Federal Reserve Economic Data

Inflation Between 1.5 and 2.5 Percent (STLPPMMID)

Oct 2025: 0.38510
Updated: Dec 5, 2025 1:23 PM CST
Oct 2025:  0.38510  
Sep 2025:  0.52275  
Aug 2025:  0.38456  
Jul 2025:  0.49976  
Jun 2025:  0.81246  
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Units:

Probability,
Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:

Monthly

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Notes

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis  

Release: St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures

Units:  Probability, Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:  Monthly

Notes:

This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will range between 1.5 and 2.5 percent.

For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure.

As of April 5, 2023, the MZM Money Stock measure, in SA billions of dollars, has been replaced with the series Revolving Consumer Credit Outstanding (break-adjusted), in SA billions of dollars, from the Federal Reserve’s monthly G.19 release. This change was made because the MZM series was discontinued.

As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series.

As of January 29, 2021, the Adjusted Monetary Base (including Deposits to Satisfy Clearing Balance Contracts) Seasonally Adjusted, in billions of dollars has been replaced with the series, Monetary Base, NSA, in billions of dollars.

Suggested Citation:

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Inflation Between 1.5 and 2.5 Percent [STLPPMMID], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/STLPPMMID, .

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