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Recession Indicators
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Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities
Percent, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Jun 1967 to Dec 2020 (Feb 1)
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly
Dec 1854 to Jan 2021 (Feb 1)
Daily
1854-12-01 to 2021-02-25 (1 day ago)
Quarterly
Q4 1854 to Q4 2020 (Jan 1)
Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator
Percentage Points, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted
Dec 1959 to Jan 2021 (Feb 5)
Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator
+1 or 0, Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Q4 1967 to Q3 2020 (Jan 29)
GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index
Percentage Points, Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Q4 1967 to Q3 2020 (Jan 29)
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly
Dec 1854 to Jan 2021 (Feb 1)
Daily
1854-12-01 to 2021-02-25 (1 day ago)
Quarterly
Q4 1854 to Q4 2020 (Jan 1)
Sahm Rule Recession Indicator
Percentage Points, Monthly, Seasonally Adjusted
Mar 1949 to Jan 2021 (Feb 5)
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily
1947-02-01 to 2019-12-31 (2020-02-10)
Monthly
Feb 1947 to Dec 2019 (2020-02-10)
OECD based Recession Indicators for Euro Area from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly
Mar 1960 to Nov 2019 (2020-01-13)
Daily
1960-03-01 to 2019-11-30 (2020-01-13)
OECD based Recession Indicators for China from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly
Jan 1978 to Dec 2019 (2020-02-10)
Daily
1978-01-01 to 2019-12-31 (2020-02-10)
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly
Dec 1854 to Jan 2021 (Feb 1)
Daily
1854-12-01 to 2021-02-25 (1 day ago)
Quarterly
Q4 1854 to Q4 2020 (Jan 1)
OECD based Recession Indicators for Canada from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily
1960-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (2019-12-09)
Monthly
Feb 1960 to Oct 2019 (2019-12-09)
OECD based Recession Indicators for Germany from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly
Feb 1960 to Oct 2019 (2019-12-09)
Daily
1960-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (2019-12-09)
OECD based Recession Indicators for Major Seven Countries from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily
1960-02-01 to 2019-11-30 (2020-01-13)
Monthly
Feb 1960 to Nov 2019 (2020-01-13)
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United Kingdom from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily
1955-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (2019-12-09)
Monthly
Feb 1955 to Oct 2019 (2019-12-09)
OECD based Recession Indicators for Australia from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily
1960-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (2019-12-09)
Monthly
Feb 1960 to Oct 2019 (2019-12-09)
OECD based Recession Indicators for Germany from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly
Feb 1960 to Oct 2019 (2019-12-09)
Daily
1960-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (2019-12-09)
OECD based Recession Indicators for Japan from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly
Feb 1960 to Oct 2019 (2020-01-13)
Daily
1960-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (2020-01-13)
OECD based Recession Indicators for France from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly
Feb 1960 to Dec 2019 (2020-02-10)
Daily
1960-02-01 to 2019-12-31 (2020-02-10)
OECD based Recession Indicators for India from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly
May 1996 to Oct 2019 (2019-12-09)
Daily
1996-05-01 to 2019-10-31 (2019-12-09)
OECD based Recession Indicators for Korea from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily
1960-02-01 to 2019-12-31 (2020-02-10)
Monthly
Feb 1960 to Dec 2019 (2020-02-10)
OECD based Recession Indicators for Mexico from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Daily
1960-02-01 to 2019-12-31 (2020-02-10)
Monthly
Feb 1960 to Dec 2019 (2020-02-10)
OECD based Recession Indicators for Denmark from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly
Feb 1960 to Oct 2019 (2020-01-13)
Daily
1960-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (2020-01-13)
OECD based Recession Indicators for Switzerland from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly
Feb 1960 to Oct 2019 (2019-12-09)
Daily
1960-02-01 to 2019-10-31 (2019-12-09)
OECD based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly
Feb 1947 to Dec 2019 (2020-02-10)
Daily
1947-02-01 to 2019-12-31 (2020-02-10)
OECD based Recession Indicators for the OECD Total Area from the Peak through the Trough
+1 or 0, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Monthly
Feb 1960 to Nov 2019 (2020-01-13)
Daily
1960-02-01 to 2019-11-30 (2020-01-13)
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