Federal Reserve Economic Data

Table Data - Inflation Between 1.5 and 2.5 Percent

Title Inflation Between 1.5 and 2.5 Percent
Series ID STLPPMMID
Source Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Release St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures (Not a Press Release)
Seasonal Adjustment Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency Monthly
Units Probability
Date Range 1990-01-01 to 2024-09-01
Last Updated 2024-09-30 2:23 PM CDT
Notes This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will range between 1.5 and 2.5 percent.

For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure.

As of April 5, 2023, the MZM Money Stock measure, in SA billions of dollars, has been replaced with the series Revolving Consumer Credit Outstanding (break-adjusted), in SA billions of dollars, from the Federal Reserve’s monthly G.19 release. This change was made because the MZM series was discontinued.

As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series.

As of January 29, 2021, the Adjusted Monetary Base (including Deposits to Satisfy Clearing Balance Contracts) Seasonally Adjusted, in billions of dollars has been replaced with the series, Monetary Base, NSA, in billions of dollars.
DATE VALUE
1990-01-01 0.04274493
1990-02-01 0.02343565
1990-03-01 0.03970472
1990-04-01 0.04410105
1990-05-01 0.05787211
1990-06-01 0.05828273
1990-07-01 0.03331041
1990-08-01 0.05692871
1990-09-01 0.07849639
1990-10-01 0.02257817
1990-11-01 0.02729836
1990-12-01 0.03126118
1991-01-01 0.03108623
1991-02-01 0.02350094
1991-03-01 0.02632886
1991-04-01 0.04582166
1991-05-01 0.04610516
1991-06-01 0.04308708
1991-07-01 0.03741530
1991-08-01 0.04548686
1991-09-01 0.05289509
1991-10-01 0.05036872
1991-11-01 0.05686033
1991-12-01 0.06007756
1992-01-01 0.10153291
1992-02-01 0.08944929
1992-03-01 0.09360254
1992-04-01 0.07419474
1992-05-01 0.07618476
1992-06-01 0.09075071
1992-07-01 0.08402984
1992-08-01 0.09276725
1992-09-01 0.09191698
1992-10-01 0.09591753
1992-11-01 0.07705943
1992-12-01 0.08589430
1993-01-01 0.10787593
1993-02-01 0.09674995
1993-03-01 0.11407249
1993-04-01 0.10670034
1993-05-01 0.10972737
1993-06-01 0.08087722
1993-07-01 0.10106914
1993-08-01 0.09639017
1993-09-01 0.11180154
1993-10-01 0.10996052
1993-11-01 0.11065405
1993-12-01 0.07345401
1994-01-01 0.21292045
1994-02-01 0.20456040
1994-03-01 0.17250989
1994-04-01 0.16359152
1994-05-01 0.16276359
1994-06-01 0.18370473
1994-07-01 0.20354160
1994-08-01 0.18665380
1994-09-01 0.15180383
1994-10-01 0.16636652
1994-11-01 0.16719284
1994-12-01 0.12539876
1995-01-01 0.35457581
1995-02-01 0.31114402
1995-03-01 0.29241470
1995-04-01 0.31299944
1995-05-01 0.35066691
1995-06-01 0.34103551
1995-07-01 0.38875247
1995-08-01 0.38907341
1995-09-01 0.39981060
1995-10-01 0.44488613
1995-11-01 0.39593269
1995-12-01 0.41565813
1996-01-01 0.59176064
1996-02-01 0.61751208
1996-03-01 0.60910531
1996-04-01 0.56330684
1996-05-01 0.52277814
1996-06-01 0.49660056
1996-07-01 0.58656845
1996-08-01 0.52086093
1996-09-01 0.61400711
1996-10-01 0.57157737
1996-11-01 0.57830483
1996-12-01 0.54540070
1997-01-01 0.61373101
1997-02-01 0.58052609
1997-03-01 0.64265393
1997-04-01 0.74937517
1997-05-01 0.71446566
1997-06-01 0.61392897
1997-07-01 0.69441291
1997-08-01 0.68325097
1997-09-01 0.61719400
1997-10-01 0.64393291
1997-11-01 0.60796351
1997-12-01 0.56658570
1998-01-01 0.30112468
1998-02-01 0.22603010
1998-03-01 0.20322655
1998-04-01 0.44309593
1998-05-01 0.34061369
1998-06-01 0.44062628
1998-07-01 0.20758944
1998-08-01 0.40549079
1998-09-01 0.35289049
1998-10-01 0.15056045
1998-11-01 0.30074734
1998-12-01 0.18149499
1999-01-01 0.03401642
1999-02-01 0.16853277
1999-03-01 0.07022731
1999-04-01 0.16794014
1999-05-01 0.57764486
1999-06-01 0.32212367
1999-07-01 0.33107136
1999-08-01 0.58447156
1999-09-01 0.63697290
1999-10-01 0.74016195
1999-11-01 0.74666167
1999-12-01 0.79252009
2000-01-01 0.80836596
2000-02-01 0.76892989
2000-03-01 0.44719249
2000-04-01 0.32164750
2000-05-01 0.63918858
2000-06-01 0.51082495
2000-07-01 0.23432431
2000-08-01 0.44758475
2000-09-01 0.56311176
2000-10-01 0.63290918
2000-11-01 0.68266124
2000-12-01 0.53703451
2001-01-01 0.59385500
2001-02-01 0.36341685
2001-03-01 0.37413628
2001-04-01 0.73830130
2001-05-01 0.52681873
2001-06-01 0.43032374
2001-07-01 0.48679099
2001-08-01 0.49655310
2001-09-01 0.76073661
2001-10-01 0.38136878
2001-11-01 0.62073870
2001-12-01 0.32244919
2002-01-01 0.20517691
2002-02-01 0.17615950
2002-03-01 0.21669781
2002-04-01 0.43196971
2002-05-01 0.49207272
2002-06-01 0.28182656
2002-07-01 0.28261452
2002-08-01 0.36408882
2002-09-01 0.38969202
2002-10-01 0.44146306
2002-11-01 0.74249351
2002-12-01 0.66669649
2003-01-01 0.69886027
2003-02-01 0.63590886
2003-03-01 0.46379210
2003-04-01 0.41498223
2003-05-01 0.14805675
2003-06-01 0.25509821
2003-07-01 0.43637753
2003-08-01 0.72329806
2003-09-01 0.70859924
2003-10-01 0.67455173
2003-11-01 0.70213262
2003-12-01 0.71555872
2004-01-01 0.79562094
2004-02-01 0.70115064
2004-03-01 0.81661413
2004-04-01 0.76034653
2004-05-01 0.62899870
2004-06-01 0.37294734
2004-07-01 0.48426850
2004-08-01 0.61324250
2004-09-01 0.66501066
2004-10-01 0.75232523
2004-11-01 0.69533952
2004-12-01 0.43818028
2005-01-01 0.53572518
2005-02-01 0.54624667
2005-03-01 0.53104506
2005-04-01 0.13241530
2005-05-01 0.26186486
2005-06-01 0.50196114
2005-07-01 0.66693735
2005-08-01 0.46432343
2005-09-01 0.14293900
2005-10-01 0.04962213
2005-11-01 0.21104470
2005-12-01 0.24259129
2006-01-01 0.34526983
2006-02-01 0.12292487
2006-03-01 0.30017970
2006-04-01 0.27143943
2006-05-01 0.09779909
2006-06-01 0.09987189
2006-07-01 0.22650503
2006-08-01 0.25330943
2006-09-01 0.21601036
2006-10-01 0.57742400
2006-11-01 0.66240905
2006-12-01 0.70065636
2007-01-01 0.78045229
2007-02-01 0.78027265
2007-03-01 0.61959119
2007-04-01 0.66289898
2007-05-01 0.75268424
2007-06-01 0.68634210
2007-07-01 0.68075563
2007-08-01 0.51172920
2007-09-01 0.44268323
2007-10-01 0.61547483
2007-11-01 0.64014528
2007-12-01 0.56631526
2008-01-01 0.45627134
2008-02-01 0.47306038
2008-03-01 0.39765663
2008-04-01 0.45402527
2008-05-01 0.50453171
2008-06-01 0.35180310
2008-07-01 0.19782349
2008-08-01 0.21940617
2008-09-01 0.31906566
2008-10-01 0.35695495
2008-11-01 0.27555460
2008-12-01 0.00791836
2009-01-01 0.00338477
2009-02-01 0.15083052
2009-03-01 0.10733703
2009-04-01 0.01207091
2009-05-01 0.06997282
2009-06-01 0.12434306
2009-07-01 0.11727446
2009-08-01 0.00883876
2009-09-01 0.02253447
2009-10-01 0.02062851
2009-11-01 0.08772381
2009-12-01 0.62112953
2010-01-01 0.58999860
2010-02-01 0.53901281
2010-03-01 0.43124093
2010-04-01 0.55867510
2010-05-01 0.52314038
2010-06-01 0.57207068
2010-07-01 0.23551500
2010-08-01 0.35886700
2010-09-01 0.37910458
2010-10-01 0.28610736
2010-11-01 0.39412869
2010-12-01 0.23017067
2011-01-01 0.40157568
2011-02-01 0.54112921
2011-03-01 0.57935821
2011-04-01 0.55964827
2011-05-01 0.48302193
2011-06-01 0.46667711
2011-07-01 0.52023459
2011-08-01 0.45012596
2011-09-01 0.43839187
2011-10-01 0.43309796
2011-11-01 0.47156515
2011-12-01 0.46177920
2012-01-01 0.51974338
2012-02-01 0.46624031
2012-03-01 0.52868953
2012-04-01 0.51318203
2012-05-01 0.59849199
2012-06-01 0.52004468
2012-07-01 0.45141749
2012-08-01 0.46610144
2012-09-01 0.53252889
2012-10-01 0.58994964
2012-11-01 0.58962631
2012-12-01 0.53473264
2013-01-01 0.51553568
2013-02-01 0.53528284
2013-03-01 0.61727200
2013-04-01 0.47247517
2013-05-01 0.35858062
2013-06-01 0.42584040
2013-07-01 0.56962703
2013-08-01 0.60474274
2013-09-01 0.55015713
2013-10-01 0.41320562
2013-11-01 0.31925186
2013-12-01 0.43425529
2014-01-01 0.46303668
2014-02-01 0.43551426
2014-03-01 0.38333316
2014-04-01 0.55331547
2014-05-01 0.60360621
2014-06-01 0.59381678
2014-07-01 0.47470664
2014-08-01 0.55939879
2014-09-01 0.42788724
2014-10-01 0.42957263
2014-11-01 0.31618062
2014-12-01 0.22321313
2015-01-01 0.16894380
2015-02-01 0.07910214
2015-03-01 0.17231431
2015-04-01 0.21655052
2015-05-01 0.21059939
2015-06-01 0.27268388
2015-07-01 0.24824172
2015-08-01 0.17264933
2015-09-01 0.14476141
2015-10-01 0.17187002
2015-11-01 0.16247895
2015-12-01 0.12802006
2016-01-01 0.13960455
2016-02-01 0.21559651
2016-03-01 0.27742819
2016-04-01 0.36814238
2016-05-01 0.45961191
2016-06-01 0.43033621
2016-07-01 0.45372080
2016-08-01 0.43721890
2016-09-01 0.41131898
2016-10-01 0.47001743
2016-11-01 0.52248241
2016-12-01 0.50612419
2017-01-01 0.59750562
2017-02-01 0.64304278
2017-03-01 0.64678552
2017-04-01 0.60737887
2017-05-01 0.60005934
2017-06-01 0.51935522
2017-07-01 0.52698344
2017-08-01 0.46175938
2017-09-01 0.58237047
2017-10-01 0.61977847
2017-11-01 0.57321145
2017-12-01 0.62844881
2018-01-01 0.63484524
2018-02-01 0.66608199
2018-03-01 0.65229469
2018-04-01 0.65850504
2018-05-01 0.67030115
2018-06-01 0.58796120
2018-07-01 0.65746165
2018-08-01 0.63311633
2018-09-01 0.55887097
2018-10-01 0.64203451
2018-11-01 0.65636776
2018-12-01 0.60886088
2019-01-01 0.55118926
2019-02-01 0.41676000
2019-03-01 0.57155403
2019-04-01 0.60782963
2019-05-01 0.67434256
2019-06-01 0.43623682
2019-07-01 0.39766708
2019-08-01 0.43710499
2019-09-01 0.48263774
2019-10-01 0.32675870
2019-11-01 0.46108820
2019-12-01 0.40223778
2020-01-01 0.64142590
2020-02-01 0.68623868
2020-03-01 0.49852950
2020-04-01 0.10803117
2020-05-01 0.02299736
2020-06-01 0.30121962
2020-07-01 0.46895736
2020-08-01 0.56952094
2020-09-01 0.61249283
2020-10-01 0.62214536
2020-11-01 0.59456616
2020-12-01 0.53266931
2021-01-01 0.64459995
2021-02-01 0.64565252
2021-03-01 0.60129292
2021-04-01 0.18558162
2021-05-01 0.13779132
2021-06-01 0.11761356
2021-07-01 0.12366501
2021-08-01 0.13619168
2021-09-01 0.14083239
2021-10-01 0.19896771
2021-11-01 0.10258465
2021-12-01 0.06618924
2022-01-01 0.06309803
2022-02-01 0.06388724
2022-03-01 0.02976692
2022-04-01 0.01792205
2022-05-01 0.05127513
2022-06-01 0.05170605
2022-07-01 0.07379285
2022-08-01 0.20504627
2022-09-01 0.11809169
2022-10-01 0.17452249
2022-11-01 0.18676465
2022-12-01 0.12097269
2023-01-01 0.21216884
2023-02-01 0.14228424
2023-03-01 0.14007316
2023-04-01 0.23527812
2023-05-01 0.12076479
2023-06-01 0.26432152
2023-07-01 0.36528018
2023-08-01 0.10138054
2023-09-01 0.15459142
2023-10-01 0.13142740
2023-11-01 0.40189447
2023-12-01 0.54878394
2024-01-01 0.58710482
2024-02-01 0.50050774
2024-03-01 0.34047757
2024-04-01 0.37819644
2024-05-01 0.33921561
2024-06-01 0.59900995
2024-07-01 0.63629979
2024-08-01 0.63149570
2024-09-01 0.67270045

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