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Recession Probabilities

Recession Probabilities

Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities
Percent, Monthly, Not Seasonally AdjustedJun 1967 to Oct 2018 (Jan 2)
 
Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator
+1 or 0, Quarterly, Not Seasonally AdjustedQ4 1967 to Q2 2018 (Oct 26)
 
GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index
Percentage Points, Quarterly, Not Seasonally AdjustedQ4 1967 to Q2 2018 (Oct 26)
 
Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for Russia
Index, Monthly, Not Seasonally AdjustedJan 1994 to Jan 2019 (Feb 4)
 
Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for South Korea (DISCONTINUED)
Index, Monthly, Not Seasonally AdjustedJan 1990 to Dec 2014 (2016-02-11)
 


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