5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate

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This series is constructed as:

(((((1+((DGS10-DFII10)/100))^10)/((1+((DGS5-DFII5)/100))^5))^0.2)-1)*100

where DGS10, DFII10, DGS5, and DFII5 are the 10 year and 5 year nominal and inflation adjusted Treasury securities. All of those are the actual series IDs in FRED.

5-Year, 5-Year Forward Inflation Expectation Rate

**Enter date as YYYY-MM-DD**

#### Customize data:

Write a custom formula to transform one or more series or combine two or more series.

You can begin by adding a series to combine with your existing series.

Now create a custom formula to combine or transform the series.

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For example, invert an exchange rate by using formula 1/a, where “a” refers to the first FRED data series added to this line. Or calculate the spread between 2 interest rates, a and b, by using the formula a - b.

Use the assigned data series variables (a, b, c, etc.) together with operators (+, -, *, /, ^, etc.), parentheses {(,)}, and constants (1, 1.5, 2, etc.) to create your own formula (e.g., 1/a, a-b, (a+b)/2, (a/(a+b+c))*100). As noted above, you may add other data series to this line before entering a formula.

Finally, you can change the units of your new series.

**Enter date as YYYY-MM-DD**

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**Source:**
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

**Release:**
Interest Rate Spreads

**Units:**
Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted

**Frequency:**
Daily

#### Notes:

The breakeven inflation rate represents a measure of expected inflation derived from 5-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Securities (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS5 ) and 5-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Securities (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII5 ). The latest value implies what market participants expect inflation to be in the next 5 years, on average.

#### Suggested Citation:

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate [T5YIE], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T5YIE, September 19, 2018.

**Source:**
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

**Release:**
Interest Rate Spreads

**Units:**
Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted

**Frequency:**
Daily

#### Notes:

This series is a measure of expected inflation (on average) over the five-year period that begins five years from today.

This series is constructed as:

(((((1+((DGS10-DFII10)/100))^10)/((1+((DGS5-DFII5)/100))^5))^0.2)-1)*100

where DGS10, DFII10, DGS5, and DFII5 are the 10 year and 5 year nominal and inflation adjusted Treasury securities. All of those are the actual series IDs in FRED.

#### Suggested Citation:

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 5-Year, 5-Year Forward Inflation Expectation Rate [T5YIFR], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T5YIFR, September 19, 2018.

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*5-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate*

*5-Year, 5-Year Forward Inflation Expectation Rate*

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