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FRED Graph

1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Max

NOTES

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis  

Release: St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures

Units:  Probability, Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:  Monthly

Notes:

This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will exceed 2.5 percent.

For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see “Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure”.

As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series.

Suggested Citation:

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Price Pressures Measure [STLPPM], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/STLPPM, August 5, 2020.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis  

Release: St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures

Units:  Probability, Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:  Monthly

Notes:

This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will range between 1.5 and 2.5 percent.

For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see “Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure”.

As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series.

Suggested Citation:

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Inflation Between 1.5 and 2.5 Percent [STLPPMMID], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/STLPPMMID, August 5, 2020.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis  

Release: St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures

Units:  Probability, Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:  Monthly

Notes:

This series measures the probability that the expected personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month percent changes) over the next 12 months will range between 0 and 1.5 percent.

For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see “Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure”.

As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series.

Suggested Citation:

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Inflation Between 0 and 1.5 Percent [STLPPMLOW], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/STLPPMLOW, August 5, 2020.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis  

Release: St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures

Units:  Probability, Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:  Monthly

Notes:

This series measures the probability that the personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month changes) over the next 12 months will fall below zero.

For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see “Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure”.

As of February 3, 2020, the Emerging and Developing Asia and Western Hemisphere Consumer Prices Indexes have been replaced with Asia/Pacific Rim and Latin America Consumer Price Indexes respectively. These changes were made to facilitate a more timely updating of the PPM. Switching the Consumer Prices Indexes produced no meaningful change in the PPM series.

Suggested Citation:

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Deflation Probability [STLPPMDEF], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/STLPPMDEF, August 5, 2020.

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