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Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities

Percent, Monthly, Not Seasonally AdjustedJun 1967 to Mar 2024 (May 1)

Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator

+1 or 0, Quarterly, Not Seasonally AdjustedQ4 1967 to Q4 2023 (Apr 25)

GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index

Percentage Points, Quarterly, Not Seasonally AdjustedQ4 1967 to Q4 2023 (Apr 25)

Resources and Assets: Investment Portfolios Arising from the Great Recession: Net Portfolio Holdings of TALF LLC

Millions of U.S. Dollars, Weekly, Not Seasonally Adjusted2009-11-18 to 2014-11-05 (2021-02-10)

Resources and Assets: Investment Portfolios Arising from the Great Recession: Net Portfolio Holdings of Maiden Laine I LLC

Millions of U.S. Dollars, Weekly, Not Seasonally Adjusted2008-07-02 to 2018-04-11 (2021-02-10)

Resources and Assets: Investment Portfolios Arising from the Great Recession: Net Portfolio Holdings of Commercial Paper Funding Facility LLC

Millions of U.S. Dollars, Weekly, Not Seasonally Adjusted2008-10-29 to 2010-08-25 (2021-02-10)

Resources and Assets: Investment Portfolios Arising from the Great Recession: Preferred Holdings in AIA Aurora LLC and ALICO Holdings LLC

Millions of U.S. Dollars, Weekly, Not Seasonally Adjusted2009-12-02 to 2011-01-12 (2021-02-10)

Resources and Assets: Investment Portfolios Arising from the Great Recession: Net Portfolio Holdings of Maiden Laine III LLC

Millions of U.S. Dollars, Weekly, Not Seasonally Adjusted2008-11-26 to 2014-09-10 (2021-02-10)

Resources and Assets: Investment Portfolios Arising from the Great Recession: Net Portfolio Holdings of Maiden Laine II LLC

Millions of U.S. Dollars, Weekly, Not Seasonally Adjusted2008-12-17 to 2017-05-10 (2021-02-10)

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