Explore resources provided by the Research Division at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
Data in this graph are copyrighted. Please review the copyright information in the series notes before sharing.
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Release: Interest Rate Spreads
Units: Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency: Daily
The breakeven inflation rate represents a measure of expected inflation derived from 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Securities (BC_10YEAR) and 10-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Securities (TC_10YEAR). The latest value implies what market participants expect inflation to be in the next 10 years, on average.
Starting with the update on June 21, 2019, the Treasury bond data used in calculating interest rate spreads is obtained directly from the U.S. Treasury Department.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate [T10YIE], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10YIE, June 28, 2022.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US)
Release: H.15 Selected Interest Rates
Units: Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency: Daily
For further information regarding treasury constant maturity data, please refer to the H.15 Statistical Release notes and the Treasury Yield Curve Methodology.
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis, Inflation-Indexed [DFII10], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII10, June 28, 2022.
Source: NASDAQ OMX Group
Release: NASDAQ
Units: Index Feb 5, 1971=100, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency: Daily, Close
The observations for the NASDAQ Composite Index represent the daily index value at market close. The market typically closes at 4 PM ET, except for holidays when it sometimes closes early.
The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market capitalization weighted index with more than 3000 common equities listed on the NASDAQ Stock Market. The types of securities in the index include American depositary receipts (ADRs), common stocks, real estate investment trusts (REITs), and tracking stocks. The index includes all NASDAQ listed stocks that are not derivatives, preferred shares, funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or debentures.
Copyright © 2016, NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.
NASDAQ OMX Group, NASDAQ Composite Index [NASDAQCOM], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NASDAQCOM, June 28, 2022.
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Release: Interest Rate Spreads
Units: Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency: Daily
This series is a measure of expected inflation (on average) over the five-year period that begins five years from today.
This series is constructed as:
(((((1+((BC_10YEAR-TC_10YEAR)/100))^10)/((1+((BC_5YEAR-TC_5YEAR)/100))^5))^0.2)-1)*100
where BC10_YEAR, TC_10YEAR, BC_5YEAR, and TC_5YEAR are the 10 year and 5 year nominal and inflation adjusted Treasury securities. All of those are the actual series IDs in FRED.
Starting with the update on June 21, 2019, the Treasury bond data used in calculating interest rate spreads is obtained directly from the U.S. Treasury Department.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 5-Year, 5-Year Forward Inflation Expectation Rate [T5YIFR], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T5YIFR, June 28, 2022.
10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate
Monthly, Not Seasonally AdjustedMarket Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis, Inflation-Indexed
Annual, Not Seasonally Adjusted Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted Weekly, Not Seasonally Adjusted5-Year, 5-Year Forward Inflation Expectation Rate
Monthly, Not Seasonally AdjustedAre you sure you want to remove this series from the graph? This can not be undone.