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296 Series

  • Recession Indicators
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Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities
Percent, Monthly, Not Seasonally AdjustedJun 1967 to Jul 2020 (Sep 1)
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Dec 1854 to Aug 2020 (Sep 1)
Daily 1854-12-01 to 2020-09-24 (2 days ago)
Quarterly Q4 1854 to Q2 2020 (Jul 1)
 
Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator
+1 or 0, Quarterly, Not Seasonally AdjustedQ4 1967 to Q1 2020 (Jul 30)
 
Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator
Percentage Points, Monthly, Seasonally AdjustedDec 1959 to Aug 2020 (Sep 4)
 
GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index
Percentage Points, Quarterly, Not Seasonally AdjustedQ4 1967 to Q1 2020 (Jul 30)
 
Sahm Rule Recession Indicator
Percentage Points, Monthly, Seasonally AdjustedMar 1949 to Aug 2020 (Sep 4)
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Dec 1854 to Aug 2020 (Sep 1)
Daily 1854-12-01 to 2020-09-24 (2 days ago)
Quarterly Q4 1854 to Q2 2020 (Jul 1)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily 1947-02-01 to 2019-12-31 (Feb 10)
Monthly Feb 1947 to Dec 2019 (Feb 10)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Euro Area from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Mar 1960 to Nov 2019 (Jan 13)
Daily 1960-03-01 to 2019-11-30 (Jan 13)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for China from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Jan 1978 to Dec 2019 (Feb 10)
Daily 1978-01-01 to 2019-12-31 (Feb 10)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Germany from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Feb 1960 to Oct 2019 (Dec 9)
Daily 1960-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (Dec 9)
 
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Dec 1854 to Aug 2020 (Sep 1)
Daily 1854-12-01 to 2020-09-24 (2 days ago)
Quarterly Q4 1854 to Q2 2020 (Jul 1)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United Kingdom from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily 1955-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (Dec 9)
Monthly Feb 1955 to Oct 2019 (Dec 9)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Japan from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Feb 1960 to Oct 2019 (Jan 13)
Daily 1960-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (Jan 13)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Major Seven Countries from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily 1960-02-01 to 2019-11-30 (Jan 13)
Monthly Feb 1960 to Nov 2019 (Jan 13)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Canada from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily 1960-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (Dec 9)
Monthly Feb 1960 to Oct 2019 (Dec 9)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Sweden from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Feb 1960 to Sep 2019 (Dec 9)
Daily 1960-02-01 to 2019-09-30 (Dec 9)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for France from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Feb 1960 to Dec 2019 (Feb 10)
Daily 1960-02-01 to 2019-12-31 (Feb 10)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Australia from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily 1960-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (Dec 9)
Monthly Feb 1960 to Oct 2019 (Dec 9)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Feb 1947 to Dec 2019 (Feb 10)
Daily 1947-02-01 to 2019-12-31 (Feb 10)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Korea from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily 1960-02-01 to 2019-12-31 (Feb 10)
Monthly Feb 1960 to Dec 2019 (Feb 10)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for India from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly May 1996 to Oct 2019 (Dec 9)
Daily 1996-05-01 to 2019-10-31 (Dec 9)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Denmark from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Feb 1960 to Oct 2019 (Jan 13)
Daily 1960-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (Jan 13)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Indonesia from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly Feb 1990 to Sep 2019 (2019-11-12)
Daily 1990-02-01 to 2019-09-30 (2019-11-12)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for Germany from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily 1960-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (Dec 9)
Monthly Feb 1960 to Oct 2019 (Dec 9)
 
OECD based Recession Indicators for OECD and Non-member Economies from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily 1960-02-01 to 2019-11-30 (Jan 13)
Monthly Feb 1960 to Nov 2019 (Jan 13)
 

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