Federal Reserve Economic Data

1-Year Expected Inflation (EXPINF1YR)

Dec 2025: 3.19735
Updated: Dec 18, 2025 2:04 PM CST
Next Release Date: Not Available
Dec 2025:  3.19735  
Nov 2025:  2.70388  
Oct 2025:  2.72760  
Sep 2025:  2.80360  
Aug 2025:  2.68936  
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Units:

Percent,
Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:

Monthly

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Notes

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland  

Release: Inflation Expectations  

Units:  Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:  Monthly

Notes:

The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate.

Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations.

For more information, please visit the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

Suggested Citation:

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, 1-Year Expected Inflation [EXPINF1YR], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/EXPINF1YR, .

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