NOTE: THIS DATA FILE WILL CHANGE! To improve accessibility of data for all users, we will convert this file from a text format to an html table by the end of June 2024. Title: Inflation Between 0 and 1.5 Percent Series ID: STLPPMLOW Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Release: St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures (Not a Press Release) Seasonal Adjustment: Not Seasonally Adjusted Frequency: Monthly Units: Probability Date Range: 1990-01-01 to 2024-04-01 Last Updated: 2024-04-26 6:29 PM CDT Notes: This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will range between 0 and 1.5 percent. For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure (https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economic-synopses/2015/11/06/introducing-the-st-louis-fed-price-pressures-measure/). As of April 5, 2023, the MZM Money Stock measure, in SA billions of dollars, has been replaced with the series Revolving Consumer Credit Outstanding (break-adjusted), in SA billions of dollars, from the Federal Reserve’s monthly G.19 release. This change was made because the MZM series was discontinued. As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series. As of January 29, 2021, the Adjusted Monetary Base (including Deposits to Satisfy Clearing Balance Contracts) Seasonally Adjusted, in billions of dollars has been replaced with the series, Monetary Base, NSA, in billions of dollars. DATE VALUE 1990-01-01 0.06969467 1990-02-01 0.03352415 1990-03-01 0.04675656 1990-04-01 0.04814681 1990-05-01 0.04947260 1990-06-01 0.05696163 1990-07-01 0.05068624 1990-08-01 0.06266269 1990-09-01 0.09243280 1990-10-01 0.03784228 1990-11-01 0.04605197 1990-12-01 0.04957344 1991-01-01 0.03893346 1991-02-01 0.02894227 1991-03-01 0.03340073 1991-04-01 0.05617505 1991-05-01 0.05470047 1991-06-01 0.05123775 1991-07-01 0.04390022 1991-08-01 0.05642468 1991-09-01 0.06457270 1991-10-01 0.06343398 1991-11-01 0.06855463 1991-12-01 0.07437986 1992-01-01 0.12441350 1992-02-01 0.09774668 1992-03-01 0.10480655 1992-04-01 0.07745914 1992-05-01 0.08189569 1992-06-01 0.09947693 1992-07-01 0.08768469 1992-08-01 0.10581819 1992-09-01 0.10465555 1992-10-01 0.10724967 1992-11-01 0.08498621 1992-12-01 0.09026894 1993-01-01 0.10899586 1993-02-01 0.09316662 1993-03-01 0.12118981 1993-04-01 0.10417178 1993-05-01 0.11332942 1993-06-01 0.07023803 1993-07-01 0.09735664 1993-08-01 0.08901931 1993-09-01 0.11452022 1993-10-01 0.10926137 1993-11-01 0.12468415 1993-12-01 0.06461253 1994-01-01 0.19086761 1994-02-01 0.19088060 1994-03-01 0.10974529 1994-04-01 0.10324408 1994-05-01 0.10082989 1994-06-01 0.12436345 1994-07-01 0.15930674 1994-08-01 0.13060936 1994-09-01 0.09222980 1994-10-01 0.10960174 1994-11-01 0.11099773 1994-12-01 0.06976151 1995-01-01 0.09357835 1995-02-01 0.07238239 1995-03-01 0.08957619 1995-04-01 0.06889632 1995-05-01 0.10347940 1995-06-01 0.08463417 1995-07-01 0.12137027 1995-08-01 0.14933957 1995-09-01 0.13297023 1995-10-01 0.26824285 1995-11-01 0.12389260 1995-12-01 0.26164264 1996-01-01 0.25084195 1996-02-01 0.18081393 1996-03-01 0.20492308 1996-04-01 0.09900295 1996-05-01 0.09828889 1996-06-01 0.07430814 1996-07-01 0.11180328 1996-08-01 0.05759537 1996-09-01 0.14507712 1996-10-01 0.08621025 1996-11-01 0.10201665 1996-12-01 0.09276126 1997-01-01 0.03212960 1997-02-01 0.01907229 1997-03-01 0.02926911 1997-04-01 0.11296342 1997-05-01 0.08217714 1997-06-01 0.34487573 1997-07-01 0.15523374 1997-08-01 0.25219490 1997-09-01 0.33858030 1997-10-01 0.27554294 1997-11-01 0.35190432 1997-12-01 0.40029423 1998-01-01 0.69154862 1998-02-01 0.77619432 1998-03-01 0.76962038 1998-04-01 0.51422758 1998-05-01 0.64573068 1998-06-01 0.50080266 1998-07-01 0.74346952 1998-08-01 0.57434169 1998-09-01 0.63457844 1998-10-01 0.79985508 1998-11-01 0.67278453 1998-12-01 0.79760856 1999-01-01 0.92005544 1999-02-01 0.83070517 1999-03-01 0.90613243 1999-04-01 0.81583054 1999-05-01 0.25951041 1999-06-01 0.65753431 1999-07-01 0.65009004 1999-08-01 0.37051035 1999-09-01 0.31043208 1999-10-01 0.11904435 1999-11-01 0.20797268 1999-12-01 0.11959972 2000-01-01 0.07030239 2000-02-01 0.03973327 2000-03-01 0.01111452 2000-04-01 0.00166107 2000-05-01 0.04568043 2000-06-01 0.00365868 2000-07-01 0.00555882 2000-08-01 0.01072969 2000-09-01 0.01350711 2000-10-01 0.02442910 2000-11-01 0.02580942 2000-12-01 0.00935058 2001-01-01 0.02092826 2001-02-01 0.00388786 2001-03-01 0.00618105 2001-04-01 0.16372883 2001-05-01 0.00746976 2001-06-01 0.00384792 2001-07-01 0.00582250 2001-08-01 0.01777224 2001-09-01 0.05071904 2001-10-01 0.61199958 2001-11-01 0.27474585 2001-12-01 0.66009426 2002-01-01 0.77364465 2002-02-01 0.81245722 2002-03-01 0.76264020 2002-04-01 0.49453051 2002-05-01 0.45596726 2002-06-01 0.68970242 2002-07-01 0.68808907 2002-08-01 0.60367878 2002-09-01 0.59124937 2002-10-01 0.53048087 2002-11-01 0.19994730 2002-12-01 0.29544926 2003-01-01 0.27374654 2003-02-01 0.32574344 2003-03-01 0.09282982 2003-04-01 0.13279451 2003-05-01 0.77564046 2003-06-01 0.71296074 2003-07-01 0.55183397 2003-08-01 0.20495863 2003-09-01 0.21430581 2003-10-01 0.29503312 2003-11-01 0.26451425 2003-12-01 0.25065299 2004-01-01 0.10297183 2004-02-01 0.04668888 2004-03-01 0.11388026 2004-04-01 0.21962209 2004-05-01 0.02272256 2004-06-01 0.01675785 2004-07-01 0.03506824 2004-08-01 0.09694228 2004-09-01 0.10307505 2004-10-01 0.10075758 2004-11-01 0.08745340 2004-12-01 0.04545286 2005-01-01 0.03084213 2005-02-01 0.03533080 2005-03-01 0.02362048 2005-04-01 0.00119718 2005-05-01 0.01114742 2005-06-01 0.03200892 2005-07-01 0.06813989 2005-08-01 0.01168507 2005-09-01 0.00473528 2005-10-01 0.00008990 2005-11-01 0.00614084 2005-12-01 0.02284689 2006-01-01 0.02759006 2006-02-01 0.00111452 2006-03-01 0.00705069 2006-04-01 0.01111443 2006-05-01 0.00153152 2006-06-01 0.00106299 2006-07-01 0.00948829 2006-08-01 0.00931635 2006-09-01 0.01011722 2006-10-01 0.26281810 2006-11-01 0.30995100 2006-12-01 0.25014097 2007-01-01 0.12301275 2007-02-01 0.09841628 2007-03-01 0.01753654 2007-04-01 0.03584171 2007-05-01 0.10149151 2007-06-01 0.19723099 2007-07-01 0.24889978 2007-08-01 0.37398407 2007-09-01 0.71097543 2007-10-01 0.34390877 2007-11-01 0.13679782 2007-12-01 0.10106014 2008-01-01 0.12950491 2008-02-01 0.21215862 2008-03-01 0.12575577 2008-04-01 0.11109786 2008-05-01 0.10395379 2008-06-01 0.06520306 2008-07-01 0.02557765 2008-08-01 0.04632108 2008-09-01 0.17622793 2008-10-01 0.10460102 2008-11-01 0.45499339 2008-12-01 0.50674108 2009-01-01 0.10394966 2009-02-01 0.57888517 2009-03-01 0.48400166 2009-04-01 0.22309950 2009-05-01 0.53012538 2009-06-01 0.42628331 2009-07-01 0.44772766 2009-08-01 0.24827133 2009-09-01 0.50375760 2009-10-01 0.40612438 2009-11-01 0.74617658 2009-12-01 0.28040148 2010-01-01 0.28809478 2010-02-01 0.20921862 2010-03-01 0.49432596 2010-04-01 0.13229735 2010-05-01 0.10094364 2010-06-01 0.30784173 2010-07-01 0.66846685 2010-08-01 0.56362855 2010-09-01 0.54980064 2010-10-01 0.63579452 2010-11-01 0.52558407 2010-12-01 0.68974032 2011-01-01 0.51722129 2011-02-01 0.34243241 2011-03-01 0.30810325 2011-04-01 0.31173829 2011-05-01 0.12238862 2011-06-01 0.21217197 2011-07-01 0.16372278 2011-08-01 0.15536204 2011-09-01 0.18584732 2011-10-01 0.26695003 2011-11-01 0.40242582 2011-12-01 0.29127234 2012-01-01 0.28323603 2012-02-01 0.14125389 2012-03-01 0.12463680 2012-04-01 0.10464362 2012-05-01 0.18679936 2012-06-01 0.34732930 2012-07-01 0.44354430 2012-08-01 0.35332016 2012-09-01 0.16277182 2012-10-01 0.15593290 2012-11-01 0.25668202 2012-12-01 0.33428349 2013-01-01 0.33526060 2013-02-01 0.29161587 2013-03-01 0.13664989 2013-04-01 0.34358418 2013-05-01 0.52553321 2013-06-01 0.39383403 2013-07-01 0.23961667 2013-08-01 0.20107360 2013-09-01 0.26254456 2013-10-01 0.42747245 2013-11-01 0.59458890 2013-12-01 0.42042940 2014-01-01 0.35784579 2014-02-01 0.42034736 2014-03-01 0.47854051 2014-04-01 0.17896743 2014-05-01 0.15614652 2014-06-01 0.21054464 2014-07-01 0.36346292 2014-08-01 0.26684700 2014-09-01 0.40845128 2014-10-01 0.40823096 2014-11-01 0.56341452 2014-12-01 0.66894830 2015-01-01 0.73712539 2015-02-01 0.52063740 2015-03-01 0.71199602 2015-04-01 0.69124111 2015-05-01 0.68027773 2015-06-01 0.58764254 2015-07-01 0.65787581 2015-08-01 0.72993763 2015-09-01 0.73953951 2015-10-01 0.65102653 2015-11-01 0.65798572 2015-12-01 0.69019520 2016-01-01 0.74695372 2016-02-01 0.68266134 2016-03-01 0.65184047 2016-04-01 0.53146616 2016-05-01 0.35701593 2016-06-01 0.25141286 2016-07-01 0.28609145 2016-08-01 0.40138491 2016-09-01 0.38489174 2016-10-01 0.34360218 2016-11-01 0.20823057 2016-12-01 0.14741938 2017-01-01 0.19958435 2017-02-01 0.15183172 2017-03-01 0.17324232 2017-04-01 0.27567736 2017-05-01 0.27351212 2017-06-01 0.30407762 2017-07-01 0.30560820 2017-08-01 0.38493728 2017-09-01 0.28719823 2017-10-01 0.23257274 2017-11-01 0.30589319 2017-12-01 0.22031949 2018-01-01 0.21952207 2018-02-01 0.11809049 2018-03-01 0.17915030 2018-04-01 0.17807717 2018-05-01 0.14444951 2018-06-01 0.10021894 2018-07-01 0.16778086 2018-08-01 0.22174647 2018-09-01 0.36425593 2018-10-01 0.23997346 2018-11-01 0.18173086 2018-12-01 0.29333981 2019-01-01 0.42662986 2019-02-01 0.50130995 2019-03-01 0.36028071 2019-04-01 0.26069738 2019-05-01 0.14026853 2019-06-01 0.46775201 2019-07-01 0.50450832 2019-08-01 0.50072381 2019-09-01 0.46619507 2019-10-01 0.56509020 2019-11-01 0.42961468 2019-12-01 0.54981499 2020-01-01 0.23497203 2020-02-01 0.11649411 2020-03-01 0.32814019 2020-04-01 0.77998965 2020-05-01 0.13806139 2020-06-01 0.56980403 2020-07-01 0.33769072 2020-08-01 0.18287686 2020-09-01 0.07915565 2020-10-01 0.12515580 2020-11-01 0.28944653 2020-12-01 0.42663478 2021-01-01 0.20754161 2021-02-01 0.13332509 2021-03-01 0.07750435 2021-04-01 0.01439130 2021-05-01 0.01490401 2021-06-01 0.01182457 2021-07-01 0.01712472 2021-08-01 0.02450189 2021-09-01 0.02411559 2021-10-01 0.03590617 2021-11-01 0.01789937 2021-12-01 0.00751699 2022-01-01 0.00859759 2022-02-01 0.01452461 2022-03-01 0.00287126 2022-04-01 0.00206791 2022-05-01 0.00268164 2022-06-01 0.00373973 2022-07-01 0.00505134 2022-08-01 0.00168425 2022-09-01 0.00596139 2022-10-01 0.03232997 2022-11-01 0.04098424 2022-12-01 0.00746907 2023-01-01 0.04226132 2023-02-01 0.02509256 2023-03-01 0.02374223 2023-04-01 0.03153864 2023-05-01 0.03358359 2023-06-01 0.03545495 2023-07-01 0.09482606 2023-08-01 0.00941312 2023-09-01 0.02297201 2023-10-01 0.00511226 2023-11-01 0.00442537 2023-12-01 0.00924723 2024-01-01 0.01817762 2024-02-01 0.02678955 2024-03-01 0.00428635 2024-04-01 0.00186274