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FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Central Tendency, High (UNRATECTH)

Observation:

2026: 4.3 (+ more)   Updated: Dec 13, 2023
2026:  4.3  
2025:  4.2  
2024:  4.2  
2023:  3.8  
View All

Units:

Fourth Quarter, Percent,
Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:

Annual

NOTES

Source: U.S. Federal Open Market Committee

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis  

Release: Summary of Economic Projections  

Units:  Fourth Quarter, Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:  Annual

Notes:

Projections for the unemployment rate are for the average civilian unemployment rate in the fourth quarter of each year. Each participant's projections are based on his or her assessment of appropriate monetary policy. The range for each variable in a given year includes all participants' projections, from lowest to highest, for that variable in the given year; the central tendencies exclude the three highest and three lowest projections for each year. This series represents the high value of the central tendency forecast established by the Federal Open Market Committee.

Digitized originals of this release can be found at https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/publication/?pid=677.

Suggested Citation:

U.S. Federal Open Market Committee and Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Central Tendency, High [UNRATECTH], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATECTH, March 19, 2024.

RELEASE TABLES

Summary of Economic Projections

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