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Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (SAHMCURRENT)

Observation:

Dec 2020: 3.23  
Updated: Jan 8, 2021

Units:

Percentage Points,
Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:

Monthly
1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Max

NOTES

Source: Sahm, Claudia  

Release: Sahm Rule Recession Indicator  

Units:  Percentage Points, Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:  Monthly

Notes:

Sahm Recession Indicator signals the start of a recession when the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate (U3) rises by 0.50 percentage points or more relative to its low during the previous 12 months.

Suggested Citation:

Sahm, Claudia, Sahm Rule Recession Indicator [SAHMCURRENT], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMCURRENT, January 16, 2021.

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Recession Probabilities Academic Data

Sources

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Tags

Claudia Sahm Recession Indicators Academic Data Seasonally Adjusted Monthly Nation Public Domain: Citation Requested United States of America





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