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Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Release: State Leading Indexes
Units: Percent, Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency: Monthly
The leading index for each state predicts the six-month growth rate of the state's coincident index. In addition to the coincident index, the models include other variables that lead the economy: state-level housing permits (1 to 4 units), state initial unemployment insurance claims, delivery times from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing survey, and the interest rate spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill.
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Leading Index for the United States [USSLIND], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USSLIND, .
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Release: Interest Rate Spreads
Units: Percent, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency: Monthly
Series is calculated as the spread between 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity (BC_10YEARM) and 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity (BC_2YEARM).
Starting with the update on June 21, 2019, the Treasury bond data used in calculating interest rate spreads is obtained directly from the U.S. Treasury Department.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity [T10Y2YM], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10Y2YM, .