Federal Reserve Economic Data

5-Year, 5-Year Forward Inflation Expectation Rate (T5YIFRM)

Nov 2025: 2.18
Updated: Dec 1, 2025 4:02 PM CST
Nov 2025:  2.18  
Oct 2025:  2.25  
Sep 2025:  2.32  
Aug 2025:  2.33  
Jul 2025:  2.32  
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Units:

Percent,
Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:

Monthly

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Notes

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis  

Release: Interest Rate Spreads

Units:  Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:  Monthly

Notes:

This series is a measure of expected inflation (on average) over the five-year period that begins five years from today.

This series is constructed as:
(((((1+((BC_10YEAR-TC_10YEAR)/100))^10)/((1+((BC_5YEAR-TC_5YEAR)/100))^5))^0.2)-1)*100

where BC10_YEAR, TC_10YEAR, BC_5YEAR, and TC_5YEAR are the 10 year and 5 year nominal and inflation adjusted Treasury securities. All of those are the actual series IDs in FRED.
Starting with the update on June 21, 2019, the Treasury bond data used in calculating interest rate spreads is obtained directly from the U.S. Treasury Department.

Suggested Citation:

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 5-Year, 5-Year Forward Inflation Expectation Rate [T5YIFRM], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T5YIFRM, .

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