 |
| 1990-04-01 | 0.04358139 |
| 1990-05-01 | 0.05731853 |
| 1990-06-01 | 0.05044279 |
| 1990-07-01 | 0.05542571 |
| 1990-08-01 | 0.05757530 |
| 1990-09-01 | 0.07643619 |
| 1990-10-01 | 0.04570132 |
| 1990-11-01 | 0.05359869 |
| 1990-12-01 | 0.05478561 |
| 1991-01-01 | 0.03882476 |
| 1991-02-01 | 0.02911731 |
| 1991-03-01 | 0.03266131 |
| 1991-04-01 | 0.05571982 |
| 1991-05-01 | 0.05520076 |
| 1991-06-01 | 0.05121047 |
| 1991-07-01 | 0.04482386 |
| 1991-08-01 | 0.05603278 |
| 1991-09-01 | 0.06405444 |
| 1991-10-01 | 0.06174631 |
| 1991-11-01 | 0.06744756 |
| 1991-12-01 | 0.07246869 |
| 1992-01-01 | 0.12188859 |
| 1992-02-01 | 0.09693448 |
| 1992-03-01 | 0.10190045 |
| 1992-04-01 | 0.07726670 |
| 1992-05-01 | 0.08106345 |
| 1992-06-01 | 0.09927853 |
| 1992-07-01 | 0.08771853 |
| 1992-08-01 | 0.10435308 |
| 1992-09-01 | 0.10238743 |
| 1992-10-01 | 0.10640296 |
| 1992-11-01 | 0.08361529 |
| 1992-12-01 | 0.08901519 |
| 1993-01-01 | 0.10844405 |
| 1993-02-01 | 0.09250145 |
| 1993-03-01 | 0.11904903 |
| 1993-04-01 | 0.10465595 |
| 1993-05-01 | 0.11064694 |
| 1993-06-01 | 0.07093452 |
| 1993-07-01 | 0.09811985 |
| 1993-08-01 | 0.09032627 |
| 1993-09-01 | 0.11296054 |
| 1993-10-01 | 0.10906731 |
| 1993-11-01 | 0.12132885 |
| 1993-12-01 | 0.06600808 |
| 1994-01-01 | 0.18989844 |
| 1994-02-01 | 0.19113553 |
| 1994-03-01 | 0.11191053 |
| 1994-04-01 | 0.10575691 |
| 1994-05-01 | 0.10497365 |
| 1994-06-01 | 0.12817392 |
| 1994-07-01 | 0.16253728 |
| 1994-08-01 | 0.13181800 |
| 1994-09-01 | 0.09188384 |
| 1994-10-01 | 0.11076034 |
| 1994-11-01 | 0.11245314 |
| 1994-12-01 | 0.06947155 |
| 1995-01-01 | 0.09456166 |
| 1995-02-01 | 0.07142610 |
| 1995-03-01 | 0.08867280 |
| 1995-04-01 | 0.06891964 |
| 1995-05-01 | 0.10497568 |
| 1995-06-01 | 0.08550120 |
| 1995-07-01 | 0.12000714 |
| 1995-08-01 | 0.14895047 |
| 1995-09-01 | 0.13463848 |
| 1995-10-01 | 0.26451096 |
| 1995-11-01 | 0.12268976 |
| 1995-12-01 | 0.25860548 |
| 1996-01-01 | 0.25575294 |
| 1996-02-01 | 0.17982668 |
| 1996-03-01 | 0.21295489 |
| 1996-04-01 | 0.10120639 |
| 1996-05-01 | 0.09999938 |
| 1996-06-01 | 0.07390006 |
| 1996-07-01 | 0.11603904 |
| 1996-08-01 | 0.06022357 |
| 1996-09-01 | 0.14477952 |
| 1996-10-01 | 0.08649329 |
| 1996-11-01 | 0.10294078 |
| 1996-12-01 | 0.09206493 |
| 1997-01-01 | 0.03267584 |
| 1997-02-01 | 0.01902339 |
| 1997-03-01 | 0.03036605 |
| 1997-04-01 | 0.11495353 |
| 1997-05-01 | 0.08552663 |
| 1997-06-01 | 0.34647020 |
| 1997-07-01 | 0.15355029 |
| 1997-08-01 | 0.25018445 |
| 1997-09-01 | 0.33926119 |
| 1997-10-01 | 0.27982143 |
| 1997-11-01 | 0.35050344 |
| 1997-12-01 | 0.39815432 |
| 1998-01-01 | 0.69513562 |
| 1998-02-01 | 0.77349306 |
| 1998-03-01 | 0.78207958 |
| 1998-04-01 | 0.52594744 |
| 1998-05-01 | 0.64618628 |
| 1998-06-01 | 0.50465700 |
| 1998-07-01 | 0.75519425 |
| 1998-08-01 | 0.58066615 |
| 1998-09-01 | 0.63844271 |
| 1998-10-01 | 0.80827545 |
| 1998-11-01 | 0.68111693 |
| 1998-12-01 | 0.80567472 |
| 1999-01-01 | 0.91827178 |
| 1999-02-01 | 0.82651716 |
| 1999-03-01 | 0.90944697 |
| 1999-04-01 | 0.82301066 |
| 1999-05-01 | 0.26517765 |
| 1999-06-01 | 0.66581728 |
| 1999-07-01 | 0.65929299 |
| 1999-08-01 | 0.37902850 |
| 1999-09-01 | 0.31743560 |
| 1999-10-01 | 0.12083046 |
| 1999-11-01 | 0.21234106 |
| 1999-12-01 | 0.12436146 |
| 2000-01-01 | 0.07024856 |
| 2000-02-01 | 0.03797887 |
| 2000-03-01 | 0.01277794 |
| 2000-04-01 | 0.00169593 |
| 2000-05-01 | 0.04630469 |
| 2000-06-01 | 0.00387373 |
| 2000-07-01 | 0.00326805 |
| 2000-08-01 | 0.01059670 |
| 2000-09-01 | 0.01391450 |
| 2000-10-01 | 0.02420747 |
| 2000-11-01 | 0.02624076 |
| 2000-12-01 | 0.00958285 |
| 2001-01-01 | 0.02167783 |
| 2001-02-01 | 0.00388537 |
| 2001-03-01 | 0.00661922 |
| 2001-04-01 | 0.16609296 |
| 2001-05-01 | 0.00778715 |
| 2001-06-01 | 0.00394343 |
| 2001-07-01 | 0.00605016 |
| 2001-08-01 | 0.01864880 |
| 2001-09-01 | 0.05337859 |
| 2001-10-01 | 0.61172980 |
| 2001-11-01 | 0.28130803 |
| 2001-12-01 | 0.66024271 |
| 2002-01-01 | 0.77409131 |
| 2002-02-01 | 0.81176741 |
| 2002-03-01 | 0.76661413 |
| 2002-04-01 | 0.49555335 |
| 2002-05-01 | 0.46051655 |
| 2002-06-01 | 0.69454082 |
| 2002-07-01 | 0.69265938 |
| 2002-08-01 | 0.60805283 |
| 2002-09-01 | 0.59740329 |
| 2002-10-01 | 0.53536904 |
| 2002-11-01 | 0.20102323 |
| 2002-12-01 | 0.29332262 |
| 2003-01-01 | 0.27286234 |
| 2003-02-01 | 0.32570371 |
| 2003-03-01 | 0.09284084 |
| 2003-04-01 | 0.13474532 |
| 2003-05-01 | 0.77601895 |
| 2003-06-01 | 0.71608578 |
| 2003-07-01 | 0.55191433 |
| 2003-08-01 | 0.21220181 |
| 2003-09-01 | 0.21862843 |
| 2003-10-01 | 0.29646262 |
| 2003-11-01 | 0.26724843 |
| 2003-12-01 | 0.25191084 |
| 2004-01-01 | 0.06740483 |
| 2004-02-01 | 0.03452237 |
| 2004-03-01 | 0.09122969 |
| 2004-04-01 | 0.19025701 |
| 2004-05-01 | 0.01712062 |
| 2004-06-01 | 0.01107951 |
| 2004-07-01 | 0.02516567 |
| 2004-08-01 | 0.09136535 |
| 2004-09-01 | 0.06923176 |
| 2004-10-01 | 0.06601774 |
| 2004-11-01 | 0.05085754 |
| 2004-12-01 | 0.01929587 |
| 2005-01-01 | 0.02354977 |
| 2005-02-01 | 0.01988010 |
| 2005-03-01 | 0.01316945 |
| 2005-04-01 | 0.00036908 |
| 2005-05-01 | 0.00782066 |
| 2005-06-01 | 0.03830523 |
| 2005-07-01 | 0.06210939 |
| 2005-08-01 | 0.00776282 |
| 2005-09-01 | 0.00287628 |
| 2005-10-01 | 0.00003959 |
| 2005-11-01 | 0.00233875 |
| 2005-12-01 | 0.01668768 |
| 2006-01-01 | 0.02758786 |
| 2006-02-01 | 0.00109022 |
| 2006-03-01 | 0.00688173 |
| 2006-04-01 | 0.01086442 |
| 2006-05-01 | 0.00154649 |
| 2006-06-01 | 0.00104404 |
| 2006-07-01 | 0.00944440 |
| 2006-08-01 | 0.00892919 |
| 2006-09-01 | 0.01058539 |
| 2006-10-01 | 0.39691882 |
| 2006-11-01 | 0.31304876 |
| 2006-12-01 | 0.25349192 |
| 2007-01-01 | 0.12086608 |
| 2007-02-01 | 0.10233862 |
| 2007-03-01 | 0.01731451 |
| 2007-04-01 | 0.03570928 |
| 2007-05-01 | 0.15898522 |
| 2007-06-01 | 0.26740934 |
| 2007-07-01 | 0.27686882 |
| 2007-08-01 | 0.47782603 |
| 2007-09-01 | 0.54550640 |
| 2007-10-01 | 0.34553982 |
| 2007-11-01 | 0.14893130 |
| 2007-12-01 | 0.09667569 |
| 2008-01-01 | 0.12652748 |
| 2008-02-01 | 0.20659993 |
| 2008-03-01 | 0.09929438 |
| 2008-04-01 | 0.10816524 |
| 2008-05-01 | 0.12623323 |
| 2008-06-01 | 0.06614476 |
| 2008-07-01 | 0.02526496 |
| 2008-08-01 | 0.03373204 |
| 2008-09-01 | 0.10119016 |
| 2008-10-01 | 0.22595484 |
| 2008-11-01 | 0.37689242 |
| 2008-12-01 | 0.43747184 |
| 2009-01-01 | 0.10467083 |
| 2009-02-01 | 0.58087560 |
| 2009-03-01 | 0.48816498 |
| 2009-04-01 | 0.22018530 |
| 2009-05-01 | 0.55695295 |
| 2009-06-01 | 0.42579962 |
| 2009-07-01 | 0.34861917 |
| 2009-08-01 | 0.24696415 |
| 2009-09-01 | 0.50136918 |
| 2009-10-01 | 0.40834748 |
| 2009-11-01 | 0.74942251 |
| 2009-12-01 | 0.28049655 |
| 2010-01-01 | 0.29093784 |
| 2010-02-01 | 0.20924986 |
| 2010-03-01 | 0.49742041 |
| 2010-04-01 | 0.13490142 |
| 2010-05-01 | 0.10130912 |
| 2010-06-01 | 0.30343334 |
| 2010-07-01 | 0.67084807 |
| 2010-08-01 | 0.57393852 |
| 2010-09-01 | 0.54700062 |
| 2010-10-01 | 0.64016144 |
| 2010-11-01 | 0.52615487 |
| 2010-12-01 | 0.69401055 |
| 2011-01-01 | 0.52531028 |
| 2011-02-01 | 0.34508118 |
| 2011-03-01 | 0.30937752 |
| 2011-04-01 | 0.31013726 |
| 2011-05-01 | 0.12188548 |
| 2011-06-01 | 0.20915306 |
| 2011-07-01 | 0.16422082 |
| 2011-08-01 | 0.15674941 |
| 2011-09-01 | 0.17761176 |
| 2011-10-01 | 0.26530222 |
| 2011-11-01 | 0.40038955 |
| 2011-12-01 | 0.29046124 |
| 2012-01-01 | 0.28968755 |
| 2012-02-01 | 0.13831479 |
| 2012-03-01 | 0.12340820 |
| 2012-04-01 | 0.10600581 |
| 2012-05-01 | 0.18548368 |
| 2012-06-01 | 0.35232763 |
| 2012-07-01 | 0.43542020 |
| 2012-08-01 | 0.35033144 |
| 2012-09-01 | 0.16431551 |
| 2012-10-01 | 0.15914230 |
| 2012-11-01 | 0.25913706 |
| 2012-12-01 | 0.32962585 |
| 2013-01-01 | 0.33808550 |
| 2013-02-01 | 0.27318260 |
| 2013-03-01 | 0.15724973 |
| 2013-04-01 | 0.32576616 |
| 2013-05-01 | 0.52350878 |
| 2013-06-01 | 0.40771178 |
| 2013-07-01 | 0.25913389 |
| 2013-08-01 | 0.21622735 |
| 2013-09-01 | 0.28824098 |
| 2013-10-01 | 0.47236332 |
| 2013-11-01 | 0.59420588 |
| 2013-12-01 | 0.44722252 |
| 2014-01-01 | 0.41241281 |
| 2014-02-01 | 0.46536327 |
| 2014-03-01 | 0.51399822 |
| 2014-04-01 | 0.22994238 |
| 2014-05-01 | 0.18347581 |
| 2014-06-01 | 0.24894070 |
| 2014-07-01 | 0.43068263 |
| 2014-08-01 | 0.31772442 |
| 2014-09-01 | 0.48366063 |
| 2014-10-01 | 0.47457558 |
| 2014-11-01 | 0.61487245 |
| 2014-12-01 | 0.68836154 |
| 2015-01-01 | 0.74522595 |
| 2015-02-01 | 0.44693164 |
| 2015-03-01 | 0.69858606 |
| 2015-04-01 | 0.69995755 |
| 2015-05-01 | 0.67355288 |
| 2015-06-01 | 0.59748025 |
| 2015-07-01 | 0.66953110 |
| 2015-08-01 | 0.72700702 |
| 2015-09-01 | 0.72894789 |
| 2015-10-01 | 0.64024071 |
| 2015-11-01 | 0.65027460 |
| 2015-12-01 | 0.68185470 |
| 2016-01-01 | 0.75245762 |
| 2016-02-01 | 0.71038717 |
| 2016-03-01 | 0.64930197 |
| 2016-04-01 | 0.53716763 |
| 2016-05-01 | 0.35818788 |
| 2016-06-01 | 0.24246305 |
| 2016-07-01 | 0.27803704 |
| 2016-08-01 | 0.40302446 |
| 2016-09-01 | 0.39183345 |
| 2016-10-01 | 0.34567339 |
| 2016-11-01 | 0.23517232 |
| 2016-12-01 | 0.16961096 |
| 2017-01-01 | 0.23304510 |
| 2017-02-01 | 0.15689982 |
| 2017-03-01 | 0.18038670 |
| 2017-04-01 | 0.29529941 |
| 2017-05-01 | 0.31514811 |
| 2017-06-01 | 0.37568631 |
| 2017-07-01 | 0.37676303 |
| 2017-08-01 | 0.44462506 |
| 2017-09-01 | 0.32563359 |
| 2017-10-01 | 0.27230135 |
| 2017-11-01 | 0.34987869 |
| 2017-12-01 | 0.26327339 |
| 2018-01-01 | 0.25725115 |
| 2018-02-01 | 0.13628144 |
| 2018-03-01 | 0.23454419 |
| 2018-04-01 | 0.23262663 |
| 2018-05-01 | 0.18767378 |
| 2018-06-01 | 0.12052929 |
| 2018-07-01 | 0.20036271 |
| 2018-08-01 | 0.24846459 |
| 2018-09-01 | 0.38569471 |
| 2018-10-01 | 0.26618336 |
| 2018-11-01 | 0.19652034 |
| 2018-12-01 | 0.30791389 |
| 2019-01-01 | 0.40436803 |
| 2019-02-01 | 0.53100949 |
| 2019-03-01 | 0.35585698 |
| 2019-04-01 | 0.30476201 |
| 2019-05-01 | 0.20669040 |
| 2019-06-01 | 0.51717636 |
| 2019-07-01 | 0.55509484 |
| 2019-08-01 | 0.52770864 |
| 2019-09-01 | 0.47133510 |
| 2019-10-01 | 0.63477744 |
| 2019-11-01 | 0.47549108 |
| 2019-12-01 | 0.54164339 |
| 2020-01-01 | 0.26556088 |
| 2020-02-01 | 0.17406068 |
| 2020-03-01 | 0.42663782 |
| 2020-04-01 | 0.77182892 |
| 2020-05-01 | 0.12402509 |
| 2020-06-01 | 0.65633731 |
| 2020-07-01 | 0.45181412 |
| 2020-08-01 | 0.22048500 |
| 2020-09-01 | 0.10365592 |
| 2020-10-01 | 0.17732814 |
| 2020-11-01 | 0.29294576 |
| 2020-12-01 | 0.35931848 |
| 2021-01-01 | 0.18925243 |
| 2021-02-01 | 0.11637345 |
| 2021-03-01 | 0.07734596 |
| 2021-04-01 | 0.01871993 |
| 2021-05-01 | 0.02355055 |
| 2021-06-01 | 0.01737631 |
| 2021-07-01 | 0.01489280 |
| 2021-08-01 | 0.02207490 |
| 2021-09-01 | 0.01584237 |
| 2021-10-01 | 0.03208720 |
| 2021-11-01 | 0.01253745 |
| 2021-12-01 | 0.00663231 |
| 2022-01-01 | 0.00580746 |
| 2022-02-01 | 0.00949925 |
| 2022-03-01 | 0.00206264 |
| 2022-04-01 | 0.00106372 |
| 2022-05-01 | 0.00498131 |
| 2022-06-01 | 0.00577041 |
| 2022-07-01 | 0.01148993 |
| 2022-08-01 | 0.02345920 |
| 2022-09-01 | 0.01317744 |
| 2022-10-01 | 0.03654590 |
| 2022-11-01 | 0.04484551 |
| 2022-12-01 | 0.01379762 |
| 2023-01-01 | 0.02991625 |
| 2023-02-01 | 0.02265160 |
| 2023-03-01 | 0.01323807 |
| 2023-04-01 | 0.02294152 |
| 2023-05-01 | 0.00906886 |
| 2023-06-01 | 0.03103013 |
| 2023-07-01 | 0.05210441 |
| 2023-08-01 | 0.00914543 |
| 2023-09-01 | 0.02487536 |
| 2023-10-01 | 0.01049988 |
| 2023-11-01 | 0.06342755 |
| 2023-12-01 | 0.14112239 |
| 2024-01-01 | 0.22864892 |
| 2024-02-01 | 0.13049666 |
| 2024-03-01 | 0.03494981 |
| 2024-04-01 | 0.04194166 |
| 2024-05-01 | 0.04927516 |
| 2024-06-01 | 0.10546350 |
| 2024-07-01 | 0.13693925 |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.12164249 |
| 2024-09-01 | 0.17425032 |
| 2024-10-01 | 0.21371582 |
| 2024-11-01 | 0.14729161 |
| 2024-12-01 | 0.17243313 |
| 2025-01-01 | 0.11432560 |
| 2025-02-01 | 0.00075618 |
| 2025-03-01 | 0.00001323 |
| 2025-04-01 | 0.00260010 |
| 2025-05-01 | 0.01040933 |
| 2025-06-01 | 0.00055045 |
| 2025-07-01 | 0.00013038 |
| 2025-08-01 | 0.00007877 |
| 2025-09-01 | 0.00033470 |
| 2025-10-01 | 0.00005353 |