Table Data - Inflation Between 1.5 and 2.5 Percent
| Title | Inflation Between 1.5 and 2.5 Percent |
|---|---|
| Series ID | STLPPMMID |
| Source | Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| Release | St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures (Not a Press Release) |
| Seasonal Adjustment | Not Seasonally Adjusted |
| Frequency | Monthly |
| Units | Probability |
| Date Range | 1990-01-01 to 2026-02-01 |
| Last Updated | 2026-03-13 1:13 PM CDT |
| Notes | This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will range between 1.5 and 2.5 percent. For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure. As of April 5, 2023, the MZM Money Stock measure, in SA billions of dollars, has been replaced with the series Revolving Consumer Credit Outstanding (break-adjusted), in SA billions of dollars, from the Federal Reserve’s monthly G.19 release. This change was made because the MZM series was discontinued. As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series. As of January 29, 2021, the Adjusted Monetary Base (including Deposits to Satisfy Clearing Balance Contracts) Seasonally Adjusted, in billions of dollars has been replaced with the series, Monetary Base, NSA, in billions of dollars. |
| DATE | VALUE |
|---|---|
| 1990-01-01 | 0.03911170 |
| 1990-02-01 | 0.02700515 |
| 1990-03-01 | 0.03880749 |
| 1990-04-01 | 0.04026219 |
| 1990-05-01 | 0.05815847 |
| 1990-06-01 | 0.05647159 |
| 1990-07-01 | 0.03688046 |
| 1990-08-01 | 0.05648515 |
| 1990-09-01 | 0.07644160 |
| 1990-10-01 | 0.02522493 |
| 1990-11-01 | 0.03125924 |
| 1990-12-01 | 0.03465071 |
| 1991-01-01 | 0.03204074 |
| 1991-02-01 | 0.02453246 |
| 1991-03-01 | 0.02746044 |
| 1991-04-01 | 0.04635892 |
| 1991-05-01 | 0.04668644 |
| 1991-06-01 | 0.04366036 |
| 1991-07-01 | 0.03798281 |
| 1991-08-01 | 0.04662736 |
| 1991-09-01 | 0.05307110 |
| 1991-10-01 | 0.05055324 |
| 1991-11-01 | 0.05808516 |
| 1991-12-01 | 0.06205446 |
| 1992-01-01 | 0.10090873 |
| 1992-02-01 | 0.08954004 |
| 1992-03-01 | 0.09297859 |
| 1992-04-01 | 0.07365418 |
| 1992-05-01 | 0.07595639 |
| 1992-06-01 | 0.08998273 |
| 1992-07-01 | 0.08361994 |
| 1992-08-01 | 0.09280691 |
| 1992-09-01 | 0.09200875 |
| 1992-10-01 | 0.09517370 |
| 1992-11-01 | 0.07660064 |
| 1992-12-01 | 0.08507866 |
| 1993-01-01 | 0.10673930 |
| 1993-02-01 | 0.09654964 |
| 1993-03-01 | 0.11291903 |
| 1993-04-01 | 0.10477608 |
| 1993-05-01 | 0.10858357 |
| 1993-06-01 | 0.08040653 |
| 1993-07-01 | 0.09972929 |
| 1993-08-01 | 0.09447900 |
| 1993-09-01 | 0.11039036 |
| 1993-10-01 | 0.10802784 |
| 1993-11-01 | 0.10975326 |
| 1993-12-01 | 0.07216417 |
| 1994-01-01 | 0.21065112 |
| 1994-02-01 | 0.20227824 |
| 1994-03-01 | 0.16967400 |
| 1994-04-01 | 0.15928835 |
| 1994-05-01 | 0.15555085 |
| 1994-06-01 | 0.17978083 |
| 1994-07-01 | 0.20104293 |
| 1994-08-01 | 0.18377175 |
| 1994-09-01 | 0.15034401 |
| 1994-10-01 | 0.16204890 |
| 1994-11-01 | 0.16073099 |
| 1994-12-01 | 0.12011050 |
| 1995-01-01 | 0.35369198 |
| 1995-02-01 | 0.30983743 |
| 1995-03-01 | 0.29032591 |
| 1995-04-01 | 0.31218961 |
| 1995-05-01 | 0.35126222 |
| 1995-06-01 | 0.34106110 |
| 1995-07-01 | 0.38883215 |
| 1995-08-01 | 0.38868929 |
| 1995-09-01 | 0.39716839 |
| 1995-10-01 | 0.44267964 |
| 1995-11-01 | 0.39283731 |
| 1995-12-01 | 0.41517281 |
| 1996-01-01 | 0.59184488 |
| 1996-02-01 | 0.61800529 |
| 1996-03-01 | 0.61017718 |
| 1996-04-01 | 0.56228476 |
| 1996-05-01 | 0.52293052 |
| 1996-06-01 | 0.49675914 |
| 1996-07-01 | 0.58677694 |
| 1996-08-01 | 0.52168970 |
| 1996-09-01 | 0.61516326 |
| 1996-10-01 | 0.56985577 |
| 1996-11-01 | 0.57928960 |
| 1996-12-01 | 0.54666456 |
| 1997-01-01 | 0.61290376 |
| 1997-02-01 | 0.58120578 |
| 1997-03-01 | 0.64246527 |
| 1997-04-01 | 0.74769520 |
| 1997-05-01 | 0.71593501 |
| 1997-06-01 | 0.61486056 |
| 1997-07-01 | 0.69842077 |
| 1997-08-01 | 0.68387955 |
| 1997-09-01 | 0.61730344 |
| 1997-10-01 | 0.64682738 |
| 1997-11-01 | 0.60965586 |
| 1997-12-01 | 0.56619312 |
| 1998-01-01 | 0.29796283 |
| 1998-02-01 | 0.21853103 |
| 1998-03-01 | 0.20542251 |
| 1998-04-01 | 0.44266338 |
| 1998-05-01 | 0.33988905 |
| 1998-06-01 | 0.44034924 |
| 1998-07-01 | 0.20559860 |
| 1998-08-01 | 0.40241281 |
| 1998-09-01 | 0.35038629 |
| 1998-10-01 | 0.14600514 |
| 1998-11-01 | 0.29399785 |
| 1998-12-01 | 0.18497696 |
| 1999-01-01 | 0.03413576 |
| 1999-02-01 | 0.16440944 |
| 1999-03-01 | 0.07320483 |
| 1999-04-01 | 0.17184020 |
| 1999-05-01 | 0.57562999 |
| 1999-06-01 | 0.32569656 |
| 1999-07-01 | 0.33143396 |
| 1999-08-01 | 0.58317952 |
| 1999-09-01 | 0.63652163 |
| 1999-10-01 | 0.73955172 |
| 1999-11-01 | 0.74686679 |
| 1999-12-01 | 0.79144759 |
| 2000-01-01 | 0.80892952 |
| 2000-02-01 | 0.77117807 |
| 2000-03-01 | 0.44359531 |
| 2000-04-01 | 0.31983623 |
| 2000-05-01 | 0.64266632 |
| 2000-06-01 | 0.51234744 |
| 2000-07-01 | 0.26433289 |
| 2000-08-01 | 0.44695230 |
| 2000-09-01 | 0.56654332 |
| 2000-10-01 | 0.63285628 |
| 2000-11-01 | 0.68655509 |
| 2000-12-01 | 0.53960374 |
| 2001-01-01 | 0.59235425 |
| 2001-02-01 | 0.36966224 |
| 2001-03-01 | 0.36902389 |
| 2001-04-01 | 0.74056261 |
| 2001-05-01 | 0.52791426 |
| 2001-06-01 | 0.43004965 |
| 2001-07-01 | 0.48753280 |
| 2001-08-01 | 0.49523490 |
| 2001-09-01 | 0.76099993 |
| 2001-10-01 | 0.38072588 |
| 2001-11-01 | 0.61878653 |
| 2001-12-01 | 0.32351675 |
| 2002-01-01 | 0.20457994 |
| 2002-02-01 | 0.17375599 |
| 2002-03-01 | 0.21803767 |
| 2002-04-01 | 0.43189314 |
| 2002-05-01 | 0.49128001 |
| 2002-06-01 | 0.28506205 |
| 2002-07-01 | 0.28402395 |
| 2002-08-01 | 0.36481886 |
| 2002-09-01 | 0.38914648 |
| 2002-10-01 | 0.44132019 |
| 2002-11-01 | 0.74217836 |
| 2002-12-01 | 0.66687463 |
| 2003-01-01 | 0.69856856 |
| 2003-02-01 | 0.63524209 |
| 2003-03-01 | 0.46147910 |
| 2003-04-01 | 0.40955611 |
| 2003-05-01 | 0.14940141 |
| 2003-06-01 | 0.25642555 |
| 2003-07-01 | 0.43791470 |
| 2003-08-01 | 0.72604028 |
| 2003-09-01 | 0.71095600 |
| 2003-10-01 | 0.67537595 |
| 2003-11-01 | 0.70311836 |
| 2003-12-01 | 0.71755645 |
| 2004-01-01 | 0.79654492 |
| 2004-02-01 | 0.70020610 |
| 2004-03-01 | 0.81702034 |
| 2004-04-01 | 0.76013803 |
| 2004-05-01 | 0.62894881 |
| 2004-06-01 | 0.36942390 |
| 2004-07-01 | 0.48680534 |
| 2004-08-01 | 0.61586371 |
| 2004-09-01 | 0.66731320 |
| 2004-10-01 | 0.76386014 |
| 2004-11-01 | 0.69780592 |
| 2004-12-01 | 0.43778157 |
| 2005-01-01 | 0.53788787 |
| 2005-02-01 | 0.54589653 |
| 2005-03-01 | 0.53507959 |
| 2005-04-01 | 0.13019008 |
| 2005-05-01 | 0.26164306 |
| 2005-06-01 | 0.50341383 |
| 2005-07-01 | 0.59036609 |
| 2005-08-01 | 0.46357163 |
| 2005-09-01 | 0.14299180 |
| 2005-10-01 | 0.04961668 |
| 2005-11-01 | 0.20807402 |
| 2005-12-01 | 0.24101607 |
| 2006-01-01 | 0.34464155 |
| 2006-02-01 | 0.12279106 |
| 2006-03-01 | 0.29584227 |
| 2006-04-01 | 0.27088174 |
| 2006-05-01 | 0.09438322 |
| 2006-06-01 | 0.09764455 |
| 2006-07-01 | 0.22709240 |
| 2006-08-01 | 0.24863432 |
| 2006-09-01 | 0.21693787 |
| 2006-10-01 | 0.56112607 |
| 2006-11-01 | 0.66535442 |
| 2006-12-01 | 0.70396241 |
| 2007-01-01 | 0.78230301 |
| 2007-02-01 | 0.78144121 |
| 2007-03-01 | 0.62112683 |
| 2007-04-01 | 0.66653512 |
| 2007-05-01 | 0.75395593 |
| 2007-06-01 | 0.68747549 |
| 2007-07-01 | 0.68541737 |
| 2007-08-01 | 0.51315173 |
| 2007-09-01 | 0.44732431 |
| 2007-10-01 | 0.61568887 |
| 2007-11-01 | 0.63889926 |
| 2007-12-01 | 0.56389157 |
| 2008-01-01 | 0.45757008 |
| 2008-02-01 | 0.47828957 |
| 2008-03-01 | 0.40944414 |
| 2008-04-01 | 0.46944180 |
| 2008-05-01 | 0.51349256 |
| 2008-06-01 | 0.37189194 |
| 2008-07-01 | 0.20701248 |
| 2008-08-01 | 0.22315635 |
| 2008-09-01 | 0.32541328 |
| 2008-10-01 | 0.36096137 |
| 2008-11-01 | 0.27947238 |
| 2008-12-01 | 0.00799777 |
| 2009-01-01 | 0.00358416 |
| 2009-02-01 | 0.15300813 |
| 2009-03-01 | 0.10865679 |
| 2009-04-01 | 0.01230701 |
| 2009-05-01 | 0.07054519 |
| 2009-06-01 | 0.12568605 |
| 2009-07-01 | 0.11714416 |
| 2009-08-01 | 0.00917781 |
| 2009-09-01 | 0.02202400 |
| 2009-10-01 | 0.02063932 |
| 2009-11-01 | 0.08750854 |
| 2009-12-01 | 0.62326830 |
| 2010-01-01 | 0.59055929 |
| 2010-02-01 | 0.53634294 |
| 2010-03-01 | 0.42593961 |
| 2010-04-01 | 0.55722815 |
| 2010-05-01 | 0.52136853 |
| 2010-06-01 | 0.57311549 |
| 2010-07-01 | 0.22891153 |
| 2010-08-01 | 0.37340482 |
| 2010-09-01 | 0.36864944 |
| 2010-10-01 | 0.28595767 |
| 2010-11-01 | 0.39376425 |
| 2010-12-01 | 0.22796422 |
| 2011-01-01 | 0.40841642 |
| 2011-02-01 | 0.53547871 |
| 2011-03-01 | 0.58126537 |
| 2011-04-01 | 0.55867964 |
| 2011-05-01 | 0.48479191 |
| 2011-06-01 | 0.46488815 |
| 2011-07-01 | 0.51903758 |
| 2011-08-01 | 0.44631076 |
| 2011-09-01 | 0.43923062 |
| 2011-10-01 | 0.43262412 |
| 2011-11-01 | 0.47365966 |
| 2011-12-01 | 0.46294103 |
| 2012-01-01 | 0.51988093 |
| 2012-02-01 | 0.46823535 |
| 2012-03-01 | 0.52488506 |
| 2012-04-01 | 0.51592874 |
| 2012-05-01 | 0.59901928 |
| 2012-06-01 | 0.52161004 |
| 2012-07-01 | 0.44784555 |
| 2012-08-01 | 0.47021907 |
| 2012-09-01 | 0.53190994 |
| 2012-10-01 | 0.59020424 |
| 2012-11-01 | 0.58958993 |
| 2012-12-01 | 0.53411526 |
| 2013-01-01 | 0.51686066 |
| 2013-02-01 | 0.53397503 |
| 2013-03-01 | 0.61723593 |
| 2013-04-01 | 0.47363403 |
| 2013-05-01 | 0.35650072 |
| 2013-06-01 | 0.42229077 |
| 2013-07-01 | 0.56892153 |
| 2013-08-01 | 0.60511442 |
| 2013-09-01 | 0.54676804 |
| 2013-10-01 | 0.41127549 |
| 2013-11-01 | 0.31934870 |
| 2013-12-01 | 0.43459138 |
| 2014-01-01 | 0.45949225 |
| 2014-02-01 | 0.44181630 |
| 2014-03-01 | 0.38138626 |
| 2014-04-01 | 0.55406328 |
| 2014-05-01 | 0.60376186 |
| 2014-06-01 | 0.59528367 |
| 2014-07-01 | 0.47518854 |
| 2014-08-01 | 0.55997432 |
| 2014-09-01 | 0.42830958 |
| 2014-10-01 | 0.42855564 |
| 2014-11-01 | 0.31541304 |
| 2014-12-01 | 0.22440766 |
| 2015-01-01 | 0.16791835 |
| 2015-02-01 | 0.07989925 |
| 2015-03-01 | 0.17105636 |
| 2015-04-01 | 0.21637044 |
| 2015-05-01 | 0.21147175 |
| 2015-06-01 | 0.27149704 |
| 2015-07-01 | 0.24833805 |
| 2015-08-01 | 0.17257151 |
| 2015-09-01 | 0.14527886 |
| 2015-10-01 | 0.17150744 |
| 2015-11-01 | 0.16222317 |
| 2015-12-01 | 0.12776885 |
| 2016-01-01 | 0.13882097 |
| 2016-02-01 | 0.21756247 |
| 2016-03-01 | 0.27403448 |
| 2016-04-01 | 0.33359446 |
| 2016-05-01 | 0.45784045 |
| 2016-06-01 | 0.42919234 |
| 2016-07-01 | 0.45315529 |
| 2016-08-01 | 0.43595181 |
| 2016-09-01 | 0.41256264 |
| 2016-10-01 | 0.46833263 |
| 2016-11-01 | 0.52126168 |
| 2016-12-01 | 0.50633513 |
| 2017-01-01 | 0.59762598 |
| 2017-02-01 | 0.64214410 |
| 2017-03-01 | 0.64691940 |
| 2017-04-01 | 0.60898612 |
| 2017-05-01 | 0.59856067 |
| 2017-06-01 | 0.52295624 |
| 2017-07-01 | 0.52591377 |
| 2017-08-01 | 0.46330739 |
| 2017-09-01 | 0.58157386 |
| 2017-10-01 | 0.61880520 |
| 2017-11-01 | 0.57369913 |
| 2017-12-01 | 0.62726356 |
| 2018-01-01 | 0.63582278 |
| 2018-02-01 | 0.66646308 |
| 2018-03-01 | 0.65377105 |
| 2018-04-01 | 0.65968772 |
| 2018-05-01 | 0.67077961 |
| 2018-06-01 | 0.59035693 |
| 2018-07-01 | 0.65803990 |
| 2018-08-01 | 0.63342542 |
| 2018-09-01 | 0.55900073 |
| 2018-10-01 | 0.64430364 |
| 2018-11-01 | 0.65666544 |
| 2018-12-01 | 0.60974771 |
| 2019-01-01 | 0.54649884 |
| 2019-02-01 | 0.41616901 |
| 2019-03-01 | 0.57538619 |
| 2019-04-01 | 0.61019858 |
| 2019-05-01 | 0.67202075 |
| 2019-06-01 | 0.43753933 |
| 2019-07-01 | 0.39384609 |
| 2019-08-01 | 0.43929994 |
| 2019-09-01 | 0.48268451 |
| 2019-10-01 | 0.32960424 |
| 2019-11-01 | 0.46051691 |
| 2019-12-01 | 0.40183449 |
| 2020-01-01 | 0.64084549 |
| 2020-02-01 | 0.69384832 |
| 2020-03-01 | 0.50994162 |
| 2020-04-01 | 0.10925073 |
| 2020-05-01 | 0.02251941 |
| 2020-06-01 | 0.31128183 |
| 2020-07-01 | 0.48373855 |
| 2020-08-01 | 0.57379358 |
| 2020-09-01 | 0.61142196 |
| 2020-10-01 | 0.62994824 |
| 2020-11-01 | 0.61231685 |
| 2020-12-01 | 0.54736663 |
| 2021-01-01 | 0.64429900 |
| 2021-02-01 | 0.64838893 |
| 2021-03-01 | 0.60574173 |
| 2021-04-01 | 0.18192685 |
| 2021-05-01 | 0.14853749 |
| 2021-06-01 | 0.12496382 |
| 2021-07-01 | 0.11736484 |
| 2021-08-01 | 0.14736330 |
| 2021-09-01 | 0.14439735 |
| 2021-10-01 | 0.20586239 |
| 2021-11-01 | 0.10327019 |
| 2021-12-01 | 0.07037641 |
| 2022-01-01 | 0.06773151 |
| 2022-02-01 | 0.06491559 |
| 2022-03-01 | 0.03202099 |
| 2022-04-01 | 0.01918449 |
| 2022-05-01 | 0.05307142 |
| 2022-06-01 | 0.05326021 |
| 2022-07-01 | 0.07506542 |
| 2022-08-01 | 0.20031500 |
| 2022-09-01 | 0.12148519 |
| 2022-10-01 | 0.17128469 |
| 2022-11-01 | 0.18567028 |
| 2022-12-01 | 0.12387013 |
| 2023-01-01 | 0.21905695 |
| 2023-02-01 | 0.13996270 |
| 2023-03-01 | 0.14915693 |
| 2023-04-01 | 0.22796314 |
| 2023-05-01 | 0.11804063 |
| 2023-06-01 | 0.25707446 |
| 2023-07-01 | 0.35637127 |
| 2023-08-01 | 0.09647984 |
| 2023-09-01 | 0.15841791 |
| 2023-10-01 | 0.12938794 |
| 2023-11-01 | 0.38737073 |
| 2023-12-01 | 0.52620408 |
| 2024-01-01 | 0.57249703 |
| 2024-02-01 | 0.48906866 |
| 2024-03-01 | 0.34108125 |
| 2024-04-01 | 0.31110593 |
| 2024-05-01 | 0.30169416 |
| 2024-06-01 | 0.55094360 |
| 2024-07-01 | 0.54311787 |
| 2024-08-01 | 0.56155874 |
| 2024-09-01 | 0.65226632 |
| 2024-10-01 | 0.67514301 |
| 2024-11-01 | 0.54496424 |
| 2024-12-01 | 0.58442887 |
| 2025-01-01 | 0.43411571 |
| 2025-02-01 | 0.36223145 |
| 2025-03-01 | 0.36292676 |
| 2025-04-01 | 0.66174654 |
| 2025-05-01 | 0.66619686 |
| 2025-06-01 | 0.59250333 |
| 2025-07-01 | 0.50669101 |
| 2025-08-01 | 0.42412614 |
| 2025-09-01 | 0.52089627 |
| 2025-10-01 | 0.48510207 |
| 2025-11-01 | 0.54024544 |
| 2025-12-01 | 0.47068862 |
| 2026-01-01 | 0.36900177 |
| 2026-02-01 | 0.35969899 |