Leading Index for the United States | FRED

NOTES

Leading Index for the United States (USSLIND)

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Units: Percent, Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency: Monthly

The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill.

Suggested Citation:

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Leading Index for the United States [USSLIND], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USSLIND, .

10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity (T10Y2YM)

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Release: Interest Rate Spreads

Units: Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency: Monthly

Series is calculated as the spread between 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity (BC_10YEARM) and 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity (BC_2YEARM).
Starting with the update on June 21, 2019, the Treasury bond data used in calculating interest rate spreads is obtained directly from the U.S. Treasury Department.

Suggested Citation:

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity [T10Y2YM], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2YM, .